The 2022 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2022, concurrently with elections for all other Class 3 U.S. senators and elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, to select a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Missouri. Incumbent senator Roy Blunt, a Republican, did not seek a third term in office. Republican Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt won the open seat, defeating Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine.
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  Schmitt: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Busch Valentine: 50–60% 60–70% 70-80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
Republican primary
editIn March 2021, incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt announced that he would not seek reelection in 2022.[1]
Republican candidates for Blunt's Senate seat included former Gov. Eric Greitens,[2] U.S. Rep. Vicky Hartzler,[3] U.S. Rep. Billy Long,[4] and Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt.[5]
Schmitt's candidacy was backed by Missouri mega-donor Rex Sinquefield.[6] In the speech announcing his candidacy, Schmitt tied himself to Donald Trump and spoke against "the radical left".[6] He pledged to vote against Mitch McConnell for the Senate Republican party leadership position.[7]
In February 2022, Hartzler's campaign released a 30-second ad criticizing Lia Thomas, a transgender swimmer on the University of Pennsylvania women's team. In the ad, Hartzler said, "Women's sports are for women, not men pretending to be women", adding that, as Missouri's senator, she would not "look away while woke liberals destroy women's sports."[8]
U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley endorsed Hartzler in February 2022.[9] On July 8, 2022, Donald Trump refused to endorse Hartzler, saying, "I don't think she has what it takes to take on the Radical Left Democrats."[10][9]
Greitens was endorsed by former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke, and Fox News personality Kimberly Guilfoyle, the latter joining his campaign as a national chair.[11]
Many Republican officials, strategists, and donors maneuvered to stymie Greitens's attempted comeback, believing that the scandal surrounding his resignation as governor, his extramarital affair, and the sexual assault accusation against him would make him a weak general election candidate and lead to the loss of the Senate seat to a Democrat.[12][13] Notable Republican opponents of Greitens's candidacy included Karl Rove,[12] Johnny DeStefano,[13] and Senator Rick Scott, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.[14] After Greitens's ex-wife filed an affidavit against him in March 2022 accusing him of physical abuse, Senator Josh Hawley (who had endorsed Vicky Hartzler the previous month[15]) called upon Greitens to drop out.[16]
Republican megadonor Richard Uihlein funded a pro-Greitens super PAC ("Team PAC"), contributing $2.5 million to it.[12] Other Republican megadonors, including Rex Sinquefield and August Busch, aligned against Greitens.[13] A Republican-funded anti-Greitens super PAC ("Show Me Values PAC") was created in June 2022[17] and ran $6.2 million in ads through late July 2022.[18]
Republican officials, including Rick Scott, waged a campaign to persuade Donald Trump not to endorse Greitens.[14] On the eve of the primary election, Trump issued a statement endorsing "ERIC" in the primary, leaving it unclear which "Eric" he was endorsing.[14][19]
In the primary election, Schmitt prevailed with 45.7% of the vote; Hartzler received 22.1%, Greitens 18.9%, and Long 5%.[20]
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Eric Schmitt, Missouri Attorney General (2019–2023) and former Missouri State Treasurer (2017–2019)[21][22]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Robert Allen[23]
- Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr., retired social worker[24][25]
- Dennis Lee Chilton, 2018 Missouri House of Representatives candidate[23]
- C. W. Gardner, doorman and former broadcaster[23][25]
- Eric Greitens, former governor of Missouri (2017–2018)[26]
- Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)[3]
- Rickey Joiner, barber and business owner[24]
- Patrick A. Lewis, union construction laborer[27]
- Billy Long, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–2023)[4]
- Darrell Leon McClanahan III, political activist, KKK Member[24][28]
- Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker known for his involvement in the St. Louis gun-toting controversy[29]
- Eric McElroy, comedian and U.S. Navy veteran[23][25]
- Bernie Mowinsk, retired U.S. Air Force sergeant and perennial candidate[23][25]
- Robert Olson[24]
- Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone[30]
- Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate (2019–2023), state senator (2015–2023)[31]
- Kevin C. Schepers[24]
- Dave Sims, Monett public works employee and former radio host[32][23]
- Hartford Tunnell, college professor[23][25]
- Curtis D. Vaughn, valet parking attendant and liquor salesman[24]
Missed filing deadline
edit- John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant[30][24]
- Rik Combs, retired U.S. Air Force Officer and Libertarian nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020[33][24]
- Jeremy Gundel, farmer and write-in candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Missouri in 2020[34][better source needed][24]
Withdrew
edit- Roy Blunt, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011–2023) and Chair of the Senate Republican Policy Committee (2019–2023)[35][36]
- Dan McQueen, former mayor of Corpus Christi, Texas (2016–2017)[37][30] (ran for the U.S. House)[38]
Declined
edit- Jay Ashcroft, Missouri Secretary of State (2017–present)[39]
- Scott Fitzpatrick, Missouri State Treasurer (2019–2023) (ran for state auditor)[40][41]
- Timothy A. Garrison, former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2018–2021)[42]
- Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present)[43] (ran for governor)[44]
- Peter Kinder, former lieutenant governor of Missouri (2005–2017)[45]
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) and Missouri's 9th congressional district (2009–2013) (ran for re-election)[46]
- Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present)[47]
- Jason Smith, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 8th congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)[48][49]
- Kathy Swan, former state representative (2012–2021)[45]
- Ann Wagner, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 2nd congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)[50][51]
Endorsements
editThe day before the primary, former president Donald Trump released a statement endorsing "ERIC". There were three candidates with the first name Eric running in the Republican primary: Eric Greitens, Eric McElroy, and Eric Schmitt. Trump's statement did not offer any clarification on whether this was an endorsement for one or multiple candidates, and when reached for comment by NBC News, Trump's office declined to clarify the endorsement.[52][53]
Eric Greitens
Federal officials
- Joseph diGenova, U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia (1983–1988), attorney to President Donald Trump[54]
- Michael Flynn, U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) (Democratic)[55]
- Sebastian Gorka, Deputy Assistant to the President (2017)[54]
- Ryan Zinke, U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019) and U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017)[54]
Individuals
- Rudy Giuliani, Mayor of New York City (1994–2001)[56]
- Kimberly Guilfoyle, television news personality[57]
- Bernard Marcus, billionaire and co-founder of The Home Depot[58]
- Victoria Toensing, attorney to President Donald Trump[54]
- Richard Uihlein, billionaire and co-founder of Uline[58]
Organizations
Vicky Hartzler
Federal officials
- Michele Bachmann, U.S. Representative for Minnesota's 6th congressional district (2007–2015) and candidate for president in 2012[60]
- Kit Bond, U.S. Senator from Missouri (1987–2011)[61]
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2013–present)[60]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[62]
- Roger Marshall, U.S. Senator from Kansas (2021–present)[63]
- Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council (2003–present), Chair of the United States Commission on International Religious Freedom (2019–2020), and Louisiana state representative (1996–2004)[60]
Individuals
- Eric Metaxas, Christian author and conservative radio host[64]
- Penny Nance, president of Concerned Women for America[60]
Organizations
- Maggie's List[65]
- Missouri Cattlemen's Association[66]
- Missouri Farm Bureau[67]
