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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2014)

For related races, see 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
 
Nominee David Ige Duke Aiona Mufi Hannemann
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Running mate Shan Tsutsui Elwin Ahu Les Chang
Popular vote 181,106 135,775 42,934
Percentage 49.45% 37.08% 11.72%
County results
Ige:      40–50%      50–60%
Governor before election

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

Elected Governor

David Ige
Democratic

Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. In Hawaii, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run in separate primaries and are then elected on the same ticket. Incumbent Democratic governor Neil Abercrombie ran for re-election to a second term in office, but was defeated by State Senator David Ige in the Democratic primary, making Abercrombie the first incumbent governor to lose renomination in Hawaii history. Incumbent Democratic lieutenant governor Shan Tsutsui was renominated.

The Republicans nominated former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona and pastor and former circuit court judge Elwin Ahu. Also running as an independent was former mayor of Honolulu Mufi Hannemann and former Honolulu parks and recreation director Les Chang. Ige and Tsutsui won the election. As of 2023, this election was the only time since 1994 that the winning gubernatorial nominee won the Hawaii gubernatorial election with only a plurality of the popular vote.

Democratic primary

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Governor

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Candidates

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Declared

Declined

Endorsements

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Neil Abercrombie

Individuals

Organizations

David Ige

Individuals

Debates

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Neil
Abercrombie 		David
Ige 		Other Undecided
Ward Research[8] July 21–29, 2014 458 ± 4.6% 36% 54% — 11%
Civil Beat[9] July 24–28, 2014 895 ± 3.3% 41% 51% — 8%
Public Policy Polling[10] July 23–24, 2014 410 ± ? 39% 49% — 12%
Civil Beat[11] June 7–9, 2014 729 ± 3.6% 37% 48% — 15%
SMS Research*[12] March 24–April 25, 2014 1,402 ± 2.6% 42% 28% — 30%
Civil Beat[13] February 12–15, 2014 643 ± 3.9% 37% 37% — 26%
Ward Research[14] January 29–February 3, 2014 528 ± 4.3% 47% 38% — 14%
  • * Internal poll for Neil Abercrombie campaign

Results

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Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Ige—70–80%
  •   Ige—60–70%
  •   Ige—50–60%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Ige 157,050 66.01
Democratic Neil Abercrombie (incumbent) 73,507 30.09
Democratic Van Tanabe 2,622 1.01
Democratic Blank vote 4,614 1.94
Democratic Over vote 124 0.05
Total votes 237,917 100.00

Lieutenant governor

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Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor in 2010 with 37% of the vote and was elected alongside Abercrombie. After the death of U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye in December 2012, Abercrombie appointed Schatz to succeed him in the Senate. Schatz resigned as lieutenant governor and was succeeded by Shan Tsutsui, the president of the Hawaii Senate.[16]

Candidates

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Declared

Results

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Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Tsutsui—70–80%
  •   Tsutsui—50–60%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Shan Tsutsui (incumbent) 120,779 50.77
Democratic Clayton Hee 81,255 34.15
Democratic Mary Zanakis 18,174 7.64
Democratic Miles Shiratori 2,593 1.09
Democratic Sam Puletasi 2,126 0.89
Democratic Blank vote 12,850 5.04
Democratic Over vote 139 0.06
Total votes 237,916 100.00

Republican primary

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Governor

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Candidates

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Declared

Declined

Endorsements

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Duke Aiona

Results

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Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 41,832 94.77
Republican Stuart Todd Gregory 640 1.45
Republican Charles (Trump) Collins 580 1.31
Republican Blank vote 1,054 2.39
Republican Over vote 36 0.08
Total votes 44,142 100.00

Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Declared

  • Elwin Ahu, pastor and former circuit court judge[23]
  • Warner "Kimo" Sutton, businessman[24]

Declined

Results

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Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Elwin Ahu 27,678 62.07
Republican Warner "Kimo" Sutton 11,511 26.08
Republican Blank vote 4,921 11.15
Republican Over vote 32 0.07
Total votes 44,142 100.00

