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Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian presidential election

(Redirected from Draft:Opinion polling for the 2022 Brazilian general election)

Since the 2018 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.

A Brazilian direct-recording electronic voting machine

The first round of the 2022 Brazilian general election took place on 2 October.[1] As no candidate reached a majority of the votes,[2] a second round was held on 30 October.[1]

First round

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The first round took place on 2 October 2022.[1]

Chart

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Local regression of polls conducted

Polling aggregation

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Aggregator Last update  
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Tebet
MDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
The Economist[3] 1 Oct 2022 38% 51% 5% 6% (N/A) (N/A) Lula +13
Veja[4] 1 Oct 2022 33.7% 44.7% 6.8% 4.7% (N/A) (N/A) Lula +11.0
Estadão[5] 1 Oct 2022 33% 47% 5% 6% 2% 7% Lula +14
CNN Brasil[6] 1 Oct 2022 34% 48% 5% 6% 2% 6% Lula +14
PollingData[7] 1 Oct 2022 37.5% 43.7% 5.1% 5.3% 1.9% 6.5% Lula +6.2
El País[8] 1 Oct 2022 35.3% 46.7% 6.0% 4.9% (N/A) (N/A) Lula +11.4
El Electoral[9] 1 Oct 2022 38.5% 48.5% 5.5% 5.0% (N/A) (N/A) Lula +10.0
Pollstergraph[10] 1 Oct 2022 37.1% 44.8% 5.6% 4.7% (N/A) (N/A) Lula +7.7

2022

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Jul–Oct

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Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Tebet
MDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Results 2 Oct Valid votes 43.2% 48.4% 3.0% 4.2% 1.2% (N/A) 5.2%
Total votes 41.3% 46.3% 2.9% 3.9% 1.1% 4.4% 5.0%
Datafolha[11] 30 Sep – 1 Oct 12,800 34% 48% 5% 6% 2% 5% 14%
IPEC[12] 29 Sep – 1 Oct 3,008 34% 47% 5% 5% 2% 7% 13%
Abrapel/Ipespe[13] 30 Sep 1,100 33% 46% 7% 6% 1% 4% 13%
Atlas[14] 28–30 Sep 4,500 40.7% 49.8% 3.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1% 9.1%
CNT/MDA[15] 28–30 Sep 2,002 36.3% 44.2% 4.5% 4.3% 2.2% 8.5% 7.9%
29 Sep Third presidential debate.
Datafolha[16] 27–29 Sep 6,800 34% 48% 6% 5% 1.2% 4% 14%
Atlas[17] 24–28 Sep 4,500 39.9% 49.3% 3.5% 2.5% 1.9% 2.7% 9.4%
Exame/Ideia[18] 23–28 Sep 1,500 37% 47% 6% 5% 1.2% 4% 10%
Genial/Quaest[19] 24–27 Sep 2,000 33% 46% 6% 5% 1% 9% 13%
Atlas[20] 22–26 Sep 4,500 41% 48.3% 3.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 7.3%
Ipec[21] 25–26 Sep 3,008 31% 48% 6% 5% 2% 8% 17%
BTG Pactual/FSB[22] 23–25 Sep 2,000 35% 45% 7% 4% 2% 6% 10%
24 Sep Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend.[23]
Abrapel/Ipespe[24] 21–23 Sep 1,100 35% 46% 6% 4% 0% 9% 11%
Datafolha[25] 20–22 Sep 6,754 33% 47% 7% 5% 1% 6% 14%
XP/Ipespe[26] 19–21 Sep 2,000 35% 46% 7% 4% 1% 7% 11%
PoderData[27] 18–20 Sep 3,500 37% 44% 7% 4% 2% 5% 7%
Genial/Quaest[28] 17–20 Sep 2,000 34% 44% 6% 5% 1% 10% 10%
Arko/Atlas[29] 16–20 Sep 7,514 38.6% 48.4% 6.3% 4.0% 1.8% 1% 9.8%
Ipec[30] 17–18 Sep 3,008 31% 47% 7% 5% 1% 9% 16%
BTG/FSB[31] 16–18 Sep 2,000 35% 44% 7% 5% 1% 7% 9%
Abrapel/Ipespe[32] 14–16 Sep 1,100 35% 45% 7% 5% 2% 5% 10%
Datafolha[33] 13–15 Sep 5,926 33% 45% 8% 5% 2% 6% 12%
PoderData[34] 11–13 Sep 3,500 37% 43% 8% 5% 1% 5% 6%
Genial/Quaest[35] 10–13 Sep 2,000 34% 42% 7% 4% 2% 11% 8%
Globo/Ipec[36] 9–11 Sep 2,512 31% 46% 7% 4% 2% 10% 15%
BTG/FSB[37] 9–11 Sep 2,000 35% 41% 9% 7% 2% 6% 6%
Datafolha[38] 8–9 Sep 2,676 34% 45% 7% 5% 1% 7% 11%
Abrapel/Ipespe[39] 7–9 Sep 1,100 36% 44% 8% 5% 2% 5% 8%
BTG/FSB[40] 2–4 Sep 2,000 34% 42% 8% 6% 3% 7% 8%
Globo/Ipec[41] 2–4 Sep 2,512 31% 44% 8% 4% 2% 11% 13%
Genial/Quaest[42] 1–4 Sep 2,000 34% 44% 7% 4% 2% 9% 10%
Abrapel/Ipespe[43] 30 Aug – 1 Sep 1,100 35% 44% 9% 5% 2% 5% 9%
Datafolha[44] 30 Aug – 1 Sep 5,734 32% 45% 9% 5% 3% 6% 13%
PoderData[45] 28–30 Aug 3,500 36% 44% 8% 4% 1% 5% 8%
Paraná Pesquisas[46] 26–30 Aug 2,020 37.1% 41.3% 7.7% 2.4% 1.6% 9.9% 4.2%
XP/Ipespe[47] 26–29 Aug 2,000 35% 43% 9% 5% 1% 6% 8%
28 Aug First presidential debate.[48]
BTG/FSB[49] 26–28 Aug 2,000 36% 43% 9% 4% 2% 7% 7%
Ipec[50] 26–28 Aug 2,000 32% 44% 7% 3% 1% 13% 12%
Quaest[51] 25–28 Aug 2,000 32% 44% 8% 3% 2% 11% 12%
CNT/MDA[52] 25–28 Aug 2,002 34.1% 42.3% 7.3% 2.1% 1.1% 12.8% 8.2%
26 Aug Beginning of the period allowed for political advertisement on television and radio.
Atlas[53] 20–25 Aug 7,475 38.3% 46.7% 6.4% 3.6% 3.1% 1.9% 8.4%
Exame/Ideia[54] 19–24 Aug 1,500 36% 44% 9% 4% 3.6% 5% 8%
Paraná Pesquisas[55] 19–23 Aug 2,020 37% 41.7% 7.3% 2.7% 1% 10.1% 4.7%
BTG/FSB[56] 19–21 Aug 2,000 36% 45% 6% 3% 2% 9% 9%
Datafolha[57] 16–18 Aug 5,744 32% 47% 7% 2% 1% 8% 15%
16 Aug Official beginning of the election campaign.
PoderData[58] 14–16 Aug 3,500 37% 44% 6% 4% 1% 7% 7%
IPEC[59] 12–14 Aug 2,000 32% 44% 6% 2% 1% 15% 12%
FSB Comunicação[60] 12–14 Aug 2,000 34% 45% 8% 2% 3% 8% 11%
Quaest/Genial[61] 11–14 Aug 2,000 33% 45% 6% 3% 1% 12% 12%
FSB Comunicação[62] 5–7 Aug 2,000 34% 41% 7% 3% 4% 11% 7%
5 Aug Brazil Union formally launches the candidacy of senator Soraya Thronicke.[63]
4 Aug André Janones (Avante) withdraws his candidacy; endorses Lula.[64]
PoderData[65] 31 Jul – 2 Aug 3,500 35% 43% 7% 4% 4% 6% 8%
Paraná Pesquisas[66] 28 Jul – 1 Aug 2,020 35.6% 41.1% 7.9% 1.8% 3.3% 10.3% 5.5%
31 Jul Congressman Luciano Bivar (Brazil Union) withdraws his candidacy.[67]
Quaest/Genial[68] 28–31 Jul 2,000 32% 44% 5% 2% 5% 12% 12%
Datafolha[69] 27–28 Jul 2,566 29% 47% 8% 2% 5% 9% 18%
BTG/FSB[70] 22–24 Jul 2,000 31% 44% 9% 2% 4% 10% 13%
XP/Ipespe[71] 20–22 Jul 2,000 35% 44% 9% 4% 2% 6% 9%
20 Jul Beginning of the period for the realization of party conventions.[72]
Exame/Ideia[73] 15–20 Jul 1,500 33% 44% 8% 4% 4% 7% 11%
PoderData[74] 17–19 Jul 3,000 37% 43% 6% 3% 3% 8% 6%
BTG/FSB[75] 8–10 Jul 2,000 32% 41% 9% 4% 6% 8% 9%
32% 42% 9% 4% 4% 9% 10%
PoderData[76] 3–5 Jul 3,000 36% 44% 5% 3% 3% 9% 8%
Quaest/Genial[77] 29 Jun – 2 Jul 2,000 31% 45% 6% 2% 4% 12% 14%
31% 45% 7% 3% 3% 11% 14%
31% 47% 8% 3% 0% 12% 16%