- Susan B. Anthony List[68]
Eric Schmitt
Federal officials
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) and candidate for president in 2016[69]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011–present)[70]
- Robert C. O'Brien, U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021) and Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs (2019–2019)[71]
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, White House Press Secretary (2017–2019) and nominee for Governor of Arkansas in 2022[70]
- Matthew Whitaker, acting U.S. Attorney General (2018–2019), U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004–2009), nominee for Iowa State Treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[69]
State officials
- Winsome Sears, Lieutenant Governor of Virginia (2022–present)[72]
State legislators
- Cyndi Buchheit-Courtway, state representative for Missouri's 115th district (2021–present)[73]
- Cindy O'Laughlin, state senator for Missouri's 18th district (2018–present)[73]
Individuals
- Dana Loesch, radio and TV host[69]
- Rex Sinquefield, philanthropist and President of the Show-Me Institute[74]
Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity Action[75]
- Gun Owners of America[76]
- Missouri Fraternal Order of Police[77]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[78]
- Tea Party Express[79]
Debates
edit| Date | Host | Moderator | Link(s) | Participants | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
|||||||||
| Eric Greitens |
Vicky Hartzler |
Billy Long |
Mark McCloskey |
Dave Schatz |
Eric Schmitt | ||||
| May 31, 2022 | Greene County Republicans[80] | Ginger Gooch Darrell Moore |
A | A | P | P | P | A | |
Polling
editGraphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Eric Greitens |
Vicky Hartzler |
Billy Long |
Mark McCloskey |
Dave Schatz |
Eric Schmitt |
Other [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[81] | July 21 – 24, 2022 | July 26, 2022 | 19.0% | 24.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 33.0% | 9.0% | Schmitt +8.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens |
Vicky Hartzler |
Billy Long |
Mark McCloskey |
Dave Schatz |
Eric Schmitt |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[82] | July 31 – August 1, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 21% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 34% | – | 15% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[83][A] | July 27–28, 2022 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 18% | 22% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 34% | 2% | 8% |
| co/efficient (R)[84][B] | July 27, 2022 | 891 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 17% | 16% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – |
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 787 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 28% | 4% | 21% |
| Emerson College[86] | July 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 16% | 21% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 33% | 1%[c] | 17% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[87][A] | July 23–24, 2022 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 32% | – | 10% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[88] | July 22–24, 2022 | 1,059 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 20% | 24% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 27% | – | 16% |
| The Tarrance Group (R)[89][C] | July 5–7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 16% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 28% | – | 18% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[90] | June 28–30, 2022 | 1,072 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 24% | 24% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 23% | – | 17% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[91][A] | June 22–23, 2022 | 911 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 25% | – | 21% |
| Emerson College[92] | June 2–5, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 20% | 1%[d] | 27% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[93] | May 16–18, 2022 | 1,065 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 26% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 19% | – | 17% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 642 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 26% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 17% | 7%[e] | 28% |
| Remington Research (R)[95][D] | May 11–12, 2022 | 945 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 21% | 23% | – | – | – | 29% | 10% | 17% |
| co/efficient (R)[96][E] | May 2–4, 2022 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 14% | – | 27% |
| NMB Research (R)[97][F] | April 6–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 23% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 25% | 20% | – |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[98][G] | April 4–6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 22% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 16% | – | 21% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[99] | March 24–29, 2022 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 24% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 22% | – | 16% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[100][A] | March 22–23, 2022 | 941 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 21% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 24% | – | 19% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[101] | February 22–24, 2022 | 1,026 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 17% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 3% | 15% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[102][A] | February 16–17, 2022 | 917 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 25% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 22% | – | 20% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[103][A] | January 26–27, 2022 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 28% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 23% | – | 17% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[98][G] | January 2022 | – (LV) | – | 30% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 16% | – | 23% |
| CMA Strategies (R)[104][H] | January 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 15% | – | 36% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[105][A] | December 1–2, 2021 | 744 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 27% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 24% | – | 19% |
| NMB Research (R)[97][F] | December 2021 | – (LV) | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 49% | – |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[106][A] | October 20–21, 2021 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 27% | 19% | 8% | 4% | – | 25% | – | 17% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[107][E] | October 3–5, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 4% | – | 17% | 1%[f] | 25% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[108][A] | September 8–9, 2021 | 847 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 27% | 17% | 8% | 5% | – | 28% | – | 15% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[109][A] | August 4–5, 2021 | 911 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 13% | 12% | 9% | – | 24% | – | 15% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[110][A] | June 9–10, 2021 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 14% | – | 7% | – | 25% | – | 20% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[111][A] | March 24–25, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | – | 14% | – | – | 30% | – | 20% |
| 40% | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt |
John Brunner |
Eric Greitens |
Vicky Hartzler |
Billy Long |
Eric Schmitt |
Jason Smith |
Ann Wagner |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[111][A] | March 24–25, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | – | 2% | 31% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 14% |
| – | 10% | 38% | – | – | 30% | – | – | 22% | ||||
| – | – | 36% | – | – | 29% | 16% | – | 19% | ||||
| – | – | 38% | – | – | 26% | – | 18% | 18% | ||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[112][E] | March 23–25, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | – | 48% | – | – | 11% | 7% | 9% | 26% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[113][A] | December 2–3, 2020 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 25% |
Results
edit
Schmitt
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Hartzler
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
Greitens
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eric Schmitt | 299,282 | 45.6 | |
