Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election
Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the 2019 general election. The election was held on 12 December 2019.
Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.
Graphical summaries
editThe chart below depicts opinion polls conducted in the lead up to the 2019 UK general election using a LOESS lines. As discussed below, most of these polls do not include Northern Ireland. The final points represent the actual results of the election.
National poll results
editPoll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland. However, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide.
The campaigning period officially began on 6 November 2019.[1]
The various polls use a variety of methodologies. For example, in Kantar and Ipsos MORI polls, Change UK and the Brexit Party were spontaneous responses and not prompted by the pollster.[2][3] In YouGov polls before June 2019, only the Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats were prompted, the names of other parties being listed when "other" was selected.[4] YouGov polls conducted since June 2019 prompt for both the Greens and the Brexit Party, alongside the earlier list.[5] BMG polls also use two-stage questions in which the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, the Brexit Party, the Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru are included on the initial prompt and the remaining parties provided after "another party" is selected. Prior to August 2019, BMG did not prompt the Brexit Party and the Greens initially.[6]
As the parties standing for each seat became known (including the 11 November announcement that the Brexit Party would not be contesting the 317 seats won by the Conservatives in 2017) the major pollsters began listing only those standing in a respondent's constituency as options.[7]
2019
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid Cymru | Green | Brexit | UKIP | Change UK | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec | UK | – | 43.6% | 32.1% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 11.5% |
GB | 44.7% | 33.0% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 11.7% | |||
Survation | 10–11 Dec | GB | 2,395 | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
Panelbase | 10–11 Dec | GB | 3,174 | 43% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | – | 9% |
Opinium Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 10–11 Dec | GB | 3,005 | 45% | 33% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 9–11 Dec | GB | 2,213 | 44% | 33% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 6% | 11% |
Deltapoll | 9–11 Dec | GB | 1,818 | 45% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 0% | 10% |
Kantar Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 9–11 Dec | GB | 2,815 | 44% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
BMG/The Independent | 6–11 Dec | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 32% | 14% | – | – | 3% | 4% | – | – | 6% | 9% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 9–10 Dec | GB | 2,051 | 41% | 36% | 12% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 5% |
Number Cruncher Politics/Bloomberg | 8–10 Dec | GB | 1,009 | 43% | 33% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec | GB | 105,612 | 43% | 34% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 9% |
FocalData (MRP) | 27 Nov–10 Dec | GB | 21,213 | 42% | 34% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
ICM Research/Reuters | 6–9 Dec | GB | 2,011 | 42% | 36% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | – | 1% | 6% |
SavantaComRes/Remain United[a] | 6–8 Dec | GB | 6,073 | 43% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
Qriously | 5–8 Dec | UK | 2,222 | 43% | 30% | 12% | 2% | – | 4% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 13% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 5–7 Dec | UK | 1,012 | 45% | 31% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | – | – | 3% | 14% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 5–7 Dec | GB | 1,533 | 44% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 5–6 Dec | GB | 1,680 | 43% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–6 Dec | GB | 1,542 | 41% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
Opinium/The Observer | 4–6 Dec | GB | 2,002 | 46% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 15% |
Panelbase | 4–6 Dec | GB | 2,033 | 43% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 9% |
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph | 4–5 Dec | GB | 2,034 | 41% | 33% | 12% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 8% |
SavantaComRes/Remain United[a] | 2–5 Dec | GB | 2,005 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 3% | – | 2% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 2–4 Dec | GB | 1,545 | 44% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 2–3 Dec | GB | 2,041 | 42% | 32% | 12% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 10% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky News | 2–3 Dec | GB | 1,699 | 42% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
ICM Research | 29 Nov–2 Dec | GB | 2,029 | 42% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
Kantar Archived 3 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 28 Nov–2 Dec | GB | 1,096 | 44% | 32% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 28–30 Nov | GB | 1,528 | 45% | 32% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 26–30 Nov | UK | 1,065 | 42% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 3% | 9% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 28–29 Nov | GB | 1,680 | 43% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
Opinium/The Observer | 27–29 Nov | GB | 2,018 | 46% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 2% | 15% |
BMG/The Independent | 27–29 Nov | GB | 1,663 | 39% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph | 27–28 Nov | GB | 2,025 | 43% | 33% | 13% | 3% | – | 3% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
Panelbase | 27–28 Nov | GB | 2,010 | 42% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 25–26 Nov | GB | 2,034 | 41% | 34% | 13% | 3% | – | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky News | 25–26 Nov | GB | 1,678 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
ICM Research | 22–25 Nov | GB | 2,004 | 41% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | – | 1% | 7% |
Kantar[permanent dead link] | 21–25 Nov | GB | 1,097 | 43% | 32% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 11% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 21–23 Nov | GB | 1,519 | 43% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 20–23 Nov | UK | 1,010 | 41% | 30% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 4% | 11% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 21–22 Nov | GB | 1,677 | 42% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 20–22 Nov | GB | 2,003 | 47% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 19% |
Panelbase | 20–22 Nov | GB | 2,028 | 42% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 10% |
SavantaComRes/Sunday Express | 20–21 Nov | GB | 2,038 | 42% | 32% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
BMG | 19–21 Nov | GB | 1,663 | 41% | 28% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
YouGov | 12–20 Nov | GB | 11,277 | 43% | 29% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 14% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 18–19 Nov | GB | 1,628 | 42% | 31% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Nov | GB | 1,606 | 42% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 15–19 Nov | GB | 1,128 | 44% | 28% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 16% |
YouGov | 17–18 Nov | GB | 1,634 | 43% | 29% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 3% | 14% |
ICM Research | 15–18 Nov | GB | 2,010 | 42% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 2% | 10% |
Kantar Archived 23 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 14–18 Nov | GB | 1,176 | 45% | 27% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 18% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 14–16 Nov | UK | 1,010 | 42% | 28% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | – | – | 4% | 14% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 14–16 Nov | GB | 1,526 | 45% | 30% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced) | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 14–15 Nov | GB | 1,670 | 45% | 28% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 17% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 28 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 13–15 Nov | GB | 2,008 | 44% | 28% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% | – | – | 0% | 16% |
BMG/The Independent | 12–15 Nov | GB | 1,506 | 37% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 9% | – | – | 0% | 8% |
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph | 13–14 Nov | GB | 2,052 | 41% | 33% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
Panelbase | 13–14 Nov | GB | 1,021 | 43% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 5% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 11–12 Nov | GB | 2,022 | 40% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 7% | – | – | 1% | 10% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky News | 11–12 Nov | GB | 1,619 | 42% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | – | – | 4% | 14% |
ICM Research | 8–11 Nov | GB | 2,035 | 39% | 31% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 8% |
Kantar Archived 13 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 7–11 Nov | GB | 1,165 | 37% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 8–10 Nov | GB | 2,014 | 37% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 9% | – | – | 1% | 8% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 6–9 Nov | GB | 1,518 | 41% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 7–8 Nov | GB | 1,598 | 39% | 26% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 10% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation | 6–8 Nov | UK | 2,037 | 35% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 10% | – | – | 3% | 6% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 6–8 Nov | GB | 2,001 | 41% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 6% | – | – | 0% | 12% |
Panelbase | 6–8 Nov | GB | 1,046 | 40% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 8% | – | – | 0% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 5–8 Nov | GB | 1,504 | 37% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 9% | – | – | 0% | 8% |
YouGov/The Times/Sky | 5–6 Nov | GB | 1,667 | 36% | 25% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% | – | – | 1% | 11% |
Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins | ||||||||||||||
ComRes/Remain United | 30 Oct–5 Nov | GB | 6,097 | 36% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times | 1–4 Nov | GB | 3,284 | 38% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
ICM Research/Reuters | 1–4 Nov | GB | 2,047 | 38% | 31% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 31 Oct–2 Nov | GB | 1,500 | 40% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 30 Oct–1 Nov | GB | 2,004 | 42% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 16% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 30 Oct–1 Nov | GB | 1,834 | 39% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 30–31 Oct | GB | 2,032 | 36% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8% |
ORB/The Sunday Telegraph Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 30–31 Oct | GB | 2,025 | 36% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8% |
Panelbase | 30–31 Oct | GB | 1,008 | 40% | 29% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
The House of Commons votes for an early general election | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 29–30 Oct | GB | 1,750 | 36% | 21% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 15% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 29–30 Oct | UK | 1,010 | 34% | 26% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