Apr–Jun

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Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Doria
PSDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
BTG/FSB[78] 24–26 Jun 2,000 33% 43% 8% — 7% 9% 10%
Modalmais/Futura[79] 20–24 Jun 2,000 37.6% 38.9% 7.3% — 5.1% 11% 1.3%
Datafolha[80] 22–23 Jun 2,556 28% 47% 8% — 5% 11% 19%
Exame/Ideia[81] 17–22 Jun 1,500 36% 45% 7% — 6% 7% 9%
PoderData[82] 19–21 Jun 3,000 34% 44% 6% — 5% 9% 10%
BTG/FSB[83] 10–12 Jun 2,000 32% 44% 9% — 4% 8% 12%
PoderData[84] 5–7 Jun 3,000 35% 43% 6% — 5% 10% 8%
Quaest/Genial[85] 2–5 Jun 2,000 30% 46% 7% — 4% 13% 16%
29% 47% 9% — 3% 12% 18%
30% 48% 9% — 3% 11% 18%
Instituto GERP[86] 30 May – 3 Jun 2,095 37% 39% 8% — 6% 10% 2%
37% 39% 7% — 8% 9% 2%
XP/Ipespe[87] 30 May – 1 Jun 1,000 34% 45% 9% — 6% 7% 11%
Paraná Pesquisas[88] 26–30 May 2,020 35.3% 41.4% 7.7% — 5.4% 10.1% 6.1%
BTG/FSB[89] 27–29 May 2,000 32% 46% 9% — 3% 8% 14%
Datafolha[90] 25–26 May 2,556 27% 48% 7% — 6% 11% 21%
XP/Ipespe[91] 23–25 May 1,000 34% 45% 8% — 7% 5% 11%
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[92] 23–24 May 3,000 32% 40% 9% — 5% 13% 8%
PoderData[93] 22–24 May 3,000 35% 43% 5% 1% 7% 10% 8%
23 May Facing pressure from within his own party, João Doria, former governor of São Paulo, withdraws his candidacy.[94][95]
Modalmais/Futura[96] 16–19 May 2,000 36% 41% 5.6% 2.5% 4.1% 10.8% 5%
Exame/Ideia[97] 14–19 May 1,500 32% 41% 9% 2% 5.2% 12% 9%
33% 40% 8% — 6.9% 14% 7%
XP/Ipespe[98] 16–18 May 1,000 32% 44% 8% 4% 4% 8% 12%
XP/Ipespe[99] 9–11 May 1,000 32% 44% 8% 3% 3% 10% 12%
PoderData[100] 8–10 May 3,000 35% 42% 5% 4% 5% 9% 7%
35% 42% 7% 5% 5% 7% 7%
Quaest/Genial[101] 5–8 May 2,000 29% 46% 7% 3% 5% 9% 17%
31% 46% 9% 4% — 10% 15%
33% 50% — 5% — 12% 17%
33% 48% 10% — — 10% 15%
7 May Former President Lula formally launches his candidacy.[102][103]
CNT/MDA[104] 4–7 May 2,002 32% 40.6% 7.1% 3.1% 5.1% 12.1% 8.6%
XP/Ipespe[105] 2–4 May 1,000 31% 44% 8% 3% 4% 10% 13%
Paraná Pesquisas[106] 28 Apr – 3 May 2,020 35.2% 40% 7.4% 3.2% 3.4% 10.7% 4.8%
35.7% 42.6% — 4.9% 4% 12.8% 6.9%
PoderData[107] 24–26 Apr 3,000 36% 41% 6% 4% 5% 7% 5%
BTG/FSB[108] 22–24 Apr 2,000 32% 41% 9% 3% 5% 9% 9%
XP/Ipespe[109] 18–20 Apr 1,000 31% 45% 8% 3% 4% 10% 14%
Exame/Ideia[110] 15–20 Apr 1,500 33% 42% 10% 3% 5% 7% 9%
14 Apr Brazil Union announces the candidacy of congressman Luciano Bivar.[111]
13 Apr Workers' Party national committee formally approves Geraldo Alckmin as Lula's running mate.[112]
PoderData[113] 10–12 Apr 3,000 35% 40% 5% 3% 6% 11% 5%
XP/Ipespe[114] 2–5 Apr 1,000 30% 44% 9% 3% 3% 12% 14%
Paraná Pesquisas[115] 31 Mar – 5 Apr 2,020 35.3% 41.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 13.1% 6.2%
Quaest/Genial[116] 1–3 Apr 2,000 31% 45% 6% 2% 4% 12% 14%

Jan–Mar

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Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Doria
PSDB 		Others
[a] 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Instituto GERP[117] 31 Mar – 5 Apr 2,095 35% 37% 6% 5% 1% 2% 7% 2%
31 Mar Former Minister Moro leaves Podemos and joins Brazil Union, suspending his candidacy.[118]
PoderData[119] 27–29 Mar 3,000 32% 41% 6% 7% 3% 4% 7% 9%
Modalmais/Futura[120] 21–25 Mar 2,000 35.5% 38.5% 5.3% 5.1% 1.3% 4.8% 9.4% 3%
Datafolha[121] 22–23 Mar 2,556 26% 43% 8% 6% 2% 5% 8% 17%
26% 43% 8% 7% — 6% 10% 17%
26% 44% 8% 7% 2% 5% 8% 18%
26% 43% 8% 8% — 5% 9% 17%
XP/Ipespe[122] 21–23 Mar 1,000 26% 44% 9% 7% 2% 4% 9% 18%
Exame/Ideia[123] 18–23 Mar 1,500 29% 40% 9% 9% 1% 5% 6% 11%
FSB[124] 18–20 Mar 2,000 29% 43% 8% 9% 2% 5% 5% 14%
PoderData[125] 13–15 Mar 3,000 30% 40% 7% 7% 2% 6% 8% 10%
Quaest/Genial[126] 10–13 Mar 2,000 26% 44% 7% 7% 2% 3% 13% 18%
25% 45% 6% 7% 2% 4% 10% 20%
28% 48% — 8% — 3% 12% 20%
Ranking Brasil[127] 7–12 Mar 3,000 32.4% 39% 7.2% 6.5% 2.4% — 10.5% 6.6%
Instituto GERP[126] 7–10 Mar 2,095 31% 38% 7% 5% 2% 1% 8% 7%
9 Mar Senator Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) announces he will not run for president.[128]
XP/Ipespe[129] 7–9 Mar 1,000 28% 43% 8% 8% 3% 3% 9% 15%
Paraná Pesquisas[130] 3–8 Mar 2,020 30.9% 38.9% 7.4% 6.8% 2.2% 2.5% 11.2% 8%
PoderData[131] 27 Feb – 1 Mar 3,000 32% 40% 6% 7% 2% 6% 8% 8%
Ipespe[132] 21–23 Feb 1,000 26% 43% 8% 7% 3% 4% 9% 17%
Exame/Ideia[133] 18–22 Feb 1,500 27% 42% 10% 8% 3% 3.7% 6% 15%
CNT/MDA[134] 16–19 Feb 2,002 28% 42.2% 6.4% 6.7% 1.8% 2.7% 12.2% 14.2%
Modalmais/Futura[120] 14–17 Feb 2,000 34.7% 35% 7.5% 5.8% 1.8% 4.5% 10.5% 0.3%
PoderData[135] 13–15 Feb 3,000 31% 40% 9% 4% 3% 4% 8% 9%
XP/Ipespe[136] 7–9 Feb 1,000 25% 43% 8% 8% 3% 2% 12% 18%
Quaest/Genial[137] 3–6 Feb 2,000 23% 45% 7% 7% 2% 3% 13% 22%
Paraná Pesquisas[138] 27 Jan – 1 Feb 2,020 29.1% 40.1% 10.1% 5.6% 2.4% 2.4% 10.3% 11%
PoderData[139] 31 Jan – 1 Feb 3,000 30% 41% 7% 7% 2% 5% 8% 11%
XP/Ipespe[140] 24–25 Jan 1,000 24% 44% 8% 8% 2% 3% 12% 20%
Modalmais/Futura[141] 17–21 Jan 2,000 33.2% 39.5% 8.4% 7.5% 3.2% — 8.2% 6.3%
PoderData[142] 16–18 Jan 3,000 28% 42% 8% 3% 2% 4% 12% 14%
Exame/Ideia[143] 9–13 Jan 1,500 24% 41% 11% 7% 4% 1% 11% 17%
XP/Ipespe[144] 10–12 Jan 1,000 24% 44% 9% 7% 2% 3% 13% 20%
Quaest/Genial[145] 6–9 Jan 2,000 23% 45% 9% 5% 3% 1% 12% 22%