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler | 144,903 | 22.1 | |
| Republican | Eric Greitens | 124,155 | 18.9 | |
| Republican | Billy Long | 32,603 | 5.0 | |
| Republican | Mark McCloskey | 19,540 | 3.0 | |
| Republican | Dave Schatz | 7,509 | 1.1 | |
| Republican | Patrick A. Lewis | 6,085 | 0.9 | |
| Republican | Curtis D. Vaughn | 3,451 | 0.5 | |
| Republican | Eric McElroy | 2,805 | 0.4 | |
| Republican | Robert Allen | 2,111 | 0.3 | |
| Republican | C. W. Gardner | 2,044 | 0.3 | |
| Republican | Dave Sims | 1,949 | 0.3 | |
| Republican | Bernie Mowinski | 1,602 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Deshon Porter | 1,574 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Darrell Leon McClanahan III | 1,139 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Rickey Joiner | 1,084 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Robert Olson | 1,081 | 0.2 | |
| Republican | Dennis Lee Chilton | 755 | 0.1 | |
| Republican | Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr. | 685 | 0.1 | |
| Republican | Kevin C. Schepers | 681 | 0.1 | |
| Republican | Hartford Tunnell | 637 | 0.1 | |
| Total votes | 655,675 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
edit
.jpg)
As the Democratic primary season progressed, three main contenders emerged: Lucas Kunce, director of national security at the American Economic Liberties Project; Spencer Toder, a businessman; and Trudy Busch Valentine, heiress of the Anheuser-Busch brewing company.[114] Kunce and Toder both campaigned as anti-establishment populists, whereas Valentine campaigned in a staid manner with few public appearances.[114]
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Trudy Busch Valentine, retired nurse, businesswoman, activist, and daughter of beer magnate August Busch Jr.[115]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Ron Harris, truck driver, U.S. Air Force veteran, and perennial candidate[24][25]
- Jewel Kelly, real estate agent and U.S. Air Force veteran[116]
- Pat Kelly, environmental engineer and patent attorney[24]
- Lucas Kunce, national security director of the American Economic Liberties Project and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer[117]
- Lewis Rolen, medical operational assistant[23][25]
- Gena Ross, college professor and nominee for Missouri's 6th congressional district in 2020[118][119]
- Josh Shipp, physical therapy technician and candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018[23][25]
- Clay Taylor[24]
- Spencer Toder, entrepreneur[116]
- Carla Coffee Wright, businesswoman, actress, and perennial candidate[120]
Withdrew
edit- Tim Shepard, tech entrepreneur (endorsed Valentine)[121][122]
- Scott Sifton, former state senator (2013–2021) (endorsed Valentine)[123][115]
Declined
edit- Nicole Galloway, incumbent State Auditor of Missouri and nominee for Governor of Missouri in 2020[124]
- Jason Kander, former Secretary of State of Missouri (2013–17) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[125]
- Quinton Lucas, mayor of Kansas City (2019–present) (ran for re-election in 2023)[126][127][128]
- Claire McCaskill, former U.S. Senator[125]
- Jay Nixon, former governor of Missouri (2009–2017) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1988 and 1998[129]
- Brian Williams, state senator (2019–present) (ran for re-election)[125]
- Clint Zweifel, former Missouri State Treasurer (2009–2017)[125]
Endorsements
editLucas Kunce
U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present) and U.S. Representative for Vermont's at-large congressional district (1991–2007)[130]
U.S. Representatives
- Bill Clay, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 1st congressional district (1969–2001)[131]
State officials
- John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–2023), mayor of Braddock (2006–2019), and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania[132]
State legislators
- Rasheen Aldridge Jr., state representative for Missouri's 78th district (2019–2023)[133]
- Michael Johnson, state representative for Missouri's 23rd district (2021–present)[133]
- Wes Shoemyer, state senator for Missouri's 18th district (2007–2011) and state representative for Missouri's 9th district (2001–2007)[134]
Local officials
- Rita Heard Days, member of the St. Louis County Council (2019–present) and state senator (2003–2011)[134]
- Ella Jones, mayor of Ferguson (2020–present)[133]
- Tommie Pierson Sr., mayor of Bellefontaine Neighbors (2019–present) and state representative for Missouri's 66th district (2011–2017)[133]
- Katheryn Shields, member of the Kansas City, Missouri City Council (2015–present) and County Executive of Jackson County (1995–2007)[133]
Individuals
- Jon Hamm, actor[135]
- Stephanie Taylor, political activist, author, and co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee[136]
Organizations
- Indivisible St. Louis[137]
- League of Conservation Voters[138]
- MoveOn[134]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[136]
- VoteVets[139]
Newspapers and publications
Trudy Busch Valentine
U.S. Senators
- Jean Carnahan, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2001–2002) and First Lady of Missouri (1993–2000)[130]
U.S. Representatives
- Emanuel Cleaver, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 5th congressional district (2005–present) and mayor of Kansas City (1991–1999)[141]
- Dick Gephardt, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (1977–2005), House Minority Leader (1995–2003) and House Majority Leader (1989–1995)[133]
State officials
- Bob Holden, Governor of Missouri (2001–2005)[133]
State legislators
- Marlon Anderson, state representative for Missouri's 76th district (2021–present)[133]
- Lauren Arthur, state senator for Missouri's 17th district (2018–present) and state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2015–2018)[133]
- Ashley Aune, state representative for Missouri's 14th district (2021–present)[133]
- Donna Baringer, state representative for Missouri's 82nd district (2017–present)[133]
- Doug Beck, state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2021–present) and state representative for Missouri's 92nd district (2017–2021)[133]
- Steve Butz, state representative for Missouri's 81st district (2019–present)[133]
- Keri Ingle, state representative for Missouri's 35th district (2019–present)[133]
- Ian Mackey, state representative for Missouri's 99th district (2023–present) and 87th district (2019–2023)[133]
- Tracy McCreery, state senator for Missouri's 24th district and state representative for Missouri's 88th district (2015–2023) and 83rd district (2012–2013)[133]
- Wes Rogers, state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2019–present)[133]
- Jill Schupp, state senator for Missouri's 24th district (2015–2023) and nominee for Missouri's 2nd congressional district in 2020[133]
- Scott Sifton, state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2013–2021) and state representative for Missouri's 96th district (2011–2013)[115]
Local officials
- Charlie Dooley, St. Louis County Executive (2003–2015)[133]
- Tishaura Jones, mayor of St. Louis (2021–present)[142]
- Lyda Krewson, mayor of St. Louis (2017–2021)[133]
- Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis (2001–2017)[133]
Polling
editGraphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Lucas Kunce |
Spencer Toder |
Trudy Busch Valentine |
Carla "Coffee" Wright |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 547 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 14% | 3% | 40% | 6% | 9%[g] | 28% |
| Emerson College[86] | July 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 3% | 39% | 1% | 1%[h] | 22% |
| Triton Polling & Research (D)[143][I] | May 2022 | ~544 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 19% | 24% | 26% | – | – | 31% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 12%[i] | 63% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[144][J] | April 13–14, 2022 | 546 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 25% | – | 18% | – | – | 56% |
Results
edit
Busch Valentine
- <40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Kunce/Toder tie
- <40%
Kunce
- <40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Trudy Busch Valentine | 158,957 | 43.2 | |
| Democratic | Lucas Kunce | 141,203 | 38.3 | |
| Democratic | Spencer Toder | 17,465 | 4.7 | |
| Democratic | Carla Coffee Wright | 14,438 | 3.9 | |
| Democratic | Gena Ross | 8,749 | 2.4 | |
| Democratic | Jewel Kelly | 6,464 | 1.8 | |
| Democratic | Lewis Rolen | 5,247 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Pat Kelly | 5,002 | 1.4 | |
| Democratic | Ronald (Ron) William Harris | 4,074 | 1.1 | |
| Democratic | Josh Shipp | 3,334 | 0.9 | |
| Democratic | Clarence (Clay) Taylor | 3,322 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 368,255 | 100.0 | ||