Richard Braine resigns as leader of UKIP[8] | ||||||||||||||
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 25–28 Oct | GB | 1,007 | 41% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct | GB | 11,590 | 36% | 22% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Oct | GB | 1,672 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 23–25 Oct | GB | 2,001 | 40% | 24% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 16% |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 Oct | GB | 1,689 | 37% | 22% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Deltapoll | 18–21 Oct | GB | 2,017 | 37% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Panelbase | 17–18 Oct | GB | 1,008 | 36% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 17–18 Oct | UK | 1,025 | 32% | 24% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 16–17 Oct | GB | 2,067 | 33% | 29% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 15–17 Oct | GB | 2,001 | 37% | 24% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 13% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Oct | GB | 1,625 | 37% | 22% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
Kantar[permanent dead link] | 10–15 Oct | GB | 1,184 | 39% | 25% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 14% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 9–11 Oct | GB | 2,013 | 33% | 30% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
ComRes/Daily Express | 9–10 Oct | GB | 2,018 | 33% | 27% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Oct | GB | 1,616 | 35% | 22% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 13% |
ICM Research/Represent Us | 4–7 Oct | GB | 2,013 | 35% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 4–6 Oct | GB | 2,006 | 33% | 27% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 3–4 Oct | GB | 2,006 | 38% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
BMG/The Independent | 1–4 Oct | GB | 1,514 | 31% | 26% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 30 Sep–1 Oct | GB | 1,623 | 34% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 26–27 Sep | GB | 1,623 | 33% | 22% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 29 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 25–27 Sep | GB | 2,007 | 36% | 24% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 25 Sep | UK | 1,011 | 27% | 24% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Sep | GB | 1,635 | 33% | 22% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 19–20 Sep | GB | 2,006 | 30% | 23% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 22 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 19–20 Sep | GB | 2,004 | 37% | 22% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 18–19 Sep | GB | 2,050 | 29% | 27% | 20% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 13% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 17–18 Sep | GB | 1,608 | 32% | 21% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 9% |
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard | 13–16 Sep | GB | 1,006 | 33% | 24% | 23% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% | |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 11–13 Sep | GB | 2,002 | 37% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 11–12 Sep | GB | 2,057 | 28% | 27% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Sep | GB | 1,676 | 32% | 23% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
Kantar Archived 7 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 5–9 Sep | GB | 1,144 | 38% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 6–8 Sep | GB | 2,016 | 30% | 29% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 5–7 Sep | GB | 2,049 | 31% | 28% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 5–6 Sep | GB | 1,676 | 35% | 21% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 14% |
Panelbase | 5–6 Sep | GB | 1,013 | 31% | 28% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 5–6 Sep | UK | 1,006 | 29% | 24% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 4–6 Sep | GB | 2,009 | 31% | 27% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 27 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 4–6 Sep | GB | 2,009 | 35% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 3–6 Sep | GB | 1,504 | 31% | 27% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Hanbury Strategy Archived 9 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine | 3–4 Sep | GB | 995 | 33% | 26% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 7%[b] |
YouGov/The Times | 2–3 Sep | GB | 1,639 | 35% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
ICM Research/Represent Us | 30 Aug–3 Sep | GB | 2,041 | 37% | 30% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 29–31 Aug | GB | 2,028 | 35% | 24% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 29–30 Aug | UK | 1,020 | 31% | 24% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7% |
YouGov | 28–29 Aug | GB | 1,867 | 33% | 22% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Times | 27–28 Aug | GB | 2,006 | 34% | 22% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 22–23 Aug | GB | 2,019 | 33% | 21% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
Opinium/The Observer | 21–23 Aug | GB | 2,005 | 32% | 26% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 Aug | GB | 1,687 | 32% | 22% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Kantar Archived 21 August 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 15–19 Aug | GB | 1,133 | 42% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 Aug | GB | 1,625 | 30% | 21% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 9% |
BMG/The Independent | 7–12 Aug | GB | 1,515 | 31% | 25% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 9–11 Aug | GB | 2,011 | 31% | 27% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 4% |
Survation | 6–11 Aug | UK | 2,040 | 28% | 24% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Richard Braine becomes leader of UKIP[9] | ||||||||||||||
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 8–9 Aug | GB | 2,003 | 31% | 28% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Aug | GB | 1,628 | 31% | 22% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9% |
Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 29–30 Jul | GB | 2,066 | 32% | 22% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Ipsos MORI | 26–30 Jul | GB | 1,007 | 34% | 24% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 26–28 Jul | GB | 2,004 | 29% | 30% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 25–27 Jul | GB | 2,001 | 30% | 25% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 25–26 Jul | GB | 1,697 | 31% | 21% | 20% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
Opinium/The Observer | 24–26 Jul | GB | 2,006 | 30% | 28% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 24–25 Jul | GB | 2,029 | 28% | 27% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 23–24 Jul | GB | 1,715 | 25% | 19% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
Boris Johnson becomes leader of the Conservative Party, and Prime Minister the next day | ||||||||||||||
Jo Swinson becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[11] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Jul | GB | 1,749 | 25% | 21% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
ComRes/Britain Elects | 15–16 Jul | GB | 2,038 | 25% | 28% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,791 | 24% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
Survation | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,012 | 23% | 29% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 20% | – | – | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Jul | GB | 1,671 | 24% | 20% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 5–7 Jul | GB | 2,010 | 25% | 28% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
Opinium/The Observer | 3–5 Jul | GB | 2,002 | 23% | 25% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 2–5 Jul | GB | 1,532 | 28% | 27% | 18% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 2–3 Jul | GB | 1,605 | 24% | 18% | 20% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Jun | GB | 2,059 | 22% | 20% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 22% | 1% | 0% | 1% | Tie |
Ipsos MORI | 21–25 Jun | GB | 1,043 | 26% | 24% | 22% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 19–20 Jun | GB | 2,009 | 20% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 19–20 Jun | GB | 2,016 | 24% | 26% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Jun | GB | 1,641 | 20% | 20% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 13–14 Jun | GB | 1,672 | 21% | 21% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Jun | GB | 1,702 | 17% | 19% | 22% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 26% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 7–9 Jun | GB | 2,017 | 23% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–7 Jun | GB | 1,520 | 26% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Peterborough by-election[10] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Jun | GB | 1,670 | 18% | 20% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 26% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
YouGov | 4–5 Jun | GB | 1,663 | 18% | 19% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 25% | 0% | – | 3% | 3% |
Anna Soubry becomes leader of Change UK after six of its MPs leave the party[12] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov | 31 May–1 Jun | GB | 1,644 | 18% | 19% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 23% | – | – | 2% | Tie |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 29–30 May | GB | 2,449 | 20% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 28–30 May | GB | 2,005 | 17% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 26% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 May | GB | 1,763 | 19% | 19% | 24% | 6% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | |
24 May | Theresa May announces her intention to resign as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party | |||||||||||||
European Parliament election[13] | ||||||||||||||
Survation/Daily Mail | 22 May | UK | 2,029 | 28% | 33% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Number Cruncher Politics | 18–21 May | GB | 1,005 | 27% | 31% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 14–21 May | GB | 2,033 | 21% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 10% |
Opinium Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 17–20 May | GB | 2,005 | 22% | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 17 May | UK | 1,000 | 27% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% |
YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate | 8–17 May | GB | 9,260 | 24% | 24% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 14–16 May | GB | 2,009 | 22% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 24% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 May | GB | 1,655 | 25% | 25% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
Ipsos MORI | 10–14 May | GB | 1,072 | 25% | 27% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 16% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Hanbury Strategy/Politico Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 9–13 May | GB | 2,000 | 21% | 30% | 13% | 4% | – | 5% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 9% |
Kantar Archived 25 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 9–13 May | GB | 1,152 | 25% | 34% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph | 10–12 May | GB | 2,028 | 20% | 27% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 7% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 8–10 May | GB | 2,004 | 22% | 28% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 21% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 6% |
BMG/The Independent | 7–10 May | GB | 1,541 | 27% | 30% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Brexit Express | 9 May | GB | 2,034 | 19% | 27% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 8% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 May | GB | 2,212 | 24% | 24% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
