2024 Indian general election in Jammu and Kashmir
(Redirected from Draft:Next Indian general election in Jammu and Kashmir)
The 2024 Indian general election was held in Indian-administered Jammu and Kashmir in 5 phases from 19 April to 20 May 2024 to elect 5 members of the 18th Lok Sabha.[1][2] The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Jammu and Kashmir National Conference (JKNC) won 2 seats each, with BJP winning the single largest share of the popular vote at 24.36% and JKNC coming second at 22.30%. One seat was won by an independent candidate.
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All 5 Jammu and Kashmir seats in the Lok Sabha | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 58.46% ( 18.10%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Seatwise Result Map of the 2024 general election in Jammu and Kashmir | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Election schedule
| Poll event | Phase | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I | II | III | IV | V | |
| Notification Date | 20 March | 28 March | 12 April | 18 April | 26 April |
| Last Date for filing nomination | 27 March | 4 April | 19 April | 25 April | 3 May |
| Scrutiny of nomination | 28 March | 5 April | 20 April | 26 April | 4 May |
| Last Date for withdrawal of nomination | 30 March | 8 April | 22 April | 29 April | 6 May |
| Date of poll | 19 April | 26 April | 25 May[a] | 13 May | 20 May |
| Date of counting of votes/Result | 4 June 2024 | ||||
| No. of constituencies | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Parties and alliances
| Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jammu & Kashmir National Conference | .svg) |
 |
Farooq Abdullah | 3 | |
| Indian National Congress |  |
 |
Raman Bhalla | 2 | |
| Total | 5 | ||||
| Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bharatiya Janata Party |  |
 |
Jitendra Singh | 2 | |
| Total | 2 | ||||
Others
| Party | Flag | Symbol | Leader | Contesting Seats | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jammu and Kashmir People's Democratic Party |  |
Mehbooba Mufti | 3 | ||
| Jammu and Kashmir National Panthers Party | TBD | 5 | |||
| Bahujan Samaj Party | 
|
|
TBD | 2 | |
| All India Forward Bloc | 2 | ||||
| Total | 12 | ||||
| Party | Symbol | Contesting Seats | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jammu and Kashmir Nationalist People's Front | 3 | ||
| National Loktantrik Party | 3 | ||
| Democratic Progressive Azad Party | 2 | ||
| Ekam Sanatan Bharat Dal | 2 | ||
| Jammu and Kashmir Apni Party | 2 | ||
| Jammu and Kashmir People's Conference | 2 | ||
| National Awami United Party | 2 | ||
| Bharat Jodo Party | 1 | ||
| Gana Suraksha Party | 1 | ||
| Garib Democratic Party | 1 | ||
| Hindustan Shakti Sena | 1 | ||
| National Youth Party | 1 | ||
| Rashtriya Jankranti Party | 1 | ||
| Total | 22 | ||
Candidates
| Constituency | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | |||||||||
| 1 | Baramulla | JKNC | Omar Abdullah[3] | JKPDP | Fayaz Ahmad Mir | DNC | ||||
| 2 | Srinagar | JKNC | Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi | JKPDP | Waheed Parra | |||||
| 3 | Anantnag–Rajouri | JKNC | Mian Altaf Ahmed Larvi | JKPDP | Mehbooba Mufti[3] | |||||
| 4 | Udhampur | INC | Chaudhary Lal Singh | DNC | BJP | Jitendra Singh | ||||
| 5 | Jammu | INC | Raman Bhalla | BJP | Jugal Kishore Sharma | |||||
Surveys and polls
Opinion polls
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | NDA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[4] | ±3-5% | 3 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[5] | ±5% | 3 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[6] | ±3-5% | 3 | 2 | 0 | INDIA |
| Times Now-ETG | December 2023 | ±3% | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| India TV-CNX | October 2023 | ±3% | 2 | 2 | 1 | Tie between INDIA and NDA |
| Times Now-ETG | September 2023 | ±3% | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| August 2023 | ±3% | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | INDIA |
| Polling agency | Date published | Margin of Error | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||||
| ABP News-CVoter | April 2024[7] | ±3-5% | 47% | 44.9% | 8.1% | 3.1 |
