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Opinion polling for the 2012 South Korean presidential election

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This article is a list of opinion polls that have been taken for the 2012 South Korean presidential election. It is divided into polls for the presidential election itself, and polls for the primaries of the two main parties, Saenuri and the Democratic United Party. Two-way polls are used to demonstrate the popularity of one candidate with respect to the other, but the election itself will have no run-off round and will be held under a system of First Past the Post. The polls are ordered by date, with the newest at the top.

General election

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Two-candidate race

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Park Geun-hye vs. Ahn Cheol-soo

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Poll source Date Sample size     Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri 		Ahn (%)
Independent
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[1] 27–28 July 2012 1,000 44.9 48.8 3.9
Gallup[2] 23–27 July 2012 1,520 42 42 0
Realmeter[3] 23–27 July 2012 3,750 44.2 48.4 4.2
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 49.3 45.2 4.1
Realmeter[5] 16–20 July 2012 3,750 47.7 44.8 2.9
OhMyNews/Research View[6] 16–17 July 2012 1,000 48.7 46.5 2.2
Realmeter[7] 25–29 June 2012 3,750 49.0 43.8 5.2
Realmeter[8] 18–22 June 2012 3,750 49.2 44.3 4.9
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 June 2012 3,000 48.6 45.6 3.0
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 2012 800 53.5 43.7 9.8
Realmeter[11] 21–25 May 2012 3,750 48.5 44.7 3.8
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 910 51.9 43.0 8.9
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 3,750 48.8 43.9 4.9
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 3,750 47.6 45.6 2.0
Realmeter[15] 7–8 May 2012 1,500 51.3 40.7 10.6
Chosun Ilbo / Media Research[16] 2–6 May 2012 1,000 47.2 42.1 5.1
Realmeter[17] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 3,000 47.9 45.7 2.2
Gallup[18] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 1,272 47.0 37.0 10.0
Realmeter[19] 23–27 April 2012 3,750 47.1 46.9 0.2
Realmeter[20] 16–20 April 2012 3,750 49.2 45.0 4.2
Realmeter[21] 12–13 April 2012 1,500 47.9 44.8 3.1
JoongAng Ilbo / Gallup[22][23] 12–13 April 2012 800 45.1 35.9 9.2
Realmeter[24] 6–10 February 2012 3,750 41.3 49.5 8.2
Realmeter[25] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 3,750 40.4 51.5 11.1

Park Geun-hye vs. Kim Doo-kwan

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Poll source Date Sample size   Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri 		Kim (%)
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 68.5 20.6 47.9

Park Geun-hye vs. Moon Jae-in

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Poll source Date Sample size     Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri 		Moon (%)
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 56.6 35.0 11.6
OhMyNews/Research View[6] 16–17 July 2012 1,000 50.8 41.0 9.8
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 Jun 2012 3,000 52.5 38.6 13.9
Hankyoreh /Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 2012 61.0 33.5 27.5
Realmeter[11] 21–25 May 2012 3,750 52.6 37.9 14.7
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 910 57.6 33.3 24.3
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 3,750 52.0 37.5 14.5
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 3,750 51.9 38.2 13.7
Realmeter[15] 7–8 May 2012 1,500 55.7 36.3 19.4
Realmeter[17] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 3,000 52.4 38.0 14.4
Realmeter[19] 23–27 April 2012 3,750 50.9 40.3 10.6
Realmeter[24] 6–10 February 2012 3,750 44.3 43.0 1.3
Realmeter[25] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 3,750 44.4 44.9 0.5
Donga Ilbo[25] 24 January 2012 46.7 38.4 8.3

Park Geun-hye vs. Sohn Hak-kyu

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Poll source Date Sample size     Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri 		Sohn (%)
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 67.4 23.9 43.5

