Wikipedia

Opinion polling for the 2015 Polish parliamentary election

(Redirected from Opinion polling for the Polish parliamentary election, 2015)

In the run up to the 2015 Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 9 October 2011, to 23 October 2015.

Opinion polls

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Graphical summary

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Election polls based on a special model not including parties without past data (Kukiz and Razem)

Poll results

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2015

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link PO PiS PSL SLD TR Kukiz'15 .Nowoczesna KORWiN Razem Others/Undecided Lead
25 October 2015 Election results 24.1 37.6 5.1 7.6 8.8 7.6 4.8 3.6 0.8 13.5
25 October Late polls
Ipsos 		23.6 37.7 5.2 7.5 8.7 7.7 4.9 3.9 0.8 14.1
25 October Exit polls
Ipsos 		23.4 39.1 5.2 6.6 9.0 7.1 4.9 3.9 0.8 15.7
22–23 October IBRiS 22.4 37.4 5.5 8.9 10.2 7.8 3.7 3.4 0.7 15.0
22 October IBRiS 24.4 35.3 4.7 8.1 6.7 6.2 4.4 2.5 7.7 10.9
21–22 October Estymator 23 37 6 8 8 6 6 5 1 14
20–22 October Millward Brown 20 32 5 9 6 8 6 1 13 12
17–22 October Ipsos 22.1 38.3 6.5 8.1 12.5 6.6 3.5 1.7 0.7 16.2
21 October IBRiS 23.0 37.0 5.1 8.9 5.9 6.4 4.1 3.9 5.7 14.0
21 October TNS Poland 24.1 37.8 4.8 8.6 9.1 6.6 4.9 3.5 0.6 13.7
15–21 October CBOS 25 36 5 6 6 5 4 1 11 11
19–20 October TNS Poland 26.3 32.5 4.8 7.5 10.4 6.1 5.3 0.3 7.1 6.2
19 October IBRiS 22 36 6 11 6 6 4 1 9 14
16–19 October Dobra Opinia 24.5 39.5 6.0 9 7.5 6.0 4.5 2.0 1.0 15.0
16 October IBRiS 22.9 35.3 5.5 10.7 5.3 7.1 3.8 0.9 8.5 12.4
14–15 October IPSOS 22 36 5 8 8 4 5 1 11 14
13–15 October Millward Brown 22 32 5 10 5 7 5 1 13 10
7–15 October CBOS 27 34 3 6 8 7 3 1 11 7
14 October TNS Poland 30.1 38.9 5.5 7.9 5.5 6.7 4.7 0.0 0.7 8.8
13–14 October Estymator 24 40 6 9 6 4 7 1 3 16
13 October IBRiS 20.3 36.2 6.4 11.1 5.9 8.4 3.1 0.5 7.9 15.9
8 October IBRiS 22.2 35.8 6.7 9.3 6.2 8.6 2.3 0.2 8.1 13.6
7–8 October Ipsos 25 36 6 8 7 5 3 0 10 11
7–8 October Millward Brown 19 35 5 11 5 8 5 1 12 16
7 October TNS Poland 27.7 42 3.7 8.8 6 8 3.1 0.0 0.7 14.3
2–7 October TNS Poland 24 36 4 4 6 4 3 0 19 12
6 October IBRiS 23.8 33.4 6.6 9.5 5.8 9.3 3.2 0.0 8.5 9.4
30 Sep – 5 Oct Dobra Opinia 25.8 38.2 5.3 8.6 9.2 6.6 4.7 1.3 12.4
2–3 October IBRiS 24 34 6 10 8 9 3 1 5 10
1 October IBRiS 23.2 35.6 6.2 9.3 7 8.1 2.5 0.5 7.6 12.4
30 Sept. – 1 Oct Millward Brown 22 32 4 12 7 6 5 3 9 10
29 September IBRiS 24.3 36 6.6 7.3 6.9 8.1 3 0.7 7.1 11.7
28–29 September Estymator 26 42 6 7 5 5 5 1 3 16
24–25 September PressMix 21 44 6 6 4 5 2 2 10 23
24 September IBRiS 27.3 37.6 5 7.8 5 6 3.6 0.6 7 10.3
