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2010 Georgia gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Georgia gubernatorial election, 2010)

For related races, see 2010 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2010 Georgia gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Sonny Perdue was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on July 20. Democrats nominated former governor Roy Barnes, and Republicans nominated Representative Nathan Deal following a runoff on August 10. The Libertarian Party also had ballot access and nominated John Monds. Deal won the general election, and took office on January 10, 2011.[1]

2010 Georgia gubernatorial election
← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee Nathan Deal Roy Barnes
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,365,832 1,107,011
Percentage 53.02% 42.97%
Deal:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%     70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Barnes:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
Governor before election

Sonny Perdue
Republican

Elected Governor

Nathan Deal
Republican

As of 2022, this was the last election in which a candidate won the governorship by double digits. This is the first gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1990 in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. This was the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was the last gubernatorial election in which Douglas, Henry, and Newton counties voted for the Republican candidate and the last in which Baker, Early, Mitchell, Peach, Clinch, Brooks, and McIntosh counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Polling

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Primary

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Poll source Dates administered John
Oxendine 		Karen
Handel 		Nathan
Deal 		Eric
Johnson 		Ray
McBerry 		Austin
Scott 		Jeff
Chapman 		Undecided
Magellan Strategies[4] July 18, 2010 12% 38% 20% 17% 3% – 3% 7%
InsiderAdvantage[5] July 14, 2010 15% 24% 16% 13% 3% – 6% 22%
Rasmussen Reports[6] July 13, 2010 20% 25% 25% 13% – – – 14%
Mason-Dixon[7] July 8–13, 2010 31% 23% 18% 6% 2% – 1% 19%
Magellan Strategies[8] July 8, 2010 18% 32% 18% 8% 3% – 3% 14%
Survey USA[9] July 7–8, 2010 32% 23% 12% 12% 5% – 4% 10%
InsiderAdvantage[10] July 1, 2010 18% 18% 12% 8% 3% – 6% 34%
Survey USA[11] June 14–17, 2010 34% 18% 17% 6% 3% – 4% 17%
InsiderAdvantage[12] April 5, 2010 26% 18% 9% 5% – – – 31%
Rasmussen Reports[13] December 15, 2009 28% 14% 13% 2% 2% 2% 2% 32%
Rasmussen Reports[14] October 20, 2009 27% 12% 9% 3% 3% 3% -- 35%
Rasmussen Reports[15] August 18, 2009 31% 13% 13% 3% 2% -- -- 31%
Rasmussen Reports[16] June 17, 2009 33% 11% 10% 3% 2% 2% -- 33%
Strategic Vision[17] June 17, 2009 35% 13% 12% 4% 2% 2% -- 32%

Runoff

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Poll source Dates administered Nathan
Deal 		Karen
Handel
Landmark Communications[18] August 7, 2010 44% 42%
Georgia Newspapers[19] August 7, 2010 42% 47%
Insider Advantage[20] August 5, 2010 46% 46%
Landmark Communications[21] August 2, 2010 37% 46%
McLaughlin & Associates[22] July 23, 2010 39% 38%

Results

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Initial primary results by county:
  Deal
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Handel
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Johnson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Oxendine
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Chapman
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  McBerry
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Karen Handel 231,990 34.1
Republican Nathan Deal 155,946 22.9
Republican Eric Johnson 136,792 20.1
Republican John Oxendine 115,421 17.0
Republican Jeff Chapman 20,636 3.0
Republican Ray McBerry 17,171 2.5
Republican Otis Putnam 2,543 0.4
Total votes 680,499 100.0
 
Runoff results by county:
  Deal
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Handel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Tie
  •   50%
Republican primary runoff results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nathan Deal 291,035 50.2
Republican Karen Handel 288,516 49.8
Total votes 579,551 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Roy
Barnes 		Thurbert
Baker 		DuBose
Porter 		Carl
Camon 		David
Poythress 		Undecided
Rasmussen Reports[26] July 13, 2010 59% 16% 5% -- 5% 12%
Mason-Dixon[7] July 8–13, 2010 54% 20% 3% -- 7% 16%
Survey USA[9] July 7–8, 2010 56% 18% 6% 3% 5% 9%
Survey USA[11] June 14–17, 2010 63% 13% 4% 1% 5% 11%
InsiderAdvantage[27] April 7, 2010 47% 18% 5% – 6% 24%
Rasmussen Reports[28] December 18, 2009 48% 17% 3% 1% 4% 19%
Rasmussen Reports[29] October 20, 2009 43% 19% 4% 3% 4% 21%
Rasmussen Reports[30] August 18, 2009 42% 9% 7% 1% 2% 30%
Rasmussen Reports[31] June 17, 2009 48% 8% 5% 2% 2% 31%
Strategic Vision[17] June 17, 2009 49% 30% 2% - 5% 14%