2021

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Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Mandetta
UNION 		 
Pacheco
PSD 		 
Tebet
MDB 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
PoderData[146] 19–21 Dec 3,000 30% 40% 7% 4% 4% — — 1% 3% 11% 10%
Ipespe[147] 14–16 Dec 1,000 24% 44% 9% 7% 3% — 1% — 1% 12% 20%
23% 43% 9% 7% 3% — — 1% 2% 9% 20%
Datafolha[148] 13–16 Dec 3,666 22% 48% 9% 7% 4% — — — — 10% 26%
Ipec[149] 9–13 Dec 2,002 22% 49% 8% 5% 3% — — — — 13% 27%
21% 48% 6% 5% 2% — — 1% 3% 14% 27%
Exame/Ideia[150] 6–9 Dec 1,200 27% 37% 10% 6% 4% — 1% — 2% 10% 10%
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Leite
PSDB 		 
Mandetta
UNION 		 
Pacheco
PSD 		Others
[b] 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
8 Dec MDB confirms the candidacy of senator Simone Tebet.[152]
Quaest/Genial[153] 2–5 Dec 2,037 23% 46% 10% 5% 2% — — 1% 1% 11% 23%
30 Nov President Bolsonaro joins the Liberal Party.[154]
Atlas Político[155] 27–29 Nov 4,401 31.5% 42.8% 13.7% 6.1% 1.7% — — 0.9% 0.1% 3.2% 11.3%
27 Nov Governor of São Paulo João Doria wins the PSDB presidential primary.[156]
Ipespe[157] 22–24 Nov 1,000 25% 42% 11% 9% 2% — 1% 1% 1% 3% 17%
24% 42% 11% 9% — 2% — 2% 1% 8% 18%
PoderData[158] 22–24 Nov 2,500 29% 34% 8% 7% 5% — 3% — 4% 9% 5%
27% 36% 8% 9% — 5% 2% — 3% 8% 9%
Futura/ModalMais[159] 16–20 Nov 2,000 30.8% 37% 13.6% 7.5% 1.9% — — — 2.1% 7.1% 6.2%
Paraná Pesquisas[160] 16–19 Nov 2,020 29.2% 34.9% 10.7% 6.1% 3.1% — 1.2% 0.4% 1.6% 13.4% 5.7%
29.8% 35.1% 11% 6.1% — 1.6% — 0.6% 1.2% 13.6% 5.3%
Ponteio Política[161] 16–18 Nov 1,000 — 37% 18% 11% 3% — — — — 31% 19%
24% 37% 11% 8% 3% — — — — 17% 13%
Exame/Ideia[162] 9–11 Nov 1,200 25% 35% 5% 7% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 20% 10%
Quaest/Genial[163] 3–6 Nov 2,063 21% 48% 8% 6% 2% — — 1% — 14% 27%
21% 47% 8% 7% — 1% — 1% — 14% 26%
Vox Populi[164] 30 Oct – 4 Nov 2,000 21% 44% 3% 4% 1% — 1% — 3% 22% 23%
21% 45% 3% 5% — 1% 1% — 3% 21% 24%
XP/Ipespe[165] 25–28 Oct 1,000 28% 42% — 11% 4% — 3% 2% — 10% 14%
25% 41% 8% 9% — 3% 3% 2% 4% 5% 16%
PoderData[166] 25–27 Oct 2,500 28% 35% 8% 5% 4% — 4% 1% 6% 9% 7%
30% 34% 7% 7% — 3% 4% 1% 7% 7% 4%
23 Oct PSD confirms the candidacy of senator Rodrigo Pacheco.[167]
22 Oct Former Judge and Justice Minister Moro confirms candidacy.[168]
Quaest/Genial[169] 30 Sep – 3 Oct 2,048 24% 43% — 10% — — — — 11% 12% 19%
24% 44% 10% 9% — — — — — 12% 20%
26% 45% — 10% 6% — — — — 13% 19%
PoderData[170] 27–29 Sep 2,500 30% 40% — 5% 3% — 3% 2% 6% 11% 10%
28% 43% — 5% — 4% 3% 1% 4% 11% 15%
Ipespe[171] 22–24 Sep 1,000 28% 43% — 11% 5% — 4% 2% — 7% 15%
25% 42% 7% 9% 5% 3% 3% 1% 4% 6% 17%
Ipec[172] 16–20 Sep 2,002 23% 48% — 8% 3% — 3% — — 14% 25%
22% 45% 5% 6% 2% — 3% 1% 3% 14% 23%
Datatempo[173] 9–15 Sep 2,025 22% 36% 5.6% 7.8% 2% — — — 13.4% 14.2% 14%
Datafolha[174] 13–15 Sep 3,667 26% 44% — 9% 4% — 3% — — 12% 18%
25% 42% — 12% — 4% 2% — — 13% 17%
25% 44% — 11% 6% — — — — 12% 19%
24% 42% — 10% 5% — — 1% 7% 12% 18%
Paraná Pesquisas[175] 1–5 Sep 2,012 30.9% 35.5% — 9.7% 7.4% — — — — 16.5% 4.6%
PoderData[176] 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2,500 28% 37% — 8% 4% — 5% 4% 3% 11% 9%
Quaest/Genial[177] 26–29 Aug 2,000 26% 47% — 8% 6% — — — — 13% 21%
XP/Ipespe[178] 11–14 Aug 1,000 24% 40% 9% 10% 5% 4% 4% — — 9% 16%
28% 37% — 11% 5% — — 1% 5% 13% 9%
PoderData[179] 2–4 Aug 2,500 25% 39% — 8% 6% — 4% — 7% 11% 14%
Quaest/Genial[180] 29 Jul – 1 Aug 1,500 29% 46% — 12% — — — — — 13% 17%
27% 44% — 10% — — — — 10% 10% 17%
Paraná Pesquisas[181] 24–28 Jul 2,010 32.7% 33.7% — 6.8% 3.9% — 1.8% 0.8% 7.7% 12.7% 1%
Datafolha[182] 7–8 Jul 2,074 25% 46% — 8% 5% — 4% — — 12% 21%
XP/Ipespe[183] 5–7 Jul 1,000 26% 38% 9% 10% 2% — 3% — 3% 13% 12%
27% 35% — 11% — 4% 5% — 6% 13% 8%
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Haddad
PT 		 
Dino
PCdoB 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Boulos
PSOL 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Amoêdo
NOVO 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Huck
Indep. 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Exame/Ideia[184] 22–24 Jun 1,200 31% 39% — — 14% — 8% — — — — 8% 8%
Instituto Ipec[185] 17–21 Jun 2,002 23% 49% — — 7% — 5% — — — 3% 13% 26%
16 Jun Huck withdraws candidacy.[186]
Instituto Mapa[187] 18–20 May 2,000 26.8% 36.8% — — 5.0% — 3.3% 2.6% 5.1% 4.5% 2.7% 13.5% 10%
Vox Populi[188] 12–16 May 2,000 24% 43% — — 5% — 2% 2% — 8% — 14% 19%
Datafolha[189] 11–12 May 2,071 23% 41% — — 6% — 3% 2% 7% 4% 2%[c] 13% 18%
Exame/Ideia[190] 19–22 Apr 1,200 32% 33% — — 9% — 4% 3% — 6% 5%[d] 9% 1%
PoderData[191] 12–14 Apr 3,500 31% 34% — — 6% — 4% 5% 3% 6% 2%[e] 9% 3%
XP/Ipespe[192] 29–31 Mar 1,000 28% 29% — — 9% 3% 3% — 9% 5% 3%[f] 12% 1%
PoderData[193] 15–17 Mar 3,500 30% 34% — — 5% — 3% 3% 6% 4% 2%[g] 13% 4%
Revista Fórum/Offerwise[194] 11–15 Mar 1,000 30.7% 31.2% — — 7.4% — 6.4% — — — — 24.3% 0.5%
29.2% 27.1% — 0.2% 6.1% 1.5% 4.9% 1.6% 7.8% 6.8% — 14.6% 2.1%
31.2% — 13.3% — 7.7% 3.2% 7.0% 2.0% — 6.8% — 28.8% 17.9%
XP/Ipespe[195] 9–11 Mar 1,000 27% 25% — — 9% 3% 3% 3% 10% 6% 2%[h] 13% 2%
28% — 11% — 11% 6% 4% 3% 11% 7% 3%[i] 17% 17%
Exame/Ideia[196] 10–11 Mar 1,000 33% 18% — — 9% 5% 7% 3% 11% 6% 2% 7% 15%
Atlas[197] 8–10 Mar 3,721 32.7% 27.4% — 0.7% 7.5% 0.9% 4.3% 2.0% 9.7% 2.5% 5.0% 6.1% 5.3%
32.3% — 15.7% 1.3% 11.6% 2.3% 5.3% 2.5% 10.4% 4.4% 6.0% 7.1% 16.6%
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[198] 8–9 Mar 1,200 31% 21% — — 9% — 4% 2% 10% 7% — 15% 10%
8 Mar Lula's corruption charges annulled; political rights restored.[199]
Paraná Pesquisas[200] 28 Feb − 1 Mar 2,080 37.6% — 14.3% — 13% — 6.9% 3.9% — — 2.7% 21.5% 23.3%
32.2% 18% — — 8.7% 3.5% 5.3% 3% 11.6% — 1.4% 16.3% 14.2%
32.9% — 10.8% — 10.3% 3.2% — 3% 12% 8.7% 2.3% 17.2% 20.4%
33.9% — 11.8% — 10.7% 3.2% 6.3% 3.2% 12.3% — — 18.6% 21.6%
31.9% — 10.5% — 10% 3.2% 5.3% 2.8% 11.5% 8% — 16.8% 20.5%
Exame/ideia[201] 24−28 Jan 1,200 36% 17% — — 11% 8% 6% — — — — 22% 19%
33% 15% — — 10% 5% — — — 10% — 26% 18%
32% 17% — 3% 10% 5% 3% — 7% 8% 1% 15% 15%
Paraná Pesquisas[202] 22−26 Jan 2,002 30.5% — 9.5% — 10.6% 3.5% 5.4% 2.9% 12% 8.1% — 17.4% 18.5%
31% 17.3% — — 9.2% 3.6% 5.3% 3.3% 12.1% — — 15.8% 13.7%
33.7% — 11.7% 1% 12.1% — 6.7% 3.1% — 9.4% 3.8% 19.1% 21.6%
Atlas[203] 20−24 Jan 3,073 34.4% — 13.4% — 11.6% — 4.3% — 11.6% — 4.8% 19.9% 21%
34.5% 22.3% — 1.4% 8.8% — 3.6% — 11.3% 1.9% 3.4% 12.8% 12.2%
XP/Ipespe[204] 11−14 Jan 1,000 28% — 11% — 11% 5% 4% 3% 12% 7% — 18% 16%
2018 general election 7 Oct — 46.03% — 29.28% — 12.47% 0.58% 4.76% 2.50% — — 3.38% — 16.75%

