2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of New Jersey as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in California, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own New Jersey primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party held North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Clinton had won the state eight years prior and had support from most of the state's Democratic Congressional delegation,^[2] including Senator Cory Booker.^[3] Feeling confident about her chances in the primary, Clinton cancelled campaign events in the state in favor of delegate-rich California ahead of the primary.^[4]

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Official Primary results^[5]	June 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton 63.3%	Bernie Sanders 36.7%
CBS/YouGov^[6] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 586	May 31 – June 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 61%	Bernie Sanders 34%	Others / Undecided 5%
American Research Group^[7] Margin of error: ± -% Sample size: 400	May 31 – June 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 37%	Others / Undecided 3%
Quinnipiac^[8] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 696	May 10–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 54%	Bernie Sanders 40%	Others / Undecided 6%
Monmouth University^[9] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 301	May 1–3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Others / Undecided 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[10] Margin of error: ± 6.3% Sample Size: 292	April 1–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton 51%	Bernie Sanders 42%	Others / Undecided 7%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[11] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample Size: 304	February 6–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Others / Undecided 13%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[12] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample Size: 304	November 30 – December 6, 2015	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Other 3%, Don't know 17%
Farleigh Dickenson University^[13] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample Size: 830	November 9–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton 64%	Bernie Sanders 27%	Martin O'Malley 2%	DK/Refused 3%, Wouldn't Vote 3%, Other 1%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[14] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 367	October 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Joe Biden 10%	Other 3%, Don't know 20%
Fairleigh Dickinson University^[15] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 345	June 15–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton 63%	Bernie Sanders 15%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, DK/Refused 14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University^[16] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 323	April 13–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton 62%			Another Democratic candidate 9%, Don't know 27%, Refused 1%
Quinnipiac University^[17] Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 539	April 9–14, 2015	Hillary Clinton 63%	Elizabeth Warren 12%	Joe Biden 10%	Bernie Sanders 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 7%
	April 9–14, 2015	Joe Biden 36%	Elizabeth Warren 28%	Bernie Sanders 6%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 21%
Quinnipiac University^[18] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ?	January 15–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton 65%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Joe Biden 7%	Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 11%

Polls in 2014

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Rutgers-Eagleton^[19] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 280	December 3–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton 54%	Elizabeth Warren 6%	Cory Booker 2%	Joe Biden 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 3%, Don't know 34%
Rutgers-Eagleton^[20] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 331	July 28 – August 5, 2014	Hillary Clinton 59%	Joe Biden 3%	Elizabeth Warren 3%	Cory Booker 2%, Other 4%, Don't know 30%

Polls in 2013

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Fairleigh Dickinson University^[21] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 337	August 21–27, 2013	Hillary Clinton 63%	Joe Biden 10%	Andrew Cuomo 6%	Elizabeth Warren 4%, Other 4%, Undecided 13%
Kean University^[22] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 420	April 25–29, 2013	Hillary Clinton 67%	Joe Biden 13%	Andrew Cuomo 8%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Other 4%, Undecided 6%

Results

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	566,247	63.32%	79	12	91
Bernie Sanders	328,058	36.68%	47	2	49
Uncommitted	—		0	0	0
Total	894,305	100%	126	16	142
Source: ^[23]^[24]

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county except for Sussex and Warren.

County^[25]	Clinton	%	Sanders	%	Totals
Atlantic	13,556	60.62%	8,805	39.38%	22,361
Bergen	57,319	63.47%	32,994	36.53%	90,313
Burlington	33,166	63.02%	19,461	36.98%	52,627
Camden	44,400	62.27%	26,905	37.73%	71,305
Cape May	3,969	54.83%	3,269	45.17%	7,238
Cumberland	6,894	64.18%	3,847	35.82%	10,741
Essex	77,836	73.07%	28,679	26.93%	105,915
Gloucester	18,011	56.12%	14,082	43.88%	32,093
Hudson	50,875	66.34%	25,815	33.66%	76,690
Hunterdon	5,794	51.93%	5,362	48.07%	11,156
Mercer	29,650	66.00%	15,276	34.00%	44,926
Middlesex	48,202	61.01%	30,800	38.99%	79,002
Monmouth	30,967	58.07%	22,360	41.93%	53,327
Morris	24,285	58.32%	17,355	41.68%	41,640
Ocean	19,663	54.49%	16,424	45.51%	36,087
Passaic	29,997	67.63%	14,356	32.37%	44,353
Salem	2,821	56.46%	2,175	43.54%	4,996
Somerset	19,838	61.56%	12,385	38.44%	32,223
Sussex	3,986	42.91%	5,303	57.09%	9,289
Union	41,605	68.82%	18,853	31.18%	60,458
Warren	3,413	49.00%	3,552	51.00%	6,965
Total	566,247	63.32%	328,058	36.68%	894,305

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans, Hispanic/Latinos, and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, New Jersey was seen as a state Clinton would win in the final batch of primaries on June 7. Having won the state eight years earlier against Barack Obama, Clinton managed a 26-point-routing against Bernie Sanders in 2016 despite the Sanders campaign's efforts in the state. She carried all counties in New Jersey but two, winning large victories in the cities of Newark, Trenton, and Atlantic City.