Opinium/People's Vote | 3–7 May | GB | 2,000 | 25% | 30% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
Local elections in England and Northern Ireland[14][15] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov | 29–30 Apr | GB | 1,630 | 29% | 29% | 13% | 4% | 5% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
YouGov/The Times | 23–24 Apr | GB | 1,787 | 27% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–24 Apr | GB | 2,030 | 27% | 36% | 8% | 4% | – | 3% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 21–23 Apr | GB | 2,004 | 26% | 33% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
ORB/The Daily Telegraph | 16–17 Apr | UK | 1,546 | 26% | 29% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 4%[c] | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Apr | GB | 1,755 | 29% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 16 Apr | GB | 1,061 | 23% | 33% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 10% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 9–12 Apr | GB | 2,007 | 29% | 36% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 11% | – | 6% | 7% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Apr | GB | 1,843 | 28% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | |
Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe Archived 8 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine | 5–8 Apr | GB | 2,000 | 31% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | – | 8% | – | 4% | 9% |
Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 4–8 Apr | GB | 1,172 | 32% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 6% | 3% |
Survation | 3–8 Apr | E+W | 6,062 | 37% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 2% | – | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 5–7 Apr | GB | 2,018 | 32% | 32% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 9% | 9% | 3% | Tie |
BMG/The Independent | 2–5 Apr | GB | 1,500 | 29% | 31% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
35% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 3% | 1% | ||||
Newport West by-election[10] | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 2–3 Apr | GB | 1,771 | 32% | 31% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | – | 3% | 1% | |
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 28–30 Mar | GB | 1,010 | 32% | 35% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 3% |
36% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 5% | ||||
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 28–29 Mar | GB | 2,008 | 35% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 5% | – | 9% | – | 3% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Mar | GB | 2,110 | 36% | 33% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | – | 2% | 3% | |
ComRes/Leave Means Leave Archived 31 March 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 22–24 Mar | GB | 2,030 | 33% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 7% | 9% | 3% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 20–22 Mar | GB | 2,002 | 36% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 9% | – | 3% | 1% |
ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 20–21 Mar | GB | 2,063 | 34% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Ipsos MORI | 15–19 Mar | GB | 1,050 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 15–17 Mar | GB | 2,033 | 34% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 6% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 15 Mar | UK | 1,007 | 35% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 0% | – | – | – | – | 12% | 4% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 14–15 Mar | GB | 1,823 | 35% | 33% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Mar | GB | 1,756 | 35% | 31% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | – | 2% | 4% | |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 13–15 Mar | GB | 2,003 | 35% | 35% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 4% | – | 8% | 4% | 2% | Tie |
12–15 Mar | GB | 2,008 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 3% | – | 8% | – | 3% | 4% | |
Kantar Archived 7 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 7–11 Mar | GB | 1,152 | 41% | 31% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 6% | – | 6% | – | 2% | 10% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–8 Mar | GB | 1,510 | 37% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | 5% | 1% | 6% |
39% | 34% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 5% | ||||
ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 5 January 2020 at the Wayback Machine | 4–5 Mar | GB | 2,042 | 36% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 6% | 8% | 2% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Mar | GB | 2,172 | 40% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | – | 3% | 9% | |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 26 Feb–1 Mar | GB | 2,004 | 37% | 33% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
GB | 2,003 | 40% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 6% | ||
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Feb | GB | 1,672 | 41% | 30% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% | – | 3% | 11% | |
36% | 23% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | 16% | 13% | ||||
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday | 21–23 Feb | GB | 1,027 | 39% | 31% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 3% | – | 4% | 11% | 1% | 8% |
43% | 36% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 3% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 7% | ||||
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 20–22 Feb | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 32% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 6% | 2% | 8% |
Sky Data | 19 Feb | UK | 1,034 | 32% | 26% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 6% | 10% | 7% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Feb | GB | 1,861 | 38% | 26% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 15% | 12% |
YouGov/The Times | 41% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 3% | 8% | ||||
Survation/Daily Mail | 18 Feb | UK | 1,023 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 3% | – | 2% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 4% |
Eight Labour MPs, soon joined by three Conservatives, quit their party to form Change UK[16] | ||||||||||||||
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 13–15 Feb | GB | 2,005 | 37% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 2% | Tie |
Kantar[permanent dead link] | 7–11 Feb | GB | 1,145 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | – | 3% | 5% |
BMG | 4–8 Feb | GB | 1,503 | 38% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 5% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 2–7 Feb | GB | 40,119 | 39% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 2% | 5% |
The Brexit Party is registered with the Electoral Commission[17] | ||||||||||||||
Ipsos MORI | 1–5 Feb | GB | 1,005 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 3% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Feb | GB | 1,851 | 41% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 2% | 7% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 30 Jan–1 Feb | GB | 2,008 | 41% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 7% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 30 Jan | UK | 1,029 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 4% | 1% |
Opinium/People's Vote | 23–25 Jan | GB | 2,001 | 40% | 36% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 4% |
ICM | 16–18 Jan | GB | 2,046 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 5% | – | 1% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 16–18 Jan | GB | 2,006 | 37% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 16–17 Jan | GB | 2,031 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 1% |
Number Cruncher Politics | 10–17 Jan | UK | 1,030 | 41% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 2% |
ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 14–15 Jan | GB | 2,010 | 37% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | – | 7% | – | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 Jan | GB | 1,701 | 39% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 1% | 5% |
Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 10–14 Jan | GB | 1,106 | 35% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 3% | 3% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 10–11 Jan | UK | 1,013 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 2% | – | 4% | – | 3% | 3% |
BMG/The Independent | 8–11 Jan | GB | 1,514 | 36% | 36% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 5% | – | 6% | – | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 6–7 Jan | GB | 1,656 | 41% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | – | 4% | – | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 21 Dec–4 Jan | UK | 25,537 | 40% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 2% | 6% |
2018
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid Cymru | UKIP | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinium/The Observer | 18–20 Dec | GB | 2,000 | 39% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Dec | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/Hope Not Hate | 14–15 Dec | GB | 1,660 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 13–14 Dec | GB | 2,016 | 38% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/People's Vote | 12–14 Dec | GB | 5,043 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
Populus/Best for Britain Archived 9 January 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 10–11 Dec | GB | 2,002 | 37% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov | 9–10 Dec | GB | 2,008 | 39% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 6–7 Dec | GB | 1,652 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | |
BMG/The Independent | 4–7 Dec | GB | 1,508 | 37% | 38% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Kantar[permanent dead link] | 5–6 Dec | GB | 1,178 | 38% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | Tie |
Ipsos MORI | 30 Nov–5 Dec | GB | 1,049 | 38% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Dec | GB | 1,624 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | |
ComRes/Daily Express | 30 Nov–2 Dec | GB | 2,035 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 26–27 Nov | GB | 1,737 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Nov | GB | 1,671 | 39% | 36% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | |
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express | 14–15 Nov | GB | 2,000 | 36% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine | 14–15 Nov | GB | 2,003 | 36% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Kantar Archived 7 August 2020 at the Wayback Machine | 8–12 Nov | GB | 1,147 | 40% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
BMG/The Independent | 6–9 Nov | GB | 1,506 | 36% | 37% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission | 2–7 Nov | GB | 2,016 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | – | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Nov | GB | 1,637 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% | |
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov | UK | 20,090 | 39% | 40% | 8% | 3% | – | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 29–30 Oct | GB | 1,648 | 41% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM | 26–28 Oct | GB | 2,048 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Deltapoll/Daily Mirror | 24–26 Oct | GB | 1,017 | 43% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Oct | GB | 1,802 | 41% | 36% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1%[d] | 5% | |
Ipsos MORI | 19–22 Oct | GB | 1,044 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Oct | GB | 1,649 | 41% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
Kantar[permanent dead link] | 11–15 Oct | GB | 1,128 | 41% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–12 Oct | GB | 2,010 | 41% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
