Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April of 2027.

First round

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If a candidate receives an absolute majority (50%+1, including blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nathalie Arthaud
OpinionWay 18 Sep 2024 1,009 4% 10% 14% 1% 26% 5% 35% 5%
1% 2% 15% 31% 7% 40% 4%
3% 10% 12% 1% 8% 23% 5% 34% 4%
1% 2% 14% 10% 25% 6% 38% 4%
4% 10% 14% 1% 28% 4% 35% 4%
4% 10% 14% 1% 27% 4% 36% 4%
Ifop 6–9 Sep 2024 1,107 1% 1% 6% 10% 4% 6% 24% 3% 5% 2% 35% 3%
1% 1% 5% 10% 8% 5% 22% 3% 5% 2% 35% 3%
1% 1.5% 6% 9% 4% 5% 27% 3% 4% 2% 34% 3.5%
0.5% 1% 6% 9.5% 7% 5% 26% 2% 4% 2% 34% 3%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 2024 2,496 1% 2% 3% 15% 14% - 3% 20% 5% 2% 31% 4%
1% 1% 3% 15% 14% 3% - 22% 5% 2% 31% 3%
1% 2% 5% 16% 6% 4% 23% 5% 2% 32% 4%
1% 2% 4% 17% 5% 4% - 24% 5% 2% 32% 4%
Ifop 16–18 Apr 2024 1,090 1% 2% 5% 13% 3% 2% 22% 2.5% 8% 2.5% 30% 9%
1.5% 0.5% 4.5% 14% 3% 2% 26% 5% 2% 33% 7%
2% 1.5% 6% 15% 5.5% 3% 12% 2% 8.5% 2% 36% 6.5%
1.5% 1.5% 5% 16% 4.5% 2.5% 14% 2% 8% 3% 35% 7%
1% 2% 4% 14% 4% 3% 20% 2% 7% 2% 35% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 13% 4.5% 2% 24% 2% 5% 3% 34% 5%
1.5% 1% 5% 13% 4% 2.5% 24% 2% 6% 2% 33% 6%
1% 2% 5.5% 12% 8% 24% 2% 5% 2% 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 5% 7% 3.5% 3% 26% 3% 5% 2.5% 35% 6.5%
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 2% 29% 25% 4.5% 3% 31% 6.5%
3% 18% 31% 5% 4% 32% 7%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,081 1.5% 1.5% 4% 14% 2% 2% 22% 3% 5.5% 2.5% 36% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 14% 2% 2.5% 22% 3% 4.5% 2.5% 36% 6%
Ifop 9–10 Jan 2024 1,144 1% 2% 5% 14.5% 4% 1% 24% 2.5% 6% 3% 28% 9%
0.5% 1.5% 6% 15% 3.5% 1.5% 26% 2.5% 6% 2.5% 27% 8%
0.5% 2% 6.5% 14% 3.5% 1.5% 23% 2.5% 6% 2% 32% 6.5%
0.5% 1.5% 6% 13% 3% 2% 25% 2.5% 5% 2% 33% 6.5%
Ifop 24–25 Oct 2023 1,179 1% 1% 6% 14% 5% 2% 19% 4% 6% 3% 33% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 6% 15% 6% 2% 16% 3.5% 6% 2.5% 33% 7%
1.5% 1% 7% 15% 5.5% 2% 18% 3% 6% 2.5% 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 7.5% 7% 4% 2% 26% 2.5% 6% 3% 32% 6.5%
1% 2% 6% 14% 4% 1% 25% 2.5% 5% 2% 31% 6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep 2023 2,525 1% 2% 6% 16% 7% 5% 16% 7% 2% 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 8% 6% 14% 7% 2% 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 9% 5% 11% 9% 2% 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 17% 10% 7% 5% 10% 3% 33% 6%
1% 2% 5% 16% 8% 7% 12% 8% 2% 32% 7%
1% 2% 6% 17% 9% 6% 9% 9% 2% 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 10% 6% 8% 9% 3% 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 5% 5% 22% 5% 2% 30% 6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr 2023 1,038 1% 3% 17% 6% 2% 32% 7% 23% 9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 2023 1,320 1% 1% 4% 16% 5% 4% 24% 5% 2% 30% 7%
1% 1% 5% 18% 7% 5% 16% 5% 2% 32% 7%
1% 1% 5% 19% 8% 5% 10% 7% 2% 33% 8%
1% 1% 4% 17% 3% 4% 24% 5% 2% 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 1% 2.5% 5% 17% 3% 1% 26% 2% 5% 2.5% 29% 6%
1% 2.5% 22% 28% 2.5% 4% 3% 31% 6%
1% 2.5% 6% 20% 2% 1% 18% 2.5% 6% 3% 32% 6%
0.5% 2.5% 5% 20% 3% 2% 11% 2% 8% 4% 35% 7%
1% 1.5% 6.5% 20% 2% 1% 9% 3% 10% 3% 36% 7%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% 4.63% 3.13% 2.06% 23.15% 7.07%


Second round

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This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) in the first round (50%+1). The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.

Attal vs. Le Pen

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
   
Attal
RE
Le Pen
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,081 47% 53%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,081 49% 51%

Philippe vs. Le Pen

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
   
Philippe
HOR
Le Pen
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,081 49% 51%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,081 50% 50%

Mélenchon vs. Le Pen

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
   
Mélenchon
LFI
Le Pen
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 35% 65%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 2024 1,081 36% 64%

Ruffin vs. Le Pen

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
   
Ruffin
Picardie Debout [fr]
Le Pen
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 2024 1,686 50% 50%

Scenario polling

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Re-run of the 2022 election

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Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round

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Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct 2023 1,580 0.5% 0.5% 5% 17.5% 2% 5% 24.5% 3% 3.5% 3% 29.5% 6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 1% 1% 5% 19% 2% 4% 23% 3% 3% 2% 32% 5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 0.5% 1% 4% 18.5% 1.5% 5% 23% 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 0.5% 1% 5% 17% 2% 5% 25% 1.5% 4% 2% 31% 6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 0.5% 1% 3% 20% 1% 5% 30% 2.5% 3% 2.5% 25.5% 6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 0.5% 1% 3% 17% 2% 6% 29% 1.5% 3% 2% 30% 5%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% 1.74% 4.63% 27.85% 3.13% 4.78% 2.06% 23.15% 7.07%

Second round

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Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention    
Macron[a]
RE
Le Pen
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 46% 54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 45% 55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 51.5% 48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 53% 47%
2022 election 24 Apr 2022 28.01% 58.55% 41.45%

Footnotes

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  1. ^ a b Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

References

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