23–24 September IPSOS 26 38 6 5 7 6 3 1 8 12
17–23 September CBOS 30 34 5 5 7 6 4 1 8 4
22 September IBRiS 25.5 36.9 5.8 8.3 4.7 7.3 3.6 0.9 7 11.4
17–21 September Dobra Opinia 25.7 39.2 5.8 8.1 9.8 5.5 4.7 1.2 0 13.5
19–20 September Millward Brown 22 33 6 8 5 6 7 2 11 11
16–20 September ewybory.eu 25 38.4 5 12.8 6.7 4.5 4.2 0.9 2.5 13.4
18–19 September IBRiS 22 39 5 8 4 6 – – 16 17
13 September IBRiS 21.8 36.4 5.2 8.8 6.1 5.7 3.0 1.3 13.1 14.6
9–13 September ewybory.eu 24.2 37.1 5.5 15.3 5.5 4 6.3 0.1 2.1 12.9
10–11 September IPSOS 24 35 5 6 9 4 4 – 13 11
4–9 September TNS Poland 23 38 2 3 7 2 2 – 23 15
7 September Millward Brown 25 38 5 9 6 7 5 – ? 13
3–7 September GfK Polonia 31.1 43.3 3.9 5.5 6.8 2.7 3.2 0.1 3.4 12.2
4–6 September Millward Brown 25 36 4 10 6 7 3 1 10 11
4–5 September IBRiS 23 38 5 8 6 5 3 – 12 15
28 August IBRiS 19 39.1 5.2 8.3 7 5.6 2.5 0.4 3.7 20.1
26–27 August Estymator 26 43 7 8 4 4 2 – 6 17
17–24 August CBOS 27 36 4 4 12 4 1 – 11 9
24 August Millward Brown 27 37 4 11 6 5 4 – 5 10
17–23 August ewybory.eu 21.2 46.9 5 12 4.5 2.9 2.8 0.1 4.6 25.7
20 August IBRIS 19 40.4 5.4 9.5 4.7 6.5 2.2 – 12.3 21.4
15 August IBRIS 24 36 6 8 6 6 0 1.1 14 14
14 August Estymator 28 41 6 6 6 4 2 – 7 13
14 August Arianda 25.4 36.1 3.9 3.8 0 13.5 4.1 2.9 – 10.1 10.7
7–12 August TNS Poland 22 41 4 4 11 1 2 – 14 19
10 August Millward Brown 26 35 3 8 12 5 3 – 9 9
6–10 August GfK Polonia 29.9 42.3 4.1 4.2 9.8 2.3 3.8 – 3.6 12.4
8 August TNS Poland 21.9 34.4 – 7.4 10.1 5.2 0 – ? 12.5
3–8 August ewybory.eu 24.5 45.1 4.4 10.5 5.5 1.8 3.2 – 3.7 20.6
3 August IBRiS 23 35 6 7 7 5 0 – 17 12
24–31 July ewybory.eu 26.7 40.3 4 9.2 8.5 1.8 4.3 – 4.1 13.6
30 July Estymator 29 43 5 4 9 4 2 – 3 14
29 July GfK Polonia 30 47 3.7 1.1 10.5 1 2.2 – 4.5 17
25 July Arianda 23 37 4 6 0 16 4 5 – 5 14
18 July IBRiS 24 35 4 3 1 13 6 1 – 1 11
17 July TNS Poland 23 37 3 3 0 14 1 1 1 2 14
16 July Millward Brown 23 33 5 7 18 5 4 1 5 10
16 July Estymator 28 43 5 5 0 10 4 2 – ? 15
8 July CBOS 29 36 3 3 1 11 4 3 1 10 7
7 July IBRiS 26 33 4 2 0 14 6 3 – 2 7
5 July Millward Brown 25 34 5 6 16 6 4 – 1 9
2 July TNS Poland 27 38 2 3 13 0 3 – 1 11
29 June GfK Polonia 28.8 43.1 3.2 2.6 0.3 15.1 2.1 2 – 0.5 14.3
27 June Estymator 25 36 6 4 1 20 – 2 – ? 11
23 June Dobra Opinia 25.8 37.2 4 3.5 0.9 19.3 4.6 3.8 – 0.9 11.4
24 June IBRiS 24 35.5 4.2 2.9 0.7 18.3 5.2 1.6 – ? 11.5
23 June Millward Brown 23 33 5 4 1 19 8 3 – 3 10
21 June IBRiS 26 28 5 4 0 21 5 2 – ? 2
17 June TNS Poland 20 34 3 4 1 17 1 2 – 1 14
17 June CBOS 25 31 4 4 1 19 4 2 – 8 6
11 June Estymator 19 33 4 4 2 29 3 2 – ? 4
11 June Millward Brown 19 30 3 5 3 24 7 4 – 1 6