References

^ "New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016.
^ "Get Access". Asbury Park Press. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
^ Lach, Eric. "Ahead of the New Jersey Vote, Cory Booker Gets Out the Selfies". The New Yorker. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
^ Meckler, Laura (May 30, 2016). "Hillary Clinton Cancels N.J. Event to Campaign in California". Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
^ Official Primary results
^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Jersey". CBS. Retrieved June 6, 2016.
^ "New Jersey 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.
^ "IT'S BLUE JERSEY AS CLINTON OR SANDERS TOP TRUMP, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS SANDERS AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Quinnipiac. Retrieved May 19, 2016.
^ "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS HUGE PRIMARY EDGE" (PDF). Monmouth. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
^ "OVER HALF OF NJ REPUBLICANS CHOOSE TRUMP; CLINTON STILL LEADS BUT LOSING GROUND AGAINST SANDERS". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved April 18, 2016.
^ "TRUMP, CLINTON CONTINUE TO HOLD COMMANDING LEADS IN NEW JERSEY; RUBIO A DISTANT SECOND IN GOP RACE". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved February 24, 2016.
^ "CHRISTIE'S JOB APPROVAL HITS NEW LOW, RATINGS ACROSS THE BOARD CONTINUE TO SLIP; TRUMP STILL LEADS 2016 GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE RECLAIMS SECOND". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved February 25, 2016.
^ "151117". View2.fdu.edu. November 17, 2015. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
^ "Trump Still Leads Gop Field In New Jersey, Christie Falls Well Behind; Voters To Christie: End Campaign | Center For Public Interest Polling". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. October 15, 2015. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
^ "2016 Candidates Polarize NJ Voters :: Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll". Publicmind.fdu.edu. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
^ Fairleigh Dickinson University
^ Quinnipiac University
^ Quinnipiac University
^ Rutgers-Eagleton
^ Rutgers-Eagleton
^ Fairleigh Dickinson University
^ Kean University
^ The Green Papers
^ New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State
^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.

[1] "New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved August 13, 2016.

[2] "Get Access". Asbury Park Press. Retrieved March 18, 2021.

[3] Lach, Eric. "Ahead of the New Jersey Vote, Cory Booker Gets Out the Selfies". The New Yorker. Retrieved March 18, 2021.

[4] Meckler, Laura (May 30, 2016). "Hillary Clinton Cancels N.J. Event to Campaign in California". Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Retrieved March 18, 2021.

[5] Official Primary results

[6] "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Jersey". CBS. Retrieved June 6, 2016.

[7] "New Jersey 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.

[8] "IT'S BLUE JERSEY AS CLINTON OR SANDERS TOP TRUMP, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS SANDERS AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Quinnipiac. Retrieved May 19, 2016.

[9] "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS HUGE PRIMARY EDGE" (PDF). Monmouth. Retrieved May 4, 2016.

[10] "OVER HALF OF NJ REPUBLICANS CHOOSE TRUMP; CLINTON STILL LEADS BUT LOSING GROUND AGAINST SANDERS". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved April 18, 2016.

[11] "TRUMP, CLINTON CONTINUE TO HOLD COMMANDING LEADS IN NEW JERSEY; RUBIO A DISTANT SECOND IN GOP RACE". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved February 24, 2016.

[12] "CHRISTIE'S JOB APPROVAL HITS NEW LOW, RATINGS ACROSS THE BOARD CONTINUE TO SLIP; TRUMP STILL LEADS 2016 GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE RECLAIMS SECOND". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved February 25, 2016.

[view2.fdu.edu-13] "151117". View2.fdu.edu. November 17, 2015. Retrieved January 23, 2016.

[14] "Trump Still Leads Gop Field In New Jersey, Christie Falls Well Behind; Voters To Christie: End Campaign | Center For Public Interest Polling". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. October 15, 2015. Retrieved January 23, 2016.

[15] "2016 Candidates Polarize NJ Voters :: Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll". Publicmind.fdu.edu. Retrieved July 9, 2015.

[16] Fairleigh Dickinson University

[17] Quinnipiac University

[18] Quinnipiac University

[19] Rutgers-Eagleton

[20] Rutgers-Eagleton

[21] Fairleigh Dickinson University

[22] Kean University

[23] The Green Papers

[24] New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State

[25] "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.

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