| ABP News-CVoter | March 2024[5] | ±5% | 41.4% | 51.5% | 7.1% | 10.1 |
| India Today-CVoter | February 2024[8] | ±3-5% | 49% | 36% | 15% | 13 |
Exit polls
| Polling agency | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | INDIA | Others | ||
| Actual Results | 2 | 2 | 1 | Tie |
Voter turnout
Constituencies in phases
| Constituency | Poll Date | Turnout | Swing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baramulla | 20 May 2024 | 59.10% | 24.60
|
| 2 | Srinagar | 13 May 2024 | 38.49% | 24.06
|
| 3 | Anantnag–Rajouri | 25 May 2024 | 55.40% | New |
| 4 | Udhampur | 19 April 2024 | 68.27% |  2.74
|
| 5 | Jammu | 26 April 2024 | 72.22% | 0.28
|
| Total | 58.58% | 18.1
| ||
Results
Results by alliance or party
| Alliance/ Party | Popular vote | Seats | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | +/− | ||||
| INDIA | JKNC | 11,39,084 | 22.30 | 14.09
|
3 | 2 | 1
| ||
| JKPDP | 4,33,049 | 8.48 | 4.91
|
3 | 0 | 
| |||
| INC | 9,90,182 | 19.38 | 9.92
|
2 | 0 |
| |||
| Total | 21,29,266 | 41.68 | 9.08
|
2+3/3 | 2 | 1
| |||
| NDA | BJP | 12,44,404 | 24.36 | 23.13
|
2 | 2 |
| ||
| Others | 31 | 0 |
| ||||||
| IND | 59 | 1 | 1
| ||||||
| NOTA | 34,249 | 0.67 |
|
||||||
| Total | 100% | - | 100 | 5 | - | ||||
Results by constituency
| Constituency | Turnout | Winner | Runner Up | Margin | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Alliance | Candidate | Votes | % | Party | Alliance | Candidate | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||||||
| 1 | Baramulla | 59.10%
|
Independent | Independent | Abdul Rashid Sheikh | 4,72,481 | 45.70% | JKNC | INDIA | Omar Abdullah | 2,68,339 | 25.95% | 2,04,142 | 19.75% | ||||
| 2 | Srinagar | 38.49%
|
JKNC | INDIA | Aga Syed Ruhullah Mehdi | 3,56,866 | 52.85% | JKPDP | INDIA | Waheed Para | 1,68,450 | 24.95% | 1,88,416 | 27.90% | ||||
| 3 | Anantnag–Rajouri | 55.40%
|
JKNC | INDIA | Mian Altaf Ahmed Larvi | 5,21,836 | 50.85% | JKPDP | INDIA | Mehbooba Mufti | 2,40,042 | 23.39% | 2,81,794 | 27.46% | ||||
| 4 | Udhampur | 68.27%
|
BJP | NDA | Jitendra Singh | 5,71,076 | 51.28% | INC | INDIA | Chaudhary Lal Singh | 4,46,703 | 40.11% | 1,24,373 | 11.17% | ||||
| 5 | Jammu | 72.22%
|
BJP | NDA | Jugal Kishore Sharma | 6,87,588 | 52.80% | INC | INDIA | Raman Bhalla | 5,52,090 | 42.40% | 1,35,498 | 10.40% | ||||
Assembly segments wise lead of Parties
Map needed
| Party | Assembly segments | Position in Assembly (as of 2024 election) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jammu & Kashmir National Conference | 36 | 42 | |
| Bharatiya Janata Party | 29 | 29 | |
| Indian National Congress | 7 | 6 | |
| Jammu and Kashmir Peoples Democratic Party | 5 | 3 | |
| Jammu and Kashmir People's Conference | 1 | 1 | |
| Others | 12 | 9 | |
| Total | 90 | ||
References
- ^ "With local body polls not in sight, J&K parties gear up for Lok Sabha 2024". Hindustan Times. 14 November 2023.
- ^ "J&K elections likely to held along with Lok Sabha polls next year". The Economic Times. 26 July 2023.
- ^ a b The Hindu (4 June 2024). "Kashmir election 2024: Omar Abdullah, Mehboba Mufti concede defeat in Jammu and Kashmir". Archived from the original on 4 June 2024. Retrieved 4 June 2024.
- ^ "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: In First Poll Since Article 370 Abrogation, Tight Contest Between NDA And I.N.D.I.A Alliance In J&K". ABP News. 16 April 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2024.
- ^ a b ABP News Bureau (12 March 2024). "I.N.D.I.A Alliance To Win 3 Out Of 5 Lok Sabha Seats In Jammu And Kashmir, Says Survey". news.abplive.com. Retrieved 17 March 2024.
- ^ "INDIA bloc likely to win 166 Lok Sabha seats and Congress 71, finds survey: What numbers say". Mint. 8 February 2024. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
- ^ "ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll: In First Poll Since Article 370 Abrogation, Tight Contest Between NDA And I.N.D.I.A Alliance In J&K". ABP News. 16 April 2024. Retrieved 18 April 2024.
- ^ Kalita, Karishma Saurabh (8 February 2024). "Mood for Jammu and Kashmir, 3 Lok Sabha seats for INDIA, 2 for NDA: Survey". India Today. Retrieved 2 April 2024.
- ^ Polling in Anantnag-Rajouri constituency in J&K was rescheduled from 7 May 2024 (Phase 3) to 25 May 2024 (Phase 6) due to weather conditions.