List of polls
Delegate count: 55 Pledged, 5 Unpledged
Winner: Hillary Clinton
Primary date: May 17, 2016
Poll source
Date
1st
2nd
3rd
Other
Official Primary results [ 2]
May 17, 2016
Hillary Clinton 46.8%
Bernie Sanders 46.3%
Others / Uncommitted 6.9%
Public Policy Polling[ 3]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 501
March 1–2, 2016
Hillary Clinton 43%
Bernie Sanders 38%
Others / Undecided 19%
Public Policy Polling[ 4]
Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 610
June 18–21, 2015
Hillary Clinton 56%
Bernie Sanders 12%
Jim Webb 7%
Lincoln Chafee 5%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Not sure 18%
County[ 7]
Clinton
Votes
Sanders
Votes
Adair
49.6%
466
43.7%
410
Allen
46.0%
427
47.4%
440
Anderson
36.0%
1,132
52.4%
1,649
Ballard
32.0%
405
52.0%
659
Barren
37.2%
1,979
49.9%
2,653
Bath
45.6%
628
46.6%
641
Bell
44.7%
567
45.6%
578
Boone
51.8%
2,932
44.1%
2,496
Bourbon
46.5%
1,109
45.6%
1,087
Boyd
44.7%
2,193
46.1%
2,262
Boyle
49.9%
1,648
43.9%
1,451
Bracken
32.5%
251
54.9%
424
Breathitt
33.9%
1,123
51.8%
1,716
Breckinridge
45.9%
877
45.8%
875
Bullitt
44.4%
2,907
49.1%
3,210
Butler
51.1%
238
42.1%
196
Caldwell
34.3%
570
52.1%
866
Calloway
35.8%
1,460
55.0%
2,239
Campbell
48.1%
3,169
47.5%
3,133
Carlisle
25.6%
206
57.5%
462
Carroll
41.5%
481
49.4%
573
Carter
39.1%
800
51.4%
1,051
Casey
50.7%
210
44.0%
182
Christian
50.2%
2,437
39.9%
1,936
Clark
45.5%
1,810
47.5%
1,888
Clay
48.4%
184
41.6%
158
Clinton
57.9%
151
35.6%
93
Crittenden
35.6%
240
51.0%
344
Cumberland
44.8%
78
50.0%
87
Daviess
45.5%
5,066
46.6%
5,188
Edmonson
49.5%
275
47.1%
262
Elliott
35.7%
301
52.6%
443
Estill
47.6%
446
47.0%
440
Fayette
52.8%
20,014
45.0%
17,048
Fleming
40.7%
627
52.3%
806
Floyd
31.4%
2,327
54.1%
4,010
Franklin
45.1%
5,218
46.6%
5,398
Fulton
46.6%
315
36.2%
245
Gallatin
39.5%
260
51.6%
340
Garrard
50.5%
434
45.0%
387
Grant
40.9%
594
49.2%
715
Graves
31.8%
1,631
51.3%
2,631
Grayson
49.9%
705
44.6%
630
Green
40.4%
284
51.2%
360
Greenup
43.8%
1,517
47.7%
1,655
Hancock
42.5%
491
49.7%
573
Hardin
47.8%
4,359
46.2%
4,208
Harlan
25.9%
451
62.8%
1,092
Harrison
41.4%
886
49.5%
1,059
Hart
39.7%
817
51.6%
1,062
Henderson
43.4%
2,887
42.9%
2,850
Henry
40.6%
781
49.8%
958
Hickman
32.5%
209
46.6%
300
Hopkins
32.7%
1,690
52.2%
2,696
Jackson
35.9%
78
59.0%
128
Jefferson
57.3%
64,090
40.3%
45,048
Jessamine
44.2%
1,875
49.8%
2,113
Johnson
32.9%
444
55.5%
749
Kenton
49.0%
5,146
46.5%
4,880
Knott
30.8%
583
58.8%
1,114
Knox
47.9%
520
46.4%
504
LaRue
34.7%
612
51.6%
910
Laurel
49.1%
845
45.9%
791
Lawrence
35.3%
444
52.4%
659
Lee
42.9%
199
48.3%
224
Leslie
43.8%
64
52.7%
77
Letcher
26.7%
838
56.9%
1,788
Lewis
51.7%
211
37.0%
151
Lincoln
47.7%
779
45.5%
742
Livingston
34.4%
400
52.4%
610
Logan
43.8%
1,077
46.0%
1,131
Lyon
40.5%
497
45.7%
561
Madison
41.6%
3,441
53.0%
4,385
Magoffin
42.7%
511
52.3%
626
Marion
50.3%
1,162
42.6%
983
Marshall
34.7%
1,577
50.8%
2,308
Martin
31.2%
104
57.4%
191
Mason
44.1%
727
47.0%
775
McCracken
43.8%
3,334
46.5%
3,541
McCreary
41.9%
169
50.4%
203
McLean
38.1%
477
50.1%
628
Meade
41.9%
1,312
49.2%
1,541
Menifee
44.8%
311
46.5%
323
Mercer
39.1%
988
52.6%
1,331
Metcalfe
41.7%
506
47.9%
582
Monroe
50.8%
126
44.0%
109
Montgomery
45.8%
1,289
47.0%
1,322
Morgan
31.6%
544
57.3%
988
Muhlenberg
43.3%
1,544
45.7%
1,632
Nelson
47.6%
2,395
46.6%
2,345
Nicholas
42.2%
353
50.2%
420
Ohio
41.3%
778
50.0%
943
Oldham
52.4%
2,730
44.4%
2,315
Owen
34.6%
453
55.0%
720
Owsley
43.3%
77
51.1%
91
Pendleton
36.6%
388
51.5%
546
Perry
30.0%
839
59.6%
1,666
Pike
26.1%
2,335
54.3%
4,848
Powell
42.4%
623
50.7%
744
Pulaski
47.4%
1,169
46.6%
1,148
Robertson
32.0%
95
59.6%
177
Rockcastle
45.7%
238
48.8%
254
Rowan
44.0%
1,170
51.2%
1,363
Russell
48.2%
343
46.7%
332
Scott
48.6%
2,505
46.4%
2,394
Shelby
47.8%
2,195
44.5%
2,044
Simpson
45.9%
708
45.1%
695
Spencer
42.7%
673
51.2%
806
Taylor
50.3%
949
44.8%
844
Todd
35.1%
333
53.5%
507
Trigg
40.8%
604
48.3%
715
Trimble
38.3%
415
50.0%
542
Union
29.9%
672
49.3%
1,106
Warren
44.9%
4,829
49.9%
5,365
Washington
47.0%
601
45.5%
582
Wayne
55.6%
502
39.4%
356
Webster
28.7%
693
48.5%
1,169
Whitley
52.5%
522
41.1%
409
Wolfe
42.1%
414
50.7%
499
Woodford
46.3%
1,862
47.7%
1,918
Total
46.8%
212,550
46.3%
210,626
Clinton's strength with conservative white voters in the Appalachia region, including Coal Country, had clearly regressed since 2008; she had beaten Barack Obama 65–29 in Kentucky eight years earlier, and only beat rival Bernie Sanders 47–46 in 2016. She ran strongly in Louisville , where the African American population is highest, but lost many of the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield counties in the state to Bernie Sanders, who had won a large victory in neighboring West Virginia the week prior. Sanders also won many counties in the Jackson Purchase area. Notably, in 2012, almost all of the Sanders counties voted for the "Uncommitted" ballot option in a protest vote against Obama.