9 June TNS Poland 24 32 3 2 0 20 3 2 – 1 8
8 June IBRiS 21 24 3 3 – 24.2 8 3 – ? 0.2
4 June ewybory.eu 19.3 35.1 2.1 4.6 2.2 28 2.5 4.1 – 0.8 7.1
3 June CBOS 31 33 1 4 1 14 3 2 – 0 2
1 June Millward Brown 17 25 3 4 2 20 10 4 – 14 5
27–28 May Estymator 20 36 4 5 1 25 4 1 – 1 11
May 24, 2015 Presidential elections - II Round 48.45 51.55 - - - - - - - - 3.1
22–23 May IBRiS 29 29 4 3 – 10 – 4 – 1 Tie
21 May IBRiS 22.4 29.7 3.2 4.0 – 21.3 5.7 – – ? 4.3
14–20 May CBOS 34 35 5 4 2 4 – 5 – 1 1
14 May Millward Brown 25 25 4 3 1 20 5 3 – ? Tie
9–14 May TNS Poland 28 35 4 8 2 – – 4 – 16 7
14 May Millward Brown 34 33 3 5 – – – 4 – 15+5 1
May 10, 2015 Presidential elections - I Round 33.8 34.8 1.6 2.4 1.4 20.8 - 3.3 - 1.9 1.0
8–9 May IBRiS 37 35 5 5 1 - - 3 - 14 2
28–29 April TNS Poland 34 27 4 6 2 - - 5 - 22 7
28 April Millward Brown 35 31 3 6 2 - - 7 - 16 4
24–25 April IBRiS 37 32 5 4 – - - 5 - 17 5
16–22 April CBOS 36 30 6 7 2 - - 6 1 13 6
14–16 April Estymator 40 34 8 7 2 - - 4 - 5 6
11–16 April TNS Poland 35 30 6 6 1 - - 4 - 18 5
9–13 April GfK Polonia 44.7 36.3 4.4 5.6 1.0 - - 2.5 – 5.5 8.4
13 April Millward Brown 35 31 5 7 3 - - 8 – 11 4
April IBRiS 36 31 6 8 3 - - 4 – 12 5
7–8 April TNS Poland 38 30 5 6 1 - - 4 - 16 8
7 April IBRiS 38.2 33.2 5.2 6.3 1.7 - - 4.8 - 5.8 5
30 March Millward Brown 35 35 5 6 3 - - 5 – 11 Tie
27–28 March IBRiS 36.3 30.2 7.0 6.8 1.8 - - 5.4 – 12.5 6.1
16–18 March Estymator 38 34 8 9 3 - - 5 - 3 4
13–18 March TNS Poland 30 32 5 8 2 - - 2 - 21 2
11–18 March CBOS 42 29 5 7 1 - - 3 - 13 13
16 March Millward Brown 32 34 4 11 4 - - 4 - 11 2
12–16 March GfK Polonia 46.1 34.6 6.7 4.6 0.4 - - 1.9 - 5.7 11.5
13–14 March IBRiS 34.5 31.3 7.6 8.3 0.8 - - 2.4 - 15.1 3.2
10–11 March TNS Poland 36 34 6 5 1 - - 3 - 15 2
5–11 March CBOS 46 27 5 6 1 - - 4 - 11 19
27 February IBRiS 37.0 32.8 7.3 7.4 1.5 - - 3.3 - 10.7 4.2
13–18 February Millward Brown 34 35 5 8 1 - - 6 - 11 1
13–18 February TNS Poland 33 27 8 9 1 - - - - 21 6
15–17 February Estymator 39 32 11 10 2 - - 4 - 2 7
16 February Millward Brown 31 30 6 10 4 - - 5 - 14 1
12–16 February GfK Polonia 38.9 38.0 8.9 6.5 1.3 - - 1.7 - 4.7 0.9
5–11 February CBOS 38 28 11 8 3 - – – – 12 10
4–5 February TNS Poland 34 32 9 7 2 - - 1 - 15 2
30–31 January IBRiS 34.2 32.9 7.6 8.4 1.6 - - 3.5 - 11.8 1.3
16–21 January TNS Poland 31 27 8 11 2 - - - - 21 4
15–18 January GfK Polonia 38.5 37.7 6.3 8.3 1.5 - - - - 7.7 0.8
16–17 January IBRiS 35.6 34.7 7.8 10.2 1 - - - - 11.7 0.9
8–14 January CBOS 40 29 7 6 0 - - - - 18 11
12–13 January TNS Poland 33 33 6 8 1 - - - - 19 Tie
12 January Millward Brown 34 34 9 9 0 - - - - 14 Tie
2–3 January IBRiS 33.9 32.0 6.8 5.9 1.9 - - - - 19.5 1.9

