List of marginal seats before the 2019 United Kingdom general election
(Redirected from List of target seats in the 2019 United Kingdom general election)
The 2019 general election was held on 12 December 2019. These were the target seats for each of the political parties, according to results from the previous election in 2017.[1]
List by party
editConservative
edit| Conservative target seats[3] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Perth and North Perthshire | SNP | 0.02% | SNP | ||
| 2 | Kensington | Labour | 0.03% | Conservative | ||
| 3 | Dudley North | Labour | 0.03% | Conservative | ||
| 4 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Labour | 0.03% | Conservative | ||
| 5 | Crewe and Nantwich | Labour | 0.04% | Conservative | ||
| 6 | Canterbury | Labour | 0.16% | Labour | ||
| 7 | Barrow and Furness | Labour | 0.22% | Conservative | ||
| 8 | Keighley | Labour | 0.24% | Conservative | ||
| 9 | Lanark and Hamilton East | SNP | 0.26% | SNP | ||
| 10 | Ashfield | Labour | 0.44% | Conservative | ||
| 11 | Stroud | Labour | 0.54% | Conservative | ||
| 12 | Bishop Auckland | Labour | 0.58% | Conservative | ||
| 13 | Peterborough | Labour | 0.64% | Conservative | ||
| 14 | Oxford West and Abingdon | Liberal Democrats | 0.68% | Liberal Democrats | ||
| 15 | Westmorland and Lonsdale | Liberal Democrats | 0.75% | Liberal Democrats | ||
| 16 | Colne Valley | Labour | 0.76% | Conservative | ||
| 17 | Ipswich | Labour | 0.81% | Conservative | ||
| 18 | Bedford | Labour | 0.81% | Labour | ||
| 19 | Stockton South | Labour | 0.82% | Conservative | ||
| 20 | Edinburgh South West | SNP | 1.11% | SNP | ||
Labour
edit| Labour target seats[4] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Southampton Itchen | Conservative | 0.03% | Conservative | ||
| 2 | Glasgow South West | SNP | 0.08% | SNP | ||
| 3 | Glasgow East | SNP | 0.10% | SNP | ||
| 4 | Arfon | Plaid Cymru | 0.16% | Plaid Cymru | ||
| 5 | Airdrie and Shotts | SNP | 0.26% | SNP | ||
| 6 | Pudsey | Conservative | 0.31% | Conservative | ||
| 7 | Hastings and Rye | Conservative | 0.32% | Conservative | ||
| 8 | Chipping Barnet | Conservative | 0.32% | Conservative | ||
| 9 | Thurrock | Conservative | 0.34% | Conservative | ||
| 10 | Lanark and Hamilton East | SNP | 0.36% | SNP | ||
| 11 | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Conservative | 0.37% | Conservative | ||
| 12 | Motherwell and Wishaw | SNP | 0.38% | SNP | ||
| 13 | Inverclyde | SNP | 0.49% | SNP | ||
| 14 | Calder Valley | Conservative | 0.52% | Conservative | ||
| 15 | Norwich North | Conservative | 0.55% | Conservative | ||
| 16 | Broxtowe | Conservative | 0.78% | Conservative | ||
| 17 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Conservative | 0.80% | Conservative | ||
| 18 | Telford | Conservative | 0.81% | Conservative | ||
| 19 | Dunfermline and West Fife | SNP | 0.83% | SNP | ||
| 20 | Bolton West | Conservative | 0.92% | Conservative | ||
Liberal Democrat
edit| Lib Dem target seats[5] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | North East Fife | SNP | 0.00% | Liberal Democrats | ||
| 2 | Richmond Park | Conservative | 0.04% | Liberal Democrats | ||
| 3 | Ceredigion | Plaid Cymru | 0.13% | Plaid Cymru | ||
| 4 | St Ives | Conservative | 0.30% | Conservative | ||
| 5 | Sheffield Hallam | Labour | 1.86% | Labour | ||
| 6 | Cheltenham | Conservative | 2.25% | Conservative | ||
| 7 | North Devon | Conservative | 3.89% | Conservative | ||
| 8 | Cheadle | Conservative | 4.13% | Conservative | ||
| 9 | Leeds North West | Labour | 4.56% | Labour | ||
| 10 | Lewes | Conservative | 5.08% | Conservative | ||
SNP
edit| SNP target seats[6] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Stirling | Conservative | 0.15% | SNP | ||