2020

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Haddad
PT 		 
Dino
PCdoB 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Boulos
PSOL 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Amoêdo
NOVO 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Huck
Indep. 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
PoderData[205] 21−23 Dec 2,500 36% — 13% 1% 10% 5% 3% 3% 7% 9% 1% 12% 23%
XP/Ipespe[206] 7−9 Dec 1,000 29% — 12% — 9% 5% 4% 3% 11% 7% 2% 19% 17%
Exame/Ideia[207] 30 Nov − 3 Dec 1,200 28% 16% — 1% 7% — 4% 1% 10% 4% 4% 24% 12%
Paraná Pesquisas[208] 28 Nov − 1 Dec 2,036 33.3% — 8.8% — 10% 5.7% 3.7% 2.8% 11.8% 7.8% — 16% 21.5%
32.9% 17.8% — — 7.7% 4.9% 3.8% 2.8% 11.9% — — 15.2% 15.1%
35.8% — 11.5% 1.2% 12.1% — 4.8% 3.5% — 9.5% 2.7% 19.1% 23.7%
XP/Ipespe[206] 18−20 Nov 1.000 29% — 13% — 8% 5% 3% 4% 13% 7% 3% 19% 16%
XP/Ipespe[209] 8−11 Oct 1,000 31% — 14% — 10% — 3% 3% 11% 5% 3% 20% 17%
Exame/Ideia[210] 5−8 Oct 1,200 30% 18% — 1% 9% — 4% 1% 10% 5% 3% 19% 12%
PoderData[211] 14−16 Sep 2,500 35% — 10% 4% 7% — 5% — 13% — 7% 19% 22%
35% 21% — 3% 3% — 4% — 11% — 5% 18% 14%
Exame/Ideia[212] 24−31 Aug 1,235 31% 17% — 1% 6% — 3% 3% 13% 5% 5% 14% 14%
Revista Fórum/Offerwise[213] 21−24 Aug 1,000 41.7% — 14.8% 1.2% 7.7% — 3.7% 2.3% 13.3% 9.7% 1.6% — 26.9%
PoderData[214] 3−5 Aug 2,500 38% — 14% 3% 6% — 4% — 10% — 5% 20% 24%
Paraná Pesquisas[215] 18−21 Jul 2,030 29% — 13.4% — 9.9% — 4.0% 3.4% 17.1% 6.5% 1.7% 14.9% 11.9%
27.5% 21.9% — — 8.3% — 3.8% 3.4% 16.8% — 1.6% 14.1% 5.6%
30.7% — 14.5% 1.6% 10.7% — 4.6% 4% — 8.3% 6.6% 18.9% 16.2%
Quaest[216] 14−17 Jun 1,000 22% — 13% — 12% — 2% — 19% 5% 3% 23% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas[217] 27–29 Apr 2,006 27% — 14.1% — 10.3% — 3.7% 4% 18.1% 6% 2.2% 14.6% 8.9%
26.3% 23.1% — — 8.1% — 3.8% 4% 17.5% — 1.9% 13% 3.2%
29.1% — 15.4% 1.4% 11.1% — 4.4% 4.5% — 8.1% 7.9% 18.1% 13.7%
Veja/FSB[218] 7–10 Feb 2,000 37% — 13% — 11% — 3% 5% — 12% — 21% 24%
31% 28% — — 8% — 4% 5% — 11% — 12% 3%
28% — 15% — 9% — 3% 4% 17% 13% — 12% 11%
— — 14% — 12% — 4% 5% 31% 16% — 19% 5%
— 28% — — 9% — 3% 5% 33% 10% — 13% 5%
Atlas Político[219] 7–9 Feb 2,000 41% — — 13% — — 2.5% — — 14% — 27% 27%
32% 28% — 3% — — 0.6% — 20% 14% — 9% 4%
CNT/MDA[220] 15–18 Jan 2,002 29.1% 17% 2.3% — 3.5% — 0.3% 1.1% 2.4% 0.5% 2.7% 30.2% 12.2%
2018 general election 7 Oct — 46.03% — 29.28% — 12.47% 0.58% 4.76% 2.50% — — 3.38% — 16.75%

2019

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Haddad
PT 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Amoêdo
NOVO 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Huck
Indep. 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Veja/FSB[221] 11 Nov – 2 Dec 2,000 33% — 15% 11% 3% 5% — 12% — 22% 18%
32% 29% — 9% 4% 5% — 9% — 12% 3%
28% — 16% 11% 2% 4% 15% 13% — 12% 12%
— — 16% 12% 4% 4% 32% 15% — 17% 16%
— 29% — 9% 4% 5% 32% 10% — 11% 3%
Veja/FSB[222] 11–14 Oct 2,000 34% — 17% 9% 3% 5% — 11% — 21% 18%
24% — 14% 10% 3% 4% 17% 15% — 13% 7%
— — 16% 11% 5% 5% 30% 16% — 17% 14%
Veja/FSB[223] 16–18 Aug 2,000 35% — 17% 11% 3% 5% — 11% — 18% 18%
— — 18% 13% 5% 5% 27% 13% — 19% 9%
2018 general election 7 Oct — 46.03% — 29.28% 12.47% 4.76% 2.50% — — 4.96% — 16.75%

Second round

edit

The second round took place on 30 October 2022.[1]

Bolsonaro vs. Lula

edit
 
Local regression of polls conducted

Polling aggregation

edit
Aggregator Last update  
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
The Economist[3] 29 Oct 2022 48% 52% — Lula +4
Veja[4] 29 Oct 2022 43.5% 48.4% 8.1% Lula +4.9
Estadão[5] 29 Oct 2022 44% 49% 7% Lula +5
CNN Brasil[224] 29 Oct 2022 43.6% 49.6% 6.7% Lula +6.0
PollingData[7] 29 Oct 2022 45.3% 46.1% 9% Lula +0.8
El Electoral[225] 26 Oct 2022 45% 49% 6% Lula +4
Pollstergraph[10] 29 Oct 2022 45.3% 47.6% 7.1% Lula +2.3