2014

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link PO PiS SLD PSL KNP TR SP PRZP Others/Undecided Lead
18–19 December IBRiS 32.8 29.8 5.9 7.7 6.1 1.2 (PiS) (PiS) 16.5 3
10–11 December TNS Poland 31 34 5 8 5 3 (PiS) (PiS) 14 3
4–11 December CBOS 43 28 7 9 4 1 (PiS) (PiS) 8 15
5–10 December TNS Poland 34 29 9 9 3 2 (PiS) (PiS) 14 5
4–7 December GfK Polonia 38.2 40 7 7.7 1 1.5 1.7 2.9 1.8
5–6 December IBRiS 33 30 8 8 5 – (PiS) (PiS) 16 3
20–23 November GfK Polonia 38.2 35.9 6.6 8.1 3.9 2.3 1.6 3.4 2.3
21–22 November IBRiS 36.3 34.1 7.1 7.6 5.6 1.0 (PiS) (PiS) 8.3 2.2
18–21 November Millward Brown 33 30 10 9 3 2 (PiS) (PiS) 13 3
16 November Local election results 26.3 26.9 8.8 23.9 3.9 1 [a] (PiS) (PiS) 9.2 0.6
6–16 November CBOS 38 27 9 8 4 1 (PiS) (PiS) 13 11
12–13 November TNS Poland 32 28 7 5 5 2 (PiS) (PiS) 21 4
7–13 November TNS Poland 26 29 11 9 3 2 (PiS) (PiS) 20 3
10–12 November Estymator 38 35 8 8 7 1 (PiS) (PiS) 3 3
7–8 November IBRiS 33 30 11 8 4 1 (PiS) (PiS) 13 3
5 November TNS Poland 32 27 9 5 5 1 (PiS) (PiS) 21 5
17–18 October IBRiS 33 33 9 5 4 1 (PiS) (PiS) 15 Tie
16–19 October Millward Brown 34 30 11 6 4 2 (PiS) (PiS) 13 4
9–15 October CBOS 34 34 9 6 7 2 (PiS) (PiS) 8 Tie
3–8 October TNS Poland 28 27 14 9 3 2 (PiS) (PiS) 17 1
2–6 October GfK Polonia 37.6 37.8 8.4 7 3 1.1 1.5 3.6 0.2
3–4 October IBRiS 34 32 10 6 4 1 (PiS) (PiS) 13 2
2 October TNS Poland 34 28 8 6 5 2 (PiS) (PiS) 17 6
19–20 September IBRiS 33 33 11 6 5 1 1 1 9 Tie
11–17 September CBOS 38 33 6 7 6 2 (PiS) (PiS) 8 5
5–9 September TNS Poland 27 31 10 7 5 4 (PiS) (PiS) 16 4
5–8 September GfK Polonia 37.8 41.5 7.4 4.7 3.9 1.3 0.8 2.6 3.7
4–5 September TNS Poland 34 28 9 5 5 2 (PiS) (PiS) 17 6
2 September Millward Brown 31 32 9 5 7 4 (PiS) (PiS) 12 1
19–25 August CBOS 26 32 9 6 7 4 (PiS) (PiS) 16 6
22–23 August IBRiS 25 33 12 5 7 3 2 1 12 8
8–14 August TNS Poland 26 31 12 7 3 2 (PiS) (PiS) 19 5
8–9 August IBRiS 24 33 11 6 6 2 1 3 14 9