Survation | 10 Oct | UK | 1,009 | 40% | 39% | 7% | 4% | – | 6% | – | 5% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Oct | GB | 1,647 | 41% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2%[e] | 4% | |
BMG/The Independent | 3–5 Oct | GB | 1,503 | 38% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine | 3–5 Oct | GB | 2,007 | 39% | 39% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 30 Sep–1 Oct | GB | 1,607 | 42% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2%[d] | 6% | |
BMG/HuffPost UK | 28–29 Sep | GB | 1,203 | 35% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
Adam Price officially becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[18] | ||||||||||||
Opinium/The Observer | 26–28 Sep | GB | 2,008 | 39% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
ComRes/Daily Express | 26–27 Sep | GB | 2,036 | 39% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Sep | GB | 1,625 | 42% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 6% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 21–24 Sep | GB | 2,006 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
BMG/HuffPost UK | 21–22 Sep | GB | 1,006 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 0% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 18–20 Sep | GB | 2,003 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Sep | GB | 2,509 | 40% | 36% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% | |
Ipsos MORI | 14–18 Sep | GB | 1,070 | 39% | 37% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 12–13 Sep | GB | 1,620 | 40% | 36% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–13 Sep | GB | 2,011 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Kantar Archived 17 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine | 6–10 Sep | GB | 1,119 | 40% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
ICM/The Guardian | 7–9 Sep | GB | 2,051 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Survation/Daily Mail | 7 Sep | UK | 1,039 | 38% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% |
BMG/The Independent | 4–7 Sep | GB | 1,533 | 37% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Jonathan Bartley and Siân Berry become co-leaders of the Green Party[19] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Sep | GB | 1,883 | 39% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | |
Survation | 31 Aug–1 Sep | UK | 1,017 | 37% | 41% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 Aug | GB | 1,664 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2%[d] | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 Aug | GB | 1,697 | 40% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 2%[d] | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 17–19 Aug | GB | 2,021 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 14–17 Aug | GB | 2,003 | 39% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 14–16 Aug | GB | 1,904 | 37% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 Aug | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
Kantar Archived 28 August 2018 at the Wayback Machine | 9–13 Aug | GB | 1,119 | 40% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Number Cruncher Politics | 9–13 Aug | UK | 1,036 | 38% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 6–10 Aug | GB | 1,481 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Aug | GB | 1,675 | 39% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 3–5 Aug | GB | 2,049 | 39% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 30–31 Jul | GB | 1,718 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
Ipsos MORI | 20–24 Jul | GB | 1,023 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Jul | GB | 1,650 | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 0% | Tie | |
ICM/The Guardian | 20–22 Jul | GB | 2,010 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Sunday Times | 19–20 Jul | GB | 1,668 | 38% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Jul | GB | 1,657 | 36% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 5% | |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 12–14 Jul | GB | 1,484 | 37% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 10–13 Jul | GB | 2,005 | 36% | 40% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,732 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 Jul | GB | 1,669 | 39% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
ICM/The Guardian | 6–9 Jul | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 39% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
Kantar Archived 10 July 2018 at the Wayback Machine | 5–9 Jul | GB | 1,086 | 40% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 7 Jul | UK | 1,007 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 8% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 3–5 Jul | GB | 1,511 | 39% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 3–4 Jul | GB | 1,641 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Ipsos MORI | 22–27 Jun | GB | 1,026 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 25–26 Jun | GB | 1,645 | 42% | 37% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 22–24 Jun | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 19–20 Jun | UK | 1,022 | 41% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Jun | GB | 1,606 | 42% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
Lewisham East by-election[10] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 11–12 Jun | GB | 1,638 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 8–10 Jun | GB | 2,021 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 5–8 Jun | GB | 1,490 | 38% | 41% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Opinium/The Observer | 5–7 Jun | GB | 2,005 | 42% | 40% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Jun | GB | 1,619 | 44% | 37% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 7% | |
Survation | 31 May–4 Jun | UK | 2,012 | 41% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday | 30 May–1 Jun | GB | 1,013 | 41% | 41% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 May | GB | 1,670 | 42% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 25–29 May | GB | 2,002 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Ipsos MORI | 18–22 May | GB | 1,015 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 20–21 May | GB | 1,660 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ComRes/We, The People | 16–17 May | GB | 2,045 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 15–16 May | GB | 2,009 | 43% | 39% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
YouGov/The Times | 13–14 May | GB | 1,634 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 11–13 May | GB | 2,050 | 43% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
Survation | 8–10 May | UK | 1,585 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 8–9 May | GB | 1,648 | 43% | 38% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | |
BMG/The Independent | 1–4 May | GB | 1,441 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
English local and mayoral elections and West Tyrone by-election[20][10] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 30 Apr–1 May | GB | 1,585 | 42% | 38% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ComRes/Daily Express | 27–29 Apr | GB | 2,030 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
ICM/The Guardian | 27–29 Apr | GB | 2,026 | 42% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–25 Apr | GB | 1,668 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% | |
Ipsos MORI | 20–24 Apr | GB | 1,004 | 41% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Apr | GB | 1,631 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 14 Apr | UK | 2,060 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | Tie |
Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[21] | ||||||||||||
BMG | 11–13 Apr | GB | 1,500 | 39% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
ComRes/Sunday Express | 11–12 Apr | GB | 2,038 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 10–12 Apr | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 40% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 9–10 Apr | GB | 1,639 | 40% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | Tie | |
ICM/The Guardian | 6–8 Apr | GB | 2,012 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Apr | GB | 1,662 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Number Cruncher Politics | 27 Mar–5 Apr | UK | 1,037 | 43% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 26–27 Mar | GB | 1,659 | 43% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 16–18 Mar | GB | 2,013 | 44% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
BMG | 13–16 Mar | GB | 2,065 | 38% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 14–15 Mar | GB | 1,986 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 13–15 Mar | GB | 2,001 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Survation/GMB | 7–8 Mar | UK | 1,038 | 37% | 44% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
Ipsos MORI | 2–7 Mar | GB | 1,012 | 43% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Mar | GB | 1,641 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 2–4 Mar | GB | 2,030 | 43% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 26–27 Feb | GB | 1,622 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
YouGov/The Times | 19–20 Feb | GB | 1,650 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 16–19 Feb | GB | 2,027 | 42% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 12–13 Feb | GB | 1,639 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
Kantar Archived 19 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine | 6–12 Feb | GB | 2,448 | 39% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | Tie |
BMG | 6–9 Feb | GB | 1,507 | 40% | 40% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 6–8 Feb | GB | 2,002 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Feb | GB | 2,000 | 43% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 2–4 Feb | GB | 2,021 | 41% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 28–29 Jan | GB | 1,669 | 42% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 1% | Tie | |
Survation | 26–29 Jan | UK | 1,059 | 40% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% |
Ipsos MORI | 19–23 Jan | GB | 1,031 | 39% | 42% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
ICM/The Guardian | 10–19 Jan | GB | 5,075 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 16–17 Jan | GB | 1,672 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 12–14 Jan | GB | 2,027 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 11–12 Jan | GB | 2,008 | 40% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | Tie |
BMG | 9–12 Jan | GB | 1,513 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/The Times | 7–8 Jan | GB | 1,663 | 40% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
2017
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Area | Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | SNP | Plaid Cymru | UKIP | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov/The Times | 19–20 Dec | GB | 1,610 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 12–14 Dec | GB | 2,004 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 12–14 Dec | GB | 2,005 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Dec | GB | 1,680 | 42% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2%[d] | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 8–10 Dec | GB | 2,006 | 42% | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
BMG/The Independent | 5–8 Dec | GB | 1,509 | 37% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Dec | GB | 1,638 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2%[d] | 1% | |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 30 Nov–1 Dec | UK | 1,003 | 37% | 45% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 8% |
ICM/The Sun on Sunday | 29 Nov–1 Dec | GB | 2,050 | 40% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
Ipsos MORI | 24–28 Nov | GB | 1,003 | 37% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
ICM/The Guardian | 24–26 Nov | GB | 2,029 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 22–23 Nov | GB | 1,644 | 39% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 19–20 Nov | GB | 1,677 | 40% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
