Opinion polling for the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
Background
edit
| Active campaign | Exploratory committee | Democratic National Convention | |||
| Withdrawn candidate | Primaries |
Opinion polling
editAggregate polls
edit| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Dean Phillips | Marianne Williamson | Other/undecided[a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win[1] | January 25 – February 14, 2024 | February 18, 2024 | 74.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.2% | Biden +66.2 |
| FiveThirtyEight[2] | through February 14, 2024 | February 18, 2024 | 75.1% | 6.9% | – | 18.0% | Biden +68.2 |
| Race to the WH[3] | through January 29, 2024 | February 2, 2024 | 71.9% | – | 7.2% | 20.9% | Biden +64.7 |
| Real Clear Polling[4] | December 26, 2023 – February 14, 2024 | February 18, 2024 | 72.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 15.6% | Biden +65.7 |
| Average | 73.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 13.4% | Biden +66.1 | ||
Polling with declared candidates
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Joe Biden |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) |
Dean Phillips |
Marianne Williamson |
Other | Undecided | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia, Mississippi, the Northern Mariana Islands, Washington, and abroad primaries held. President Joe Biden secures a majority of pledged delegates and becomes the presumptive Democratic nominee. | |||||||||
| Dean Phillips suspends his campaign. Hawaii caucus held. | |||||||||
| Emerson College[5] | March 5–6, 2024 | 540 (LV) | 77.4% | – | 3.8% | 3.4% | – | 15.4% | Biden +73.6% |
| Super Tuesday held. | |||||||||
| TIPP/Issues & Insights[6] | February 28 – March 1, 2024 | 603 (RV) | 76% | – | 9% | – | 3% | 12% | Biden +67% |
| New York Times/Siena College[7] | February 25–28, 2024 | 224 (RV) | 79% | – | 10% | 0% | 1% | 10% | Biden +69% |
| Marianne Williamson relaunches her campaign. | |||||||||
| HarrisX/Forbes[8] | February 24–28, 2024 | 1,076 (RV) | 74% | – | 7% | – | 10% | 8% | Biden +67% |
| Michigan primary held. | |||||||||
| HarrisX[9] | February 20–23, 2024 | 1,070 (RV) | 72% | – | 7% | – | 12% | 8% | Biden +65% |
| Quinnipiac[10] | February 15–19, 2024 | 624 (RV) | 80% | – | 15% | – | 2% | 4% | Biden +65% |
| Marquette University Law School[11] | February 5–15, 2024 | 356 (RV) | 66% | – | 2% | 6% | – | 27% | Biden +60% |
| Emerson College[12] | February 13–14, 2024 | 489 (LV) | 74.3% | – | 8.7% | – | – | 17.1% | Biden +66% |
| Echelon Insights[13] | February 12–14, 2024 | 484 (LV) | 78% | – | 8% | – | 2% | 12% | Biden +70% |
| Marianne Williamson suspends her campaign. | |||||||||
| Nevada primary held. | |||||||||
| South Carolina primary held. | |||||||||
| TIPP/Issues & Insights[14] | January 31 – February 2, 2024 | 542 (RV) | 70% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 17% | Biden +65% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[15] | January 25–31, 2024 | 425 (LV) | 67% | – | 2% | 9% | – | 23% | Biden +58% |
| Emerson College[16] | January 26–29, 2024 | 472 (LV) | 72.3% | – | 4.4% | 4.2% | – | 19.1% | Biden +67.9% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News[17] | January 25–29, 2024 | 475 (RV) | 74% | – | 3% | 4% | 2% | 18% | Biden +70% |
| Quinnipiac University[18] | January 25–29, 2024 | 693 (RV) | 78% | – | 6% | 11% | – | – | Biden +67% |
| New Hampshire primary held. | |||||||||
| HarrisX/The Messenger[19] | January 17–21, 2024 | – | 66% | – | 5% | 6% | 10% | 14% | Biden +60% |
| Echelon Insights[20] | January 16–18, 2024 | 499 (LV) | 69% | – | 3% | 3% | 7% | 17% | Biden +66% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[21] | January 18, 2024 | 546 (LV) | 77% | – | 3% | 2% | 6% | 12% | Biden +74% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger[22] | January 16–17, 2024 | 350 (RV) | 69% | – | 4% | 9% | 8% | 11% | Biden +60% |
| Issues & Insights/TIPP[23] | January 3–5, 2024 | 597 (LV) | 69% | – | 4% | 5% | – | – | Biden +64% |
| USA Today/Suffolk[24] | December 26–29, 2023 | 278 (LV) | 73.74% | – | 2.16% | 8.99% | – | 14.75% | Biden +64.75% |
| Morning Consult[25] | December 22–24, 2023 | 800 (RV) | 81% | – | 1% | 2% | – | 16% | Biden +79% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[26] | December 13–19, 2023 | 446 (LV) | 69% | – | 5% | 6% | – | 20% | Biden +63% |
| Quinnipiac University[27] | December 14–18, 2023 | 683 (RV) | 75% | – | 5% | 13% | 1% | 5% | Biden +62% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News[28] | December 14–18, 2023 | 458 (RV) | 68% | – | 3% | 4% | – | 22% | Biden +64% |
| Echelon Insights[29] | December 12–16, 2023 | 449 (LV) | 65% | – | 2% | 8% | 8% | 17% | Biden +57% |
| Monmouth University/Washington Post[30] | December 7–11, 2023 | 460 (LV) | 79% | – | 5% | 9% | 2%[b] | 6% | Biden +70% |
| Emerson College[31] | December 4–6, 2023 | 402 (RV) | 63.3% | – | 2.3% | 4.8% | – | 29.6% | Biden +58.5% |
| Big Village[32] | November 27 – December 3, 2023 | 1,012 (LV) | 70.4% | – | 7.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | – | Biden +57.5% |