25–26 July IBRiS 25 36 9 4 6 2 1 3 14 11
25 July GfK Polonia 27.7 42.4 9.6 5.9 5.4 2.2 1.3 1.1 4.4 14.7
18 July TNS Poland 23 35 8 4 5 2 2 2 19 12
10–13 July Millward Brown 26 33 8 4 10 2 1 2 14 7
11–12 July IBRiS 25 31 11 5 8 3 3 2 12 6
10 July CBOS 29 24 8 6 6 2 1 2 22 5
27–28 June IBRiS 24 32 10 5 11 2 3 2 11 8
23 June TNS Poland 24 31 8 5 10 4 2 2 13 7
17 June Millward Brown 25 32 10 4 8 4 0 1 16 7
13–14 June IBRiS 28 32 9 7 5 2 3 2 12 4
6–11 June TNS Poland 28 36 10 5 4 2 2 1 12 8
5–11 June CBOS 32 24 5 6 5 3 1 1 23 8
30–31 May IBRiS 26 30 11 5 6 2 3 2 15 4
27 May IBRiS 28 30 11 7 7 2 2 3 10 2
25 May European Parliament election 32.1 31.8 9.5 6.8 7.1 3.6 4 3.2 1.9 0.3
24–25 May IBRiS 25 30 13 5 5 3 3 2 14 5
9–14 May TNS Poland 25 32 9 6 3 5 1 2 17 7
7–14 May CBOS 27 23 9 4 5 3 1 2 26 4
13 May IBRiS 28 30 11 5 7 4 2 2 11 2
8–10 May IBRiS 29 29 12 5 6 3 3 2 11 Tie
29 April IBRiS 26 28 12 6 5 4 2 3 14 2
24–25 April IBRiS 25 30 13 5 5 3 3 2 14 2
14 April IBRiS 26 28 12 5 4 5 2 3 15 2
8 April Millward Brown 31 29 8 7 6 7 – – 12 2
4–9 April TNS Poland 29 32 10 5 2 2 2 2 16 3
3–9 April CBOS 28 21 7 5 5 1 1 3 29 7
2–3 April TNS Poland 31 30 12 6 6 6 3 3 3 1
1 April IBRiS 28 31 11 5 2 4 2 1 16 3
20–21 March Estymator 36 33 12 5 2 4 2 5 1 3
18 March IBRiS 27 29 11 5 2 4 2 1 19 5
6–12 March CBOS 26 24 7 4 3 3 2 2 29 2
7–8 March IBRiS 25 30 11 5 5 3 2 1 18 5
6–7 March TNS Poland 26 31 8 5 3 5 2 3 17 5
4 March IBRiS 25 31 12 6 2 6 2 2 14 6
18 February IBRiS 23 30 12 4 3 5 3 2 18 7
6–12 February CBOS 25 26 8 4 4 3 2 2 26 1
6–7 February TNS Poland 26 29 10 3 4 8 3 3 14 3
4 February IBRiS 24 32 12 5 2 4 1 4 16 8
24–26 January Millward Brown 24 32 10 7 4 7 1 2 13 8
21 January IBRiS 23 29 13 6 2 5 2 3 17 6
15–16 January Estymator 33.5 31.6 13.9 8.2 1.9 3.3 1.7 5.4 0.5 1.9
9–15 January CBOS 24 25 8 5 3 3 2 3 27 1
10–11 January IBRiS 27 29 14 5 – 2 0 3 20 2
6 January IBRiS 24 29 12 6 – 3 1 – 25 5

