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2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

(Redirected from Robert Burns (New Hampshire politician))

For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 2 0
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 339,027 277,808
Percentage 54.90% 44.99%
Swing Increase 2.31% Increase 0.01%

Overview

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District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 167,391 54.00% 142,229 45.89% 342 0.11% 309,962 100.00% Democratic hold
District 2 171,636 55.80% 135,579 44.08% 369 0.12% 307,584 100.00% Democratic hold
Total 339,027 54.90% 277,808 44.99% 711 0.11% 617,546 100.00%
Popular vote
Democratic
 
 54.90%
Republican
 
 44.99%
Other
 
 0.11%
House seats
Democratic
 
 100.00%

District 1

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2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Chris Pappas Karoline Leavitt
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 167,391 142,229
Percentage 54.0% 45.9%
 
Municipality results
Pappas:      50–60%      60–70%      70-80%
     80-90%
Leavitt:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. Representative before election

Chris Pappas
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Pappas
Democratic

See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Endorsements

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Chris Pappas

Organizations

Results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 41,990 100.0
Total votes 41,990 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrawn
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  • Julian Acciard, security specialist and Iraq War veteran (running for governor)[21][22]

Endorsements

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Tim Baxter

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State representatives

Gail Huff Brown

Executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Karoline Leavitt

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Individuals

Matt Mowers

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

Governors

State legislators

State senators

Organizations

Individuals

Forums and debates

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2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district republican primary candidate forum & debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Tom Alciere Tim Baxter Gail Huff Brown Mark Kilbane Karoline Leavitt Mary Maxwell Matt Mowers Russell Prescott Kevin Rondeau Gilead Towne
1 Aug. 4, 2022 New Hampshire Journal [54] N P P N P N P P N N
2 Sep. 6, 2022 New Hampshire Institute
of Politics
WMUR 		Adam Sexton [55] N P P N P N P P N N

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Julian
Acciard 		Tom
Alciere 		Tim
Baxter 		Gail
Huff Brown 		Mark
Kilbane 		Karoline
Leavitt 		Matt
Mowers 		Russell
Prescott 		Gilead
Towne 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[56] August 25–29, 2022 419 (LV) ± 4.8% – – 4% 16% – 24% 26% 4% – 0% 26%
Remington Research Group (R)[57][A] August 14–17, 2022 462 (LV) ± 4.5% – 1% 9% 9% 0% 21% 21% 3% 0% 0%[b] 35%
co/efficient (R)[58] August 13–14, 2022 829 (LV) ± 3.4% – – 9% 8% – 16% 31% 3% – – 33%
Saint Anselm College[59] August 9–11, 2022 423 (RV) ± 4.8% – – 8% 9% – 21% 25% 2% – 1% 33%
The Tarrance Group (R)[60][B] August 1–4, 2022 302 (LV) ± 5.8% – – 10% 8% 1% 13% 37% 6% – 3% 22%
Cygnal (R)[61][C] October 24–25, 2021 350 (LV) ± 5.2% 1% – 1% 7% – 6% 34% – – – 51%
Praecones Analytica (R)[62] August 13–20, 2021 792 (LV) ± 3.5% 3% – 4% – – 7% 43% – 2% – 42%

Results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Karoline Leavitt 25,931 34.6
Republican Matt Mowers 19,072 25.4
Republican Gail Huff Brown 12,999 17.3
Republican Russell Prescott 7,551 10.1
Republican Tim Baxter 6,970 9.3
Republican Mary Maxwell 673 0.9
Republican Kevin Rondeau 610 0.8
Republican Gilead Towne 466 0.6
Republican Mark Kilbane 347 0.5
Republican Tom Alciere 342 0.5
Total votes 74,961 100.0

General election

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Debate

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2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Chris Pappas Karoline Leavitt
1 Nov. 3, 2022 New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR 		Adam Sexton [63] P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[64] Tossup June 6, 2022
Inside Elections[65] Tilt D June 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] Lean D September 14, 2022
Politico[67] Tossup June 14, 2022
RCP[68] Lean R (flip) October 21, 2022
Fox News[69] Lean D November 1, 2022
DDHQ[70] Tossup November 2, 2022
538[71] Lean D November 1, 2022
The Economist[72] Tossup November 2, 2022