| TIPP/Issues & Insights[33] | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | – | 61% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 26% | Biden +56% |
| Harris X/The Messenger[34] | November 22–28, 2023 | 1,399 (RV) | 65% | – | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | Biden +57% |
| Emerson College[35] | November 17–20, 2023 | 599 (LV) | 65.8% | – | 2.0% | 4.8% | – | 27.4% | Biden +61.0% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[36] | November 16–20, 2023 | 440 (LV) | 66% | – | 3% | 9% | – | 22% | Biden +57% |
| Harris X/The Messenger[37] | November 15–19, 2023 | 1,066 (RV) | 65% | – | 4% | 5% | 11% | 15% | Biden +60% |
| Echelon Insights[38] | November 14–17, 2023 | 482 (LV) | 67% | – | 5% | 6% | 4% | 18% | Biden +61% |
| NBC News[39] | November 10–14, 2023 | 311 (RV) | 77% | – | 4% | 12% | 7% | – | Biden +65% |
| Fox News[40] | November 10–13, 2023 | 386 (RV) | 72% | – | 3% | 13% | – | – | Biden +59% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News[41] | November 9–13, 2023 | 461 (RV) | 64% | – | 4% | 4% | – | 26% | Biden +60% |
| Quinnipiac[42] | November 9–13, 2023 | 666 (RV) | 74% | – | 4% | 12% | 4%[c] | 5% | Biden +62% |
| Lord Ashcroft Polls[43] | November 1–11, 2023 | 3,386 (LV) | 70% | – | 4% | 6% | 0% | 20% | Biden +64% |
| Big Village[44] | October 30 – November 5, 2023 | 642 (LV) | 71.4% | – | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | – | Biden +60.3% |
| TIPP Insights[45] | November 1–3, 2023 | 1,282 (RV) | 72% | – | 4% | 4% | – | 20% | Biden +68% |
| Morning Consult[46] | October 30 – November 2, 2023 | 789 (LV) | 73% | – | 4% | 4% | – | 19% | Biden +69% |
| CNN/SSRS[47] | October 27 – November 2, 2023 | 562 (RV) | 71% | – | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | Biden +61% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger[48] | October 30 – November 1, 2023 | 725 (RV) | 73% | – | 4% | 5% | 9%[d] | 10% | Biden +68% |
| Quinnipiac[49] | October 26–30, 2023 | 695 (RV) | 77% | – | 6% | 8% | 5%[e] | 5% | Biden +69% |
| Dean Phillips declares his candidacy. | |||||||||
| Echelon Insights[50] | October 23–26, 2023 | 472 (LV) | 59% | – | 1% | 7% | 4%[f] | 27% | Biden +52% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[51] | October 20–26, 2023 | 894 (LV) | 77% | – | – | 8% | – | 14% | Biden +69% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger[52] | October 16–23, 2023 | 1,106 (RV) | 70% | – | – | 9% | 13% | 9% | Biden +61% |
| USA Today/Suffolk[53] | October 17–20, 2023 | 289 (LV) | 73.0% | – | – | 10.7% | 1.0% | 15.2% | Biden +62.3% |
| Emerson College[54] | October 16–17, 2023 | 643 (RV) | 70.0% | – | – | 9.9% | – | 20.1% | Biden +60.1% |
| Yahoo News[55] | October 12–16, 2023 | 509 (LV) | 68% | – | – | 6% | 4% | 21% | Biden +62% |
| Zogby Analytics[56] | October 13–15, 2023 | 424 (LV) | 67.6% | 14.9% | – | 1.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | Biden +52.7% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces he will run as an independent. | |||||||||
| Harris X/The Messenger[57] | October 4–7, 2023 | 1,080 (RV) | 58% | 15% | – | 7% | 7% | 13% | Biden +43% |
| Big Village[58] | September 29 – October 3, 2023 | 1,106 (RV) | 61.8% | 23.7% | – | 7.2% | 7.3% | – | Biden +38.1% |
| TIPP/Issues & Insights[59] | September 27–29, 2023 | 560 (RV) | 65% | 14% | – | – | – | – | Biden +51% |
| Echelon Insights[60] | September 25–28, 2023 | 499 (LV) | 58% | 18% | – | 4% | 4% | 16% | Biden +40% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[61] | September 22–26, 2023 | 432 (LV) | 56% | 15% | – | 3% | – | 26% | Biden +41% |
| Marquette University Law School[62] | September 18–25, 2023 | 372 (LV) | 49% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 34% | Biden +36% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger[63] | September 13–19, 2023 | 1,114 (RV) | 62% | 16% | – | 6% | 5% | 11% | Biden +46% |
| Emerson College[64] | September 17–18, 2023 | 457 (LV) | 61.6% | 14.3% | – | 3.6% | – | 20.5% | Biden +47.3% |
| Rasmussen[65] | September 14–18, 2023 | – | 57% | 25% | – | 3% | 7% | – | Biden +32% |
| YouGov[66] | September 14–18, 2023 | 486 (RV) | 68% | 7% | – | 4% | – | 19% | Biden +61% |
| Harvard/Harris[67][A] | September 13–14, 2023 | 800 (RV) | 60% | 15% | – | 4% | 9% | 13% | Biden +45% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[68] | September 8–14, 2023 | 2,024 (A) | 67% | 14% | – | 4% | – | – | Biden +53% |
| Fox News[69] | September 9–12, 2023 | 404 (LV) | 71% | 17% | – | 6% | 3% | 3% | Biden +54% |
| Quinnipiac University[70] | September 7–11, 2023 | 724 (RV) | 73% | 11% | – | 8% | – | – | Biden +62% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger[71] | September 6–11, 2023 | 1,245 (RV) | 65% | 11% | – | 7% | 7% | 10% | Biden +54% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[72] | September 3–4, 2023 | 618 (LV) | 71% | 9% | – | 3% | 3%[g] | 14% | Biden +62% |
| Morning Consult[73] | August 30 – September 1, 2023 | 800 (RV) | 76% | 9% | – | 3% | – | – | Biden +67% |
| Issues & Insights/TIPP[74] | August 30 – September 1, 2023 | 606 (RV) | 68% | 10% | – | 5% | 3% | 14% | Biden +58% |