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 2,973 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 2,973 | 100.0 | ||
Constitution primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Paul Venable, information technology consultant and nominee for Secretary of State in 2020[24]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constitution | Paul Venable | 792 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 792 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
editCandidates
editJohn Wood, a former Bush administration official and a January 6 Committee investigator, announced that he would run for the seat as an independent on June 29, but he withdrew from the race after former Missouri Governor Eric Greitens lost the Republican primary to Schmitt.[145][146]
Withdrew
edit- Thomas Schneider, former mayor of Florissant (2011–2019) (endorsed Schatz and Valentine)[147][148]
- John Wood, former senior counsel for the United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack and former U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri (2007–2009) and former General Counsel for the US Chamber of Commerce[145][146]
Missed ballot deadline
editGeneral election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| 538[150] | Solid R | November 7, 2022 |
| The Cook Political Report[151] | Solid R | November 7, 2022 |
| DDHQ[152] | Solid R | November 7, 2022 |
| The Economist[153] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
| Fox News[154] | Solid R | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[155] | Solid R | November 3, 2022 |
| Politico[156] | Likely R | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[157] | Likely R | November 5, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[158] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Debates
edit| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Constitution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee
W Withdrawn |
|||||||
| Eric Schmitt | Trudy Busch Valentine | Jonathan Dine | Paul Venable | ||||
| 1 | September 16, 2022 | Missouri Press Association[159] | David Lieb | A[j] | P | P | P |
Endorsements
editEric Schmitt (R)
Federal officials
- John Ashcroft, U.S. Attorney General (2001–2005), U.S. Senator from Missouri (1995–2001) and former governor of Missouri (1985–1993)[160]
- Kit Bond, U.S. Senator from Missouri (1987–2011) and former Governor of Missouri (1981–1985;1973–1977)[160]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2011–2023)[161]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) and candidate for president in 2016[69]
- Vicky Hartzler, U.S. representative for Missouri's 4th congressional district (2011–2023)[162]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[163]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011–present)[70]
- Robert C. O'Brien, U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021) and Special Envoy for Hostage Affairs (2019–2019)[71]
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, White House Press Secretary (2017–2019) and nominee for Governor of Arkansas in 2022[70]
- Jim Talent, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2002–2007) and U.S. Representative for Missouri's 2nd congressional district (1993–2001)[160]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)
- Matthew Whitaker, acting U.S. Attorney General (2018–2019), U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004–2009), nominee for Iowa State Treasurer in 2002, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[69]
State officials
- Jay Ashcroft, Secretary of State of Missouri (2017–present)[164]
- Scott Fitzpatrick, Treasurer of Missouri (2018–2023)[164]
- Mike Kehoe, Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (2018–present)[164]
- Mike Parson, Governor of Missouri (2018–present)[164]
- Winsome Sears, Lieutenant Governor of Virginia (2022–present)[72]
State legislators
- Cyndi Buchheit-Courtway, state representative for Missouri's 115th district (2021–present)[73]
- Cindy O'Laughlin, state senator for Missouri's 18th district (2018–present)[73]
Newspapers
- The Missouri Times[165]
Individuals
- Dana Loesch, radio and TV host[69]
- Rex Sinquefield, philanthropist and President of the Show-Me Institute[74]
Organizations
- Americans for Prosperity Action[75]
- FreedomWorks For America[166]
- Gun Owners of America[76]
- Missouri Farm Bureau[167]
- Missouri Fraternal Order of Police[77]
- National Federation of Independent Business – Missouri[168]
- National Right to Life Committee[169]
- National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund[170][169]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[78]
- Tea Party Express[79]
Trudy Busch Valentine (D)
U.S. Senators
- Jean Carnahan, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2001–2002) and First Lady of Missouri (1993–2000)[130]
U.S. Representatives
- Emanuel Cleaver, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 5th congressional district (2005–present) and mayor of Kansas City (1991–1999)[141]
- Dick Gephardt, U.S. Representative from Missouri's 3rd congressional district (1977–2005), House Minority Leader (1995–2003) and House Majority Leader (1989–1995)[133]
State officials
- Bob Holden, Governor of Missouri (2001–2005)[133]
State legislators
- Marlon Anderson, state representative for Missouri's 76th district (2021–present)[133]
- Lauren Arthur, state senator for Missouri's 17th district (2018–present) and state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2015–2018)[133]
- Ashley Aune, state representative for Missouri's 14th district (2021–present)[133]
- Donna Baringer, state representative for Missouri's 82nd district (2017–present)[133]
- Doug Beck, state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2021–present) and state representative for Missouri's 92nd district (2017–2021)[133]
- Steve Butz, state representative for Missouri's 81st district (2019–present)[133]
- Keri Ingle, state representative for Missouri's 35th district (2019–present)[133]
- Ian Mackey, state representative for Missouri's 87th district (2019–present)[133]
- Tracy McCreery, state representative for Missouri's 88th district (2015–present) and 83rd district (2012–2013)[133]
- Wes Rogers, state representative for Missouri's 18th district (2019–present)[133]
- Jill Schupp, state senator for Missouri's 24th district (2015–present) and nominee for Missouri's 2nd congressional district in 2020[133]
- Scott Sifton, state senator for Missouri's 1st district (2013–2021) and state representative for Missouri's 96th district (2011–2013)[115]
Local officials
- Charlie Dooley, St. Louis County Executive (2003–2015)[133]
- Tishaura Jones, mayor of St. Louis (2021–present)[142]
- Lyda Krewson, mayor of St. Louis (2017–2021)[133]
- Francis Slay, mayor of St. Louis (2001–2017)[133]
Organizations
- Human Rights Campaign[171]
- National Education Association[172]
- National Women's Political Caucus[173]
- Sierra Club[174]
Newspapers
John Wood (I) (withdrawn)
Federal officials
- John Danforth, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2004–2005) and U.S. Senator from Missouri (1976–1995)[176][177] (Republican)
Polling
editAggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Trudy Busch Valentine (D) |
Undecided [k] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[178] | October 24 – November 1, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | 52.0% | 41.3% | 6.7% | Schmitt +10.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight[179] | May 15 – November 4, 2022 | November 4, 2022 | 53.1% | 41.9% | 5.0% | Schmitt +11.2 |
| 270towin[180] | October 29 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 52.0% | 40.8% | 7.2% | Schmitt +11.2 |
| Average | 52.4% | 41.3% | 6.3% | Schmitt +11.0 | ||
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Trudy Busch Valentine (D) |
John Wood (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[181] | November 4–7, 2022 | 746 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 55% | 40% | – | 4%[l] | 2% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[182] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 53% | 42% | – | 2%[m] | 2% |
| SurveyUSA[183] | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 791 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 41% | – | 3%[n] | 6% |
| Emerson College[184] | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 40% | – | 5%[o] | – |
| 51% | 39% | – | 4%[p] | 6% | ||||
| Remington Research (R)[185][A] | October 24–25, 2022 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 3%[q] | 4% |
| Emerson College[186] | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (VLV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 38% | – | 3% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA[187] | September 14–18, 2022 | 670 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 36% | – | 4% | 14% |
