1987 Australian federal election

1987 Australian federal election
← outgoing members elected members →
All 148 seats in the House of Representatives; 75 seats were needed for a majority in the House ; All 76 seats in the Senate
Registered	10,353,213 4.90%
Turnout	9,715,440 (93.84%); (0.35 pp)
	Results by division for the House of Representatives, shaded by winning party's margin of victory.
Prime Minister before election; Bob Hawke; Labor	Subsequent Prime Minister ; Bob Hawke; Labor

The 1987 Australian federal election was held in Australia on 11 July 1987, following the granting of a double dissolution on 5 June by the Governor-General Sir Ninian Stephen. Consequently, all 148 seats in the House of Representatives as well as all 76 seats in the Senate were up for election. The incumbent Australian Labor Party, led by Prime Minister Bob Hawke, defeated the opposition Liberal Party of Australia, led by John Howard and the National Party of Australia led by Ian Sinclair. This was the first, and to date only, time the Labor Party won a third consecutive election.

This was the last federal election before Old Parliament House was decommissioned as the seat of parliament after 61 years. In 1988, it was replaced by today's Parliament House, which sits above its predecessor on Capital Hill.

Future Opposition Leader John Hewson entered parliament at this election.

Since the introduction in the previous election in 1984 of leaders' debates, this was the only election in which there was not at least one leaders' debate due to Hawke's refusal to debate Howard.^[1]

Background

The Hawke government had been in power since the general election of 1983, and had been re-elected in the snap election of 1984, although with a decreased majority. Hawke, in partnership with Treasurer Paul Keating, had pursued an ambitiously reformist agenda over the course of his time in office, which included floating the Australian dollar, reducing tariffs on imports and completely reforming the tax system. However, the government's popularity dropped sharply throughout the course of its 1984–87 term, mostly due to a series of blunders such as its failed 'tax summit' (designed to gain support for Keating's proposed consumption tax), and declining terms of trade, which Treasurer Keating argued threatened to reduce Australia to the status of a banana republic unless tough measures were taken to correct the balance of trade.

Meanwhile, for much of the 1984–87 term, the opposition Liberal-National coalition led in the polls, leading to speculation that it could regain office in 1987. However, both coalition parties were also wracked by infighting throughout the parliament. In September 1985, Andrew Peacock, who had led the party to a surprising rebound in the 1984 general election, was replaced as leader of the Liberal party by the then Deputy Leader and Shadow Treasurer John Howard, after a botched effort to remove the latter from the Deputy Leadership and replace him with Queenslander John Moore, resulting in Peacock's resignation. Nonetheless, the party remained divided, as Howard was seen by some Liberals as being too far to the right, and these opponents of the Howard policy agenda rallied to Peacock, who was eventually sacked from the shadow ministry in March 1987, following unfortunate remarks regarding Howard by Peacock to Victorian state opposition leader Jeff Kennett in an infamous car phone conversation.^[2]

Moreover, Howard and National Party leader Ian Sinclair faced challenges from the right as well as the left of the coalition, in the form of Queensland premier Sir Joh Bjelke-Petersen. Premier since 1968, Bjelke-Petersen was a hardline conservative who aggressively opposed the "socialist" Hawke Labor government, and believed that he could transfer the style of politics that had served him so well in his native Queensland to the federal stage. Following a decisive electoral victory in Queensland in 1986, the so-called Joh for Canberra campaign began in earnest, supported by much of the Queensland business establishment (the infamous "white shoe brigade"), with Bjelke-Petersen announcing that he intended to run for the Prime Ministership on 1 January 1987. At the end of February 1987, the Queensland National Party decided to withdraw its twelve federal members of parliament from the Coalition, and demanded that federal National Party leader Ian Sinclair also withdraw because of "basic differences in taxation and other philosophies and policies" between the Liberal and National parties.^[3] Within the Queensland National Party, the party president Sir Robert Sparkes enforced support for Bjelke-Petersen, making practical opposition within the Queensland ranks unlikely.^[4] The Coalition formally split in early May, with the National Party voting to break the federal coalition, and Ian Sinclair looking increasingly impotent and unable to ensure the loyalty of National Party members. However, it was at this point that Bob Sparkes reneged on his loyalty to Bjelke-Petersen and withdrew from the campaign.^[5] With his pool of supporters steadily decreasing, the likelihood of an effective challenge to the federal Coalition from Bjelke-Petersen began to collapse. When the election was called on 27 May, Bjelke-Petersen was in the United States, and quickly decided to withdraw from his bid for federal power. However, the federal coalition had been broken, and Howard's credibility as a challenger to the Hawke government had been severely damaged.^[6]