| Echelon Insights[75] | August 28–31, 2023 | 468 (RV) | 57% | 13% | – | 6% | 4% | 20% | Biden +44% |
| Big Village[76] | August 25–27, 2023 | 919 (A) | 60.3% | 19.0% | – | 9.7% | 10.9% | – | Biden +41.3% |
| Emerson College[77] | August 25–26, 2023 | 374 (RV) | 61.0% | 11.5% | – | 4.4% | – | 23.0% | Biden +49.5% |
| HarrisX[78] | August 24–26, 2023 | 763 (RV) | 66% | 13% | – | 7% | 5% | 9% | Biden +53% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[79] | August 15–23, 2023 | 444 (LV) | 61% | 12% | – | 7% | – | 21% | Biden +40% |
| HarrisX[80] | August 17–21, 2023 | 648 (A) | 64% | 13% | – | 4% | 8% | 11% | Biden +51% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[81] | August 17–21, 2023 | 495 (RV) | 69% | 7% | – | 5% | 2% | 18% | Biden +62% |
| Emerson College[82] | August 16–17, 2023 | 608 | 68.9% | 8.9% | – | 3.8% | – | 18.5% | Biden +60.0% |
| Fox News/Beacon Research[83] | August 11–14, 2023 | 399 (RV) | 64% | 17% | – | 9% | – | – | Biden +47% |
| Quinnipiac University[84] | August 10–14, 2023 | 666 (RV) | 72% | 13% | – | 9% | 1% | 3% | Biden +59% |
| Issues & Insights/TIPP[85] | August 2–4, 2023 | 615 (RV) | 63% | 15% | – | 4% | 3% | 15% | Biden +48% |
| Echelon Insights[86] | July 24–27, 2023 | 500 (LV) | 62% | 16% | – | 5% | 4% | 14% | Biden +46% |
| The New York Times/Siena College[87] | July 23–27, 2023 | 296 (LV) | 64% | 13% | – | 10% | 1% | 12% | Biden +51% |
| Big Village[88] | July 24–26, 2023 | 922 (A) | 62.6% | 19.8% | – | 9.1% | 8.4% | – | Biden +42.8% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[89] | July 19–24, 2023 | 428 (LV) | 65% | 13% | – | 3% | – | 19% | Biden +52% |
| Harvard-Harris[90] | July 19–20, 2023 | – | 62% | 16% | – | 5% | 5% | 11% | Biden +46% |
| Quinnipiac University[91] | July 13–17, 2023 | 727 (RV) | 71% | 14% | – | 7% | 1% | 5% | Biden +57% |
| Yahoo News[92] | July 13–17, 2023 | 494 | 69% | 7% | – | 5% | 2% | 17% | Biden +62% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[93] | July 11–17, 2023 | 2,044 (RV) | 63% | 15% | – | 4% | 3% | 14% | Biden +48% |
| Issues & Insights/TIPP[94] | July 5–7, 2023 | – | 60% | 16% | – | 5% | 5% | 14% | Biden +44% |
| Echelon Insights[95] | June 26–29, 2023 | 511 (LV) | 65% | 14% | – | 5% | 6% | 11% | Biden +51% |
| Fox News[96] | June 23–26, 2023 | 391 | 64% | 17% | – | 10% | 4% | 6% | Biden +47% |
| Emerson College[97] | June 19–20, 2023 | 441 (RV) | 72.5% | 14.6% | – | 2.5% | 10.4% | – | Biden +57.9% |
| YouGov[98] | June 16–20, 2023 | – | 70% | 7% | – | 3% | 2% | 18% | Biden +63% |
| Harvard-Harris[99] | June 14–15, 2023 | 2,090 (RV) | 62% | 15% | – | 4% | 8% | 12% | Biden +47% |
| The Messenger/HarrisX[100] | June 14–15, 2023 | 381 (RV) | 54% | 14% | – | 5% | 10% | 17% | Biden +40% |
| Big Village[101] | June 9–14, 2023 | 916 (RV) | 60.0% | 18.3% | – | 11.2% | 10.5% | – | Biden +41.7% |
| Quinnipiac University[102] | June 8–12, 2023 | 722 (RV) | 70% | 17% | – | 8% | – | – | Biden +53% |
| USA Today/Suffolk[103] | June 5–9, 2023 | 293 (RV) | 58% | 15% | – | 6% | – | 21% | Biden +43% |
| Issues & Insights/TIPP[104] | May 31 – June 2, 2023 | 638 (RV) | 68% | 12% | – | 4% | 4% | 12% | Biden +56% |
| YouGov[105] | May 25–30, 2023 | 467 (RV) | 62% | 12% | – | 5% | – | 19% | Biden +50% |
| Big Village[106] | May 26–28, 2023 | 425 (LV) | 58.8% | 19.0% | – | 10.6% | 11.6% | – | Biden +39.8% |
| Echelon Insights[107] | May 22–25, 2023 | 538 (LV) | 60% | 14% | – | 5% | 2% | 19% | Biden +46% |
| Fox News[108] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | 62% | 16% | – | 8% | 6% | 8% | Biden +46% |
| CNN[109] | May 17–20, 2023 | 432 (RV) | 60% | 20% | – | 8% | 13% | – | Biden +40% |
| Marquette Law School[110] | May 8–18, 2023 | 312 (RV) | 53% | 12% | – | 7% | – | 28% | Biden +41% |
| YouGov[111] | May 5–8, 2023 | 480 (RV) | 67% | 10% | – | 6% | – | 17% | Biden +57% |
| Rasmussen Reports[112] | May 3–7, 2023 | 910 (LV) | 62% | 19% | – | 4% | 15% | – | Biden +43% |
| Change Research[113] | April 28 – May 2, 2023 | 1,208 (LV) | 65% | 11% | – | 11% | 11% | 2% | Biden +55% |
| Echelon Insights[114] | April 25–27, 2023 | 513 (LV) | 66% | 10% | – | 2% | 5% | 17% | Biden +56% |
| President Joe Biden declares his candidacy. | |||||||||
| Emerson College Polling[115] | April 24–25, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | 70% | 21% | – | 8% | – | – | Biden +49% |
| Fox News[116] | April 21–24, 2023 | 1,004 (RV) | 62% | 19% | – | 9% | – | 10% | Biden +43% |
| Suffolk University[117] | April 19, 2023 | 600 (LV) | 67% | 14% | – | 5% | – | 13% | Biden +53% |
| Morning Consult[118] | April 7–9, 2023 | 827 (LV) | 70% | 10% | – | 4% | 8% | 8% | Biden +60% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. declares his candidacy. | |||||||||
| Echelon Insights[119][h] | March 27–29, 2023 | 370 (LV) | 73% | – | – | 10% | 17% | – | Biden +63% |
| Morning Consult[120] | March 3–5, 2023 | 826 (LV) | 77% | – | – | 4% | 9% | 10% | Biden +73% |
| Marianne Williamson declares her candidacy. | |||||||||
Hypothetical polling
editThis section lists polling with hypothetical candidates, which was mostly conducted between 2020 and April 2023, before the presidential candidacies were declared.