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Barnes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Porter
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[32]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Roy Barnes 259,482 65.6
Democratic Thurbert Baker 85,571 21.6
Democratic David Poythress 21,780 5.5
Democratic DuBose Porter 17,767 4.5
Democratic Carl Camon 4,170 1.1
Democratic Bill Bolton 3,573 0.9
Democratic Randy Mangham 3,124 0.8
Total votes 395,497 100.0

Third party and independent candidates

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Independent

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Libertarian Party

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Write-in

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[35] Tossup October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[36] Lean R October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[37] Lean R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[38] Lean R October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[39] Lean R October 28, 2010

Polling

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Poll source Dates administered Nathan
Deal (R) 		Roy
Barnes (D) 		John
Monds (L) 		Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports[40] October 24, 2010 49% 39% 5% 5% 1%
Insider Advantage[41] Unavailable 49% 41% 3% -- 7%
Rasmussen Reports[40] October 6, 2010 50% 41% 3% 3% 3%
Insider Advantage[42] September 27, 2010 45% 37% 5% -- 13%
Rasmussen Reports[43] September 21, 2010 45% 39% 5% 6% 5%
Insider Advantage[44] September 16, 2010 42% 42% 5% -- 11%
Survey USA[45] September 10–12, 2010 49% 38% 9% -- 4%
Insider Advantage[46] August 17, 2010 45% 41% 5% -- 9%
Rasmussen Reports[47] August 11, 2010 51% 42% -- 3% 3%
Rasmussen Reports[48] July 21, 2010 49% 43% -- 4% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[49] May 20, 2010 47% 40% -- 6% 7%
Rasmussen Reports[49] April 22, 2010 46% 39% -- 7% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[49] March 17, 2010 43% 41% -- 5% 13%
Public Policy Polling[50] February 26–28, 2010 38% 43% -- -- 19%
Rasmussen Reports[49] February 18, 2010 43% 37% -- -- --
Rasmussen Reports[49] January 20, 2010 42% 43% -- -- --

Results

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2010 Georgia gubernatorial election[51]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Nathan Deal 1,365,832 53.02% −4.93%
Democratic Roy Barnes 1,107,011 42.97% +4.75%
Libertarian John Monds 103,194 4.01% +0.17%
Write-in 124 0.00% N/A
Total votes 2,576,161 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Deal defeats Barnes to take Governor's Mansion". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved September 3, 2010.
  2. ^ [1][dead link‍]
  3. ^ Amy, Jeff (December 19, 2021). "Johnny Isakson, former Georgia Republican U.S. senator, dies". Associated Press.
  4. ^ Magellan Strategies
  5. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  6. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  7. ^ a b Mason-Dixon
  8. ^ Magellan Strategies
  9. ^ a b Survey USA
  10. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  11. ^ a b Survey USA
  12. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  13. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  14. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  15. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  16. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  17. ^ a b Strategic Vision
  18. ^ Landmark Communications
  19. ^ Georgia Newspapers
  20. ^ Insider Advantage
  21. ^ Landmark Communications
  22. ^ McLaughlin & Associates Archived July 14, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  23. ^ "Unofficial And Incomplete Results of the Tuesday, July 20, 2010 General Primary Election", Georgia Secretary of State, July 20, 2010, archived from the original on July 23, 2010, retrieved July 25, 2010
  24. ^ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  25. ^ Jim Galloway (June 3, 2009). "Roy Barnes to join 2010 race for Georgia governor | Political Insider". Blogs.ajc.com. Archived from the original on June 10, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  26. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  27. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  28. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  30. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  31. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  32. ^ "7/20/2010 - Governor". Sos.georgia.gov. Archived from the original on July 23, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  33. ^ a b c "Georgia 2010 Midterm Election". Thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  34. ^ "John Monds to seek Libertarian nomination for Governor" www.lp.org. Retrieved September 15, 2009.
  35. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  36. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  37. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  38. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  39. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  40. ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
  41. ^ Insider Advantage
  42. ^ Insider Advantage
  43. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  44. ^ Insider Advantage
  45. ^ Survey USA
  46. ^ Insider Advantage
  47. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  48. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  49. ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
  50. ^ Public Policy Polling
  51. ^ "11/2/2010 - Federal and Statewide". Archived from the original on March 27, 2016. Retrieved March 31, 2011.
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Debates

Official campaign sites (archived)

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