2028 Bavarian state election

Elections to the Landtag of Bavaria will be held in 2028.

Next Bavarian state election

2028 (2028)
All 203 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria (including 23 overhang and leveling seats) 102 seats needed for a majority
Party CSU FW AfD Last election 85 seats, 37.0% 37 seats, 15.8% 32 seats, 14.6%   Party Greens SPD Last election 32 seats, 14.4% 17 seats, 8.4%
Incumbent Government Third Söder cabinet CSU—FW

Opinion polls

Party polling

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CSU	FW	AfD	Grüne	SPD	FDP	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
Civey	11–18 Oct 2024	5,001	42	12	14	11	7	–	–	–	14	28
INSA	7–14 Oct 2024	1,000	43	11	18	10	8	–	–	5	5	25
GMS	11–16 Sep 2024	1,048	42	11	12	10	7	2	1	6	9	30
Civey	5–12 Sep 2024	5,002	42	13	15	12	7	2	1	–	8	27
Civey	9–16 Aug 2024	5,002	42	13	14	11	8	3	1	–	8	28
Forsa	22 Jul – 2 Aug 2024	1,036	43	12	13	11	8	2	–	4	7	30
Civey	11–18 Jul 2024	5,004	42	13	14	11	8	3	1	–	8	28
Civey	7–14 Jun 2024	5,004	41	13	14	13	8	3	1	–	7	27
Civey	3–10 May 2024	5,005	41	14	14	13	7	3	1	–	7	27
GMS	30 Apr – 6 May 2024	1,023	41	15	11	13	7	2	2	3	6	26
Civey	4–11 Apr 2024	5,002	42	14	13	13	7	–	–	–	11	28
Civey	8–15 Mar 2024	5,001	42	14	13	14	7	2	1	–	7	28
Civey	9–16 Feb 2024	5,001	40	13	14	14	8	–	–	–	11	26
GMS	31 Jan – 5 Feb 2024	1,018	42	15	13	12	6	2	1	3	6	27
Infratest dimap	11–15 Jan 2024	1,161	40	13	15	13	7	3	–	–	9	25
Civey	4–11 Jan 2024	5,000	41	13	14	14	8	–	–	–	10	27
GMS	27 Dec – 2 Jan 2024	1,002	41	16	14	13	6	3	1	–	6	25
Civey	8–15 Dec 2023	4,999	41	13	14	14	8	–	–	–	10	27
Civey	10–17 Nov 2023	5,001	40	13	13	14	9	3	2	–	6	26
2023 state election	8 Oct 2023	–	37.0	15.8	14.6	14.4	8.4	3.0	1.5	–	5.3	21.2