Polls including Joe Biden
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Stacey Abrams |
Joe Biden |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Pulse Research and Polling[121] | October 27–30, 2023 | 243 (LV) | – | 38% | – | 11% | – | 17% | – | 10% | – | 24%[i] |
| Biden declares his candidacy | ||||||||||||
| Big Village[122] | April 19–23, 2023 | 902 (A) | – | 32% | 7% | 15% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 13%[j] |
| Harris Poll & HarrisX[123] | April 18–19, 2023 | 683 (RV) | 3% | 37% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 11%[k] |
| Legar[124] | April 6–10, 2023 | 368 (A) | – | 27% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 7% | – | 12% | 6% | 7%[l] |
| Big Village[125] | March 29–31, 2023 | 445 (A) | – | 36% | 7% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7%[m] |
| Harris Poll & HarrisX[126] | March 22–23, 2023 | 2,905 (RV) | 2% | 41% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 10%[n] |
| Big Village[127] | March 15–17, 2023 | 434 (A) | – | 33% | 5% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 4% |
| Yahoo! News Survey/You Gov[128] | February 23–27, 2023 | 1,516 (LV) | – | 53% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | 25% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[129] | February 17–23, 2023 | 442 (LV) | – | 26% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 41%[o] |
| Big Village[130] | February 15–17, 2023 | 437 (A) | – | 34% | 9% | 13% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 8% [p] |
| Harris Poll[131] | February 15–16, 2023 | – | 2% | 36% | 6% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 20% [q] |
| Léger[132] | February 10–13, 2023 | 354 (A) | – | 25% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 6% | – | 14% | 4% | 30% [r] |
| Ipsos[133] | February 6–13, 2023 | 1,786 (RV) | – | 35% | 10% | 12% | – | 5% | – | 13% | 5% | 20% [s] |
| McLaughlin & Associates[134] | January 19–24, 2023 | 442 (LV) | 0% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 40%[t] |
| Big Village[135] | January 18–20, 2023 | 447 (A) | – | 34.3% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 9.3%[u] |
| Harris Poll[136] | January 18–19, 2023 | – | 3% | 35% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 25%[v] |
| YouGov[137] | January 14–17, 2023 | 618 (A) | – | 39% | 10% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 13% | – | 26%[w] |
| YouGov[138] | January 5–9, 2023 | 442 (A) | – | 31% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 6% | – | 14% | 9% | 9%[x] |
| Big Village[139] | January 4–6, 2023 | 477 (A) | – | 32.9% | 8.7% | 16.0% | – | – | – | 12.5% | – | 29.9%[y] |
| Big Village[140] | December 16–18, 2022 | 466 (A) | – | 37.2% | 9.8% | 15.8% | – | – | – | 10.1% | – | 27.1%[z] |
| Harris Poll[141] | December 14–15, 2022 | 685 (RV) | 3% | 36% | 6% | 10% | 3% | – | 5% | 7% | 3% | 27%[aa] |
| Harris Poll[142] | December 14–15, 2022 | 685 (RV) | 3% | 36% | 6% | 10% | 3% | – | 5% | 7% | 3% | 27%[ab] |
| McLaughlin & Associates[143] | December 9–14, 2022 | 455 (RV) | – | 22% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 42%[ac] |
| Marist College[144] | December 6–8, 2022 | 519 (RV) | – | 35% | 16% | 17% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% |
| Big Village[145] | November 30 – December 2, 2022 | 452 (A) | – | 35% | 9% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 4%[ad] |
| Cornell University Collaborative Midterm Survey[146] | October 26 – November 25, 2022 | 4,079 (A) | – | 27% | 14% | 15% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 12% | – | 7%[ae] |
| Ipsos[147] | November 9–21, 2022 | 569 (LV) | 5% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 35%[af] |
| Emerson College[148] | November 18–19, 2022 | 591 (RV) | – | 42% | 9% | 17% | – | 6% | – | 12% | 7% | 4%[ag] |
| Big Village[149] | November 16–18, 2022 | 454 (A) | – | 39% | 8% | 14% | – | – | – | 11% | 6% | – |
| Harris Poll[150] | November 16–17, 2022 | – | 3% | 35% | 6% | 13% | 3% | – | 4% | 9% | 3% | 24%[ah] |
| Zogby Analytics[151] | November 9–11, 2022 | 859 (LV) | 2% | 41% | 9% | 11% | – | 10% | 6% | 13% | 9% | – |
| Big Village[152] | November 9–10, 2022 | 446 (A) | – | 39% | 16% | 25% | – | – | – | 16% | – | – |
| 2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||
| Big Village[153] | November 2–4, 2022 | 356 (LV) | – | 42% | 19% | 19% | – | – | – | 16% | – | – |
| Big Village[154] | November 2–4, 2022 | 444 (A) | – | 40% | 16% | 21% | – | – | – | 18% | – | – |
| Big Village[155] | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 378 (LV) | – | 41% | 13% | 21% | – | – | – | 19% | – | – |
| Big Village[156] | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 488 (A) | – | 39% | 12% | 22% | – | – | – | 22% | – | – |
| YouGov[157] | October 11–26, 2022 | 1,860 (RV) | – | 42% | 14% | 14% | – | 7% | 12% | – | – | 1%[ai] |
| YouGov[158] | October 17–19, 2022 | – | – | 29% | 13% | 9% | – | – | 7% | 14% | 8% | 10%[aj] |
| McLaughlin & Associates[159] | October 12–17, 2022 | 474 (LV) | 3% | 27% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 40%[ak] |
| Harris Poll[160] | October 12–13, 2022 | 744 (RV) | 3% | 37% | 6% | 13% | 1% | – | 4% | 6% | 3% | 13%[al] |
| Big Village[161] | October 5–7, 2022 | 362 (RV) | – | 44% | 15% | 17% | – | – | – | – | 20% | – |
| Big Village[162] | October 5–7, 2022 | 453 (A) | – | 40% | 15% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 21% | – |
| Big Village[163] | September 21–23, 2022 | 397 (RV) | – | 48% | 16% | 14% | – | – | – | – | 15% | – |
| Big Village[164] | September 21–23, 2022 | 434 (A) | – | 47% | 16% | 15% | – | – | – | – | 15% | – |
| McLaughlin & Associates[165] | September 17–22, 2022 | 471 (LV) | 4% | 27% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 43%[am] |
| TIPP Insights[166] | September 7–9, 2022 | 596 (RV) | 3% | 34% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 32%[an] |
| Big Village[167] | September 7–9, 2022 | 492 (A) | – | 43% | 14% | 22% | – | – | – | – | 17% | – |
| Harris Poll[168] | September 7–8, 2022 | 672 (RV) | 4% | 37% | 6% | 13% | 3% | – | 3% | 8% | 2% | 12%[ao] |
| Big Village[169] | August 24–26, 2022 | 487 (A) | – | 40% | 16% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – |
| McLaughlin & Associates[170] | August 20–24, 2022 | 468 (LV) | 3% | 23% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 45%[ap] |
| Big Village[171] | August 10–12, 2022 | 465 (A) | – | 37% | 14% | 20% | – | – | – | – | 22% | – |
| TIPP Insights[172] | August 2–4, 2022 | 576 (RV) | 4% | 30% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 32%[aq] |
| Harris Poll[173] | July 27–28, 2022 | 697 (RV) | 4% | 31% | 5% | 12% | 3% | – | 3% | 8% | 4% | 14%[ar] |
| Harris Poll[174] | June 29–30, 2022 | 484 (RV) | 4% | 30% | 6% | 18% | 2% | – | 4% | 8% | 3% | 8%[as] |
| McLaughlin & Associates[175] | June 17–22, 2022 | 456 (LV) | 5% | 23% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 6% | – | – | 40%[at] |
| TIPP Insights[176] | June 8–10, 2022 | 509 (RV) | 2% | 24% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 30%[au] |