Multiple-candidate race

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Candidate
Ahn
Cheol-soo 		Chung
Dong-young 		Chung
Mong-joon 		Chung
Sye-kyun 		Chung
Un-chan 		Kim
Doo-kwan 		Kim
Moon-soo 		Lee
Hoi-chang 		Moon
Jae-in 		Park
Geun-hye 		Rhyu
Si-min 		Sohn
Hak-kyu
Realmeter[9]
29 May – 1 Jun 2012 		22.1% 1.7% 2.1% – – 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 13.8% 40.4% 1.7% 3.6%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[10]
26–27 May 2012 		22.6% 1.5% 2.4% – – 1.7% 1.9% – 11.1% 43.0% 2.7% 1.9%
Realmeter[26]
21–25 May 2012 		19.9% 2.2% 3.1% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 13.7% 40.5% 3.2% 3.0%
JoongAng Ilbo[12]
15 May 2012 		23.3% 1.1% 2.5% – – 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 9.9% 39.3% 1.1% 2.0%
Realmeter[13]
14–18 May 2012 		20.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 1.4% 13.4% 41.9% 2.4% 3.2%
Realmeter[14]
7–11 May 2012 		23.8% 1.7% 2.9% – 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 12.3% 40.3% 2.0% 3.4%
Media Research[16][27]
1–6 May 2012 		22.0% 0.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 9.6% 35.8% 1.5% 1.5%
Realmeter[19]
30 Apr – 4 May 2012 		22.2% 2.3% 2.8% – 1.0% 2.1% 2.5% 1.7% 13.5% 40.0% 2.1% 3.2%
Realmeter[19]
23–27 Apr 2012 		24.0% 1.3% 2.4% – 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% 13.1% 40.3% 2.5% 3.6%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[28]
21 April 2012 		23.8% 0.9% 1.3% – – 0.6% 2.6% 0.9% 11.1% 40.6% 1.2% 1.6%
Realmeter[20]
16–20 Apr 2012 		23.9% 1.3% 1.8% – 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 13.5% 42.1% 2.6% 3.5%
Realmeter[29]
12–13 Apr 2012 		20.7% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 1.3% – 1.5% 2.4% 16.5% 42.5% 2.3% 3.2%
Realmeter[30]
2–6 Apr 2012 		18.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.3% 2.5% – 2.7% 1.9% 19.1% 36.6% 3.1% 3.2%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[31]
31 March 2012 		17.2% 2.1% 1.1% – – 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.3% 36.2% 1.8% 2.4%
Realmeter[24]
6–10 Feb 2012 		20.8% 2.4% 2.5% 0.8% 2.6% – 2.8% 2.6% 19.4% 31.3% 3.1% 3.1%
Realmeter[25]
30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 		21.1% – – – – – 3.2% – 19.3% 31.2% 3.6% 4.7%

Saenuri primary

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Poll source Date Sample size Ahn Sang-soo Chung Mong-joon Chung Un-chan Kim Moon-soo Lee Jae-oh Park Geun-hye Yim Tae-hee
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] 21 April 2012 800 – 5.2% 0.4% 3.1% 0.2% 83.4% –

DUP primary

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Poll source Date Sample size Ahn Cheol-soo Chung Dong-young Chung Sye-kyun Kim Doo-kwan Moon Jae-in Sohn Hak-kyu
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] 21 April 2012 800 2.3% 5.4% 2.4% 3.6% 43.4% 15.5%