Voting intention

^[7]

Date	Brand	Primary vote
		ALP	L/NP	DEM	OTH
11 July 1987 election		45.90%	45.90%	6.00%	2.18%
9 July 1987	Newspoll	48.5%	43%	6.5%	2%
7 June 1987	Newspoll	53%	41%	4%	2%
3 May 1987	Newspoll	46%	48%	4%	2%
21 September 1986	Newspoll	40%	50%	9%	1%
1 December 1985	Newspoll	49%	42%	8%	1%
18 December 1984 election		47.55%	45.01%	5.45%	1.99%

Campaign

The 1987 federal election was called by Prime Minister Hawke six months early, to capitalise on the aforementioned disunity in the opposition. The nominal trigger for the double dissolution was the rejection of legislation for the Australia Card by the Senate, but that did not figure prominently in the campaign, and Labor Senate Leader John Button even burst into laughter when referring to it in his speech announcing the election. Caught off guard by the early election, the opposition quickly ran into difficulties when the funding for its flagship tax cut proposals was revealed to have been miscalculated by some $540 million (at the time), a mistake revealed by the Labor party and conceded by Howard.^[8] Furthermore, although the Joh for Canberra push had been abandoned, the associated schism between the Nationals and Liberals led to several three-cornered contests, and the National Party ran independent Senate tickets in every state except New South Wales.^[9]

Labor naturally chose to campaign strongly on the disunity amongst the opposition parties, contrasting it with the relative unity of purpose of the Labor Government. However, aside from those issues, the 1987 campaign failed to generate great excitement in the electorate, and the opposition was viewed as unlikely, particularly in view of the recent infighting, to be able to remove the Labor party from power. That view was strengthened by much of the polling during the campaign, which generally showed Labor with a commanding lead.^[10] The election was the last one in which the Liberals and Nationals competed directly against each other in a federal election.

Results

House of Representatives results

Government (86)
Labor (86)

Opposition (62)
Coalition
Liberal (43)
National (19)

House of Reps (IRV) — 1987–90 – Turnout 93.84% (CV) — Informal 4.94%
Party			Votes	%	Swing	Seats	Change
		Liberal	3,169,061	34.32	+0.26	43	1
		National	1,048,249	11.35	+0.72	19	2
		Country Liberal	21,668	0.23	−0.09	0	1
	Liberal/National Coalition		4,238,978	45.90	+0.89	62	4
	Labor		4,238,663	45.90	−1.65	86	4
	Democrats		557,262	6.00	+0.55
	Others		200,183	2.18
Total			9,235,086			148
Two-party-preferred vote
	Labor		4,693,099	50.83	−0.94	86	4
	Liberal/National coalition		4,540,009	49.17	+0.94	62	4

Invalid/blank votes			480,354	4.9	–1.9
Turnout			9,715,440	93.8
Registered voters			10,353,229
Source: Federal Election Results 1949-1993

Popular vote

Labor			45.76%
Liberal			34.41%
National			11.50%
Democrats			6.00%
CLP			0.23%
Other			2.06%

Two-party-preferred vote

Labor			50.83%
Coalition			49.17%

Parliament seats

Labor			58.11%
Coalition			41.89%

Senate results

Government (32)
Labor (32)

Opposition (34)
Coalition
Liberal (28)
National (5)
CLP (1)

Crossbench (10)
Democrats (7)
NDP (1)
Independent (2)

Senate (STV GV) — 1987–90 – Turnout 93.84% (CV) — Informal 3.54%
Party			Votes	%	Swing	Seats won	Seats held	Change
		Liberal	1,965,180	20.97	+0.38	23	27
		Liberal–National joint ticket	1,289,888	13.76	+1.05	5	N/A	N/A
		National ^[a]	664,394	7.09	+1.16	6	6	1
		Country Liberal	19,970	0.21	−0.10	1	1
	Liberal/National Coalition		3,939,432	42.04	+2.50	34	34	1
	Labor		4,013,860	42.83	+0.66	32	32	2
	Democrats		794,107	8.47	+0.85	7	7
	Nuclear Disarmament ^[b]		102,480	1.09	−6.14	1	1
	Vallentine Peace Group ^[b]		40,048	0.43	+0.43	1	1	1
	Harradine Group		37,037	0.40	+0.14	1	1
	Others		444,716	4.75
Total			9,371,681			76	76

Invalid/blank votes			394,891	4.0	–2.8
Turnout			9,766,571	90.5
Registered voters			10,353,213
Source: Federal Election Results 1949-1993

As this was a double-dissolution election, all Senate seats were contested.