Polls excluding Joe Biden
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Stacey Abrams |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Hillary Clinton |
Andrew Cuomo |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Joe Manchin |
Gavin Newsom |
Michelle Obama |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo News/YouGov[177] | June 28 – July 1, 2024 | 536 (RV) | – | 7% | 8% | – | – | 31% | 2% | – | 17% | – | 3% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 2%[av] | 20% |
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research[178] | June 29–30, 2024 | 397 (RV) | – | – | 6% | – | – | 25% | – | – | 17% | 21% | 2% | – | – | 7% | 6%[aw] | 16% |
| Data for Progress (D)[179] | June 28, 2024 | 387 (LV) | – | 7% | 10% | – | – | 39% | 2% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7%[ax] | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[180] | June 28, 2024 | 879 (LV) | – | – | 8% | – | – | 43% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 7%[ay] | 20% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger[181] | October 30 – November 1, 2023 | 725 (RV) | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33%[az] | 20% |
| Big Village[182] | April 19–23, 2023 | 902 (A) | – | – | 10% | – | – | 28% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 7% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 14%[ba] | |
| Big Village[183] | March 29–31, 2023 | 445 (A) | – | – | 11% | – | – | 28% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 7% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 7%[bb] | |
| Echelon Insights[184] | March 27–29, 2023 | 530 (RV) | 2% | 4% | 8% | – | – | 27% | 2% | – | 9% | – | 6% | – | 7% | 5% | 7%[bc] | |
| Harris Poll & HarrisX[185] | March 22–23, 2023 | 2,905 (RV) | 5% | – | 8% | 13% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 4% | 6% | – | 4% | 10% | 8% | – | 4%[bd] | |
| Big Village[186] | March 15–17, 2023 | 434 (A) | – | – | 7% | – | – | 31% | 4% | – | 8% | – | 8% | 21% | 10% | 3% | 2% | |
| Yahoo News[187] | February 23–27, 2023 | 450 (LV) | – | – | 12% | – | – | 25% | 5% | – | 12% | – | – | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Echelon Insights[188] | February 21–23, 2023 | 499 (LV) | 3% | 5% | 14% | – | – | 27% | 5% | 0% | 6% | – | 6% | – | 8% | 3% | 24%[be] | |
| McLaughlin & Associates[189] | February 17–23, 2023 | 442 (LV) | – | 3% | 11% | 6% | – | 11% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 19% | 5% | 9% | 6% | – | 12%[bf] | |
| Big Village[190] | February 15–17, 2023 | 437 (A) | – | – | 11% | – | – | 27% | 5% | – | 9% | – | 8% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3%[bg] | |
| Harris Poll[191] | February 15–16, 2023 | – | 3% | – | 8% | 16% | 3% | 22% | 4% | 5% | 7% | – | 7% | 12% | 3% | – | – | |
| Ipsos[192] | February 6–13, 2023 | 1,786 (RV) | – | – | 15% | – | – | 27% | – | – | 10% | – | – | 18% | 8% | 4% | 3%[bh] | |
| Echelon Insights[193] | January 23–25, 2023 | 467 (LV) | 4% | 4% | 11% | – | – | 23% | 4% | – | 8% | – | 9% | – | 8% | 3% | 9%[bi] | |
| McLaughlin & Associates[194] | January 19–24, 2023 | 442 (LV) | – | 2% | 8% | 8% | – | 15% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 5% | – | 11%[bj] | |
| Big Village[195] | January 18–20, 2023 | 447 (A) | – | – | 14% | – | – | 29% | 5% | – | 8% | – | 6% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 3%[bk] | |
| Harris Poll[196] | January 18–19, 2023 | – | 5% | – | 7% | 11% | 2% | 26% | 5% | 4% | 6% | – | 4% | 12% | 5% | – | – | |
| Big Village[197] | January 4–6, 2023 | 477 (A) | – | – | 11% | – | – | 30% | 5% | – | 11% | – | 9% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 4%[bl] | |
| Big Village[198] | December 16–18, 2022 | 466 (A) | – | – | 10% | 14% | 2% | 35% | 5% | – | 7% | – | 6% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 3%[bm] | |
| Harris Poll[199] | December 14–15, 2022 | 685 (RV) | 3% | – | 9% | 14% | 2% | 23% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 5% | – | – | |
| Echelon Insights[200] | December 12–14, 2022 | 523 (RV) | 3% | 3% | 11% | – | – | 24% | 6% | – | 5% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 3% | 12%[bn] | |
| 476 (LV) | 3% | 3% | 12% | – | – | 26% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 3% | 10%[bo] | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates[201] | December 9–14, 2022 | 455 (LV) | – | 1% | 6% | 8% | – | 13% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 9% | 5% | – | 12%[bp] | |
| YouGov[202] | December 1–5, 2022 | 588 (RV) | – | – | 14% | – | – | 19% | – | – | 10% | – | 6% | 13% | 7% | 7% | – | |
| 724 (A) | – | – | 12% | – | – | 18% | – | – | 9% | – | 7% | 11% | 7% | 6% | – | |||
| Big Village[203] | November 30 – December 2, 2022 | 452 (A) | – | – | 13% | – | – | 32% | 6% | – | 5% | – | 6% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 2%[bq] | |
| Echelon Insights[204] | November 17–19, 2022 | 496 (RV) | 3% | 4% | 13% | – | – | 21% | 2% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 7% | 4% | 7%[br] | |
| 496 (LV) | 2% | 4% | 12% | – | – | 23% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 8% | 3% | 7%[bs] | |||
| Harris Poll[205] | November 16–17, 2022 | – | 4% | – | 8% | – | – | 24% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 6% | 11% | 6% | – | 3%[bt] | |
| Zogby Analytics[206] | November 9–11, 2022 | 859 (LV) | 5% | – | 10% | – | – | 32% | – | – | 6% | – | 10% | 13% | 9% | – | 38% | |
| 2022 midterm elections | ||||||||||||||||||
| Echelon Insights[207] | October 24–26, 2022 | 475 (LV) | 5% | 4% | 11% | – | – | 27% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 7% | – | 6% | 1% | 12%[bu] | |
| 475 (LV) | 5% | 3% | 14% | – | – | 26% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 1% | 11%[bv] | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates[208] | October 12–17, 2022 | 474 (LV) | 3% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 17% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 24%[bw] | |
| Harris Poll[209] | October 12–13, 2022 | 744 (RV) | 3% | – | 10% | 17% | 25% | 2% | 4% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 4% | – | 3%[bx] | ||
| Morning Consult[210] | September 23–25, 2022 | 893 (RV) | – | 4% | 13% | – | – | 26% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 8% | – | 7% | 1% | 4%[by] | |
| McLaughlin & Associates[211] | September 17–22, 2022 | 471 (LV) | 4% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 25%[bz] | |
| Echelon Insights[212] | September 16–19, 2022 | 509 (LV) | 8% | 3% | 11% | – | – | 28% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 5% | 2% | 8%[ca] | |
| Harris Poll[213] | September 7–8, 2022 | 672 (RV) | 6% | – | 9% | 14% | – | 26% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 5% | 10% | 5% | – | 3%[cb] | |
| McLaughlin & Associates[214] | August 20–24, 2022 | 468 (LV) | 4% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 16% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 25%[cc] | |