Kantar Archived 21 November 2017 at the Wayback Machine | 14–20 Nov | GB | 2,437 | 42% | 38% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
BMG | 14–17 Nov | GB | 1,507 | 40% | 41% | 8% | – | – | 4% | – | 7% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 14–16 Nov | GB | 2,032 | 40% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
ICM/The Guardian | 10–12 Nov | GB | 2,010 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 7–8 Nov | GB | 2,012 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
Ipsos MORI | 27 Oct–1 Nov | GB | 1,052 | 38% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 23–24 Oct | GB | 1,637 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 20–23 Oct | GB | 2,022 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
BMG | 17–20 Oct | GB | 1,506 | 37% | 42% | 10% | – | – | 4% | – | 7% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Oct | GB | 1,648 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Oct | GB | 1,680 | 39% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 6–8 Oct | GB | 2,052 | 41% | 41% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | Tie |
Opinium/The Observer | 4–6 Oct | GB | 2,009 | 40% | 42% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Survation | 4–5 Oct | UK | 2,047 | 38% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
YouGov/The Times | 4–5 Oct | GB | 1,615 | 40% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | |
Henry Bolton officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[22] | ||||||||||||
BMG/The Independent | 26–29 Sep | GB | 1,910 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
ICM/The Guardian | 22–24 Sep | GB | 1,968 | 40% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 22–24 Sep | GB | 1,716 | 39% | 43% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 22 Sep | UK | 1,174 | 38% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Opinium/The Observer | 19–22 Sep | GB | 2,004 | 42% | 40% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Survation/LabourList | 15–20 Sep | UK | 1,614 | 40% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Ipsos MORI | 15–18 Sep | GB | 1,023 | 40% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
BMG/The Independent | 12–15 Sep | GB | 1,447 | 39% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 12–15 Sep | GB | 2,009 | 41% | 41% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 12–13 Sep | GB | 1,660 | 41% | 42% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 8–10 Sep | GB | 2,052 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 31 Aug–1 Sep | UK | 1,046 | 38% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 4% | – | 3% | 5% |
YouGov/The Times | 30–31 Aug | GB | 1,658 | 41% | 42% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 25–28 Aug | GB | 1,972 | 42% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
YouGov/The Times | 21–22 Aug | GB | 1,664 | 41% | 42% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | |
Opinium/The Observer | 15–18 Aug | GB | 2,006 | 40% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
BMG/The Independent | 7–11 Aug | GB | 1,512 | 42% | 39% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
YouGov/The Times | 31 Jul–1 Aug | GB | 1,665 | 41% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | |
Vince Cable officially becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[23] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 18–19 Jul | GB | 1,593 | 41% | 43% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | |
Ipsos MORI | 14–18 Jul | GB | 1,071 | 41% | 42% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
ICM/The Guardian | 14–16 Jul | GB | 2,046 | 42% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 14–15 Jul | UK | 1,024 | 39% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
BMG | 11–14 Jul | GB | 1,518 | 37% | 42% | 10% | – | – | 4% | – | 7% | 5% |
Opinium/The Observer | 11–14 Jul | GB | 2,013 | 41% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
YouGov/The Times | 10–11 Jul | GB | 1,700 | 40% | 45% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% | |
YouGov/The Times | 5–6 Jul | GB | 1,648 | 38% | 46% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% | |
ICM/The Guardian | 30 Jun–3 Jul | GB | 2,044 | 41% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Survation | 28–30 Jun | UK | 1,017 | 41% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6%[f] | 1% |
Opinium/The Observer | 27–29 Jun | GB | 2,010 | 39% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 6% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 16–21 Jun | GB | 5,481 | 41% | 46% | 6% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 5% |
Survation/Good Morning Britain | 16–17 Jun | UK | 1,005 | 41% | 44% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3%[g] | 3% |
Survation/The Mail on Sunday | 10 Jun | UK | 1,036 | 39% | 45% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 3% | – | 2% | 6% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun | GB | – | 43.4% | 41.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% |
UK | 42.3% | 40.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
Seat predictions
editMost polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.
A small number of large polls were carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency.[24]
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Con | Lab | SNP | Lib Dem | DUP | SF | Plaid Cymru | Green | Alliance | SDLP | Brexit | Other | Majority |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General Election Result | 12 Dec 2019 | 365 | 202 | 48 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 80 |
BBC Exit Poll | 12 Dec 2019 | 368 | 191 | 55 | 13 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 86 |
Electoral Calculus | 4–11 Dec 2019 | 351 | 224 | 41 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
FocalData (MRP) | 27 Nov–10 Dec 2019 | 337 | 235 | 41 | 14 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 24 |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 339 | 231 | 41 | 15 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 28 |
Electoral Calculus | 4–9 Dec 2019 | 349 | 226 | 41 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
Savanta ComRes/Remain United Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine | 6–8 Dec 2019 | 340 | 233 | 45 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Electoral Calculus | 2–7 Dec 2019 | 348 | 225 | 41 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 7 Dec 2019 | 344 | 221 | 47 | 14 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 38 |
Electoral Calculus | 28 Nov–4 Dec 2019 | 335 | 233 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Electoral Calculus | 26 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 339 | 229 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Electoral Calculus | 26–30 Nov 2019 | 342 | 225 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
Electoral Calculus | 21–28 Nov 2019 | 336 | 231 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
Electoral Calculus | 20–26 Nov 2019 | 331 | 235 | 45 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
YouGov (MRP) | 20–26 Nov 2019 | 359 | 211 | 43 | 13 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 68 |
Electoral Calculus | 19–26 Nov 2019 | 342 | 225 | 41 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 26 Nov 2019 | 349 | 216 | 49 | 14 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 48 |
Electoral Calculus | 19–23 Nov 2019 | 365 | 202 | 41 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 |
Electoral Calculus | 12–19 Nov 2019 | 361 | 201 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
Seats at start of campaign period[h] | 6 Nov 2019 | 298 | 243 | 35 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 31 | −54 |
Focaldata | 1–25 Sep 2019 | 364 | 189 | 52 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 78 |
YouGov (MRP) | 2–7 Feb 2019 | 321 | 250 | 39 | 16 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | – | 1 | −8 |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | 317 | 262 | 35 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | −16 |
Nations and Regions polling
editScotland
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 45.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | – | 0.5% | 0.1% | 19.9% |
Survation/The Courier | 10–11 Dec 2019 | 1,012 | 43% | 28% | 20% | 7% | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | 15% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | [25] | 41% | 27% | 20% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 1% | – | 14% |
Panelbase/Sunday Times | 3–6 Dec 2019 | 1,020 | 39% | 29% | 21% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 0% | 10% |
YouGov/The Times | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2019 | 1,002 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 12% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Ipsos MORI/STV | 19–25 Nov 2019 | 1,046 | 44% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 2% | – | – | <1% | – | 18% |
Panelbase/Sunday Times | 20–22 Nov 2019 | 1,009 | 40% | 28% | 20% | 11% | <1% | – | – | <1% | <1% | 12% |
Nominations for candidates close (final candidates announced) | ||||||||||||
Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins | ||||||||||||
YouGov | 23–25 Oct 2019 | 1,060 | 42% | 22% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 20% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 9–11 Oct 2019 | 1,003 | 39% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 2% | – | – | 5% | – | 18% |
YouGov/The Times | 30 Aug–3 Sep 2019 | 1,059 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 23% |
Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservative Party[26] | ||||||||||||
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–20 Jun 2019 | 1,024 | 38% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 9% | – | 20% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 14–17 May 2019 | 1,021 | 38% | 18% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% | <1% | 19% |
YouGov/The Times | 24–26 Apr 2019 | 1,029 | 43% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 23% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 18–24 Apr 2019 | 1,018 | 38% | 22% | 21% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | <1% | 16% |
Survation/Scotland in Union | 18–23 Apr 2019 | 1,012 | 41% | 22% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 5% | 17% |
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 28 Feb–6 Mar 2019 | 1,002 | 37% | 27% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | – | <1% | 10% |
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 1–4 Mar 2019 | 1,011 | 40% | 24% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 16% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 30 Nov–5 Dec 2018 | 1,028 | 37% | 26% | 26% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
Survation/Scotland in Union | 9–13 Nov 2018 | 1,013 | 39% | 26% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 13% |
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission | 2–7 Nov 2018 | 1,050 | 37% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 2% | – | – | 3% | 9% |
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,734 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
Survation/Daily Record | 18–21 Oct 2018 | 1,017 | 36% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 1% | – | – | – | 1% | 9% |
Survation/SNP | 3–5 Oct 2018 | 1,013 | 37% | 28% | 26% | 6% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 9% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 28 Sep–4 Oct 2018 | 1,024 | 38% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | 2% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
Survation/The Sunday Post | 28 Sep–2 Oct 2018 | 1,036 | 41% | 26% | 24% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 15% |
Survation/Daily Record | 5–10 Jul 2018 | 1,004 | 42% | 24% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 18% |
