2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election
The 2022 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Superintendent of Public Instruction of Arizona. Incumbent Democratic Superintendent Kathy Hoffman was defeated in her run for a second term by former Republican Attorney General Tom Horne.[1] Significantly, Horne's win marked the first time in the state's history that a Republican won a statewide race without winning Maricopa County, home to 62% of the state's population and a former Republican stronghold; the only other statewide 2022 Republican candidate to win that year, Kimberly Yee, won her race by a wide margin partly by carrying Maricopa County.
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  Horne: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Hoffman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kathy Hoffman, incumbent superintendent[1]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 564,099 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 564,099 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Tom Horne, former superintendent and former Arizona Attorney General[3]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Shiry Sapir, real estate manager[4]
- Michelle Udall, state representative from the 25th district[5]
Did not file
editPolling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Tom Horne |
Shiry Sapir |
Michelle Udall |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | July 27–28, 2022 | 710 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 18% | 16% | 6% | 22% |
| OH Predictive Insights | July 27, 2022 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 21% | 14% | – | 44% |
| OH Predictive Insights | June 30 – July 2, 2022 | 515 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 18% | 7% | 9% | – | 66% |
| OH Predictive Insights | April 4–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 16% | 2% | 8% | 7%[b] | 67% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Horne | 321,208 | 41.92% | |
| Republican | Shiry Sapir | 256,286 | 33.45% | |
| Republican | Michelle Udall | 188,401 | 24.59% | |
| Write-in | 258 | 0.03% | ||
| Total votes | 766,153 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editEliminated in primary
edit- Sheila Reid-Shaver, Maricopa County precinct committeeman (write-in)[8]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Sheila Reid-Shaver (write-in) | 557 | 100.0% | |
| Total votes | 557 | 100.0% | ||
General election
editPolling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kathy Hoffman (D) |
Tom Horne (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Orbital (R) | November 4–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 49% | 2%[c] | 6% |
| HighGround Inc. | November 1–2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 46% | 1%[d] | 12% |
| Data Orbital (R) | October 17–19, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 45% | 2%[e] | 10% |
| HighGround Inc. | October 12–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 2%[f] | 14% |
Certified results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Horne | 1,255,977 | 50.17% | +1.73% | |
| Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 1,247,010 | 49.82% | −1.74% | |
| Republican | Patrick Finerd (write-in) | 213 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 2,503,200 | 100.0% | |||
Recount
editOn December 5, 2022, following election certification, Secretary of State Katie Hobbs petitioned the Maricopa County Superior Court to initiate a recount for the Superintendent of Public Instruction election.[10][11] On the same day, Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Timothy J. Thomason ordered for the recount to begin.[12] Although Hoffman had already conceded the election, the recount proceeded as the margin between the two candidates was 0.35%, which falls in the threshold to trigger an automatic recount.[9]
On December 29, Thomason announced the results of the recount, confirming Horne as the winner with an increased margin of 9,188 votes.[13]
Recount results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Horne | 1,256,406 | 50.13% | +1.69% | |
| Democratic | Kathy Hoffman (incumbent) | 1,247,218 | 49.76% | −1.80% | |
| Write-in | 2,900 | 0.12% | +0.12% | ||
| Total votes | 2,506,524 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By congressional district
editDespite losing the state, Hoffman won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[15]
| District | Hoffman | Horne | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 51% | 49% | David Schweikert |
| 2nd | 45% | 55% | Tom O'Halleran (117th Congress) |
| Eli Crane (118th Congress) | |||
| 3rd | 76% | 24% | Ruben Gallego |
| 4th | 56% | 44% | Greg Stanton |
| 5th | 43% | 57% | Andy Biggs |
| 6th | 51% | 49% | Ann Kirkpatrick (117th Congress) |
| Juan Ciscomani (118th Congress) | |||
| 7th | 66% | 34% | Raúl Grijalva |
| 8th | 44% | 56% | Debbie Lesko |
| 9th | 36% | 64% | Paul Gosar |
See also
editNotes
editReferences
edit- ^ a b "Superintendent Kathy Hoffman announces re-election campaign". AZFamily. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- ^ a b c Arizona Secretary of State (August 22, 2022). "State of Arizona Official Canvass – August 2, 2022, Primary Election" (PDF). Retrieved August 26, 2022.
- ^ Pitzl, Mary Jo (May 13, 2021). "Tom Horne seeks return as state schools chief, citing slipping standards amid equity debate". The Arizona Republic.
- ^ "Local Conservatives to Host Shiry Sapir, Candidate for State Superintendent of Public Instruction | Prescott eNews". September 23, 2021.
- ^ "Udall takes step in run for schools chief". October 9, 2021.
- ^ Pitzl, Mary Jo. "School administrator seeks GOP nod for state superintendent". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- ^ "HOME | Dr. Michael Trevillion for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction". Trevillion 4 AZ Supt. Retrieved May 13, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Primary Election". apps.azsos.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 General Election Statewide Canvass" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "Petition for Automatic Recount" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "Arizona Sec. of State Katie Hobbs gets recount process started for 3 races". KTAR News. December 5, 2022. Retrieved December 7, 2022.
- ^ "Order to Conduct Recount" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "CV2022-015915: Order Regarding Recount Results". Maricopa County Superior Court. December 29, 2022. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
- ^ "General Election Statewide Recount Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved December 29, 2022.
- ^ @DrewSav (July 30, 2023). "Here's the Superintendent race, which went from D+3 in 2018 to R+0.4 in 2022" (Tweet) – via Twitter.