| Echelon Insights[215] | August 19–22, 2022 | 515 (RV) | 6% | 3% | 12% | – | – | 22% | 2% | – | 6% | – | 9% | – | 5% | 2% | 8%[cd] | |
| 505 (LV) | 7% | 4% | 14% | – | – | 21% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 6% | 2% | 8%[ce] | |||
| Harris Poll[216] | July 27–28, 2022 | 697 (RV) | 5% | – | 8% | – | – | 23% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 5% | 8% | 4% | – | 4%[cf] | |
| Suffolk University[217] | July 22–25, 2022 | 440 (RV) | – | – | 16% | 8% | – | 18% | 11% | – | 8% | – | 10% | 18% | – | – | – | |
| Echelon Insights[218] | July 15–18, 2022 | 500 (RV) | 7% | 4% | 10% | – | – | 27% | 3% | 0% | 7% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 1% | 10%[cg] | |
| 493 (LV) | 6% | 5% | 13% | – | – | 26% | 3% | 0% | 7% | – | 5% | – | 7% | 1% | 9%[ch] | |||
| Harris Poll[219] | June 29–30, 2022 | 484 (RV) | 4% | – | 6% | – | – | 25% | 4% | 1% | – | – | 4% | 12% | 6% | – | 14%[ci] | |
| McLaughlin & Associates[220] | June 17–22, 2022 | 456 (LV) | 6% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 19% | 7% | – | – | – | 13%[cj] | |
| Echelon Insights[221] | June 17–20, 2022 | 489 (RV) | 5% | 5% | 11% | – | – | 30% | 3% | 0% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 6% | 2% | 8%[ck] | |
| 484 (LV) | 6% | 6% | 12% | – | – | 27% | 4% | 0% | 5% | – | 7% | – | 6% | 2% | 8%[cl] | |||
| Zogby Analytics[222] | May 23–24, 2022 | 554 (LV) | 5% | – | – | 21% | – | 19% | – | – | 5% | 21% | – | 8% | 4% | – | 7%[cm] | 10% |
| Echelon Insights[223] | May 20–23, 2022 | 474 (LV) | 7% | 7% | 12% | – | – | 30% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 4% | – | 5% | 1% | 7%[cn] | 21% |
| 480 (RV) | 7% | 5% | 11% | – | – | 31% | 2% | – | 3% | – | 8% | – | 5% | 1% | 7%[co] | 20% | ||
| Harvard/Harris[224] | May 18–19, 2022 | – | 3% | – | 7% | 10% | – | 19% | 3% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 10% | 4% | – | 4%[cp] | 28% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[225] | April 22–26, 2022 | 463 (LV) | 6% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 23% | 1% | 4% | – | – | 4%[cq] | 17% |
| Harvard/Harris[226] | April 20–21, 2022 | 727 (RV) | 5% | – | 8% | 14% | – | 31% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 6% | 10% | 5% | – | – | 14% |
| Echelon Insights[227] | April 18–20, 2022 | 469 (RV) | 5% | 6% | 10% | – | – | 31% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% | – | 6% | 1% | 9%[cr] | 19% |
| 456 (LV) | 6% | 7% | 11% | – | – | 30% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% | – | 6% | 1% | 8%[cs] | 20% | ||
| Harvard/Harris[228] | March 23–24, 2022 | 740 (RV) | 6% | – | 8% | 15% | – | 28% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 9% | 4% | – | – | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[229] | March 18–21, 2022 | 472 (LV) | 6% | 4% | 9% | – | – | 26% | 5% | – | 2% | – | 7% | – | 8% | 1% | 8%[ct] | 24% |
| 490 (LV) | 6% | 4% | 11% | – | – | 26% | 6% | – | 2% | – | 6% | – | 8% | 1% | 6%[cu] | 22% | ||
| McLaughlin & Associates[230] | March 17–22, 2022 | 466 (LV) | 5% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 20% | 2% | 6% | – | – | 9%[cv] | 18% |
| Harvard/Harris[231] | February 23–24, 2022 | 750 (RV) | 5% | – | 8% | 13% | – | 29% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 5% | 9% | 6% | – | – | 17% |
| Echelon Insights[232] | February 19–23, 2022 | 543 (RV) | 8% | 6% | 9% | – | – | 29% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 10% | – | 6% | 0% | 8%[cw] | 21% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[233] | February 16–22, 2022 | 453 (LV) | 6% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 22% | 6% | – | – | – | 8%[cx] | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[234] | January 21–23, 2022 | 477 (RV) | 6% | 5% | 12% | – | – | 30% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 5% | – | 8% | 1% | 7%[cy] | 21% |
| Harvard/Harris[235] | January 19–20, 2022 | 672 (RV) | 6% | – | 7% | 17% | – | 23% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 6% | 12% | 7% | – | – | 17% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[236] | January 13–18, 2022 | 463 (LV) | 6% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 22% | 9% | – | – | – | 4%[cz] | 15% |
| Morning Consult[237] | December 11–13, 2021 | 916 (RV) | – | 5% | 11% | – | – | 31% | 3% | – | 3% | – | 8% | – | 8% | – | 3%[da] | 16% |
| Echelon Insights[238] | December 9–13, 2021 | 479 (RV) | 5% | 6% | 7% | – | – | 33% | 3% | 2% | 1% | – | 5% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 2%[db] | 8% |
| Harvard/Harris[239] | November 30 – December 2, 2021 | 1,989 (RV) | 5% | 5% | 8% | – | – | 31% | 5% | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 14%[dc] | – |
| Hill-HarrisX[240] | November 18–19, 2021 | 939 (RV) | 4% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 26% | 3% | – | 4% | 15% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10%[dd] | 16% |
| Echelon Insights[241] | November 12–18, 2021 | 458 (LV) | 6% | 6% | 8% | – | – | 29% | 2% | 1% | 2% | – | 5% | 16% | 6% | 0% | 0%[de] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[242] | November 11–16, 2021 | 450 (LV) | 5% | 3% | 8% | – | 2% | 22% | 5% | – | – | 23% | 5% | – | – | – | 32%[df] | – |
| YouGov/Yahoo News[243] | October 19–21, 2021 | 671 (A) | 7% | – | 9% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 8% | – | 4%[dg] | 31% |
| Echelon Insights[244] | October 15–19, 2021 | 533 (LV) | 5% | 4% | 9% | – | – | 23% | 4% | 1% | 3% | – | 5% | 16% | 6% | 0% | 2%[dh] | 20% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[245] | October 14–18, 2021 | 473 (LV) | 5% | 3% | 9% | – | 2% | 29% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 7% | – | – | – | 8%[di] | 14% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[246] | September 9–14, 2021 | 476 (LV) | 5% | 4% | 7% | – | 2% | 29% | 3% | – | 2% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – | 6%[dj] | 17% |
| Echelon Insights[247] | August 13–18, 2021 | 514 (RV) | 6% | 6% | 11% | – | – | 33% | 2% | – | 2% | – | 8% | – | 5% | 1% | 8%[dk] | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[248] | July 29 – August 3, 2021 | 467 (LV) | 4% | 5% | 8% | 4% | – | 28% | 2% | – | 2% | 16% | 7% | – | – | 10%[dl] | 14% | |
| YouGov/Yahoo News[249] | July 30 – August 2, 2021 | 697 (A) | 4% | – | 6% | – | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 10% | 6% | – | 18%[dm] | 20% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[250] | June 16–20, 2021 | 463 (LV) | 5% | 3% | 4% | – | 2% | 31% | 3% | – | 1% | 19% | 5% | – | – | – | 11%[dn] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[251] | May 12–18, 2021 | 459 (LV) | 4% | 4% | 6% | – | 1% | 35% | 3% | – | 2% | 16% | 7% | – | – | – | 11%[do] | 13% |
| Trafalgar Group[252] | April 30 – May 6, 2021 | – (LV)[dp] | – | – | 9% | – | – | 41% | 5% | – | – | – | 8% | – | – | – | 36%[dq] | – |
| McLaughlin & Associates[253] | April 8–13, 2021 | 458 (LV) | – | 4% | 5% | – | 2% | 34% | 4% | – | 2% | 20% | 3% | – | – | – | 13%[dr] | 12% |
| McLaughlin & Associates[254] | February 24–28, 2021 | 443 (LV) | – | 4% | 7% | – | 1% | 28% | 3% | – | – | 23% | 8% | – | – | 12%[ds] | 14% | |
