Wikipedia

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas

(Redirected from Natalie James (politician))

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2022 Arkansas Senate election.

The 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the state of Arkansas. Incumbent Republican Senator John Boozman ran for a third term.[1] He won the May 24, 2022 Republican primary with 58.03% of the vote and the general election with 65.73% of the vote.[2]

2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas
← 2016 November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08) 2028 →
Turnout50.81% Decrease
 
Nominee John Boozman Natalie James
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 592,437 280,187
Percentage 65.73% 31.09%
Boozman:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
James:      50–60%
U.S. senator before election

John Boozman
Republican

Elected U.S. senator

John Boozman
Republican

This was the best performance for a Republican senator in the state's history, and was the first time for either U.S. Senate seat in Arkansas that Republicans won three consecutive elections.

Republican primary

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Incumbent senator John Boozman ran with the endorsement of former President Donald Trump. However, he attracted multiple opponents from the right who questioned his loyalty to Trump, attacking him for refusing to object to the results of the 2020 United States presidential election.[3] Despite it being his first time running for office, former NFL football player Jake Bequette and his supporting groups raised over $2.6 million.[4] Boozman ultimately won with 58% of the vote, easily avoiding a runoff.

Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrew

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  • Michael Deel, corporate analyst[8]

Endorsements

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John Boozman

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

Organizations

Jake Bequette

U.S. Representatives

Individuals

  • Stuart Scheller, former lt. colonel[16]

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 4, 2022
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Boozman (R) $5,515,449 $4,930,354 $1,580,776
Jake Bequette (R) $1,262,746 $875,103 $375,720
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jake
Bequette 		John
Boozman 		Heath
Loftis 		Jan
Morgan 		Undecided
Hendrix College[18] May 2, 2022 802 (LV) ± 4.3% 19% 45% 2% 17% 18%

Results

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Results by county:
  Boozman
  •   40-50%
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Boozman (incumbent) 201,677 58.03%
Republican Jake Bequette 71,809 20.66%
Republican Jan Morgan 65,958 18.98%
Republican Heath Loftis 8,112 2.33%
Total votes 347,556 100.0%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Natalie James, realtor[20]

Eliminated in primary

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  • Jack Foster, former Pine Bluff city alderman[21]
  • Dan Whitfield, blue collar worker and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[22]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Jack
Foster 		Natalie
James 		Dan
Whitfield 		Undecided
Hendrix College[18] May 2, 2022 597 (LV) ± 5.0% 5% 17% 15% 63%

Results

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Results by county:
  James
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  James/Whitfield tie
  •   40–50%
  Whitfield
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Foster
  •   30–40%
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Natalie James 49,722 54.09%
Democratic Dan Whitfield 28,319 30.80%
Democratic Jack Foster 13,891 15.11%
Total votes 91,932 100.0%

Libertarian convention

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Candidates

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Nominated at convention

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  • Kenneth Cates, firefighter[23]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[25] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[27] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[28] Safe R February 24, 2022
Fox News[29] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[30] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[31] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[32] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

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John Boozman (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

Organizations

Natalie James (D)

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		John
Boozman (R) 		Natalie
James (D) 		Other Undecided
Hendrix College[36] September 12, 2022 835 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 31% 5% [b] 21%
Echelon Insights[37] August 31 – September 7, 2022 382 (RV) ± 7.7% 56% 32% – 12%

Results

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2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas[38]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Boozman (incumbent) 592,437 65.73% +5.96%
Democratic Natalie James 280,187 31.09% −5.08%
Libertarian Kenneth Cates 28,682 3.18% −0.78%
Total votes 901,306 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Boozman won all 4 congressional districts.[39]

District Boozman James Representative
1st 72% 25% Rick Crawford
2nd 59% 38% French Hill
3rd 63% 33% Steve Womack
4th 70% 27% Bruce Westerman

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Cates with 5%

References

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  1. ^ a b "Senator Boozman seeks re-election in 2022". Southwest Times Record. March 15, 2021. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
  2. ^ "AP PROJECTS: Republican John Boozman wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Arkansas". ky3. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. ^ "Boozman blasted for private remarks about Trump". April 5, 2022.
  4. ^ "Senate Candidate Jake Bequette and Supporting Groups Raise over $2.6 Million to Date".
  5. ^ "Former NFL player, Iraq war veteran Jake Bequette challenges Arkansas Sen. Boozman". Fox News. July 12, 2021. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
  6. ^ "Another challenger to John Boozman from the right". Arkansas Times. March 24, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
  7. ^ "Former gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan launches U.S. Senate bid". Arkansas Democrat Gazette. March 17, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  8. ^ Staff Reports. "Young Republican Michael Deel makes bid for U.S. Senate". Southwest Times Record. Retrieved May 10, 2021.
  9. ^ a b c d Frank E. Lockwood (March 18, 2021). "Gun-rights activist Jan Morgan kicks off Senate run". Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette.
  10. ^ a b "Donald Trump endorses Sen. John Boozman for reelection". FoxNews. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  11. ^ a b Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.
  12. ^ "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  13. ^ a b "John Boozman Endorsements".
  14. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "Republican congressmen endorse Sen. Boozman's primary opponent". January 18, 2022.
  16. ^ https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=915738115796020 [user-generated source]
  17. ^ "2022 Election United States Senate - Arkansas". Federal Election Commission.
  18. ^ a b Hendrix College
  19. ^ a b "2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".
  20. ^ Staff, A. M. P. (June 14, 2021). "Democrat Natalie James Announces for U.S. Senate". AMP. Retrieved June 15, 2021.
  21. ^ "Foster to run for US senate". Arkansas Democratic Gazette. April 10, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
  22. ^ "Dan Whitfield to run against Boozman for US Senate seat in 2022". KFSM. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  23. ^ "Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor". Talk Business & Politics. February 21, 2022.
  24. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  25. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  26. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  27. ^ "Arkansas Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  28. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  29. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  30. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  31. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  32. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  33. ^ "Natalie James Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Fight for Arkansas Communities in the Senate". October 19, 2022.
  34. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
  35. ^ "2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  36. ^ Hendrix College
  37. ^ Echelon Insights
  38. ^ "2022 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff Election".
  39. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
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Official campaign websites

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