| Remington Research (R)[188][A] | August 24–25, 2022 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | – | 2%[r] | 7% |
| Wood withdraws from the race[146] | ||||||||
| YouGov/SLU[189] | August 8–16, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 49% | 38% | – | 5% | 8% |
| 44% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 13% | ||||
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,591 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 30% | 9% | 6% | 18% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 34% | – | – | 19% |
| Remington Research (R)[190][A] | April 27–28, 2022 | 986 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 32% | – | – | 18% |
Hypothetical polling
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Lucas Kunce (D) |
John Wood (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,591 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 26% | 13% | 10% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 36% | – | – | 22% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[191] | March 9–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | – | – | 9% |
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 34% | 26% | – | – | 40% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[193][E] | October 3–4, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | – | – | 13% |
Eric Greitens vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Trudy Busch Valentine (D) |
John Wood (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,591 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 31% | 10% | 8% | 20% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 37% | – | – | 20% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[194][A] | April 27–28, 2022 | 986 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | – | – | 17% |
Vicky Hartzler vs. Lucas Kunce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Vicky Hartzler (R) |
Lucas Kunce (D) |
John Wood (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,591 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 25% | 12% | 9% | 20% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 31% | – | – | 24% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[191] | March 9–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 39% | – | – | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 23% | 16% | – | – | 61% |
Vicky Hartzler vs. Trudy Busch Valentine
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Vicky Hartzler (R) |
Trudy Busch Valentine (D) |
John Wood (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,591 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 31% | 9% | 7% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 33% | – | – | 23% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[194][A] | April 27–28, 2022 | 986 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 33% | – | – | 18% |
Billy Long vs. Lucas Kunce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Billy Long (R) |
Lucas Kunce (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 16% | 17% | 67% |
Eric Schmitt vs. Lucas Kunce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Lucas Kunce (D) |
John Wood (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[85] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,591 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 27% | 10% | 6% | 20% |
| SurveyUSA[94] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 34% | – | – | 19% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[191] | March 9–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 40% | – | – | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 28% | 23% | – | – | 49% |
Eric Greitens vs. Lucas Kunce vs. generic independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Lucas Kunce (D) |
Generic Independent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendixen & Amandi International (SAM)[195][K] | February 2–6, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% |
Eric Greitens vs. Jay Nixon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[196][A] | July 14–15, 2021 | 922 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Eric Greitens vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[191] | March 9–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[193][E] | October 3–4, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[198][A] | February 17–18, 2021 | 954 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Eric Greitens vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Greitens (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[199][L] | November 16–18, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[193][E] | October 3–4, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Vicky Hartzler vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Vicky Hartzler (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[191] | March 9–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 37% | 6% |
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 22% | 17% | 61% |
Billy Long vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Billy Long (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 13% | 12% | 75% |
Eric Schmitt vs. Jay Nixon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Jay Nixon (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
Eric Schmitt vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Eric Schmitt (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[191] | March 9–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
| co/efficient (R)[192][B] | December 16–17, 2021 | 1,210 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 23% | 18% | 60% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[197][A] | April 7–8, 2021 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Roy Blunt vs. Jason Kander
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt (R) |
Jason Kander (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D)[200][M] | January 10–12, 2021 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 44% | 12% |
Roy Blunt vs. Scott Sifton
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Roy Blunt (R) |
Scott Sifton (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[198][A] | February 17–18, 2021 | 954 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout[201][A] | January 6–7, 2021 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Results
edit
Schmitt prevailed over Valentine on Election Day.[202]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Eric Schmitt | 1,146,966 | 55.43% | +6.25% | |
| Democratic | Trudy Busch Valentine | 872,694 | 42.18% | −4.21% | |
| Libertarian | Jonathan Dine | 34,821 | 1.68% | −0.74% | |
| Constitution | Paul Venable | 14,608 | 0.71% | −0.20% | |
| Write-in | 41 | 0.00% | −0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 2,069,130 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Clay (Largest city: Kansas City[s])
- Platte (Largest city: Kansas City[s])
By congressional district
editSchmitt won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[204]
| District | Schmitt | Busch Valentine | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 20% | 79% | Cori Bush |
| 2nd | 51% | 48% | Ann Wagner |
| 3rd | 59% | 38% | Blaine Luetkemeyer |
| 4th | 66% | 31% | Vicky Hartzler (117th Congress) |
| Mark Alford (118th Congress) | |||
| 5th | 35% | 62% | Emanuel Cleaver |
| 6th | 65% | 32% | Sam Graves |
| 7th | 68% | 29% | Billy Long (117th Congress) |
| Eric Burlison (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 73% | 24% | Jason Smith |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Gardner and Tunnell with 1%; Allen, Breyfogle, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, and Sims with 0%
- ^ McElroy, Joiner, and Vaughn with 0%
- ^ Allen, Joiner, Lewis, McClanahan, McElroy, Schepers, and Sims with 1%; Breyfogle, Chilton, Gardner, Mowinski, Olson, Porter, Tunnell, and Vaughn with 0%
- ^ Deets with 1%; Brinkmann and Porter with 0%
- ^ Jewel Kelly, Ross, and all other candidates combined with 3%
- ^ Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Rolen, Ross, Shipp, and Taylor with 0%
- ^ Harris, Jewel Kelly, Pat Kelly, Ross, and Taylor with 2%; Rolen and Shipp with 1%
- ^ Schmitt was invited to the debate, but declined to attend
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ Dine (L) with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Dine (L) with 3%; Venable (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Dine (L) with 2%; Venable (C) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Dine with 2% and Venable with 1%
- ^ Dine and Venable with 1%
- ^ a b Most of the city lies within Jackson County, with portions spilling into Clay, Cass, and Platte counties.