| Inauguration of Joe Biden | ||||||||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates[255] | December 9–13, 2020 | 445 (LV) | – | 3% | 5% | – | 5% | 25% | 2% | – | – | 29% | 7% | – | – | – | 8%[dt] | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax[256] | November 21–23, 2020 | 445 (LV) | – | 2% | 6% | – | 5% | 29% | 2% | – | – | 23% | 6% | – | – | – | 5%[du] | 23% |
| 2020 presidential election | ||||||||||||||||||
| McLaughlin & Associates[257] | November 2–3, 2020 | 461 (LV) | – | 2% | 8% | – | 8% | 18% | – | – | – | 25% | 6% | – | – | – | 6%[dv] | 28% |
| Léger[258] | August 4–7, 2020 | 1,007 (LV) | 6% | 7% | 14% | – | 20% | 13% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 9% | 6% | – | – | 24%[dw] | |
| 390 (LV) | 6% | 6% | 16% | – | 21% | 19% | 6% | – | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | 17%[dx] | – | ||
Notes
edit- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Uygur at 1%; Refused, Someone Else and Would Not Vote at 1%
- ^ Someone Else at 9%
- ^ Uygur at 2%; Refused, Someone Else and Would Not Vote at 1%
- ^ Uygur at 1%; Someone Else at 3%
- ^ Manchin at 1%
- ^ Archived April 3, 2023, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Another Candidate at 7%; Phillips and Williamson at 1%; Undecided at 15%
- ^ Kennedy with 7%; Shapiro, Williamson and Whitmer with 2%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%; Joe Manchin and Marianne Williamson with 1%
- ^ Whitmer with 4%; and Booker with 3%
- ^ Whitmer with 3%; Williamson and Shapiro with 1%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; Joe Manchin with 2%; Andrew Cuomo and Marianne Williamson with 1%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 4%; Beto O'Rourke, Phil Murphy and Cory Booker with 2%; Manchin, Kaine, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 1%; Adams and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Josh Shapiro with 1%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 8%; Andrew Cuomo with 2%; Manchin with 1%
- ^ Cory Booker with 6%; Gretchen Whitmer with 2%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Josh Shapiro with 2%
- ^ Obama with 14%; Clinton with 6%; O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Gillibrand, Kaine, Manchin, and Polis with 1%; Adams, Cuomo, Hickenlooper, Markle, McConaughey, Murphy, Patrick, Steyer, and Winfrey with 0%, Undecided with 13%
- ^ Whitmer with 3.0%; Shapiro with 2.8%; Someone Else with 3.5%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 8%; Manchin and Cuomo with 1%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Someone Else with 3%; Not Sure with 16%; Would Not Vote with 4%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 5%; Raphael Warnock with 4%
- ^ Someone else at 29.9%
- ^ Someone Else at 27.1%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin and Andrew Cuomo with 2%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin and Andrew Cuomo with 2%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; O'Rourke with 3%; Booker with 2%; Winfrey and Manchin with 1%; Phil Murphy, Kaine, Adams, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 0%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Shapiro with 1%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Polis with 1%; Cooper with 0%
- ^ Gretchen Whitmer and Jared Polis with 2%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; Joe Manchin and Michael Bloomberg with 2%
- ^ Hochul with 1%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 10%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 12%; Hillary Clinton and O'Rourke with 5%; Winfrey and Booker with 2%; McConaughey, Manchin, Cuomo, Phil Murphy and Adams with 1%; Kaine, Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand, Steyer and Polis with 0%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; Michael Bloomberg and Joe Manchin with 2%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 16%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Booker, Winfrey, Manchin, Kaine, Hickenlooper, Steyer and Polis with 1%; Cuomo, Murphy, Adams, Patrick and Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 11%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Kennedy, Whitmer, Booker, Pritzker, Adams, Manchin, Bennet, Inslee and Lujan Grisham with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 7%; Michael Bloomberg with 3%; Joe Manchin with 2%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 13%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Cory Booker and Joe Manchin with 2%; Winfrey, McConaughey, Cuomo, Murphy and Adams, Hickenlooper, Gillibrand and Steyer with 1%; Kaine and Polis with 0%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 10%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Cory Booker with 3%; Gretchen Whitmer and Kennedy with 2%; Pritzker and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Lujan Grisham, Manchin, Inslee and Adams with 0%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 9%; Joe Manchin with 3%; Michael Bloomberg with 2%
- ^ Hillary Clinton with 6%; Manchin and Bloomberg with 1%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 18%; Hillary Clinton with 5%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Cory Booker with 3%; Oprah Winfrey with 2%; Manchin, McConaughey, Cuomo, Murphy, Kaine and Adams with 1%; Hickenlooper, Patrick, Gillibrand and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Michelle Obama with 14%; Hillary Clinton with 6%; Cory Booker with 3%; Kennedy, Whitmer, Bennet, Lujan Grisham and Gabbard with 1%; Manchin, Inslee and Pritzker with 0%
- ^ "I would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ J.B. Pritzker & Josh Shapiro 2%; "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 4%; Wes Moore with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Someone Else at 19%; Williamson at 8%; Phillips at 6%
- ^ Kennedy with 10%; Williamson and Shapiro with 2%
- ^ Marianne Williamson with 3%; and Josh Shapiro with 4%
- ^ Marianne Williamson with 4%; and Roy Cooper, Phil Murphy, and Rapheal Warnock with 1%
- ^ Marianne Williamson with 1%
- ^ Raphael Warnock with 2%; JB Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Cooper and Raimondo on 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Phil Murphy with 1%; Gillibrand, Adams, Patrick, Hickenlooper, Steyer, and Polis with 1%; Kaine and Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%, Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%, Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Pritzker with 3%, Raimondo, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Cooper, Murphy, Adams and Landrieu with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Gillibrand, Adams, Patrick, Murphy, Hickenlooper, Steyer, Markle and Polis with 1%; Kaine and Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%, Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 4%, Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 3%; Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Pritzker and Warnock with 3%; Beshear, Raimondo, Murphy, Adams and Polis with 1%; Landrieu and Cooper with 0%