After 2 October 2022

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Results 30 Oct 2022 Valid votes 49.1% 50.9% (N/A) 1.8%
Total votes 46.8% 48.6% 4.6% 1.7%[j]
Datafolha[226] 28–29 Oct 2022 8,308 45% 49% 7% 4%
Genial/Quaest[227] 27–29 Oct 2022 2,000 42% 45% 13% 3%
Ipec[228] 27–29 Oct 2022 4,272 43% 50% 7% 7%
Atlas[229] 26–29 Oct 2022 7,500 45.7% 52.4% 1.9% 6.7%
CNT/MDA[230] 26–28 Oct 2022 2,002 44.9% 46.9% 8.2% 2%
Paraná Pesquisas[231] 26–28 Oct 2022 2,400 46.3% 47.1% 6.6% 0.8%
28 Oct 2022 Fourth presidential debate.
Datafolha[232] 25–27 Oct 2022 4,580 44% 49% 7% 5%
ModalMais/Futura[233] 24–26 Oct 2022 2,000 47.2% 46.6% 6.1% 0.6%
Gerp[234] 21–26 Oct 2022 2,095 47% 43% 9% 4%
PoderData[235] 23–25 Oct 2022 5,000 44% 49% 7% 5%
Genial/Quaest[236] 23–25 Oct 2022 2,000 42% 48% 10% 6%
Abrapel/Ipespe[237] 22–24 Oct 2022 1,100 44% 50% 6% 6%
Ipec[238] 22–24 Oct 2022 3,008 43% 50% 7% 7%
Paraná Pesquisas[239] 20–24 Oct 2022 2,020 45.9% 46.3% 7.8% 0.4%
23 Oct 2022 Third presidential debate. Lula did not attend.
Atlas[240] 18–22 Oct 2022 4,500 46.2% 52.0% 1.8% 5.8%
21 Oct 2022 Second presidential debate. Lula did not attend.
ModalMais/Futura[241] 17–19 Oct 2022 2,000 46.9% 45.9% 7.1% 1.0%
Datafolha[242] 17–19 Oct 2022 2,912 45% 49% 5% 4%
Paraná Pesquisas[243] 15–19 Oct 2022 2,020 44.5% 46.9% 8.6% 2.4%
Ideia[244] 14–19 Oct 2022 1,500 46% 50% 4% 4%
Abrapel/Ipespe[245] 17–18 Oct 2022 1,100 43% 49% 8% 6%
PoderData[246] 16–18 Oct 2022 5,000 44% 48% 8% 4%
Genial/Quaest[247] 16–18 Oct 2022 2,000 42% 47% 11% 5%
Ipec[248] 11–17 Oct 2022 3,008 43% 50% 7% 7%
16 Oct 2022 First presidential debate for second round.
CNT/MDA[249] 14–16 Oct 2022 2,002 41.8% 48.1% 10.1% 6.3%
Datafolha[250] 13–14 Oct 2022 2,898 45% 49% 6% 5%
ModalMais/Futura[251] 10–12 Oct 2022 2,000 46.5% 46.9% 6.6% 0.4%
Abrapel/Ipespe[252] 10–12 Oct 2022 2,000 43% 49% 8% 6%
Atlas[253] 8–12 Oct 2022 4,500 46.5% 51.1% 3.3% 4.6%
Paraná Pesquisas[254] 8–12 Oct 2022 2,020 44.1% 47.6% 8.4% 3.5%
PoderData[255] 9–11 Oct 2022 5,000 44% 48% 8% 4%
Gerp[256] 6–11 Oct 2022 2,095 46% 48% 6% 2%
Abrapel/Ipespe[257] 8–10 Oct 2022 1,100 43% 50% 7% 7%
IPEC[258] 8–10 Oct 2022 2,000 42% 51% 7% 9%
Datafolha[259] 5–7 Oct 2022 2,884 44% 49% 7% 5%
Genial/Quaest[260] 3–5 Oct 2022 2,000 41% 48% 11% 7%
PoderData[261] 3–5 Oct 2022 3,500 44% 48% 8% 4%
IPEC[262] 3–5 Oct 2022 2,000 43% 51% 6% 8%
ModalMais/Futura[263] 3–4 Oct 2022 2,000 46.0% 49.3% 4.7% 3.3%