Partisan clients
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa Non-partisan poll conducted for the local non-partisan tipsheet Missouri Scout
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll conducted for Missouri First Action, which supports Greitens
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Show Me Values PAC, which opposes Greitens
- ^ Poll conducted for an undisclosed private client
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Eric Greitens's campaign
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Protect Missouri Values PAC, which supports Schmitt
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Vicky Hartzler's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for the Missouri Chamber Political Institute
- ^ This poll was conducted for Toder's campaign.
- ^ This poll was conducted for Kunce's campaign.
- ^ Poll conducted for the Serve America Movement
- ^ Poll conducted for Team PAC, which supports Greitens
- ^ Poll conducted for MoveOn
References
edit- ^ Ballentine, Summer; Salter, Jim (March 8, 2021). "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt of Missouri won't seek reelection in 2022". Associated Press. Archived from the original on March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
- ^ "Grietens Leads Field But Anyone's Game – Emory for CE-4 – Schroer PAC Gets $200K – Hallway on US Senate and more..." Missouri Scout. June 12, 2021. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
- ^ a b "GOP Rep. Vicky Hartzler launches Missouri Senate bid". The Hill. June 10, 2021.
- ^ a b Bowman, Bridget (August 3, 2021). "GOP Rep. Billy Long joins Missouri Senate race". Roll Call. Archived from the original on August 4, 2021. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
- ^ "Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt". Missouri Independent. March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
- ^ a b "GOP Missouri Attorney General Schmitt running for US Senate". ABC News. Retrieved July 18, 2021.
- ^ Keller, Rudi (July 28, 2022). "After months of wavering, Schmitt comes out against McConnell days before Senate primary". Missouri Independent. Retrieved August 8, 2022.
- ^ Adamson, Natalie (February 13, 2022). "Senate ad slams transgender athletes 'pretending to be women'". Politico. Retrieved February 14, 2022.
- ^ a b Allison, Natalie (February 16, 2022). "Missouri Senate poll alarms GOP". POLITICO. Retrieved February 16, 2022.
- ^ Trump says he won't endorse Vicky Hartzler, calls Eric Greitens 'smart' and 'tough', Yahoo News, Jason Hancock, July 9, 2022. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
- ^ Forgey, Quint (April 19, 2021). "Kimberly Guilfoyle joins Greitens' Senate campaign as national chair". Politico. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
- ^ a b c Isenstadt, Alex (July 6, 2021). "GOP megadonor bankrolling super PAC for Eric Greitens". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
- ^ a b c Alex Isenstadt, Inside the secret, yearlong campaign to torpedo Eric Greitens' attempted comeback, Politico (august 2, 2022).
- ^ a b c David Weigel, Trump endorses 'ERIC' in Missouri primary, a name shared by rivals, Washington Post (August 1, 2022).
- ^ Bacharier, Galen (February 12, 2022). "Josh Hawley endorses Vicky Hartzler for Missouri's open U.S. Senate seat". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved February 12, 2022.
- ^ Carolan, Kelsey (March 21, 2022). "Hawley says Greitens should drop out of Senate race amid abuse allegations". The Hill. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
- ^ Isenstadt, Alex (June 23, 2022). "Republicans launch super PAC to stop Greitens in Missouri". POLITICO. Retrieved July 17, 2022.
- ^ "Anti-Greitens group spends big in Missouri Senate primary". NBC News. July 26, 2022.
- ^ Martin Pengelly, Donald Trump endorses 'Eric' in Missouri primary – but which one?, The Guardian (August 2, 2022).
- ^ a b c d e "Primary Election August 2, 2022" (PDF). Retrieved August 26, 2022.
- ^ "Eric Schmitt joins Missouri race for U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Roy Blunt • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
- ^ "Senate: Missouri Primary Results (R)". CNN. August 2, 2022. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Filing begins for primary election". Sedalia Democrat. February 23, 2022. Retrieved February 23, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "SOS, Missouri - Elections: Offices Filed in Candidate Filing". s1.sos.mo.gov. Retrieved March 29, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Politics1 - Online Guide to Missouri Elections, Candidates & Politics".
- ^ Held, Kevin S. (March 22, 2021). "Eric Greitens announces Senate bid for Blunt's seat". KTV (FOX 2). Archived from the original on March 23, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- ^ "Wellsville resident Patrick Lewis to run for U.S. Senator". April 8, 2022. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
- ^ "Missouri GOP Candidate for Governor Was Only 'Honorary' KKK Member". Riverfront Times. February 29, 2024. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
- ^ "Mark McCloskey announces candidacy for US Senate". FOX 2. May 18, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "Congressional candidate Dan McQueen visits Saline County". The Marshall Democrat-News. June 16, 2021. Archived from the original on April 7, 2022. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (November 16, 2021). "Dave Schatz jumps into US Senate race". The Missouri Times. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
- ^ Sims, Dave (June 29, 2021). "Dave Sims Announcement". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
- ^ "Rik Combs announces candidacy for US Senate". News Tribune. March 12, 2021. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
- ^ Barmeier, Elizabeth (December 14, 2021). "Who is running for U.S. Senate in Missouri". fox4kc.com. WDAF-TV. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
- ^ Becket, Stefan (March 8, 2021). "GOP Senator Roy Blunt won't run for reelection in 2022". CBS News. Retrieved March 8, 2021 – via MSN.
- ^ "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". AP News. April 20, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- ^ Lowry, Bryan (May 3, 2021). "He was mayor of a Texas city for 37 days. Now he wants to be Missouri's next senator". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- ^ "Qualified Candidates". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
- ^ Axelrod, Tal (March 10, 2021). "Ashcroft declines run to replace Blunt in Missouri". The Hill. Archived from the original on March 10, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (March 8, 2021). "Roy Blunt is out. So who's in? A list of possible Missouri GOP senate candidates • Missouri Independent". Missouri Independent. Archived from the original on March 10, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- ^ "Missouri Treasurer Scott Fitzpatrick On 2022 Effort To Expand His Office's Investment Options". St. Louis Public Radio. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
- ^ Huguelet, Austin (March 25, 2021). "Springfield native, former US Attorney Tim Garrison says he won't run for Senate". The Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
- ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (March 22, 2021). "Kehoe announces 2024 gubernatorial run, forgoing US Senate bid". The Missouri Times. Archived from the original on March 22, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- ^ "Missouri Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe won't pursue Senate but will run for governor in 2024". March 22, 2021.
- ^ a b Long, Jeff (March 10, 2021). "After Roy Blunt: Local politicians react to senator's retirement". The Southeast Missourian. Archived from the original on March 24, 2021. Retrieved March 23, 2021.
- ^ Rogger, John (June 13, 2021). "Representative Luetkemeyer Will Not Run For Open Senate Seat". KRMS. Archived from the original on June 27, 2021. Retrieved June 15, 2021.
