2020 Calabrian regional election

2020 Calabrian regional election
All 31 seats to the Regional Council of Calabria
Turnout	44.3% (0.2%)
	Maps of the election result
President before election; Mario Oliverio; Democratic Party	Elected President ; Jole Santelli; Forza Italia

The 2020 Calabrian regional election took place in Calabria, Italy, on 26 January 2020.^[2] The result was the victory of the centre-right coalition and the election of Jole Santelli as President of Calabria.^[3]

The election was held concurrently with a regional election in Emilia-Romagna.

Electoral system

Even if a district list is linked to a regional list that exceeds 8% of the vote, the district list must obtain at least 4% of the vote in the whole region in order to elect their own representatives. To ensure governance, the candidate who receives the most votes wins a majority bonus of 55% of the seats.^[4]

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Previous result		Candidate
Political party or alliance		Constituent lists		Votes (%)	Seats	Candidate
	Centre-left coalition		Democratic Party (PD)	23.7	9	Filippo Callipo
			Progressive Democrats (incl. Art.1)	7.3	3
			Io Resto in Calabria	—	—
	Centre-right coalition		Forza Italia (FI)	12.3	5	Jole Santelli
			House of Freedoms (CdL)	8.6	3
			Brothers of Italy (FdI)	2.5	–
			Union of the Centre (UdC)	2.7	–
			League (Lega)	—	—
			Jole Santelli for President (incl. New CDU)	—	—
	Aiello for President		Five Star Movement (M5S)	4.9	–	Francesco Aiello
	Aiello for President		Civic Calabria	—	—	Francesco Aiello
	Tansi for President		Treasure Calabria	—	—	Carlo Tansi
			Free Calabria	—	—
			Clean Calabria	—	—

Opinion polls

Candidates

Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size	Callipo	Santelli	Aiello	Others	Undecided	Lead
Date	Polling firm/ Client	Sample size				Others	Undecided	Lead
26 Jan 2020	Opinio (exit poll)	–	31.0–35.0	49.0–53.0	5.0–9.0	–	–	18.0
7 Jan 2020	Noto	1,000	34.0	52.0	10.0	2.0	—	18.0
12 Dec 2019	Noto	–	28.0	45.0	12.0	15.0	—	17.0

Parties

Date	Polling firm	Sample size	Centre-left		M5S	Centre-right				Others	Undecided	Lead
			PD	Other	M5S	FI	FdI	Lega	Other
				Other					Other
28 Oct 2019	Affaritaliani.it	–	18.5	—	13.5	11.4	16.2	23.1	—	—	—	4.6
Sep 2019	GPF	600	18.7			28.2				–	53.1	9.5

Results

26 January 2020 Calabrian regional election results
Candidates		Votes	%	Seats	Parties		Votes	%	Seats

	Jole Santelli	449,705	55.29	1		Forza Italia	96,067	12.34	5
						League	95,400	12.25	4
						Brothers of Italy	84,507	10.85	4
						Jole Santelli for President	65,816	8.45	2
						Union of the Centre	53,250	6.84	2
						House of Freedoms	49,778	6.39	2
					Total		444,818	57.13	19
	Filippo Callipo	245,154	30.14	1		Democratic Party	118,249	15.19	5
						Io Resto in Calabria	61,699	7.92	3
						Progressive Democrats	47,650	6.12	2
					Total		227,598	29.23	10
	Francesco Aiello	59,796	7.35	–		Five Star Movement	48,784	6.27	–
						Civic Calabria	8,544	1.10	–
					Total		57,328	7.36	–
	Carlo Tansi	58,700	7.22	–		Treasure Calabria	40,299	5.18	–
						Free Calabria	5,329	0.68	–
						Clean Calabria	3,230	0.41	–
					Total		48,858	6.28	–

Blank and invalid votes		27,208	3.24
Total candidates		840,563	100.00	2	Total parties		778,602	100.00	29
Registered voters/turnout		1,895,990	44.33
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Election in Calabria Archived 2020-01-26 at the Wayback Machine

Popular vote

PD			15.19%
FI			12.34%
Lega			12.25%
FdI			10.85%
Santelli			8.45%
Callipo			7.92%
UdC			6.84%
CdL			6.39%
M5S			6.27%
Progressive			6.12%
Tansi			5.18%
Civic Calabria			1.10%
Others			1.09%

President

Santelli			55.29%
Callipo			30.14%
Aiello			7.35%
Tansi			7.22%

Voter turnout

Region	Time
Region	12:00	19:00	23:00
Calabria	10.50%	35.54%	44.33%
Province	Time
Province	12:00	19:00	23:00
Catanzaro	11.86%	38.00%	46.78%
Cosenza	10.58%	35.86%	44.14%
Crotone	9.76%	32.17%	39.56%
Reggio Calabria	10.17%	35.23%	45.40%
Vibo Valentia	9.06%	33.18%	41.35%
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Turnout

References

^ The swing comes from the combined result of the Centre-right coalition (23.6%) and the Popular Area (8.7%) in the 2014 regional election.
^ "Elezioni Regionali Calabria, Oliverio rompe con il Pd e pensa al voto: "alle urne il 26 gennaio"". November 4, 2019.
^ Vergine, Stefano (27 January 2020). "Salvini down, but not out in Italy regional poll". EUobserver. Retrieved 27 January 2020.
^ "Elezioni regionali Calabria 2020, la guida: candidati, liste e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 9 January 2020. Retrieved 11 January 2020.

[1] The swing comes from the combined result of the Centre-right coalition (23.6%) and the Popular Area (8.7%) in the 2014 regional election.

[2] "Elezioni Regionali Calabria, Oliverio rompe con il Pd e pensa al voto: "alle urne il 26 gennaio"". November 4, 2019.

[3] Vergine, Stefano (27 January 2020). "Salvini down, but not out in Italy regional poll". EUobserver. Retrieved 27 January 2020.

[4] "Elezioni regionali Calabria 2020, la guida: candidati, liste e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 9 January 2020. Retrieved 11 January 2020.

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