2021 to 2 October 2022

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
PL 		 
Lula
PT 		Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Datafolha[264] 30 Sep – 1 Oct 2022 12,800 38% 54% 8% 16%
IPEC[12] 29 Sep – 1 Oct 2022 3,008 37% 52% 11% 15%
Abrapel/Ipespe[13] 30 Sep 2022 1,100 38% 55% 7% 17%
Atlas[14] 28–30 Sep 2022 4,500 42.8% 53.1% 4.1% 10.3%
CNT/MDA[15] 28–30 Sep 2022 2,002 41.2% 50.4% 8.4% 9.2%
Atlas[17] 24–28 Sep 2022 4,500 42.4% 51.8% 5.8% 9.4%
Exame/Ideia[18] 23–28 Sep 2022 1,500 41% 52% 7% 11%
Genial/Quaest[19] 24–27 Sep 2022 2,000 38% 52% 10% 14%
Atlas[20] 22–26 Sep 2022 4,500 43.7% 51.3% 5% 7.6%
Ipec[21] 25–26 Sep 2022 3,008 35% 54% 14% 19%
BTG Pactual/FSB[22] 23–25 Sep 2022 2,000 40% 52% 8% 12%
Abrapel/Ipespe[24] 21–23 Sep 2022 1,100 38% 54% 8% 16%
Datafolha[25] 20–22 Sep 2022 6,754 38% 54% 9% 16%
XP/Ipespe[26] 19–21 Sep 2022 2,000 37% 54% 9% 17%
PoderData[265] 18–20 Sep 2022 3,500 42% 50% 8% 8%
Genial/Quaest[28] 17–20 Sep 2022 2,000 40% 50% 10% 10%
Arko/Atlas[29] 16–20 Sep 2022 7,514 41.4% 53.1% 5.5% 11.7%
Ipec[266] 17–18 Sep 2022 3,008 35% 54% 11% 19%
BTG/FSB[31] 16–18 Sep 2022 2,000 39% 52% 9% 13%
Aprapel/Ipespe[32] 14–16 Sep 2022 1,100 38% 53% 9% 15%
Datafolha[33] 13–15 Sep 2022 5,926 38% 54% 8% 16%
PoderData[267] 11–13 Sep 2022 3,500 42% 51% 6% 9%
Genial/Quaest[35] 10–13 Sep 2022 2,000 40% 48% 12% 8%
Globo/Ipec[36] 9–11 Sep 2022 2,512 36% 53% 12% 17%
BTG/FSB[37] 9–11 Sep 2022 2,000 38% 51% 11% 13%
Datafolha[38] 8–9 Sep 2022 2,676 39% 53% 9% 14%
Abrapel/Ipespe[39] 7–9 Sep 2022 1,100 39% 52% 9% 13%
BTG/FSB[40] 2–4 Sep 2022 2,000 40% 53% 8% 13%
Globo/Ipec[41] 2–4 Sep 2022 2,512 36% 52% 12% 16%
Genial/Quaest[42] 1–4 Sep 2022 2,000 39% 51% 10% 12%
Abrapel/Ipespe[43] 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2022 1,100 38% 53% 9% 15%
PoderData[45] 28–30 Aug 2022 3,500 41% 50% 9% 9%
Paraná Pesquisas[46] 26–30 Aug 2022 2,020 40.8% 47.8% 11.4% 7%
XP/Ipespe[47] 26–29 Aug 2022 2,000 38% 53% 9% 15%
BTG/FSB[49] 26–28 Aug 2022 2,000 39% 52% 9% 13%
Ipec[50] 26–28 Aug 2022 2,000 37% 50% 13% 13%
Quaest[51] 25–28 Aug 2022 2,000 37% 51% 13% 14%
CNT/MDA[52] 25–28 Aug 2022 2,002 38.8% 50.1% 11.1% 11.3%
Modalmais/Futura[268] 24−25 Aug 2022 2,000 43.8% 45.3% 10.9% 1.5%
Atlas[53] 20–25 Aug 2022 7,475 40.8% 51.8% 7.4% 11%
Exame/Ideia[54] 19–24 Aug 2022 1,500 40% 49% 11% 9%
BTG/FSB[269] 19–21 Aug 2022 2,000 39% 52% 9% 13%
Datafolha[270] 16–18 Aug 2022 5,744 37% 54% 10% 17%
PoderData[58] 14–16 Aug 2022 3,500 38% 52% 10% 14%
Ipec[59] 12–14 Aug 2022 2,000 35% 51% 14% 16%
FSB Comunicação[60] 12–14 Aug 2022 2,000 38% 53% 10% 15%
Quaest/Genial[61] 11–14 Aug 2022 2,000 38% 51% 11% 13%
FSB Comunicação[62] 5–7 Aug 2022 3,500 39% 51% 10% 12%
PoderData[271] 31 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 3,500 40% 50% 9% 10%
Datafolha[69] 22–24 Jul 2022 2,566 35% 55% 9% 20%
BTG/FSB[70] 22–24 Jul 2022 2,000 36% 54% 9% 18%
Exame/Ideia[73] 15–20 Jul 2022 1,500 37% 47% 11% 10%
PoderData[272] 17–19 Jul 2022 3,000 38% 51% 12% 13%
BTG/FSB[75] 8–10 Jul 2022 2,000 37% 53% 10% 16%
PoderData[273] 3–5 Jul 2022 3,000 38% 50% 12% 12%
Quaest/Genial[77] 29 Jun – 2 Jul 2022 2,000 34% 53% 13% 19%
BTG/FSB[78] 24–26 Jun 2022 2,000 37% 52% 10% 15%
Datafolha[80] 22–23 Jun 2022 2,556 34% 57% 9% 23%
Exame/Ideia[81] 17–22 Jun 2022 1,500 41% 48% 10% 7%
PoderData[82] 19–21 Jun 2022 3,000 35% 52% 13% 17%
BTG/FSB[83] 10–12 Jun 2022 2,000 36% 54% 8% 18%
PoderData[274] 05–07 Jun 2022 3,000 40% 50% 10% 10%
Quaest/Genial[85] 02–05 Jun 2022 2,000 32% 54% 12% 22%
XP/Ipespe[87] 30 May – 1 Jun 2022 1,000 35% 53% 12% 18%
Paraná Pesquisas[88] 26–30 May 2022 2,020 39.2% 47.3% 13.5% 8.1%
BTG/FSB[89] 27–29 May 2022 2,000 35% 54% 11% 19%
Datafolha[90] 25–26 May 2022 2,556 33% 58% 9% 25%
XP/Ipespe[91] 23–25 May 2022 1,000 35% 53% 12% 18%
PoderData[93] 22–24 May 2022 3,000 39% 50% 11% 11%
Modalmais/Futura[96] 16–19 May 2022 2,000 40.1% 49% 10.9% 8.9%
Exame/Ideia 14–19 May 2022 1,500 39% 46% 15% 7%
XP/Ipespe[98] 17–18 May 2022 1,000 34% 53% 13% 19%
XP/Ipespe[99] 9–11 May 2022 1,000 35% 54% 10% 19%
PoderData[100] 8–10 May 2022 3,000 38% 49% 13% 11%
Quaest/Genial[101] 5–8 May 2022 2,000 34% 54% 11% 20%
CNT/MDA[104] 4–7 May 2022 2,002 36.8% 50.8% 12.4% 14%
XP/Ipespe[105] 2–4 May 2022 1,000 34% 54% 12% 20%
Paraná Pesquisas[106] 28–3 May 2022 2,020 38.7% 46.4% 15% 7.7%
PoderData[275] 24–26 Apr 2022 3,000 39% 48% 13% 9%
BTG/FSB[108] 22–24 Apr 2022 2,000 37% 52% 10% 15%
XP/Ipespe[109] 18–20 Apr 2022 1,000 34% 54% 12% 20%
Exame/Ideia[110] 15–20 Apr 2022 1,500 39% 48% 13% 9%
PoderData[276] 10–12 Apr 2022 3,000 38% 47% 15% 9%
XP/Ipespe[114] 2–5 Apr 2022 1,000 33% 53% 14% 20%
Paraná Pesquisas[115] 31–5 Apr 2022 2,020 38.5% 47.1% 14.4% 8.6%
Quaest/Genial[116] 1–3 Apr 2022 2,000 34% 55% 11% 21%
PoderData[119] 27–29 Mar 2022 3,000 38% 50% 12% 12%
Futura/Modalmais[120] 21–25 Mar 2022 2,000 41.6% 48.6% 9.8% 7%
Datafolha[277] 22–23 Mar 2022 2,556 34% 55% 11% 21%
Exame/Ideia[123] 18–23 Mar 2022 1,500 37% 50% 13% 13%
FSB[124] 18–20 Mar 2022 2,000 35% 54% 11% 19%
PoderData[125] 13–15 Mar 2022 3,000 36% 50% 14% 14%
Quaest/Genial[126] 10–13 Mar 2022 2,000 32% 54% 13% 22%
Ranking Brasil[127] 7–12 Mar 2022 3,000 38.3% 45% 16.7% 6.7%
XP/Ipespe[136] 7–9 Mar 2022 1,000 33% 53% 14% 20%
Paraná Pesquisas[130] 3–8 Mar 2022 2,020 37.3% 46% 16.7% 8.7%
PoderData[278] 27–1 Mar 2022 3,000 37% 51% 11% 14%
Ipespe[132] 21–23 Feb 2022 1,000 32% 54% 14% 22%
Exame/Ideia[133] 18–22 Feb 2022 1,500 35% 49% 16% 14%
CNT/MDA[134] 16–19 Feb 2022 2,002 35.3% 53.2% 17.9% 17.9%
Futura/Modalmais[120] 14–17 Feb 2022 2,000 40.1% 48% 11.9% 7.9%
PoderData[135] 13–15 Feb 2022 3,000 35% 50% 15% 15%
XP/Ipespe[136] 7–9 Feb 2022 1,000 31% 54% 15% 23%
Quaest/Genial[137] 3–6 Feb 2022 2,000 30% 54% 16% 24%
Paraná Pesquisas[138] 27–1 Feb 2022 2,020 34.4% 48.8% 16.8% 14.4%
PoderData[139] 31–1 Feb 2022 3,000 37% 54% 9% 17%
XP/Ipespe[140] 24–25 Jan 2022 1,000 30% 54% 16% 24%
Futura/Modalmais[141] 17–21 Jan 2022 2,000 37.8% 50.4% 11.8% 12.6%
PoderData[142] 16–18 Jan 2022 3,000 32% 54% 14% 22%
Exame/Ideia[143] 9–13 Jan 2022 1,500 33% 49% 18% 16%
XP/Ipespe[144] 10–12 Jan 2022 1,000 31% 56% 13% 25%
Quaest/Genial[145] 6–9 Jan 2022 2,000 30% 54% 16% 24%
PoderData[146] 19–21 Dec 2021 3,000 34% 54% 12% 20%
Ipespe[147] 14–16 Dec 2021 1,000 31% 53% 16% 22%
Ipespe[157] 22–24 Nov 2021 1,000 32% 52% 16% 20%
PoderData[158] 22–24 Nov 2021 2,500 31% 54% 15% 23%
Paraná Pesquisas[160] 16–19 Nov 2021 2,020 35.6% 42.5% 21.9% 6.9%
Ponteio Política[161] 16–18 Nov 2021 1,000 32% 50% 18% 18%
Exame/Ideia[162] 9–11 Nov 2021 1,200 31% 48% 21% 17%
Quaest/Genial[163] 3–6 Nov 2021 2,063 27% 57% 13% 30%
XP/Ipespe[279] 25–28 Oct 2021 1,000 32% 50% 18% 18%
PoderData[166] 25–27 Oct 2021 2,500 37% 52% 11% 15%
PoderData[170] 27–29 Sep 2021 2,500 33% 56% 11% 23%
Datatempo[173] 9–15 Sep 2021 2,025 30.1% 53.1% 16.8% 23%
Datafolha[174] 13–15 Sep 2021 3,667 31% 56% 14% 25%
PoderData[176] 30–1 Sep 2021 2,500 30% 55% 15% 25%
Quaest/Genial[177] 26–29 Aug 2021 2,000 30% 55% 15% 25%
XP/Ipespe[178] 11–14 Aug 2021 1,000 32% 51% 17% 19%
PoderData[179] 2–4 Aug 2021 2,500 32% 52% 16% 20%
XP/Ipespe[183] 5–7 Jul 2021 1,000 35% 49% 17% 14%