- ^ Erickson, Kurt (March 11, 2021). "Gov. Parson won't seek Blunt's seat in U.S. Senate". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Archived from the original on March 18, 2021. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
- ^ Suntrup, Jack (March 8, 2021). "Sen. Roy Blunt says he won't run next year, potentially clearing way crowded GOP primary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Archived from the original on December 5, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- ^ "House lawmaker to forgo Senate bid in hope of claiming Ways and Means gavel". WPSD Local 6. February 9, 2022. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
- ^ Gerber, Cameron (April 26, 2021). "Wagner on possible US Senate run: 'We're taking a look at it'". The Missouri Times. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
- ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (August 3, 2021). "Ann Wagner running for re-election to Missouri's 2nd congressional district". The Missouri Times. Retrieved August 3, 2021.
- ^ Caputo, Marc (August 1, 2022). "Trump baffles GOP by endorsing 'Eric' in the Missouri Senate primary — a race with three Erics". NBC News. Retrieved August 2, 2022.
- ^ Folmar, Chloe (August 1, 2022). "Trump endorsement of 'Eric' in Missouri triggers confusion". The Hill. Retrieved August 2, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Tyler Olson (March 29, 2021). "Ex-Missouri Gov. Eric Greitens back in arena as pro-Trump Senate candidate, aims to replace retiring Blunt". FoxNews.
- ^ Cameron Gerber (September 16, 2021). "Greitens endorsed by Michael Flynn". TheMissouriTimes.
- ^ Grace Segers (March 24, 2021). "2 staunch Trump allies launch Senate bids in Missouri and Alabama". CBS.
- ^ Gabby Orr; Alex Rodgers. "Kimberly Guilfoyle joins Eric Greitens' US Senate campaign in Missouri". CNN.
- ^ a b Sirota, Sara (January 21, 2022). "How the Leading Republican Candidate for Missouri Senate Seat Lost Koch Support". The Intercept. Retrieved February 4, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: Eric Greitens for United States Senate (Missouri)". nyyrc.com. New York Young Republican Club. April 14, 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Hartzler touts education battle in new US Senate ad". themissouritimes.com. December 2021. Retrieved July 26, 2022.
- ^ Turner, Kelton (April 4, 2022). "Former Senator Kit Bond Endorses Vicky Hartzler for Senate". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
- ^ Bacharier, Galen (February 12, 2022). "Josh Hawley endorses Vicky Hartzler for Missouri's open U.S. Senate seat". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved February 12, 2022.
- ^ Schmidt, Heidi (March 10, 2022). "Hartzler picks up endorsement from Kansas Senator". Fox 4 Kansas City. Retrieved March 10, 2022.
- ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (January 20, 2022). "Hartzler endorsed by Eric Metaxas". The Missouri Times. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
- ^ "Hartzler endorsed by PAC supporting Republican women for federal office". themissouritimes.com. November 30, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
- ^ Turner, Kelton (April 7, 2022). "Missouri Cattlemen's Association makes wave of primary endorsements". The Missouri Times. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
- ^ Turner, Kelton (June 28, 2022). "Farm Bureau gets involved in federal and state races". The Missouri Times. Retrieved June 29, 2022.
- ^ "SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses Vicky Hartzler for U.S. Senate". sbaprolife.org. February 22, 2022. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f "Schmitt endorsed by Cruz for US Senate". themissouritimes.com. February 16, 2022. Retrieved February 16, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Missouri GOP Senate showdown: Sarah Sanders endorses Eric Schmitt with week until primary". foxnews.com. July 24, 2022. Retrieved July 26, 2022.
- ^ a b "Robert C. O'Brien endorses Eric Schmitt for Senate". The Missouri Times. April 13, 2022. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- ^ a b Diaz, Marina (August 2, 2022). "Schmitt touts his lead in some polls ahead of Republican Senate primary". ABC17News. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "'Women for Schmitt' group includes Kay Hoflander, Cindy O'Laughlin". themissouritimes.com. May 4, 2022. Retrieved July 30, 2022.
- ^ a b "Missouri Attorney General Eric Schmitt enters race for U.S. Senate seat". bizjournals.com. Retrieved March 24, 2021.
- ^ a b "Eric Schmitt endorsed by AFP Action". themissouritimes.com. November 17, 2021. Retrieved November 17, 2021.
- ^ a b "Gun Owners of America endorses Eric Schmitt for U.S. Senate". July 1, 2022. Retrieved July 30, 2022.
- ^ a b "Missouri Police back Schmitt for Senate". themissouritimes.com. April 22, 2022. Retrieved July 30, 2022.
- ^ a b "Support Eric Schmitt". Senate Conservative Fund. April 7, 2022. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
- ^ a b "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Eric Schmitt for Senate in Missouri". Tea Party Express. July 29, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
- ^ Bacharier, Galen. "Missouri's Republican U.S. Senate candidates set to debate in Springfield this week". Springfield News-Leader. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ^ Real Clear Politics
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ co/efficient (R)
- ^ a b c d e f g h SurveyUSA
- ^ a b Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ The Tarrance Group (R)
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ a b c d e f g h SurveyUSA
- ^ Remington Research (R)
- ^ co/efficient (R)
- ^ a b NMB Research (R)
- ^ a b OnMessage Inc. (R)
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ CMA Strategies (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Fabrizio Lee (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b Skipworth, William (July 18, 2022). "Kunce tops polls for Democratic primary for US Senate". E Missourian. Retrieved July 25, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Erickson, Kurt (March 28, 2022). "St. Louis beer heiress joining race for U.S. Senate". STLtoday.com. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
- ^ a b Suntrup, Jack (May 4, 2021). "St Louis startup owner and real estate broker joins list of Democrats running for US Senate". St. Louis Post Dispatch. Archived from the original on May 4, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
- ^ Robillard, Kevin (March 9, 2021). "Marine Veteran Launches Missouri Senate Bid After Roy Blunt Retirement". HuffPost. Archived from the original on March 9, 2021. Retrieved March 9, 2021.
- ^ Sharkey, Dennis (June 30, 2021). "Platte City resident files for U.S. Senate seat". The Platte County Citizen. Archived from the original on July 8, 2021. Retrieved July 8, 2021.
- ^ Newton, Ken (July 18, 2020). "Candidates line up to try to unseat congressman". News-Press Now. Retrieved July 31, 2020.
- ^ Keller, Rudi (February 22, 2022). "Missouri GOP Senate hopefuls trade jabs as candidate filing opens". Missouri Independent. Retrieved February 23, 2022.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (March 11, 2021). "Jay Nixon comeback? Democrats lining up for shot at open Missouri Senate seat". Missouri Independent. Archived from the original on March 11, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "Tim Shepard Endorses Trudy Busch Valentine". us8.campaign-archive.com. Retrieved March 29, 2022.
