2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election
The 2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2003, to elect the governor of the U.S. state of Mississippi. Former Republican National Committee chairman Haley Barbour defeated incumbent Democrat Ronnie Musgrove by a margin of 6.78%.
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 County results Barbour: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Musgrove: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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As of 2024, the election remains the most expensive Mississippi gubernatorial election in state history, with over $18 million having been spent between Barbour and Musgrove.[1] An additional $5 million was spent by the Republican Governors Association, mostly on television advertising. Barbour's victory in the election made him only the second Republican governor of Mississippi since Reconstruction.[2] It was also the last time the governorships of Mississippi and neighboring Louisiana simultaneously flipped to the opposite political party as of 2024.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
edit- Gilbert Fountain, perennial candidate
- Elder McClendon
- Ronnie Musgrove, incumbent Governor of Mississippi
- Katie Perrone
- Catherine Starr, activist
Campaign
editMusgrove was elected governor in 1999 after a very close election against Michael Parker. As neither candidate had obtained a majority in the election, Musgrove was chosen as governor by the Democratic controlled Mississippi House of Representatives.[2]
As governor, Musgrove had difficulties with the state's legislators. He vetoed the whole budget one year but was overridden by the legislature. However, Musgrove campaigned on having secured the largest pay raise for teachers in the state's history.[3]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ronnie Musgrove (incumbent) | 392,264 | 75.82 | |
| Democratic | Gilbert Fountain | 39,685 | 7.67 | |
| Democratic | Elder McClendon | 30,421 | 5.88 | |
| Democratic | Katie Perrone | 28,154 | 5.44 | |
| Democratic | Catherine M. Starr | 26,821 | 5.18 | |
| Total votes | 517,345 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
edit- Haley Barbour, Chairman of Republican National Committee, political consultant, Republican nominee for the United States Senate in 1982
- Mitch Tyner, attorney
Campaign
editBarbour, a former advisor in the White House during the presidency of Ronald Reagan and Chairman of the Republican National Committee from 1993 to 1996, announced that he would run for governor on February 17, 2003. He had previously failed to be elected to the U.S. Senate for Mississippi in 1982, and in 2002 he travelled the state for several months to gauge support for his gubernatorial bid.[5]
Endorsements
editSteve Ballmer, President (1998-2000) and CEO (2000-2014) of Microsoft[6]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Haley Barbour | 158,284 | 83.21 | |
| Republican | Mitch Tyner | 31,768 | 16.70 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 171 | 0.09 | |
| Total votes | 190,223 | 100.00 | ||
General election
editCampaign
editMusgrove campaigned as an independent and conservative candidate, downplaying his membership in the Democratic Party and avoiding inviting any national figures to support him.[3] He criticized Barbour for being a lobbyist for the tobacco and pharmaceutical industries.[8] A key message of Musgrove's campaign was that Barbour's support for free trade would cost jobs in Mississippi.[9]
Barbour attacked Musgrove for his flawed leadership of the state, blaming him for the state of the economy of Mississippi.[8] He was helped by the President, George W. Bush, who made three trips to the state to support Barbour.[2] Several other leading Republican figures came to Mississippi to support Barbour including Dick Cheney, Jeb Bush and Rudy Giuliani.[3]
A poll in October 2003 showed Barbour having a narrow lead, with 50% saying they would vote for him as against 45% for Musgrove.[3] However another poll at the beginning of November showed Musgrove with 42% against 41% for Barbour and both sides regarded turnout as key to the election.[9]
Exit polls showed that black voters made up a third of the vote and 94% of them backed Musgrove. However among white voters 77% backed Barbour and a quarter of voters who supported Musgrove in his first election in 1999 now backed Barbour.[10]
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato [11] |
Tossup | September 2, 2003 |
Results
edit| Candidate | Party | Popular vote | Electoral vote | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Haley Barbour | Republican Party | 470,404 | 52.59 | 76 | 62.30 | |
| Ronnie Musgrove (incumbent) | Democratic Party | 409,787 | 45.81 | 46 | 37.70 | |
| John Cripps | Constitution Party | 6,317 | 0.71 | |||
| Shawn O'Hara | Reform Party | 4,070 | 0.46 | |||
| Sherman Lee Dillon | Green Party | 3,909 | 0.44 | |||
| Total | 894,487 | 100.00 | 122 | 100.00 | ||
| Source: Mississippi Secretary of State | ||||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Copiah (largest city: Hazlehurst)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Alcorn (largest city: Corinth)
- Amite (largest city: Gloster)
- Greene (largest municipality: Leakesville)
- Grenada (largest municipality: Grenada)
- Itawamba (largest municipality: Fulton)
- Lafayette (largest city: Oxford)
- Lee (largest municipality: Tupelo)
- Montgomery (largest city: Winona)
- Oktibbeha (largest city: Starkville)
- Tate (largest city: Sentobia)
- Tippah (largest municipality: Ripley)
- Tishomingo (largest city: Iuka)
- Union (largest municipality: New Albany)
- Wayne (largest municipality: Waynesboro)
- Winston (largest city: Louisville)
- Yazoo (largest city: Yazoo City)
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ "Miss. governor race eyed as '04 harbinger - The Boston Globe". archive.boston.com. Retrieved July 14, 2018.
- ^ a b c Janofsky, Michael (November 5, 2003). "Republicans Win Top Posts In Mississippi and Kentucky". The New York Times. Retrieved May 14, 2008.
- ^ a b c d "Barbour's bid for Mississippi governor draws GOP heavyweights". CNN. October 28, 2003. Archived from the original on November 23, 2007. Retrieved May 14, 2008.
- ^ "Official Recapitulation of votes cast in the Democratic Party primary held in the State of Mississippi on the 5th day of August, 2003" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State.
- ^ "Barbour launches bid for Mississippi governor". CNN. February 17, 2003. Archived from the original on November 17, 2004. Retrieved May 14, 2008.
- ^ "OpenSecrets". Retrieved February 19, 2024.
- ^ "Official Recapitulation of votes cast in the Republican Party primary held in the State of Mississippi on the 5th day of August, 2003" (PDF). Mississippi Secretary of State.
- ^ a b "Democrats lose Kentucky, Mississippi governorships". CNN. November 5, 2003. Archived from the original on November 30, 2007. Retrieved May 14, 2008.
- ^ a b Radelat, Ana (November 2, 2003). "Miss. governor's race looks tight". USA Today. Retrieved May 14, 2008.
- ^ "Survey data help explain GOP victories in Kentucky, Mississippi". CNN. November 10, 2003. Archived from the original on December 8, 2007. Retrieved May 14, 2008.
- ^ "Labor Day – One Year Out". Sabato's Crystal Ball. September 2, 2003.