References

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  1. ^ "Ahn leading Park in latest polls". The Hankyoreh. 29 July 2012. Retrieved 3 August 2012.
  2. ^ "Ahn matches Park in approval ratings: poll". The Korea Times. 30 July 2012. Retrieved 2 August 2012.
  3. ^ "안철수 원장 지지율 상승세 둔화" [Rise of Dean Ahn's Approval Rating Slows Down] (in Korean). Realmeter. 30 July 2012. Retrieved 3 August 2012.
  4. ^ a b c d "안철수 책 나온뒤 박근혜와 지지율 변화가…" [Change in Ahn Cheol-soo's Approval Rating against Park Geun-hye After Ahn's New Book...] (in Korean). JoongAng Ilbo. 23 July 2012. Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved 3 August 2012.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  5. ^ "출판 소식에 안철수 원장 지지율 상승" [Dean Ahn's Approval Rating Rise on the News of New Book] (in Korean). Realmeter. 23 July 2012. Retrieved 2 August 2012.
  6. ^ a b "대선 지지도, 박근혜-안철수-문재인-김두관 순 박근혜, 양자대결에서 처음으로 안철수 앞서" [Top Finishers of a Presidential Race Poll are Park Geun-hye, Ahn Cheol-soo, and Moon Jae-in. Park Surpasses Ahn for the First Time in a Two-Way Race] (in Korean). OhmyNews. 19 July 2012. Retrieved 3 August 2012.
  7. ^ "대선 양자대결 박근혜 49.0% vs 안철수 43.8%" [Presidential Race Two-Candidate Race Park Geun-hye 49.0% vs Ahn Cheol-soo 43.8%] (in Korean). Realmeter. 2 July 2012. Retrieved 11 July 2012.
  8. ^ "새누리당, 박근혜 전 위원장 지지율 소폭 하락" [Slight Drops in Approval Ratings of Saenuri Party and Park Geun-hye, the Former Acting Leader] (in Korean). Realmeter. 25 June 2012. Retrieved 11 July 2012.
  9. ^ a b c "대선 다자구도 박근혜 8주 연속 40%대 고공행진" [Park Geun-hye's approval rating in multi-candidate race shoots above 40% for eight consecutive weeks] (in Korean). Realmeter. 4 June 2012. Retrieved 4 June 2012.
  10. ^ a b c "Park still leading presidential polls". The Hankyoreh. 29 May 2012. Retrieved 29 May 2012.
  11. ^ a b "대선후보 양자대결 박근혜 48.5%•안철수 44.7%" [Two candidate poll: Park Geun-hye 48.5%, Ahn Cheol-soo 44.7%] (in Korean). Realmeter. 29 May 2012. Retrieved 29 May 2012.
  12. ^ a b c "통합진보당 쇼크…박근혜 대선 지지율 수치가!" [Unified Progressive Party's shock ... Park Geun-hye's approval rating!] (in Korean). Realmeter. 17 May 2012. Archived from the original on April 1, 2022. Retrieved 19 May 2012.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  13. ^ a b c "통합진보당 '도로 민노당' 지지율로 하락" [Unified Progressive Party approval rating drops, 'Democratic Labour Party again'] (in Korean). Realmeter. 21 May 2012. Retrieved 21 May 2012.
  14. ^ a b c "통합진보당 총선 이후 3주 연속 내리막" [Unified Progressive Party falls for 3 consecutive weeks after election] (in Korean). Realmeter. 14 May 2012. Retrieved 18 May 2012.
  15. ^ a b Hwang Bi-woong (황비웅) (11 May 2012). "박근혜 51.3%•안철수 40.7%…朴, 양자대결서 첫 50% 돌파" [Park 51.3%• Ahn 40.7%. Park's approval rate soared over 50% in two candidate poll]. Seoul Sinmun (in Korean). Retrieved 11 May 2012.
  16. ^ a b "새누리 40.0, 민주당 32.3%, 진보당 5.9, 선진당 1.9%" [Saenuri 40.0, DUP 32.3%, UPP 5.9, LFP 1.9%]. Chosun Ilbo (in Korean). 7 May 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
  17. ^ a b "경선불참 소식으로 안철수 원장 지지율 하락" [Director Ahn Cheol-soo's ratings fall on news of election absence] (in Korean). Realmeter. 7 May 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
  18. ^ "왜 왕자님은 떨어지고 공주님은 오를까" [Why is the prince falling and the princess rising?]. OhMyNews (in Korean). 9 May 2012. Retrieved 11 May 2012.
  19. ^ a b c d "이명박 대통령 지지율 4주 연속 하락" [President Lee Myung-bak's approval ratings decline continuously for four weeks] (in Korean). Realmeter. 30 April 2012. Retrieved 30 April 2012.
  20. ^ a b "대선 지지율, 세대별 양극화 심각" [Presidential election poll: Generational polarization serious] (in Korean). Realmeter. 23 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  21. ^ "양자구도서 박근혜 47.9%, 안철수 44.8%" [Two-way race: Park Geun-hye 47.9%; Ahn Cheol-soo 44.8%]. Hankook Ilbo (in Korean). 16 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  22. ^ "Parties demand Ahn to decide on candidacy". Korea JoongAng Daily. 18 April 2012. Archived from the original on September 30, 2013. Retrieved 27 April 2012.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  23. ^ "[총선후 여론조사] 박근혜 45.1% vs 안철수 35.9%" [[Opinion poll after the legislative election] Park Geun-hye 45.1% vs. Ahn Cheol-soo 5.9%]. Views & News (in Korean). 13 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012. 박근혜 45.1% vs 안철수 35.9%
  24. ^ a b c "박근혜, 오차범위내서 문재인 다시 앞서" [Park Geun-hye again ahead of Moon Jae-in, within margin of error] (in Korean). Realmeter. 13 February 2012. Retrieved 8 May 2012.
  25. ^ a b c d "Polls ahead of presidential election show a tight race". The Hankyoreh. 7 February 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  26. ^ "통합진보당 '도로 민노당' 지지율 아래로 추락" [Unified Progressive Party approval rating plunges below Democratic Labor Party] (in Korean). 29 May 2012. Retrieved 29 May 2012.
  27. ^ "박근혜 47.2%-안철수 42.1%..양자구도서 앞서" [Park Geun-hye 47.2% - Ahn Cheol-soo 42.1% ... Ahead in two-way race] (in Korean). 7 May 2012. Retrieved 8 May 2012.
  28. ^ a b c "Most would choose Park or Ahn for president". The Hankyoreh. 23 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  29. ^ "대선 양자구도, 박근혜 처음으로 안철수 앞서" [Presidential election two-way race: Park Geun-hye first followed by Ahn Cheol-soo] (in Korean). Realmeter. 16 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  30. ^ "박근혜 지지율 2년만에 최고치, 36.6%" [Park Geun-hye's approval rating at 2-year high of 36.6%] (in Korean). Realmeter. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  31. ^ "Poll: Park Geun-hye still leading race to presidency". The Hankyoreh. 2 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
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