2013

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link PO PiS SLD PSL KNP RP SP PRJG Others/Undecided Lead
17 December IBRiS 23 30 15 6 – 3 2 – 21 7
16 December IBRiS 23.8 31.1 14.5 5 – 4.6 3 4 14 7.3
13–16 December TNS Poland 26 29 10 4 3 5 4 5 14 3
5–12 December CBOS 23 23 10 6 2 3 2 – 31 Tie
6–11 December TNS Poland 23 28 9 4 3 6 3 – 24 5
9–10 December Estymator 28.2 31.5 13.4 7.3 3.9 5.4 3 6.6 0.7 3.3
9 December Millward Brown 25 31 10 5 – 6 – 6 17 6
5–8 December GfK Polonia 33.8 39.5 9.8 5.8 2.3 3.2 2.4 – 3.2 5.7
3 December IBRiS 19 32 15 6 – 5 3 – 20 13
22–25 November TNS Poland 28 28 7 7 – 8 – – 22 Tie
22–23 November IBRiS 19 29 15 6 4 5 3 – 19 10
20–21 November TNS Poland 34 36 12 4 4 5 2 – 3 2
8–15 November TNS Poland 22 31 12 5 2 5 3 – 20 9
7–14 November CBOS 24 25 10 7 1 3 1 – 29 1
8–9 November IBRiS 20 31 15 4 4 6 3 – 17 11
25–26 October Millward Brown 27 35 9 – 5 7 – – 17 8
22–24 October TNS Poland 41 32 11 3 3 5 2 – 3 9
22 October IBRiS 22 30 13 7 – 4 3 – 21 8
18–19 October IBRiS 22 31 14 6 – 5 – – 22 9
3–9 October CBOS 22 28 8 6 4 4 2 – 26 6
8 October IBRiS 24 30 14 6 – 4 2 – 20 6
20–21 September IBRiS 24 30 13 5 – 5 – – 23 6
17 September IBRiS 22 32 13 5 – 6 4 – 18 10
13–15 September Millward Brown 27 33 10 4 3 6 2 – 15 6
5–12 September CBOS 25 23 10 6 2 5 0 – 29 2
10 September Millward Brown 25 30 10 7 4 8 2 – 14 5
10 September IBRiS 20 31 15 5 3 2 3 4[b] 17 11
7–10 September TNS Poland 28 26 7 5 2 5 3 – 24 2
23–24 August IBRiS 22 33 15 5 – 3 3 – 19 11
13 August TNS Poland 32 43 12 5 2 3 1 – 2 11
1–12 August CBOS 25 24 9 5 2 2 2 – 31 1
9 August IBRiS 25.6 33.8 14.1 6.2 3 6 2.2 – 9.1 8.2
2–8 August TNS Poland 25 29 10 5 3 5 4 – 19 4
6 August IBRiS 24 35 15 5 – 3 3 – 15 11
23 July IBRiS 26 32 15 5 – 3 4 – 15 6