Other

edit

2021

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Haddad
PT 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Boulos
PSOL 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Huck
Indep. 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Datafolha[182] 7–8 Jul 2,074 31% 58% — — — — — — — 11% 27%
— 56% — — — 22% — — — 21% 34%
Vox Populi[188] 12–16 May 2,000 28% 55% — — — — — — — 17% 27%
— 52% — 19% — — — — — 29% 33%
— 56% — — — 14% — — — 30% 42%
Datafolha[189] 11–12 May 2,071 32% 55% — — — — — — — 13% 23%
— 53% — — — — 33% — — 14% 20%
— 57% — — — — — 21% — 22% 36%
36% — — 48% — — — — — 17% 12%
39% — — — — 40% — — — 22% 1%
Exame/Ideia[190] 19–22 Apr 1,200 38% 40% — — — — — — — 23% 2%
PoderData[191] 12–14 Apr 3,500
34% 52% — — — — — — — 14% 18%
35% — — — — — — 48% — 17% 13%
38% — — — — 37% — — — 25% 1%
38% — — — — — 37% — — 25% 1%
38% — — 38% — — — — — 24% Tie
XP/Ipespe[192] 29–31 Mar 1,000
38% 41% — — — — — — — 20% 4%
30% — — — — — 30% — — 40% Tie
38% — — 38% — — — — — 33% Tie
35% — — — — — — 32% — 33% 3%
38% — — — 30% — — — — 32% 8%
37% — — — — 30% — — — 33% 7%
— 41% — — — — 36% — — 23% 5%
PoderData[193] 15–17 Mar 3,500 36% 41% — — — — — — — 23% 5%
34% — — 39% — — — — — 27% 5%
37% — — — — — — 40% — 23% 3%
41% — — — — 31% — — — 28% 10%
38% — — — — — 31% — — 31% 7%
Revista Fórum/Offerwise[194] 11–15 Mar 1,000 33.8% 38.0% — — — — — — — 28.3% 4.2%
— 33.6% — 16.7% — — — — — 49.6% 16.9%
— 36.9% — — — 13.4% — — — 49.8% 23.5%
— 35.4% — — — — — 17.4% — 47.2% 18.0%
— 35.7% — — — — 24.5% — — 39.8% 11.2%
XP/Ipespe[195] 9–11 Mar 1,000 41% 40% — — — — — — — 19% 1%
40% — 36% — — — — — — 24% 4%
31% — — — — — 34% — — 35% 3%
37% — — — — — — 32% — 30% 5%
39% — — 37% — — — — — 25% 2%
40% — — — 30% — — — — 30% 10%
39% — — — — 29% — — — 32% 10%
— — 30% — — — 40% — — 30% 10%
Exame/Ideia[196] 10–11 Mar 1,000 44% 37% — — — — — — — 19% 7%
45% — — 34% — — — — — 21% 11%
47% — — — — 26% — — — 26% 21%
46% — — — — — — 37% — 17% 9%
Atlas[197] — 3,721 36.9% — — — — — — — 46.6%[k] 16.5% 9.7%
37.5% — — 44.7% — — — — — 17.8% 7.2%
38.8% 44.9% — — — — — — — 16.3% 6.1%
39.4% — 43.0% — — — — — — 17.6% 3.6%
39.8% — — — — 39.3% — — — 20.9% 0.5%
37.1% — — — — — — — — 26.8% 1.0%
34.3% — — — — — 33.1% — — 32.6% 1.2%
37.3% — — — — — — 32.5% — 30.2% 4.8%
CNN Brasil/Real Time Big Data[198] 8–9 Mar 1,200 43% 39% — — — — — — — 18% 4%
43% — — 36% — — — — — 21% 7%
41% — — — — — 38% — — 21% 3%
46% — — — — — — 31% — 23% 15%
Exame/Ideia[201] 24−28 Jan 1,200 45% 28% — — — — — — — 26% 17%
41% — — 34% — — — — — 26% 7%
45% — — — — 30% — — — 24% 15%
41% — — — — — — 38% — 21% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas[202] 22−26 Jan 2,002 42.4% 35.7% — — — — — — — 21.9% 6.7%
39.1% — — — — — 37.6% — — 23.3% 1.5%
43.7% — — 34.3% — — — — — 22.1% 9.4%
44.9% — — — — 29.4% — — — 25.8% 15.5%
42.7% — — — — — — 33.2% — 24.1% 9.5%
XP/Ipespe[204] 11−14 Jan 1,000 38% — — — — — — 34% — 28% 4%
33% — — — — — 36% — — 31% 3%
40% — — 37% — — — — — 23% 3%
44% — — — 31% — — — — 25% 13%
42% — 37% — — — — — — 22% 5%
— — 30% — — — 43% — — 28% 13%

2020

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Haddad
PT 		 
Gomes
PDT 		 
Boulos
PSOL 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Huck
Indep. 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
PoderData[205] 21−23 Dec 2,500 44% — — — — — — 38% — 18% 6%
43% — — — — — 36% — — 21% 7%
44% — — 35% — — — — — 21% 9%
46% — — — 34% — — — — 20% 12%
48% — 35% — — — — — — 17% 13%
46% — — — — 31% — — — 23% 15%
XP/Ipespe[206] 7−9 Dec 1,000 36% — — — — — 34% — — 30% 2%
45% — 35% — — — — — — 21% 10%
40% — — — — — — 33% — 27% 7%
43% — — 36% — — — — — 22% 7%
47% — — — 31% — — — — 22% 16%
— — 27% — — — 46% — — 28% 19%
Exame/Ideia[207] 30 Nov − 3 Dec 1,200 37% 32% — — — — — — — 31% 5%
44% — — — — — 29% — — 27% 15%
38% — — — — 22% — — — 40% 16%
37% — — 36% — — — — — 27% 1%
36% — — — — — — 32% — 32% 4%
Paraná Pesquisas[208] 28 Nov − 1 Dec 2,036 47% 33.4% — — — — — — — 19.7% 13.6%
44.9% — — — — — 34.7% — — 20.5% 10.2%
48.5% — — 31% — — — — — 20.6% 17.5%
51.1% — — — — 23.8% — — — 25.1% 27.3%
48.6% — — — — — — 29.7% — 21.7% 18.9%
XP/Ipespe[206] 18−20 Nov 1.000 33% — — — — — 38% — — 28% 5%
43% — 37% — — — — — — 20% 6%
— — 25% — — — 46% — — 29% 21%
40% — — — — — — 33% — 27% 7%
42% — — 39% — — — — — 19% 3%
45% — — — 31% — — — — 24% 14%
XP/Ipespe[209] 8−11 Oct 1,000 42% — — — — — — — 30%[l] 28% 12%
43% — — 35% — — — — — 22% 8%
42% — — — — — — 28% — 30% 14%
43% — 35% — — — — — — 22% 8%
35% — — — — — 36% — — 29% 1%
— — 26% — — — 43% — — 31% 17%
Exame/Ideia[210] 5−8 Oct 1,200 43% 33% — — — — — — — 25% 10%
42% — — — — 21% — — — 38% 21%
41% — — — — — 35% — — 25% 6%
PoderData[211] 14−16 Sep 2,500 45% — — — — 32% — — — 23% 13%
48% — — 33% — — — — — 19% 15%
40% — — — — — 37% — — 23% 3%
45% — 38% — — — — — — 17% 7%
41% 41% — — — — — — — 18% Tie
Exame/Ideia[212] 24−31 Aug 1,235 42% 31% — — — — — — — 27% 11%
41% — — — — 17% — — — 42% 24%
38% — — — — — 31% — — 31% 7%
PoderData[280] 3–5 Aug 2,500 44% — — — — 30% — — — 26% 14%
42% — 34% — — — — — — 24% 8%
41% — — — — — 41% — — 18% Tie
Paraná Pesquisas[215] 18–21 Jul 2,030 46.6% — 32% — — — — — — 21.4% 14.6%
44.7% — — — — — 35% — — 20.2% 9.7%
45.6% 36.4% — — — — — — — 18% 9.2%
48.1% — — 31.1% — — — — — 20.9% 17%
51.7% — — — — 23% — — — 25.4% 28.7%
50.8% — — — — — — 27.6% — 21.6% 23.2%
Veja/FSB[218] 7–10 Feb 2,000 51% — 33% — — — — — — 16% 18%
50% — — — — 25% — — — 26% 25%
45% — — — — — — 37% — 17% 8%
48% 40% — — — — — — — 11% 8%
37% — — — — — 39% — — 25% 2%
— — 30% — — — 53% — — 17% 23%
— 40% — — — — 49% — — 12% 9%
— — 30% — — — — 37% — 34% 7%
— — — — — — 51% 32% — 16% 19%
2018 general election 28 Oct — 55.13% — 44.87% — — — — — — 10.26%

2019

edit
Publisher/Pollster Polling
period 		Sample
size 		 
Bolsonaro
Indep. 		 
Lula
PT 		 
Haddad
PT 		 
Doria
PSDB 		 
Moro
PODE 		 
Huck
Indep. 		Others Blank/Null/
Undec. 		Lead
Quaest[281] 26–27 Dec 1,000 46% 32% — — — — — 22% 14%
Veja/FSB[221] 11 Nov – 2 Dec 2,000 45% 40% — — — — — 16% 5%
47% — 32% — — — — 21% 15%
45% — — 26% — — — 28% 19%
44% — — — — 36% — 19% 8%
36% — — — 36% — — 28% Tie
— — 29% — 52% — — 18% 23%
— 39% — — 48% — — 12% 9%
— — — — 50% 31% — 18% 19%
— — 29% — — 39% — 33% 10%
Veja/FSB[222] 11–14 Oct 2,000 47% — 34% — — — — 20% 13%
46% — — 26% — — — 29% 20%
46% 38% — — — — — 17% 8%
43% — — — — 39% — 19% 7%
Veja/FSB[223] 16–18 Aug 2,000 48% — 35% — — — — 18% 13%
45% — — 29% — — — 23% 16%
— — 37% 33% — — — 31% 4%
2018 general election 28 Oct — 55.13% — 44.87% — — — — — 10.26%

See also

edit

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b c d This column presents the sum of candidates who do not reach 3% frequently.
  2. ^ TV presenter José Luiz Datena withdrew candidacy in November 2021, to run for a Senate seat.[151] Polls with his name are now added to the column "Others".
  3. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  4. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%; Danilo Gentili with 2%
  5. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  6. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
  7. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  8. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 2%
  9. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 3%
  10. ^ The lead is smaller than the difference between the displayed values of 48.6% and 46.8%, which is 1.8%, due to rounding.
  11. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 46.6%
  12. ^ Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM) with 30%

