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2012 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election

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The 2012 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the other elections to the Council of State and the gubernatorial election. Primary elections were held May 8. The offices of Governor and Lieutenant Governor are elected independently. The incumbent, Lt. Gov. Walter H. Dalton, announced on Jan. 26, 2012 that he would run for Governor.[1]

2012 North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election
← 2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016 →
 
Nominee Dan Forest Linda Coleman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,187,728 2,180,870
Percentage 50.1% 49.9%
County results
Forest:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Coleman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Lieutenant Governor before election

Walter Dalton
Democratic

Elected Lieutenant Governor

Dan Forest
Republican

In the general election, Republican Dan Forest won 50.08% of the vote, narrowly defeating Democrat Linda Coleman.[2] The election result was in doubt for almost two weeks after Election Day, and was within the margin in which Coleman could ask for a recount, but she chose not to do so on Nov. 19.[3]

When he took office in January 2013, Forest became the state's first Republican lieutenant governor since Jim Gardner left office two decades earlier.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Linda
Coleman 		Eric
Mansfield 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[8] May 5–6, 2012 500 ± 3.1% 41% 23% 36%
Survey USA[9] April 26–30, 2012 560 ± 4.2% 41% 23% 36%
Public Policy Polling[10] April 27–29, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 39% 18% 43%
Public Policy Polling[11] April 20–22, 2012 500 ± 4.4% 28% 16% 56%
Public Policy Polling[12] March 23–25, 2012 505 ± 4.36% 26% 14% 59%
Public Policy Polling[13] February 29 – March 1, 2012 499 ± 4.4% 25% 15% 61%

Results

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Primary results by county:
Coleman
  •   Coleman—71-80%
  •   Coleman—61-70%
  •   Coleman—51-60%
Mansfield
  •   Mansfield—71-80%
  •   Mansfield—61-70%
  •   Mansfield—51-60%
Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Linda Coleman 483,905 56.1
Democratic Eric Mansfield 378,635 43.9
Total votes 862,540 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dale
Folwell 		Dan
Forest 		Tony
Gurley 		Grey
Mills 		Arthur
Rich 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[20] May 5–6, 2012 496 ± 4.4% 22% 17% 18% 9% 2% 32%
Survey USA[21] April 26–30, 2012 451 ± 4.7% 13% 17% 12% 11% 5% 41%
Public Policy Polling[22] April 27–29, 2012 486 ± 4.4% 20% 15% 11% 10% 3% 40%
Public Policy Polling[23] April 20–22, 2012 521 ± 4.3% 15% 12% 12% 8% 2% 51%

Results

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Primary results by county:
Forest
  •   Forest—51-60%
  •   Forest—41-50%
  •   Forest—31-40%
  •   Forest—21-30%
Gurley
  •   Gurley—51-60%
  •   Gurley—41-50%
  •   Gurley—31-40%
Folwell
  •   Folwell—51-60%
  •   Folwell—41-50%
  •   Folwell—31-40%
  •   Folwell—21-30%
Mills
  •   Mills—41-50%
  •   Mills—31-40%
  •   Mills—21-30%
Republican primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Forest 251,885 32.9
Republican Tony Gurley 189,954 24.9
Republican Dale Folwell 185,535 24.3
Republican Grey Mills 112,063 14.7
Republican Arthur Jason Rich 25,015 3.3
Total votes 764,452 100.0

Under state law, if no candidate receives 40 percent of the vote in the primary, the second-place candidate can request a second primary (runoff).[25] According to unofficial May 8 primary election results, Gurley came in second, and he announced that he would request such a runoff.[26]

Republican 2nd primary results[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Forest 101,428 67.9
Republican Tony Gurley 47,978 32.1
Total votes 149,406 100.0

General election

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Linda
Coleman (D) 		Dan
Forest (R) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[28] November 3–4, 2012 926 ± 3.2% 44% 45% 11%
Public Policy Polling[29] October 29–31, 2012 730 ± 3.6% 41% 43% 16%
Public Policy Polling[30] October 12–14, 2012 1,084 ± 3% 37% 38% 26%
Civitas/National Research, Inc.[31] September 18–19, 2012 600 ± 4% 43% 39% 18%
Public Policy Polling[32] August 31 – September 1, 2012 1,012 ± 3.1% 41% 39% 20%
Public Policy Polling[33] August 2–5, 2012 813 ± 3.4% 37% 38% 26%
Public Policy Polling[34] May 10–13, 2012 666 ± 3.8% 41% 40% 20%

Results

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General election results[35]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Forest 2,187,728 50.08%
Democratic Linda Coleman 2,180,870 49.92%
Total votes 4,368,598 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

By congressional district

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Forest won 10 of the state's 13 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[36]

District Forest Coleman Representative
1st 26% 74% G. K. Butterfield
2nd 57% 43% Renee Ellmers
3rd 56% 44% Walter B. Jones Jr.
4th 28% 72% David Price
5th 59% 41% Virginia Foxx
6th 57% 43% Howard Coble
7th 57% 43% Mike McIntyre
8th 56% 44% Larry Kissell
Richard Hudson
9th 58% 42% Sue Myrick
Robert Pittenger
10th 58% 42% Patrick McHenry
11th 60% 40% Heath Shuler
Mark Meadows
12th 21% 79% Mel Watt
13th 56% 44% Brad Miller
George Holding

Footnotes

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  1. ^ WXII
  2. ^ North Carolina State Board of Elections Unofficial Results retrieved Nov 12, 2012
  3. ^ WRAL.com: Republican Forest claims lieutenant governor win
  4. ^ News & Observer: Linda Coleman to run for lieutenant governor
  5. ^ "Fayetteville Observer: Sen. Eric Mansfield of Fayetteville to run for N.C. lieutenant governor". Archived from the original on February 14, 2012. Retrieved February 12, 2012.
  6. ^ News & Observer: Cal Cunningham decides against bid for state's No. 2 post
  7. ^ News & Observer: Hampton Dellinger won't run
  8. ^ Public Policy Polling
  9. ^ Survey USA
  10. ^ Public Policy Polling
  11. ^ Public Policy Polling
  12. ^ Public Policy Polling
  13. ^ Public Policy Polling
  14. ^ NC State Board of Elections
  15. ^ News & Observer: Hopefuls angle for Republican hopefuls angle for lieutenant governor Archived 2012-05-09 at the Wayback Machine
  16. ^ "Forest Kicks Off Campaign For Lt. Governor". WXII-TV. January 9, 2012. Retrieved January 11, 2012.
  17. ^ "News & Observer: Gurley files papers for Lt. Governor bid". Archived from the original on April 1, 2012. Retrieved March 24, 2011.
  18. ^ News & Observer: State Rep. Grey Mills files for lieutenant governor
  19. ^ WRAL.com
  20. ^ Public Policy Polling
  21. ^ Survey USA
  22. ^ Public Policy Polling
  23. ^ Public Policy Polling
  24. ^ Results. North Carolina [dead link‍]
  25. ^ Poll suggests GOP headed toward runoff in Lt. Gov. and Auditor races Archived 2012-05-01 at the Wayback Machine
  26. ^ Tony Gurley statement[permanent dead link‍]
  27. ^ Election results. North Carolina [dead link‍]
  28. ^ Public Policy Polling
  29. ^ Public Policy Polling
  30. ^ Public Policy Polling
  31. ^ Civitas/National Research, Inc.
  32. ^ Public Policy Polling
  33. ^ Public Policy Polling
  34. ^ Public Policy Polling
  35. ^ NC State Board of Elections
  36. ^ "North carolina 2012 lt-gov-by-cd".
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