19 July IBRiS 24.7 30.4 14.3 5.1 0.7 4.9 3.3 – 16.6 5.7
12–15 July TNS Poland 34 40 13 2 1 6 2 – 2 6
4–11 July CBOS 24 26 7 5 2 3 1 – 32 2
5–10 July TNS Poland 26 30 9 4 2 5 2 – 22 4
9 July IBRiS 25 33 17 5 – 3 3 – 14 8
3 July Millward Brown 26 35 10 5 – 6 – – 18 9
26 June IBRiS 27 32 16 7 – 3 5 – 10 5
21 June IBRiS 26 31 15 6 – 6 – – 16 5
12–13 June TNS Poland 32 39 14 3 3 5 2 – 7 7
6–12 June CBOS 23 27 9 6 2 3 2 – 23 4
11 June IBRiS 26 32 15 4 – 4 5 – 14 6
4–11 June CBOS 24 26 7 5 2 3 2 – 31 2
28–29 May Millward Brown 26 30 16 5 5 10 – – 8 4
28 May IBRiS 27 30 14 4 – 6 3 – 16 3
24 May IBRiS 27 32 14 6 2 6 3 – 10 5
11–16 May TNS Poland 25 28 12 4 3 8 3 – 17 3
9–15 May CBOS 23 26 9 6 2 4 2 – 28 3
10 May IBRiS 26 28 13 7 3 5 3 3[b] 12 2
7 May IBRiS 31 30 13 5 – 6 3 – 12 1
26 April IBRiS 30 31 13 6 – 3 4 – 13 1
23 April IBRiS 28 29 12 6 – 6 5 – 14 1
12 April IBRiS 29 29 13 6 3 4 3 – 13 Tie
4–10 April CBOS 25 23 8 6 2 2 3 – 31 2
9 April IBRiS 31 30 13 6 – 4 4 – 12 1
18 March IBRiS 32 31 15 5 – 5 3 – 9 1
18 March Millward Brown 28 28 11 6 4 10 1 – 12 Tie
7–13 March CBOS 25 22 10 6 4 6 1 – 26 3
8 March IBRiS 32 28 14 7 – 4 4 – 11 4
5 March Millward Brown 32 31 9 6 – 7 1 – 14 1
5 March IBRiS 32 30 14 5 – 6 4 – 9 2
22–26 February TNS Poland 29 26 12 5 1 5 2 – 20 3
18 February IBRiS 33 29 14 4 – 3 5 – 12 4
13–14 February TNS Poland 35 34 15 3 3 6 3 – 1 1
8–11 February TNS Poland 33 29 6 6 2 6 2 – 16 5
8–9 February IBRiS 30 27 13 5 – 4 5 – 16 5
31 Jan – 6 Feb CBOS 25 24 7 8 2 5 3 – 26 1
4 February IBRiS 30 28 13 5 – 7 6 – 11 2
30 January IBRiS 29 30 13 7 3 7 2 – 9 1
26–27 January Millward Brown 30 25 13 6 – 11 2 – 13 5
22 January IBRiS 31 29 11 8 – 4 2 – 15 2
11–14 January TNS Poland 29 23 10 6 – 7 4 – 21 6
3–9 January CBOS 31 22 8 6 2 4 3 – 24 9
8 January IBRiS 29 31 13 7 – 4 2 – 14 2