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland | 21–26 Jun 2018 | 1,018 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 7% | 2% | <1% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 8–13 Jun 2018 | 1,021 | 38% | 27% | 27% | 6% | 2% | <1% | – | – | <1% | 11% |
YouGov/The Times | 1–5 Jun 2018 | 1,075 | 40% | 27% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 23–28 Mar 2018 | 1,037 | 36% | 28% | 27% | 6% | 2% | 1% | – | – | <1% | 8% |
Ipsos MORI/STV | 5–11 Mar 2018 | 1,050 | 39% | 25% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 0% | – | – | 0% | 13% |
Survation/Daily Record | 24–28 Jan 2018 | 1,029 | 39% | 24% | 27% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 12% |
YouGov/The Times | 12–16 Jan 2018 | 1,002 | 36% | 23% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 0% | 8% |
Survation/The Sunday Post | 1–5 Dec 2017 | 1,006 | 38% | 24% | 29% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 9% |
Survation/Daily Record | 27–30 Nov 2017 | 1,017 | 37% | 25% | 28% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 3% | 9% |
Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[27] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/The Times | 2–5 Oct 2017 | 1,135 | 40% | 23% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 10% |
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail | 8–12 Sep 2017 | 1,016 | 39% | 26% | 26% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 13% |
Panelbase/The Sunday Times | 31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 | 1,021 | 41% | 27% | 24% | 6% | 2% | – | – | – | – | 14% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 36.9% | 28.6% | 27.1% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | – | – | 0.3% | 8.3% |
Wales
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Plaid Cymru | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 40.9% | 36.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | - | 1.0% | – | 5.4% | 0.7% | 4.8% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4-10 Dec 2019 | 43% | 34% | 10% | 5% | – | 1% | – | 6% | 1% | 9% | |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 6–9 Dec 2019 | 1,020 | 40% | 37% | 10% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 5% | 1% | 3% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 22–25 Nov 2019 | 1,116 | 38% | 32% | 11% | 9% | – | 1% | – | 8% | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 | 1,136 | 29% | 28% | 12% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 15% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 10–14 Oct 2019 | 1,071 | 25% | 29% | 12% | 16% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 4% |
Brecon and Radnorshire by-election[10] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 23–28 July 2019 | 1,071 | 22% | 24% | 15% | 16% | – | 3% | – | 18% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 16–20 May 2019 | 1,009 | 25% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 2% | 2% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 2–5 Apr 2019 | 1,025 | 33% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 7% |
Newport West by-election[10] | ||||||||||||
ICM/BBC Wales | 7–23 Feb 2019 | 1,000 | 42% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 2% | 9% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 19–22 Feb 2019 | 1,025 | 35% | 29% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 4% | 6% |
Sky Data/Cardiff University | 7–14 Dec 2018 | 1,014 | 45% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
Mark Drakeford becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister[28][29] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 4–7 Dec 2018 | 1,024 | 43% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,031 | 42% | 33% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 9% |
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 1,177 | 47% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 0% | 17% |
Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[18] | ||||||||||||
Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[30] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 28 Jun–2 Jul 2018 | 1,031 | 44% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 12–15 Mar 2018 | 1,015 | 46% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 13% |
ICM/BBC Wales | 8–25 Feb 2018 | 1,001 | 49% | 32% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | – | – | 0% | 17% |
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 21–24 Nov 2017 | 1,016 | 47% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 16% |
Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[31] | ||||||||||||
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 4–7 Sep 2017 | 1,011 | 50% | 32% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | – | – | 1% | 18% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.9% | 33.6% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | – | – | 0.2% | 15.4% |
Northern Ireland
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
DUP | SF | SDLP | UUP | Alliance | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 30.6% | 22.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 0.2% | 3.1%[32] | 7.8% |
Lucid Talk/Remain United | 27–30 Nov 2019 | 2,422 | 30% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Steve Aiken officially becomes leader of the Ulster Unionist Party | ||||||||||
Lucid Talk/Remain United | 30 Oct–1 Nov 2019 | 2,386 | 28% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 1% | 8% [i] | 4% |
Lucid Talk | 9–12 Aug 2019 | 2,302 | 29% | 25% | 8% | 9% | 21% | 1% | 7% | 4% |
Clare Bailey officially becomes leader of NI Green Party | ||||||||||
Survation/Channel 4 | 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | 555 | 31% | 27% | 11% | 15% | 12% | – | 4% | 4% |
West Tyrone by-election[10] | ||||||||||
Mary Lou McDonald becomes leader of Sinn Féin[33] | ||||||||||
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 36.0% | 29.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% |
London
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Change UK | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | - | 48.1% | 32.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% | – | – | 1.4% | 0.5% | 16.1% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4-10 Dec 2019 | 47% | 31% | 15% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 1% | 16% | |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 28 Nov–2 Dec 2019 | 1,019 | 47% | 30% | 15% | 4% | – | – | 3% | 1% | 17% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 30 Oct–4 Nov 2019 | 1,175 | 39% | 29% | 19% | 5% | 0% | — | 6% | — | 10% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 7–10 May 2019 | 1,015 | 35% | 23% | 21% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 3–6 Dec 2018 | 1,020 | 49% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 16% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 3–7 Sep 2018 | 1,218 | 48% | 26% | 15% | 5% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 22% |
Lewisham East by-election[10] | |||||||||||
2018 London local elections[20] | |||||||||||
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 20–24 Apr 2018 | 1,099 | 52% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 1% | 21% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 12–15 Feb 2018 | 1,155 | 53% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 2% | – | – | 0% | 20% |
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London | 25–29 Sep 2017 | 1,044 | 55% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 25% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.5% | 33.1% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | – | – | 0.5% | 21.4% |
North East England
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 42.6% | 38.3% | 6.9% | 0.1% | 2.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 44% | 35% | 7% | – | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 248 | 42% | 30% | 11% | – | 4% | 13% | – | 12% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 523 | 32% | 26% | 15% | 1% | 7% | 19% | 1% | 6% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 55.6% | 34.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | – | 0.2% | 21.1% |
North West England
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 46.4% | 37.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 8.8% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 44% | 36% | 8% | – | 3% | 6% | 2% | 8% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 681 | 39% | 37% | 11% | – | 3% | 8% | 1% | 2% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,269 | 30% | 33% | 17% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 55.0% | 36.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | – | 0.3% | 18.7% |
Yorkshire and the Humber
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 38.8% | 43.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 4.8% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 40% | 40% | 8% | – | 2% | 7% | 2% | Tie | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 434 | 39% | 38% | 13% | – | 3% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,036 | 29% | 34% | 16% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 1% | 5% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.1% | 40.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | – | 1.4% | 8.5% |
East Midlands
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 54.9% | 31.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 23.1% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 51% | 34% | 8% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 17% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 464 | 49% | 31% | 13% | – | 3% | 3% | 1% | 18% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 896 | 45% | 22% | 15% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 1% | 23% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 50.8% | 40.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | – | 0.6% | 10.3% |
West Midlands
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 53.5% | 33.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 19.6% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 49% | 36% | 9% | – | 3% | 2% | 1% | 13% | |
Survation/Daily Mail | 21–22 Nov 2019 | 507 | 41% | 34% | 15% | – | 4% | 5% | 2% | 7% |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,017 | 43% | 23% | 14% | 0% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 20% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.1% | 42.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | – | 0.5% | 6.5% |
East of England
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 57.2% | 24.5% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 32.7% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 54% | 27% | 14% | – | 3% | 1% | 2% | 27% | |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,107 | 45% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 27% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.7% | 32.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | – | 0.2% | 21.9% |
South East England
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 54.2% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 32.1% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 51% | 24% | 19% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 27% | |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,592 | 41% | 16% | 23% | 6% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 18% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.8% | 28.6% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | – | 0.8% | 26.2% |
South West England
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 52.9% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 29.6% |
YouGov (MRP) | 4–10 Dec 2019 | 50% | 25% | 19% | 3% | – | – | 2% | 25% | |
YouGov | 17–28 Oct 2019 | 1,172 | 41% | 17% | 21% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 1% | 20% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.5% | 29.1% | 14.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | – | 1.1% | 22.4% |
Multiple constituencies
editNumber Cruncher Politics polled adults living in the 60 English marginal constituencies with a Labour or Conservative majority of less than five per cent. 2017 results are for the same 60 seats.