| 2 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Labour | 0.26% | SNP | ||
| 3 | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Labour | 0.28% | SNP | ||
| 4 | Glasgow North East | Labour | 0.38% | SNP | ||
| 5 | Midlothian | Labour | 0.98% | SNP | ||
| 6 | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Labour | 1.76% | SNP | ||
| 7 | Gordon | Conservative | 2.43% | SNP | ||
| 8 | East Lothian | Labour | 2.76% | SNP | ||
| 9 | Edinburgh West | Liberal Democrats | 2.83% | Liberal Democrats | ||
| 10 | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Conservative | 3.00% | SNP | ||
Plaid Cymru
edit| Plaid Cymru targets[7] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Ynys Môn | Labour | 7.23% | Conservative | ||
| 2 | Llanelli | Labour | 17.62% | Labour | ||
| 3 | Blaenau Gwent | Labour | 18.38% | Labour | ||
| 4 | Caerphilly | Labour | 20.01% | Labour | ||
| 5 | Rhondda | Labour | 20.87% | Labour | ||
Brexit Party
edit| Brexit Party target seats[8] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Hartlepool | Labour | n/a | Labour | ||
Green Party of England and Wales
edit| Green Party target seats[9] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Bristol West | Labour | 26.5% | Labour | ||
Democratic Unionist Party
edit| Democratic Unionist Party target seats[10] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | North Down | Independent | 1.6% | Alliance | ||
Ulster Unionist Party
edit| Ulster Unionist Party target seats[11][12] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Sinn Féin | 0.8% | Sinn Féin | ||
| 2 | South Antrim | DUP | 3.7% | DUP | ||
SDLP
edit| Social Democratic and Labour Party target seats[13][14] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Belfast South | DUP | 2.3% | SDLP | ||
| 2 | South Down | Sinn Féin | 2.4% | Sinn Féin | ||
Sinn Féin
edit| Sinn Féin target seats[15] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Constituency | Winning party 2017 | Swing required |
Winning party 2019 | ||
| 1 | Belfast North | DUP | 2.3% | Sinn Féin | ||
References
edit- ^ Barnes, Peter; Jeavans, Christine (13 November 2019). "Where are the seats that could turn the election?". BBC News.
- ^ Jones, Ian (16 January 2024). "List of general election top target seats, by party". Evening Standard. Retrieved 4 May 2024.
- ^ "Conservative Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Archived from the original on 11 October 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
- ^ "Labour Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Archived from the original on 31 March 2018. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
- ^ "Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
- ^ "SNP Target Seats 2019 - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
- ^ "Plaid Cymru Target Seats 2019". www.electionpolling.co.uk. Retrieved 11 November 2019.
- ^ Proctor, Kate; Perraudin, Frances (5 December 2019). "Farage hits out at three MEPs who quit Brexit party to back Tories" – via www.theguardian.com.
- ^ Drennan, Sue (2 December 2019). "Bristol West: What you need to know for the 2019 General Election". The Bristol Cable.
- ^ "DUP targetting North Down seat in December election". 11 November 2019 – via www.rte.ie.
- ^ "Upper Bann constituency profile: Five-party target but two-party choice?". BBC News. 26 November 2019.
- ^ "The Northern Ireland seats where Brexit and tactical votes will be a gamechanger". inews.co.uk. 8 November 2019.
- ^ "South Belfast constituency profile: The DUP seat most under threat". BBC News. 22 November 2019.
- ^ McGrath, Dominic. "Here's a list of MPs elected in Northern Ireland". TheJournal.ie.
- ^ "A seat-by-seat guide to the general election in Northern Ireland". The Independent. 4 December 2019.