2016 United States presidential election in Hawaii
The 2016 United States presidential election in Hawaii was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Hawaii voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College by a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Hawaii has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
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| Turnout | 58.4%  | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Clinton 50-60% 60-70% 70-80%
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Clinton carried the state with 62.88% of the vote. It was her highest vote percentage of any state, though it also represented a significant decrease from Barack Obama's 70.55% vote share from 2012. Trump received 30.36% of the vote, surpassing Mitt Romney's 2012 performance by 3%.[2] Hawaii was one of two states where Clinton won every county, the other being Massachusetts. Hawaii was Green Party nominee Jill Stein's strongest performance, being the only state where she reached 3%. While Clinton won the sizable Asian population on the islands, exit polls showed Trump fared better with whites, Native Hawaiians, and Pacific Islanders, as well as anywhere with a large military presence.[3]
Despite all of Hawaii's electoral votes being pledged to the Clinton/Kaine ticket, one faithless elector voted for Bernie Sanders for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice-president.
Caucuses
editDemocratic caucuses
editFour candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 23,530 | 69.8% | 17 | 2 | 19 |
| Hillary Clinton | 10,125 | 30.0% | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 12 | 0.0% | |||
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 6 | 0.0% | |||
| Uncommitted | 43 | 0.1% | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Total | 33,716 | 100% | 25 | 9 | 34 |
| Source: [4] | |||||
Republican caucuses
editTwelve candidates appeared on the ballot for the Republican presidential caucuses:
- Donald Trump
- Ted Cruz
- John Kasich
- Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
- Ben Carson (withdrawn)
- Chris Christie (withdrawn)
- Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
- Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
- Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
- Rand Paul (withdrawn)
- Marco Rubio
- Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 6,805 | 43.32% | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| Ted Cruz | 5,063 | 32.23% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Marco Rubio | 2,068 | 13.17% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| John Kasich | 1,566 | 9.97% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 146 | 0.93% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 24 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Write-In | 25 | 0.16% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Spoiled | 11 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 15,708 | 100.00% | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Delegates were awarded to candidates at the statewide and congressional district level proportionally.
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[5] | Safe D | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[6] | Safe D | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[8] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[9] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[11] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[12] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Results
edit| 2016 United States presidential election in Hawaii | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running Mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | Tim Kaine | 266,891 | 62.88% | 3 | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | Mike Pence | 128,847 | 30.36% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | William Weld | 15,954 | 3.76% | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein | Ajamu Baraka | 12,737 | 3% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Darrell Castle | Scott Bradley | 4,508 | 1.05% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | 0 | 0% | 1 | |
| Totals | 424,429 | 100% | 4 | |||
By county
edit| County | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Hawaii | 41,259 | 63.61% | 17,501 | 26.98% | 6,107 | 9.41% | 23,758 | 36.63% | 64,867 |
| Honolulu | 175,696 | 61.48% | 90,326 | 31.61% | 19,768 | 6.91% | 85,370 | 29.87% | 285,790 |
| Kalawao | 14 | 70.00% | 1 | 5.00% | 5 | 25.00% | 13 | 65.00% | 20 |
| Kauai | 16,456 | 62.49% | 7,574 | 28.76% | 2,305 | 8.75% | 8,882 | 33.73% | 26,335 |
| Maui | 33,480 | 64.45% | 13,446 | 25.89% | 5,019 | 9.66% | 20,034 | 38.56% | 51,945 |
| Totals | 266,891 | 62.22% | 128,847 | 30.04% | 33,199 | 7.74% | 138,044 | 32.18% | 428,937 |
By congressional district
editClinton won both congressional districts.[13]
| District | Clinton | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63.1% | 30.5% | Colleen Hanabusa |
| 2nd | 61.4% | 29.6% | Tulsi Gabbard |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Clinton won all four of the state’s electoral votes, however one elector voted for Bernie Sanders for president and Elizabeth Warren for vice president.
References
edit- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- ^ "Hawaii Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 29, 2016.
- ^ "Who Voted For Donald Trump In Hawaii?". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved November 18, 2016.
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on February 16, 2017. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.