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | UKIP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number Cruncher Politics/Shelter | 1–19 Sep 2018 | 1,247 | 40% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 2% | – | 2% |
Constituency polling
editNote that where the client is a political party, constituency level polling may be particularly susceptible to publication bias.[34]
East Midlands
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 44.1% | 45.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Survation/The Economist | 4 Nov 2019 | 409 | 42% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 13% | 5% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.9% | 42.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | – | 9.1% |
East of England
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Lib Dem | Con | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.0% | 30.0% | 15.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 17.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 16–17 Oct 2019 | 417 | 30% | 39% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 1% | 9% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.9% | 29.3% | 16.3% | 2.2% | N/A | 0.2% | 22.6% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 46.3% | 11.7% | 42.0% | — | — | — | 4.3% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 4–5 Nov 2019 | 410 | 36% | 12% | 40% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.8% | 27.2% | 18.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 24.6% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 50.0% | 16.3% | 32.1% | — | 1.6% | 17.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 25–28 Oct 2019 | 408 | 42% | 16% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 11% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 53.3% | 27.7% | 19.0% | – | — | 25.6% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Gauke | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 49.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 26.0% | — | 23.5% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 22–26 Nov 2019 | 405 | 50% | 17% | 13% | 2% | 16% | 2% | 33% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 57.9% | 25.7% | 11.7% | 2.6% | — | 2.1 | 32.2% |
London
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lib Dem | Con | Lab | Brexit | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 41.1% | 42.4% | 12.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 42.8% | 41.2% | 9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | – | 1.6% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 41% | 38.3% | 18.4% | – | 1.3% | – | 2.7% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | AWP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 49.9% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 1.1% | – | 24.0% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 14–21 Nov 2019 | 502 | 48% | 24% | 25% | – | 3% | 23% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 41.6% | 21.4% | 34.4% | – | 0% | 7.2% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 52.6% | 33.2% | 11.0% | – | 3.1% | 19.4% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.5% | 45.9% | 5.7% | — | 2.6% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 700–800 | 46% | 44.4% | 9.6% | 0% | 1.6% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | 350–400 | 46.6% | 42.4% | 11% | – | 4.2% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.1% | 43.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 39.9% | 27.2% | 30.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 9.3% |
Deltapoll/Datapraxis | 3–8 Dec 2019 | 502 | 44% | 26% | 28% | 1% | 1% | 16% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 14–21 Nov 2019 | 500 | 39% | 26% | 33% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
YouGov/Datapraxis | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 38.8% | 25.7% | 29.9% | 4% | 1.5% | 8.9% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46.6% | 38.4% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 8.1% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 43.8% | 24.2% | 31.9% | – | – | – | 11.9% |
Deltapoll/Datapraxis/ | 3–6 Dec 2019 | 500 | 46% | 19% | 34% | 0% | – | 1% | 12% |
Watermelon/The Jewish Chronicle | TBA | 507 | 37% | 18% | 31% | – | – | 13% | 6% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 7–12 Nov 2019 | 500 | 46% | 19% | 32% | 0% | – | 3% | 14% |
YouGov/Datapraxis | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 42.4% | 25.1% | 32.5% | – | – | 0% | 9.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 2 Oct 2019 | 400 | 29% | 25% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 12% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 47.0% | 43.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% | – | – | 3.2% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.8% | 41.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | – | 7.7% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 14–21 Nov 2019 | 501 | 51% | 33% | 12% | 1% | 3% | 14% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | 350–400 | 46.6% | 32.3% | 18% | 3% | – | 14.3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.0% | 46.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 38.0% | 38.3% | 21.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Deltapoll/Datapraxis | 4–8 Dec 2019 | 502 | 29% | 39% | 26% | – | – | 4% | 10% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 7–13 Nov 2019 | 501 | 27% | 36% | 33% | – | – | 3% | 3% |
YouGov/Datapraxis | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 30.1% | 34.4% | 27.7% | – | – | 7.7% | 4.3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 42.2% | 42.2% | 12.2% | 2.0% | – | 3.4% | 0.05% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 35.7% | 45.1% | 16.9% | 2.2% | N/A | 9.4% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 26 Nov–1 Dec 2019 | 501 | 38% | 35% | 24% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | 700–800 | 37.9% | 34.7% | 23.5% | 3.8% | 0% | 3.2% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | 350–400 | 37.7% | 29.3% | 28.4% | 4.6% | – | 8.4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 44.1% | 40.8% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.3% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lib Dem | Lab | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 41.2% | 53.1% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 11.9% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 35.6% | 56% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 20.4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 45.1% | 45.1% | 9.1% | 0.7% | 0.01% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 38.4% | 23.7% | 37.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 7–13 Nov 2019 | 500 | 38% | 23% | 36% | 3% | 2% |
Datapraxis/YouGov | 4–22 Nov 2019 | TBA | 37.4% | 24.7% | 34.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46.5% | 35.6% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 11.5% |
North East England
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 56.9% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 3.3% | 35.3% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 22–26 Nov 2019 | 500 | 60% | 17% | 21% | 2% | 39% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 52.5% | 24.6% | 21.1% | 1.9% | 27.9% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | UKIP | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 41.1% | 50.7% | – | 4.3% | – | 4.0% | – | 9.6% |
Survation | 9 Dec 2019 | TBA | 43% | 46% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | 3.0% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.5% | 46.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | – | – | 1.6% |
North West England
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 47.6% | 39.0% | 13.5% | – | 8.6% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 2–6 Dec 2019 | 500 | 43% | 35% | 22% | – | 7% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 38.7% | 32.6% | 26.4% | 2.4% | 6.1% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 39.2% | 49.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 10.1% |
Survation | 30–31 Oct 2019 | 506 | 34% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 51.1% | 41.7% | 2.7% | – | – | 4.4% | 9.4% |
South East England
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Grieve | Green | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 56.1% | 9.9% | – | 29.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 27.1% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 21–26 Nov 2019 | 500 | 53% | 7% | – | 35% | – | 5% | 18% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 65.3% | 21.4% | 7.9% | – | 2.5% | 2.9% | 43.9% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 49.4% | 4.5% | 45.0% | – | – | 1.3% | 4.3% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 21–26 Nov 2019 | 396 | 46% | 9% | 41% | – | – | 4% | 5% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 30 Oct–4 Nov 2019 | 406 | 45% | 11% | 36% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 9% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 58.6% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 1.8% | – | 2.5% | 38.9% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lib Dem | Lab | Milton | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 44.9% | 39.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 0.8% | 5.7% |
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner | 21–26 Nov 2019 | 500 | 40% | 41% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 54.6% | 23.9% | 19.0% | – | 2.6% | 30.7% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.6% | 37.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 11.3% |