- ^ Pritzker and Warnock with 2%; Cooper, Murphy, Polis and Adams with 1%; Beshear, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Oprah Winfrey with 3%; Kaine and Gillibrand with 1%; Adams, Patrick, Murphy, Pritzker, Hickenlooper, Steyer, and Polis with 0%
- ^ Josh Shapiro with 2%, Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear and Warnock with 1%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Pritzker, Raimondo, Adams, and Polis with 0%
- ^ Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear and Warnock with 1%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Pritzker, Raimondo, Adams, and Polis with 0%
- ^ Michael Bloomberg with 3%
- ^ Andy Beshear with 3%; Raphael Warnock with 2%; Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Murphy, Pritzker, and Adams with 1%; Raimondo and Polis with 0%
- ^ Andy Beshear and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Sinema, Cooper, Pritzker, and Adams with 1%; Landrieu, Raimondo, Murphy and Polis with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 5%; Oprah Winfrey with 2%; McConaughey, Polis, Patrick, Hickenlooper and Steyer with 1%; Adams, Kaine, Murphy, Pritzker, and Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ Michael Bloomberg with 3%
- ^ Adams, Pritzker, and Raimondo with 1%; Cooper with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 5%; Oprah Winfrey with 3%; Matthew McConaughey and Jared Polis with 2%; Adams, Murphy, Gillibrand, Patrick, Pritzker, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Omar with 0%
- ^ Murphy, Polis, Pritzker, and Warnock with 1%; Raimondo, Beshear, Sinema, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
- ^ Michael Bloomberg with 3%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Tim Kaine, Oprah Winfrey and Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Adams, Murphy, Gillibrand, and Steyer with 1%; Patrick, Hickenlooper, Omar, Pritzker, and Polis with 0%
- ^ Phil Murphy and Kyrsten Sinema with 2%; Beshear, Adams, Polis, and Warnock with 1%; Cooper, Landrieu, Pritzker, and Raimondo with 0%
- ^ Phil Murphy with 2%; Beshear, Sinema, Adams, Polis, and Warnock with 1%; Cooper, Pritzker, Landrieu, and Raimondo with 0%
- ^ Michael Bloomberg with 4%
- ^ Pritzker and Warnock with 2%; Murphy, Adams, Raimondo and Polis with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
- ^ Pritzker with 2%, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu and Raimondo with 0%
- ^ Michael Bloomberg with 3%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 4%; Oprah Winfrey and Matthew McConaughey with 2%; Adams, Kaine, Patrick, and Murphy with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Pritzker, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Pritzker with 2%, Sinema, Murphy and Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Raimondo, Adams, Polis, Cooper and Landrieu with 0%
- ^ Kyrsten Sinema, Phil Murphy, JB Pritzker, and Raphael Warnock with 1%; Beshear, Raimondo, Adams, Polis, Cooper, and Landrieu with 0%
- ^ Jill Biden with 7%
- ^ Cooper, Raimondo and Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 0%
- ^ Cooper, Raimondo and Pritzker with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Murphy, Adams, Polis and Warnock with 0%
- ^ Michael Bloomberg with 4%
- ^ Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, Beto O'Rourke, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Phil Murphy, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 0%
- ^ Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Cooper and Murphy with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Adams, Polis, Raimondo and Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Tulsi Gabbard with 2%; Cooper and Murphy with 1%; Beshear, Sinema, Landrieu, Adams, Polis, Raimondo and Pritzker with 0%
- ^ Eric Adams with 2%; Cooper, Raimondo, Murphy, Pritzker and Polis with 1%; Landrieu, Beshear, Raimondo and Sinema with 0%
- ^ Cooper and Adams with 1%; Sinema, Beshear, Landrieu, Raimondo, Pritzker, Murphy and Polis with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%, Tom Steyer with 2%; Eric Adams, Tim Kaine, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Ilhan Omar with 0%
- ^ Roy Cooper with 2%; Beshear, Sinema, Raimondo and Murphy with 1%; Landrieu, Pritzker and Adams with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%; John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 1%; Eric Adams, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Ilhan Omar with 0%
- ^ Beshear, Sinema, Cooper, Landrieu, Raimondo, Pritzker and Adams with 1%; Murphy with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Eric Adams and John Hickenlooper with 1%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, Deval Patrick, and Tom Steyer with 0%
- ^ Cooper, Adams and Raimondo with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Beshear and Sinema with 0%
- ^ Other/Don't know with 14%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Michael Bloomberg and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Sherrod Brown, Andrew Yang, and Katie Porter with 1%
- ^ "Someone else", Andy Beshear, Tulsi Gabbard and Kyrsten Sinema with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%, other with 29%
- ^ Sherrod Brown with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" and Tulsi Gabbard with 1%; Andy Beshear and Kyrsten Sinema with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke with 3%, Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke and Yang with 2%; Besehar, Gabbard, and Gillibrand with 1%; Sinema with 0%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 4%; John Hickenlooper and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
- ^ Sherrod Brown with 2%
- ^ Beto O'Rourke and Andrew Yang with 3%; John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
- ^ Tim Kaine, Beto O'Rourke, Deval Patrick, and Andrew Yang with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
- ^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 26%; Beto O'Rourke with 4%, Andrew Yang with 3%, Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 4%, John Hickenlooper and Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
- ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
- ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
- ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 14%, Beto O'Rourke with 6%, Kirsten Gillibrand with 4%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 8%, Beto O'Rourke with 6%, Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Harvard University Center for American Political Studies
References
edit- ^ 270 to Win
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- ^ Emerson College
- ^ TIPP/I&I
- ^ New York Times/Siena College
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- ^ Harris Poll
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- ^ Harris Poll
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