References

edit
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  215. ^ a b National public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 24 July 2020. Retrieved 24 July 2020.
  216. ^ "Sergio Moro desponta como principal adversário de Bolsonaro em 2022". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 24 September 2020. Retrieved 14 September 2020.
  217. ^ "Band › Portal de Notícias, Esporte e Entretenimento". Band News (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 August 2021. Retrieved 6 August 2021.
  218. ^ a b "Eleições 2022: Bolsonaro amplia vantagem sobre rivais, mostra pesquisa VEJA/FSB". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  219. ^ Rossi, Marina (12 February 2020). "Bolsonaro lidera pesquisa para reeleição em todos os cenários, inclusive contra Lula". El País Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 13 February 2020. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  220. ^ "Bolsonaro lidera intenção de voto para 2022 seguido por Lula, diz CNT/MDA [22/01/2020]". UOL (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 23 January 2020. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
  221. ^ a b FSB/Veja poll (PDF) (Report) (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 October 2020. Retrieved 7 December 2019.
  222. ^ a b "Lula é o principal nome da esquerda contra Bolsonaro em 2022". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  223. ^ a b "Pesquisa: numa disputa com a esquerda, Bolsonaro é mais forte que Moro". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 5 October 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  224. ^ "Agregador de Pesquisas" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil.
  225. ^ "BRASIL: Lula da Silva se mantiene en cabeza, pero su ventaja sobre Bolsonaro se reduce a sólo 4 puntos" (in Spanish). El Electoral. 26 October 2022.
  226. ^ "Datafolha: Lula tem 52% dos votos válidos no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 48%" (in Portuguese). G1. 29 October 2022.
  227. ^ "Ipec: Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 46%" (in Portuguese). G1. 29 October 2022.
  228. ^ "Ipec: Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 46%" (in Portuguese). G1. 29 October 2022.
  229. ^ "Atlas para presidente: Lula tem 53,4% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 46,6%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 29 October 2022.
  230. ^ "Pesquisa MDA para presidente: Lula tem 51,1% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 48,9%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 29 October 2022.
  231. ^ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 50,4% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 49,6%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 29 October 2022.
  232. ^ "Datafolha para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 27 October 2022.
  233. ^ "Pesquisa presidente ModalMais/Futura: Bolsonaro tem 50,3% dos votos válidos e Lula tem 49,7%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 28 October 2022.
  234. ^ "Pesquisa Gerp: Bolsonaro tem 52% dos votos válidos contra 48% de Lula" (in Portuguese). Correio Braziliense. 27 October 2022.
  235. ^ "Pesquisa PoderData: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos no 2º turno; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 26 October 2022.
  236. ^ "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 26 October 2022.
  237. ^ "Pesquisa Ipespe para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 25 October 2022.
  238. ^ "Ipec no 2º turno: Estáveis, Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 46%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 24 October 2022.
  239. ^ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 50,2% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 49,8%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 25 October 2022.
  240. ^ "Pesquisa eleitoral Atlas Intel: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos, e Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 24 October 2022.
  241. ^ "Pesquisa presidente ModalMais/Futura: Bolsonaro tem 50,5% dos votos válidos e Lula tem 49,5%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 21 October 2022.
  242. ^ "Pesquisa presidente Datafolha: Lula tem 52% dos votos válidos, e Bolsonaro, 48%" (in Portuguese). Exame. 19 October 2022.
  243. ^ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 51,3% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 48,7%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 20 October 2022.
  244. ^ "Pesquisa Ideia: Lula tem 50%, e Bolsonaro, 46%; há empate na margem de erro" (in Portuguese). UOL. 20 October 2022.
  245. ^ "Pesquisa Abrapel/Ipespe: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro tem 47%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 18 October 2022.
  246. ^ "Lula 52% X 48% Bolsonaro, diz PoderData; taxas ficam estáveis" (in Portuguese). Poder360. 19 October 2022.
  247. ^ "Pesquisa Quaest para presidente: Lula tem 53% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 47%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 19 October 2022.
  248. ^ "Pesquisa presidente: Lula tem 54% dos votos válidos, e Bolsonaro, 46%, diz Ipec" (in Portuguese). Exame. 17 October 2022.
  249. ^ "Pesquisa MDA para presidente: Lula tem 53,5% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 46,5%" (in Portuguese). CNN Brasil. 17 October 2022.
  250. ^ "Datafolha: Lula tem 49% no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 45%".
  251. ^ "Banco Modal divulga 2ª pesquisa presidencial do Instituto Futura sobre 2º turno". 14 October 2022.
  252. ^ "Ipespe: Lula tem 49% em votos totais, e Bolsonaro aparece com 43%". 14 October 2022.
  253. ^ "Lula lead narrows to less than 5 points in Brazil election - AtlasIntel survey". 13 October 2022.
  254. ^ "Paraná Pesquisas: Lula tem 51,9% dos votos válidos; Bolsonaro, 48,1%". 13 October 2022.
  255. ^ "Lula tem 52% e Bolsonaro 48% dos votos válidos, diz PoderData". 12 October 2022.
  256. ^ "Lula e Bolsonaro empatam tecnicamente na corrida ao 2º turno, diz pesquisa". 12 October 2022.
  257. ^ "Pesquisa Ipespe: Lula tem 50%; Bolsonaro, 43%". 11 October 2022.
  258. ^ "Ipec: Lula tem 51% no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 42%". 10 October 2022.
  259. ^ "Datafolha: Lula tem 49% no 2º turno, e Bolsonaro, 44%".
  260. ^ "Quaest: No 2º turno, Lula tem 48%; Bolsonaro fica com 41%" (in Portuguese). UOL. 6 October 2022.
  261. ^ "PoderData: Lula 52% X 48% Bolsonaro". 6 October 2022.
  262. ^ Paraguassu, Lisandra; Frontini, Peter (6 October 2022). "Brazil election: Lula has 51% of voter support versus 43% for Bolsonaro, poll finds". Reuters.
  263. ^ "Modalmais/Futura: Lula tem 49,3% dos votos e Bolsonaro 46% no 2º turno" (in Portuguese). Correio Braziliense. 7 October 2022.
  264. ^ "Datafolha, votos válidos: Lula 50%; Bolsonaro 36%". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 October 2022.
  265. ^ "PoderData: Lula tem 8 pontos sobre Bolsonaro no 2º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 21 September 2022. Retrieved 21 September 2022.
  266. ^ "Ipec: Lula tem 54%, e Bolsonaro, 35% no 2° turno". G1 (in Portuguese). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 20 September 2022.
  267. ^ "No 2º turno, Lula vence Bolsonaro por 51% a 42%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 14 September 2022. Retrieved 21 September 2022.
  268. ^ "Modalmais/Futura: confira nova pesquisa para corrida presidencial". Gazeta do Povo. 1 September 2022. Retrieved 1 September 2022.
  269. ^ "BTG/FSB: Lula fica estável com 45%; Bolsonaro oscila dois pontos para cima". noticias.uol.com.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 22 August 2022.
  270. ^ "Datafolha: Lula tem 54% e Bolsonaro 37% no segundo turno de 2022". G1 (in Portuguese). 18 August 2022. Retrieved 18 August 2022.
  271. ^ Lins, Carlos (4 August 2022). "Lula tem 10 pontos sobre Bolsonaro no 2° turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 4 August 2022.
  272. ^ "Lula tem 51% contra 38% de Bolsonaro no 2º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 20 July 2022. Archived from the original on 21 July 2022. Retrieved 21 July 2022.
  273. ^ "No 2º turno, vantagem de Lula sobre Bolsonaro cai para 12 pontos". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 6 July 2022. Archived from the original on 6 July 2022. Retrieved 6 July 2022.
  274. ^ "PoderData: Lula tem 50% contra 40% de Bolsonaro no 2º turno". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 8 June 2022. Archived from the original on 8 June 2022. Retrieved 8 June 2022.
  275. ^ "Lula tem 48% no 2º turno, contra 39% de Bolsonaro, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
  276. ^ "No 2º turno, placar PoderData é Lula 47% X 38% Bolsonaro". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 13 April 2022. Retrieved 13 April 2022.
  277. ^ "Datafolha: Bolsonaro reduz distância para Lula no 2º turno". G1 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 26 March 2022. Retrieved 26 March 2022.
  278. ^ "No 2º turno, Lula derrotaria Bolsonaro por 51% a 37%". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 9 March 2022. Retrieved 10 March 2022.
  279. ^ "Nova pesquisa mostra goleada de Lula na terceira via | Matheus Leitão". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 4 May 2022. Retrieved 4 May 2022.
  280. ^ "Jair Bolsonaro e Sergio Moro empatam no 2º turno, diz PoderData". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). Archived from the original on 6 August 2020. Retrieved 8 August 2020.
  281. ^ Public opinion poll (PDF) (Report) (in Portuguese). Archived (PDF) from the original on 30 December 2019. Retrieved 30 December 2019.
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