Wikipedia

Medirigiriya Polling Division

The Medirigiriya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Polonnaruwa Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Medirigiriya
Polling Division
Location of Medirigiriya
Coordinates: 8°07′43″N 81°02′02″E / 8.128672°N 81.033933°E / 8.128672; 81.033933
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictPolonnaruwa Electoral District
Area
 • Total
740.87 km2 (286.05 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
102,027
 • Density138/km2 (360/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-18B

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Medirigiriya has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Medirigiriya is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Medirigiriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.80% SLPP 0.81%
2015 NDF NDF 3.92% NDF 2.43%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.21% UPFA 5.48%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.57% UPFA 0.65%
1999 PA PA 1.27% PA 0.82%
1994 PA PA 2.22% PA 5.46%
1988 UNP UNP 8.42% UNP 12.01%
1982 UNP UNP 1.58% UNP 5.05%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 8/8 2.75% 8/8 4.09%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[4] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 34,022 51.44% 147,340 53.01% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 28,324 42.82% 112,473 40.47% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,734 4.13% 12,284 4.42% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,064 1.61% 5,827 2.10% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 66,144 99.37% 277,924 99.09% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 417 0.63% 2,563 0.91% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 66,561 85.89% 280,487 85.92% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 77,499 326,443 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[5] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,875 53.89% 147,974 57.80% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 27,623 45.28% 105,640 41.27% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 509 0.83% 2,382 0.93% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 61,007 99.50% 255,996 99.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 307 0.50% 1,790 0.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 61,314 79.11% 257,786 80.22% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 77,505 321,338 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[6] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,613 63.74% 144,889 64.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 18,979 34.95% 75,026 33.62% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 710 1.31% 3,260 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 54,302 99.49% 223,175 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 281 0.51% 1,472 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 54,583 75.39% 224,647 76.26% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 72,402 294,583 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[7] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,230 51.00% 110,499 52.61% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 25,533 47.83% 97,142 46.25% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 625 1.17% 2,389 1.14% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 53,388 99.25% 210,030 99.06% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 402 0.75% 2,002 0.94% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 53,790 77.70% 212,032 78.07% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 69,230 271,609 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[8] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,395 50.72% 88,663 51.55% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 20,345 44.10% 72,598 42.21% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,709 3.70% 8,020 4.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 680 1.47% 2,726 1.58% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 46,129 98.43% 172,007 98.20% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 736 1.57% 3,151 1.80% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 46,865 77.89% 175,158 78.11% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 60,171 224,239 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[9] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,977 56.86% 88,907 59.08% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,588 41.71% 59,287 39.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 603 1.43% 2,281 1.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 42,168 97.76% 150,475 97.43% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 965 2.24% 3,966 2.57% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 43,133 78.05% 154,441 75.73% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 55,264 203,940 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[10] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 6,592 64.31% 26,392 55.54% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 3,497 34.12% 20,173 42.45% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 161 1.57% 957 2.01% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 10,250 95.81% 47,522 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 448 4.19% 1,157 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 10,698 21.95% 48,679 29.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,728 164,213 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Medirigiriya[11] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,324 58.03% 59,414 56.26% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 11,777 33.63% 37,243 35.26% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,736 7.81% 8,138 7.71% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 186 0.53% 820 0.78% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 35,023 99.12% 105,615 99.00% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 312 0.88% 1,064 1.00% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 35,335 81.72% 106,679 82.81% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 43,240 128,822 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Medirigiriya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Medirigiriya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Medirigiriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.54% UNP 3.02%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.50% UPFA 3.90%
2004 UPFA UPFA 2.27% UPFA 6.83%
2001 UNP UNP 1.85% UNP 3.07%
2000 UNP UNP 0.62% PA 3.19%
1994 PA PA 1.73% PA 2.83%
1989 UNP UNP 7.07% UNP 11.47%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.51% 7/7 4.90%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[14] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,256 50.26% 118,845 50.30% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 25,151 44.74% 103,172 43.67% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,647 4.71% 13,497 5.71% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 162 0.29% 765 0.32% 44,633 0.40%
Valid Votes 56,216 96.63% 236,279 96.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,919 3.30% 8,654 3.53% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 58,176 75.06% 245,116 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 77,505 307,125 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[15] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,794 65.86% 118,694 69.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,572 30.90% 45,732 26.68% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,199 2.95% 6,457 3.77% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.29% 515 0.30% 53,515 0.67%
Valid Votes 40,681 91.80% 171,398 92.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,613 8.15% 14,798 7.94% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 44,313 61.20% 186,269 63.10% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 72,402 295,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[16] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,114 55.26% 106,243 57.36% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 20,522 43.42% 75,664 40.85% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 624 1.32% 3,303 1.78% 607,063 6.57%
Valid Votes 47,260 93.94% 185,210 93.57% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,035 6.03% 12,673 6.40% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 50,311 75.54% 197,934 77.91% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 66,605 254,061 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[17] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,450 50.44% 86,786 47.82% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 19,149 39.50% 73,679 40.60% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,355 8.98% 18,956 10.44% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 524 1.08% 2,076 1.14% 118,404 1.32%
Valid Votes 48,478 95.28% 181,497 93.87% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,401 4.72% 11,854 6.13% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 50,879 80.10% 193,351 80.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 63,518 240,444 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[18] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,213 47.30% 82,399 46.33% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 21,075 44.88% 80,023 44.99% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 2,135 4.55% 11,161 6.27% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,048 2.23% 1,977 1.11% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 486 1.03% 2,311 1.30% 239,322 2.78%
Valid Votes 46,957 N/A 177,871 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[19] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,287 49.69% 82,438 51.18% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 22,261 49.63% 76,706 47.62% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 308 0.69% 1,934 1.20% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 44,856 96.50% 161,078 96.16% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,626 3.50% 6,434 3.84% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 46,482 84.11% 167,512 82.06% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 55,264 204,138 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Medirigiriya[20] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 8,631 70.57% 43,473 62.33% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 3,384 27.67% 23,221 33.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 148 1.21% 1,933 2.77% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 67 0.55% 1,117 1.60% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 12,230 92.73% 69,744 92.98% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 959 7.27% 5,266 7.02% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 13,189 27.21% 75,010 45.81% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 48,477 163,745 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Medirigiriya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (88.6%) and a significant Moor population (11.3%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Medirigiriya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) [1]

Ethnicity in Medirigiriya[1]

  Sinhalese (88.6%)
  Moor (11.3%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

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The Medirigiriya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (88.1%) and a significant Muslim population (11.3%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Medirigiriya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (89.7%) [1]

Religion in Medirigiriya[1]

  Buddhist (88.1%)
  Muslim (11.3%)
  Other (0.5%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Medirigiriya and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Medirigiriya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Medirigiriya and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Medirigiriya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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