Libertarian nomination

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Governor

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Candidates

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Declared

  • Jeff Davis, solar contractor and radio show host[26]

Results

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Libertarian primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jeff Davis 587 82.56
Libertarian Blank vote 124 17.44
Total votes 711 100.00

Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Declared

  • Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin

Results

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Libertarian primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Cynthia (Lahi) Marlin 555 78.06
Libertarian Blank vote 156 21.94
Total votes 711 100.00

Hawaii Independent primary

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Governor

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Candidates

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Declared

Results

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Independent Party primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Mufi Hannemann 2,103 88.62
Independent Blank vote 269 11.34
Independent Over vote 1 0.04
Total votes 2,373 100.00

Lieutenant governor

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Candidates

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Declared

  • Running mate: Les Chang, former Honolulu parks and recreation director[24]

Results

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Independent Party primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Les Chang 1,370 57.73
Independent Blank vote 1,002 42.23
Independent Over vote 1 0.04
Total votes 2,373 100.00

No Party primary

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Hawaii has strict criteria for independent candidates seeking to participate in the general election.[28] Three of the four candidates were disqualified for not having a running mate. The other candidate also had no running mate, but had already withdrawn from the race. They all still appeared on the ballot, alongside a notice about their status.[29]

Candidates

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Disqualified

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Withdrew

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Results

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Independent primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Misty Davis 201 18.03
Independent Richard Morse 98 8.79
Independent Khis Dejean Caldwell 85 7.62
Independent Joe Spatola 40 3.59
Independent Blank vote 687 61.61
Independent Over vote 4 0.36
Total votes 1,115 100.00

General election

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Debates

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Lean D November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] Likely D November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[32] Lean D November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[33] Likely D November 3, 2014

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		David
Ige (D) 		Duke
Aiona (R) 		Mufi
Hannemann (I) 		Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34] October 16–23, 2014 1,002 ± 6% 54% 22% 5% 0% 19%
Civil Beat[35] October 16–19, 2014 1,221 ± 2.8% 40% 34% 11% 6%[36] 8%
27% 26% — — 47%
Tarrance Group/RGA[37] October 2014 800 ± 3.5% 39% 36% 12% 3%[36] 11%
Ward Research[38] October 11–18, 2014 605 ± 4% 47% 35% 12% 1%[36] 6%
Global Strategy Group[39] October 3–8, 2014 600 ± 4% 45% 33% 10% 2% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[40] September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,319 ± 4% 41% 35% 6% 0% 18%
Civil Beat[41] September 11–14, 2014 1,055 ± 3% 43% 39% 8% 2%[36] 8%
48% 45% — — 7%
Rasmussen Reports[42] September 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 39% 14% 2% 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[43] August 18 – September 2, 2014 655 ± 6% 37% 35% 6% 2% 20%
Ward Research[8] July 21–29, 2014 612 ± 4% 34% 41% 15% — 10%
Civil Beat[11] June 7–9, 2014 1,078 ± 3% 31% 31% 17% — 21%
Ward Research[44] January 29 – February 3, 2014 642 ± 3.9% 34% 51% — — 15%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Neil
Abercrombie (D) 		Duke
Aiona (R) 		Mufi
Hannemann (I) 		Other Undecided
Ward Research[8] July 21–29, 2014 612 ± 4% 30% 45% 14% — 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[45] July 5–24, 2014 1,083 ± 3% 37% 40% — 14% 7%
Civil Beat[11] June 7–9, 2014 1,078 ± 3% 27% 33% 18% — 22%
Ward Research[46] January 29 – February 3, 2014 642 ± 3.9% 40% 48% — — 12%

Results

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2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election[47]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic David Ige 181,106 49.45% −9.16%
Republican Duke Aiona 135,775 37.08% −4.31%
Independent Mufi Hannemann 42,934 11.72% N/A
Libertarian Jeff Davis 6,395 1.75% N/A
Total votes 366,210 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References