- ^ Ballentine, Summer (February 8, 2021). "Missouri state lawmaker to challenge US Sen. Roy Blunt". Associated Press. Archived from the original on February 8, 2021. Retrieved February 10, 2021.
- ^ Hancock, Jason (June 4, 2021). "Missouri Auditor Nicole Galloway announces she won't run for re-election in 2022". Missouri Independent. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Gomez, Henry J. (May 6, 2021). "Democrats eye a comeback in Missouri, where post-Trump turmoil on display". NBC News. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
- ^ Wilson, Reid (May 12, 2021). "Kansas City's Democratic mayor eyes Senate run". The Hill. Retrieved May 12, 2021.
- ^ Dulle, Brian (January 5, 2022). "Quinton Lucas announces run for re-election as Kansas City mayor in 2023". FOX 4. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
- ^ Lukitsch, Bill; Stark, Cortlynn (January 5, 2022). "KC Mayor Lucas, considered a potential Senate candidate, plans to run for mayor again". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
- ^ Suntrup, Jack (July 29, 2021). "Former Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon says he isn't running for U.S. Senate next year". STLtoday.com. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
- ^ a b c Desrochers, Daniel (August 1, 2022). "Bernie Sanders endorses Lucas Kunce on eve of Missouri Democratic primary for U.S. Senate". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved August 1, 2022.
- ^ Suntrup, Jack (July 20, 2022). "Bill Clay Sr. backs Democrat Lucas Kunce for US Senate in Aug. 2 primary". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ Ackley, Kate; McIntire, Mary; Akin, Stephanie (July 28, 2022). "At the Races: Pick your 'R' word". Roll Call. Retrieved July 29, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak Suntrup, Jack (June 2, 2022). "Big-name Missouri Democrats line up behind Trudy Busch Valentine in Senate race". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved June 12, 2022.
- ^ a b c "MOScout Daily Update: Parson Vetoes Cody Cash - Ag Bill Veto Today? - New Bruce Ad - Kunce Endorsements and more..." July 1, 2022.
- ^ Holleman, Joe (July 19, 2022). "Jon Hamm showing up (virtually) for US Senate hopeful Lucas Kunce". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved July 21, 2022.
- ^ a b Axelrod, Tal (March 9, 2021). "Democratic Marine veteran jumps into Missouri Senate race after Blunt retirement". The Hill. Retrieved July 21, 2022.
- ^ "Indivisible St. Louis Endorses Lucas Kunce". suntimesnews.com. June 14, 2022. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Non-Incumbent Senate Endorsements". www.lcv.org. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
- ^ Schallhorn, Kaitlyn (September 7, 2021). "VoteVets backs Lucas Kunce in Missouri Senate race". TheMissouriTimes. Retrieved September 11, 2021.
- ^ "Editorial: We recommend Lucas Kunce in Missouri Democratic primary for U.S. Senate". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. July 25, 2022. Retrieved July 27, 2022.
- ^ a b Desrochers, Daniel (June 2, 2022). "Cleaver backs Busch Valentine in Democratic primary for U.S. Senate as Greitens leads GOP". Kansas City Star.
- ^ a b "Tishaura Jones endorses Trudy Busch Valentine for US Senate". July 27, 2022.
- ^ Triton Polling & Research (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ a b Gans, Jared (June 29, 2022). "Former Jan. 6 committee counsel running for Senate in Missouri as independent". The Hill.
- ^ a b c Hancock, Jason (August 23, 2022). "Citing Greitens defeat, John Wood abandons independent run for U.S. Senate in Missouri". Missouri Independent. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
- ^ "Former mayor of Florissant to run as independent for vacant U.S. Senate seat". FOX 2. February 22, 2022. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
- ^ Schneider, Thomas P. (March 31, 2022). "Opinion: Schatz, Valentine care about Missouri's future". The Missouri Times. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
- ^ Reeves, J. C. (March 19, 2021). "Cape Girardeau's Seabaugh announces independent run at U.S. Senate seat". Southeast Missourian. Archived from the original on March 25, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- ^ Numa, Rémy (November 1, 2022). "Fox News Power Rankings: Republicans expected to control House, but both parties hold on to pathways in Senate". Fox News. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "Missouri Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. March 6, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 6, 2022.
- ^ Suntrup, Jack (September 17, 2022). "Three US Senate candidates face questions at forum. Schmitt skips event". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Retrieved October 8, 2022.
- ^ a b c "Three Former GOP Missouri Senators Endorse Eric Schmitt". nationalreview.com. August 19, 2022. Retrieved August 20, 2022.
- ^ "Outgoing Missouri Sen. Roy Blunt endorses Eric Schmitt to replace him". August 18, 2022.
- ^ "Missouri Primary Election Update". missourinet.com. Retrieved August 2, 2022.
- ^ Joey Schneider (July 13, 2022). "Hawley on Schmitt: 'I absolutely endorse him'". Fox2now.com. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Missouri State-Wide Republican Office-Holders Endorse Schmitt for U.S. Senate". missouri.gop. August 22, 2022. Retrieved August 22, 2022.
- ^ "Press Release: Eric Schmitt receives Missouri Prosper endorsement". themissouritimes.com. August 31, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
- ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Eric Schmitt in Missouri U.S. Senate Race". August 3, 2022. Retrieved August 11, 2022.
- ^ "Farm Bureau endorses Schmitt for Senate". August 30, 2022. Retrieved August 31, 2022.
- ^ "Eric Schmitt picks up endorsement in O'Fallon, Missouri". www.fox2now.com. September 22, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
- ^ a b "Eric Schmitt's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
- ^ "NRA-PVF - Grades - Missouri". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Trudy Busch Valentine for U.S. Senate". September 8, 2022.
- ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". nea.org.
- ^ "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org.
- ^ "The Star editorial board's recommendations for Missouri and Kansas midterm elections". The Kansas City Star. October 31, 2022. Retrieved October 31, 2022.
- ^ "Jack Danforth backing independent campaign for US Senate". KSDK. June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Jan. 6 committee counsel leaving to explore run for U.S. Senate in Missouri". The Washington Post. June 22, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ RealClearPolitics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ 270towin
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Remington Research (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Remington Research (R)
- ^ YouGov/SLU
- ^ Remington Research (R)
- ^ a b c d e f The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ a b c d e f g h i co/efficient (R)
- ^ a b c Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ a b Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ Bendixen & Amandi International (SAM)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b c d Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ a b Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ WPA Intelligence (R)
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout
- ^ "Republican Eric Schmitt Wins Missouri Senate Race". sg.news.yahoo.com. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ "General Election November 8, 2022" (PDF). Missouri Secretary of State.
- ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
External links
editOfficial campaign websites