2012

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link PO PiS SLD PSL KNP RP SP Others/Undecided Lead
14–19 December TNS Poland 32 22 9 6 – 6 – 25 10
18 December IBRiS 33 29 13 6 – 6 2 11 4
8–9 December Millward Brown 33 28 8 6 – 8 – 17 5
6–9 December TNS Poland 34 26 7 7 1 6 2 17 8
5–6 December TNS Poland 36 31 14 6 – 8 2 3 5
30 Nov – 6 Dec CBOS 32 20 8 8 2 5 3 22 12
4 December IBRiS 29 28 13 7 – 4 3 16 1
29 November TNS Poland 28 28 7 7 – 8 – 22 Tie
20 November IBRiS 36 27 9 4 – 4 3 17 9
19 November Millward Brown 37 26 11 6 – 9 – 11 11
8–17 November CBOS 34 18 9 7 2 4 3 23 16
13 November IBRiS 29.4 30.3 13.5 5 – 6.1 – 15.7 0.9
7–8 November TNS Poland 42 30 10 4 1 8 1 4 12
6 November IBRiS 31 30 11 6 – 7 5 10 1
31 October Millward Brown 33 29 10 4 2 6 4 12 4
23 October IBRiS 33 31 12 5 – 6 5 8 2
16 October TNS Poland 34 23 8 5 1 6 3 20 3
5–12 October TNS Poland 27 28 10 5 – 7 – 23 1
11 October Millward Brown 27 30 12 5 – 6 5 15 3
4–10 October CBOS 28 24 8 5 – 4 3 28 4
2 October IBRiS 28 28 14 6 – 5 5 14 Tie
18 September IBRiS 32 29 12 5 – 6 5 11 3
5–16 September CBOS 31 23 8 5 1 4 3 25 8
7–10 September TNS Poland 28 26 7 5 2 5 3 24 2
4 September IBRiS 31 27 13 5 – 7 5 12 4
14–22 August CBOS 36 22 8 6 2 5 2 19 14
21 August IBRiS 30 29 13 5 – 6 4 13 1
2–5 August TNS Poland 29 24 7 4 2 7 3 24 5
31 July IBRiS 32 26 12 6 – 6 4 24 6
17 July IBRiS 34 25 13 6 – 6 4 12 9
5–12 July CBOS 32 25 9 4 – 5 3 22 7
3 July IBRiS 33 25 14 6 – 5 5 12 8
14–20 June CBOS 32 20 9 6 1 3 3 26 12
19 June IBRiS 33 23 14 7 – 8 4 11 10
14–17 June TNS Poland 30 23 8 6 1 9 1 22 7
5 June IBRiS 29 28 11 6 – 7 5 14 1
10–16 May CBOS 27 21 12 7 2 7 3 21 6
10–13 May TNS Poland 28 25 7 3 1 10 2 24 3
9–10 May TNS Poland 34 34 12 5 – 9 3 3 Tie
8 May IBRiS 31 25 12 4 – 9 7 12 6
13–18 April TNS Poland 30 25 7 3 2 9 4 20 5
12–18 April CBOS 29 22 9 5 3 6 4 22 7
17 April IBRiS 30 27 12 5 – 10 5 11 3
3 April IBRiS 27 25 13 5 – 12 6 2 2
20 March IBRiS 31 26 11 9 – 10 4 9 5
16 March Millward Brown 29 26 11 4 3 14 1 12 3
8–14 March CBOS 29 23 8 8 2 8 3 19 6
6 March IBRiS 32 26 11 8 – 11 5 7 6
1–4 March TNS Poland 29 22 9 5 1 12 2 20 7
8–9 February Millward Brown 27 22 10 6 2 17 5 11 5
3–9 February CBOS 33 19 8 7 2 9 3 19 14
7 February IBRiS 35 21 12 8 – 11 3 10 14
2–6 February TNS Poland 28 26 9 5 1 10 2 19 2
27 January Millward Brown 33 22 8 9 – 13 2 13 11
24 January IBRiS 34 22 13 7 – 13 4 7 12
19–23 January TNS Poland 37 22 6 4 1 8 1 21 15
5–11 January CBOS 40 18 4 7 2 8 2 19 22
10 January IBRiS 36 23 11 7 2 9 4 8 13

2011

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Dates of Polling Polling Firm/Link PO PiS SLD PSL KNP RP SP Others/Undecided Lead
20 December TNS Poland 38 23 10 7 – 11 11 15
8–11 December TNS Poland 38 27 6 7 – 8 2 12 11
1–8 December CBOS 43 21 5 7 1 6 2 15 22
1–6 December IBRiS 37 23 12 7 – 10 – 11 14
1–4 December TNS Poland 36 19 6 6 1 10 2 20 17
30 Nov – 1 Dec TNS Poland 43 23 9 5 – 10 2 10 20
30 November Millward Brown 37 25 8 7 – 9 3 11 12
22 November IBRiS 42 24 8 7 – 11 – 8 18
17–20 November TNS Poland 34 24 9 5 1 8 3 16 10
4–13 November CBOS 42 21 7 7 1 9 – 13 21
4–8 November TNS Poland 42 22 7 5 – 7 – 17 20
5–7 November IBRiS 39 26 7 7 – 11 – 10 13
4–5 November Millward Brown 37 21 5 6 – 10 9[c] 12 16
2–3 November TNS Poland 44 26 8 7 – 10 – 5 18
25 October IBRiS 38 29 8 7 – 13 – 5 9
23 October Millward Brown 39 27 7 8 2 12 – 5 12
13–16 October TNS Poland 45 25 8 6 1 12 – 3 20
14 October IBRiS 38.0 28.6 4.5 5.6 2.4 12.5 – 8.4 9.4
October 9, 2011 Election results 39.2 29.9 8.2 8.4 1.1 10.0 - 3.2 9.3

Notes

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  1. ^ Your Movement did not present lists in all regions in the local elections.
  2. ^ a b In this poll, the people surveyed were asked how they would vote in the hypothetical event of Jarosław Gowin launching his own party.
  3. ^ In this poll, the people surveyed were asked how they would vote in the hypothetical event of Zbigniew Ziobro launching his own party.

References

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