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  1. ^ "Hawaii Gov. Neil Abercrombie says he will seek second term". April 29, 2013. Retrieved May 2, 2013.
  2. ^ "Hawaii Gov. Abercrombie gets a primary challenger". The Washington Post. July 9, 2013. Retrieved July 10, 2013.
  3. ^ "Candidate Q&A — Governor of Hawaii: Van Tanabe". Civil Beat. July 9, 2014. Retrieved August 1, 2014.
  4. ^ "Case To Join Outrigger, Says Political Career Likely Over". Honolulu Civil Beat. July 12, 2013. Archived from the original on August 20, 2013. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
  5. ^ "President endorses Abercrombie for re-election". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. December 20, 2013. Retrieved January 18, 2014.
  6. ^ a b c "IBEW backs Governor Abercrombie for Re-Election". Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2013. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  7. ^ a b Kerr, Keoki (November 18, 2013). "Cayetano drops support for Abercrombie, backs Ige". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  8. ^ a b c Ward Research
  9. ^ Civil Beat
  10. ^ Public Policy Polling
  11. ^ a b c Civil Beat
  12. ^ SMS Research*
  13. ^ Civil Beat
  14. ^ Ward Research Archived February 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  15. ^ a b c d e f g h i "Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved October 24, 2014.
  16. ^ Tran, Cam (December 27, 2012). "Tsutsui's promotion causes ripple effect: Senate to vote on new president on opening day". KITV. Archived from the original on January 27, 2013.
  17. ^ "Hee Candidacy Shakes Up Gov and Lt. Gov Races, and Hawaii Senate". Honolulu Civil Beat. May 11, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  18. ^ "Lt. Governor Shan Tsutsui Will Run in 2014". Hawaii Reporter. May 31, 2013. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  19. ^ "Republican Duke Aiona officially enters Hawaii race for governor; race has echoes of 2010". The Republic. May 19, 2014. Archived from the original on May 21, 2014. Retrieved May 20, 2014.
  20. ^ Ian Scheuring (March 21, 2014). "State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run". Hawaii News Now.
  21. ^ Derrick DePledge (January 17, 2014). "'In discussions ...'". Governing. Archived from the original on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
  22. ^ "Boxer Manny Pacquiao endorses Duke Aiona for governor". KITV4. October 14, 2014. Archived from the original on December 9, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  23. ^ "Pastor to seek Republican nomination for lieutenant gov". Honolulu Star Advertiser. February 27, 2014. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  24. ^ a b DePledge, Derrick (June 3, 2014). "Hannemann picks ex-parks chief as gubernatorial running mate". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 30, 2014.
  25. ^ "Pastor seeks GOP nomination for lieutenant governor". Find Law. Retrieved May 13, 2014.
  26. ^ "Jeff 'The Solar Guy' Davis Running for Hawaii Governor". January 9, 2014. Archived from the original on February 22, 2014. Retrieved February 8, 2014.
  27. ^ "Mufi Hannemann announces candidacy for Hawaii governor's race". Hawaii News Now. April 25, 2014. Retrieved April 25, 2014.
  28. ^ "No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot". Ballot Access News. August 10, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  29. ^ a b c d e "Nonpartisans in Hawaii governor race disqualified". West Hawaii Today. June 25, 2014. Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved October 27, 2014.
  30. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  31. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  32. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  33. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  34. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  35. ^ Civil Beat
  36. ^ a b c d Jeff Davis (L)
  37. ^ Tarrance Group/RGA
  38. ^ Ward Research
  39. ^ Global Strategy Group
  40. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  41. ^ Civil Beat
  42. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  43. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  44. ^ Ward Research Archived February 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  45. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  46. ^ Ward Research Archived February 24, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  47. ^ "2014 General election results" (PDF).
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Official campaign websites (Archived)

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