Deltapoll | 22–27 Nov 2019 | 500 | 46% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 28–29 Oct 2019 | 406 | 24% | 27% | 30% | 14% | 6% | 3% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 41.0% | 37.6% | 17.3% | – | 4.1% | 3.5% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 48.2% | 40.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% | – | – | 8.1% |
Survation | 7–8 Nov 2019 | 410 | 50% | 26% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 24% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.9% | 43.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | – | – | 5.6% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.6% | 10.4% | 37.7% | 2.2% | — | 0.1% | 11.9% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 31 Oct—4 Nov 2019 | 406 | 42% | 12% | 38% | 3% | 5% | — | 4% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 56.6% | 25.1% | 15.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 24.6% |
South West England
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lib Dem | Con | Lab | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 54.5% | 30.9% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 23.5% |
Survation/Bath Labour | 7–14 Sep 2017 | 555 | 46% | 32% | 17% | 5% | – | 14% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 47.3% | 35.8% | 14.7% | - | – | 11.5% |
Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 50.4% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 2.5% | – | 0.8% | 26.1% |
Survation/Liberal Democrats | 16–17 Oct 2019 | 405 | 44% | 14% | 28% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 16% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 53.6% | 34.7% | 8.3% | 2.3% | – | 1.1% | 18.9% |
Wales
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Plaid Cymru | Brexit | Green | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 39.0% | 45.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 6.3% |
Survation/The Economist | 27–30 Nov 2019 | 405 | 29% | 44% | 5% | 10% | 9% | – | 15% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 48.9% | 43.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | – | – | 5.2% |
West Midlands
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 43.8% | 42.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% [j] | 1.5% |
Survation/The Economist | 21–23 Nov 2019 | 413 | 39% | 40% | 10% | – | 6% | 4% | 1% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 46.7% | 44.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | – | 1.7% [k] | 2.3% |
Yorkshire and the Humber
editPollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Green | Brexit | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 general election | 12 Dec 2019 | – | 32.7% | 54.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 22.2% |
Survation/The Economist | 14–15 Nov 2019 | 401 | 31% | 44% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 1% | 13% |
2017 general election | 8 Jun 2017 | – | 49.4% | 42.2% | 2.7% | – | – | 5.7% | 7.2% |
See also
edit- Leadership approval opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election
- Opinion polling for the 2021 Senedd election
- Opinion polling for the 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election
- Opinion polling on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union (2016–2020)
- Opinion polling for the 2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom
- List of United Kingdom by-elections (2010–present)
Notes
edit- ^ a b This poll does not feature constituency prompting.
- ^ Question specified an election taking place in October
- ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f Including the British National Party with 1%
- ^ Including the Women's Equality Party with 1%
- ^ Including Alliance, Democratic Unionist Party, Social Democratic and Labour Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
- ^ Including the Democratic Unionist Party with 2%
- ^ A significant number of MPs changed parties during the 2017–2019 Parliament.
- ^ Including 1% for Traditional Unionist Voice, 1% for People Before Profit and 3% for Sylvia Hermon.
- ^ Independent with 0.3%; SDP with 0.1%
- ^ UKIP with 1.5%; rejected ballots with 0.2%
References
edit- ^ "Johnson says he had 'no choice' over election". BBC News. 6 November 2019. Archived from the original on 6 November 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
- ^ Luke Taylor (14 May 2019). "Latest Brexit Barometer: Labour 9 points ahead of Conservatives". Kantar. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
- ^ Gideon Skinner; Glenn Gottfried; Cameron Garrett; Keiran Pedley (21 March 2019). "Worst public satisfaction ratings for any government since John Major". Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
- ^ Anthony Wells (31 May 2019). "Here's how we prompt for the Brexit Party, and why it's more accurate". YouGov. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
- ^ Matt Chorley (7 June 2019). "Brexit Party increases lead as Tories struggle". The Times. Archived from the original on 7 June 2019. Retrieved 7 June 2019.
The emergence of new political forces has prompted YouGov to adapt the way it runs its surveys. The Brexit Party and the Green Party are now included when asking for voting intention alongside the established parties such as the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP and Plaid Cymru. YouGov carried out testing this week and found similar levels of support regardless of method used.
- ^ "Poll tracker: How popular are the Westminster political parties?". BBC News. BMG Research. 4 October 2019. Archived from the original on 6 October 2019. Retrieved 6 October 2019.
- ^ Walker, Ben (27 November 2019). "The Brexit Party's pullout demonstrates a problem for pollsters". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 27 November 2019. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
- ^ "UKIP leader Richard Braine resigns after three months in the job". BBC News. 30 October 2019. Archived from the original on 31 October 2019. Retrieved 30 October 2019.
- ^ "UKIP: Richard Braine elected as party leader". BBC News. 10 August 2019. Archived from the original on 13 August 2019. Retrieved 14 August 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "By-elections since the 2017 General Election". UK Parliament. Archived from the original on 26 June 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Lib Dems: Jo Swinson elected new leader". BBC News. 22 July 2019. Archived from the original on 22 July 2019. Retrieved 22 July 2019.
- ^ "Change UK loses six of its 11 MPs". BBC News. 4 June 2019. Archived from the original on 4 June 2019. Retrieved 4 June 2019.
- ^ "European elections 2019: Polls take place across the UK". BBC News. 23 May 2019. Archived from the original on 23 May 2019. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
- ^ "England local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 28 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Northern Ireland local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 17 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Independent Group: Three MPs quit Tory party to join". BBC News. 20 February 2019. Archived from the original on 30 November 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Brexit Party registration with The Electoral Commission". The Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 11 May 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
- ^ a b "Plaid Cymru leadership contest: Adam Price wins". BBC News. 28 September 2018. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Jonathan Bartley and Sian Berry elected Green Party co-leaders". BBC. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 31 October 2019.
- ^ a b "England local elections 2018". BBC News. Archived from the original on 7 December 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "UKIP confirms Gerard Batten as new leader". Sky News. 14 April 2018. Archived from the original on 10 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". BBC News. 29 September 2017. Archived from the original on 29 September 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Archived from the original on 20 July 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
- ^ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Scotland was not recorded.
- ^ "Ruth Davidson quits as Scottish Tory leader citing Brexit and family". The Guardian. 29 August 2019. Archived from the original on 3 September 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
- ^ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Archived from the original on 7 April 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2017.
- ^ "Welsh Labour leadership: Mark Drakeford set to be Wales' first minister". BBC News. 6 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Wales new First Minister Mark Drakeford is sworn in". BBC News. 13 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". BBC News. 6 September 2018. Archived from the original on 6 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". BBC News. 3 November 2017. Archived from the original on 28 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
- ^ Aontú (1.2%), People Before Profit (0.9%) and the Conservative Party (0.7%) outpolled the Greens despite not being measured separately in pre-election polling.
- ^ "Mary Lou McDonald confirmed as new leader of Sinn Féin". Irish Times. 20 January 2018. Archived from the original on 10 July 2018. Retrieved 4 August 2019.
- ^ Wells, Anthony. "Lib Dem private polls again". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 9 December 2019.
External links
edit- Britain Elects Westminster voting intention archive (1997–present) Archived 18 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine
- Britain Elects Scottish Westminster voting intention archive (2015–present) Archived 23 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine
- Britain Elects Welsh Westminster voting intention archive (2010–present) Archived 31 October 2019 at the Wayback Machine
- Results of the 2017 general election