This was the first election in which the AEC conducted a special recount (under 1983 legislation) for the purpose of allocating three- and six-year senate terms. The recount results were not used.

Seats changing hands

Seat	Pre-1987				Swing	Post-1987
Seat	Party		Member	Margin	Swing	Margin	Member	Party
Chisholm, Vic		Labor	Helen Mayer	0.2	0.9	0.7	Michael Wooldridge	Liberal
Denison, Tas		Liberal	Michael Hodgman	1.0	4.8	3.8	Duncan Kerr	Labor
Fisher, Qld		National	Peter Slipper	2.3	2.8	0.5	Michael Lavarch	Labor
Forde, Qld		Liberal	David Watson	0.0	1.0	1.0	Mary Crawford	Labor
Hinkler, Qld		National	Bryan Conquest	0.2	1.3	1.1	Brian Courtice	Labor
Lowe, NSW		Labor	Michael Maher	2.2	3.8	1.6	Bob Woods	Liberal
Northern Territory, NT		Country Liberal	Paul Everingham	1.4	3.6	2.2	Warren Snowdon	Labor
Petrie, Qld		Liberal	John Hodges	0.6	2.0	1.4	Gary Johns	Labor

Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.

Analysis

Hawke led Labor to a record third successive term in government, despite finishing slightly behind the Coalition in the first-preference vote (the first time that a party had won an election in spite of this since 1969), and suffering a swing of some 0.9% to the Coalition in the two-party-preferred vote. Nonetheless, Labor's result of 86 seats was the party's highest ever (the total number of seats was expanded by 23 in 1984), and the party made particularly strong gains in Bjelke-Petersen's native Queensland, gaining four seats to bring their Queensland tally to 13 of 24 seats. The Liberals suffered a net loss of two seats, primarily due to losses in Queensland, although they did make small gains in Howard's native New South Wales and in Victoria. The federal National Party also suffered a net loss of two seats, failing to expand upon its traditional rural base and hampered by disunity within its ranks.

The Gallagher Index result: 10.57

This was the most recent election in which every seat in the House of Representatives was won by either Labor or the Coalition. Following the election, John Howard stayed on as leader of the Liberal Party, and would eventually become Prime Minister in 1996. However, the experience of the 1987 campaign is said to have been the origin of his oft-repeated remark that, in politics, "disunity is death". Meanwhile, Hawke would go on to win a fourth-consecutive election for the Labor party, but was eventually replaced as Labor leader and Prime Minister by Paul Keating in 1991.

As of 2024, the 1987 election was the last time the National party received over 10% of the vote for the House of Representatives.

Notes

^ The National includes the NT Nationals, consistent with the Parliamentary Library results,^[11] however the totals in Psephos: Adam Carr's Electoral Archive do not include the NT Nationals.^[12]
^ ^a ^b Jo Vallentine had been elected in 1984 as a Nuclear Disarmament Party member, but resigned in 1985, serving out the remainder of her term as an independent.

References

^ McIlroy, Tom (12 May 2016). "Federal election 2016: do leader debates really make a difference in Australian elections?". The Sydney Morning Herald.
^ Kennett-Peacock Car Phone Conversation. Retrieved 5 May 2006.
^ Adams (1987), p. 253
^ Davey (2010), p. 231
^ Walter (1990), p. 318
^ Rydon (1987), p. 365
^ "Federal Newspoll Archive - Infogram". infogram.com. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
^ The documentary Liberal Rule: The Politics That Changed Australia
^ Davey (2010), p. 236
^ "Newspoll Archive". Archived from the original on 18 December 2018. Retrieved 18 December 2018.
^ "Federal Election Results 1949-1993" (PDF). Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 12 July 2017.
^ "1987 Senate". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 26 June 2022.

Bibliography

Adams, David (1987). "Political Review". Australian Quarterly. 59 (2): 245–255. doi:10.2307/20635436. JSTOR 20635436.
Davey, Paul (2010). Ninety Not Out: The Nationals 1920–2010. Sydney: University of NSW Press.
Rydon, Joan (1987). "The Federal Elections of 1987 and their Absurdities". The Australian Quarterly. 59 (3/4): 357–365. doi:10.2307/20635449. JSTOR 20635449.
Walter, James (1990). "Johannes Bjelke-Petersen". In Dennis Murphy, Roger Joyce & Margaret Cribb (ed.). Premiers of Queensland. Brisbane: University of Queensland Press. pp. 495–529.