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Chris
Pappas (D) 		Karoline
Leavitt (R) 		Undecided
[c] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[73] September 14 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 48.1% 48.5% 3.4% Leavitt +0.4

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Pappas (D) 		Karoline
Leavitt (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[74] November 2–6, 2022 1,043 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 49% 0% 1%
Saint Anselm College[75] October 28–29, 2022 791 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 51% – 4%
co/efficient (R)[76] October 25–26, 2022 525 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 44% – 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[77][D] October 2–6, 2022 250 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 47% 2% 3%
Saint Anselm College[78] September 27–28, 2022 450 (RV) ± 4.9% 49% 41% 3%[d] 7%
University of New Hampshire[79] September 15–19, 2022 423 (LV) ± 4.8% 50% 43% 1%[e] 6%
Emerson College[80] September 14–15, 2022 415 (LV) ± 3.4% 47% 42% 5%[f] 6%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College[59] August 9–11, 2022 961 (RV) ± 4.8% 42% 48% 2% 9%
Saint Anselm College[81] March 23–24, 2022 663 (RV) ± 3.8% 41% 48% 3% 8%
Saint Anselm College[82] January 11–12, 2022 640 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 48% 3% 9%
Saint Anselm College[83] October 20–22, 2021 692 (RV) ± 3.7% 41% 48% 4% 7%
Saint Anselm College[84] August 24–26, 2021 991 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 47% 2% 7%
Saint Anselm College[85] March 4–6, 2021 439 (RV) ± 4.7% 48% 39% 3% 10%

Chris Pappas vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Pappas (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Saint Anselm College[59] August 9–11, 2022 961 (RV) ± 4.8% 38% 47% 15%

Results

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New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2022[86]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Pappas (incumbent) 167,391 54.0
Republican Karoline Leavitt 142,229 45.9
Write-in 342 0.1
Total votes 309,962 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

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2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Annie Kuster Robert Burns
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 171,731 135,567
Percentage 55.8% 44.1%
 
Municipality results
Kuster:      50–60%      60–70%      70-80%
     80-90%
Burns:      50–60%      60–70%      70-80%
     Tie
U.S. Representative before election

Annie Kuster
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Annie Kuster
Democratic

See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Endorsements

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Annie Kuster

Organizations

Results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Annie Kuster (incumbent) 48,630 100.0
Total votes 48,630 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Robert Burns

Federal officials

State representatives

Jeffrey Cozzens (withdrawn)

State legislators

George Hansel

Governors

Lily Tang Williams

Organizations

Debate

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2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Scott Black Robert Burns Michael Callis George Hansel Jay Mercer Dean Poirier Lily Tang Williams
1 Sep. 7, 2022 New Hampshire
Institute of Politics
WMUR 		Adam Sexton [103] N P N P N N P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Robert
Burns 		George
Hansel 		Lily Tang
Williams 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[56] August 25–29, 2022 469 (LV) ± 4.5% 32% 18% 10% 3% 37%
Saint Anselm College[59] August 9–11, 2022 397 (RV) ± 4.9% 12% 10% 8% 6% 65%

Results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Burns 21,065 33.3
Republican George Hansel 19,024 30.1
Republican Lily Tang Williams 15,729 24.9
Republican Scott Black 2,211 3.5
Republican Jay Mercer 2,085 3.3
Republican Dean Poirier 2,047 3.2
Republican Michael Callis 1,133 1.8
Total votes 63,294 100.0

General election

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Debate

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2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Annie Kuster Robert Burns
1 Oct. 28, 2022 Todd Bookman
Ethan DeWitt 		New Hampshire Bulletin
New Hampshire PBS
New Hampshire Public Radio 		[104] P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[64] Lean D September 14, 2022
Inside Elections[65] Likely D June 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] Likely D October 19, 2022
Politico[67] Lean D October 3, 2022
RCP[68] Tossup September 27, 2022
Fox News[69] Lean D September 20, 2022
DDHQ[70] Likely D November 2, 2022
538[71] Likely D October 18, 2022
The Economist[72] Lean D November 7, 2022

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Annie
Kuster (D) 		Robert
Burns (R) 		Undecided
[g] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[105] September 14 – November 6, 2022 November 6, 2022 49.9% 44.3% 5.8% Kuster +5.5

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Annie
Kuster (D) 		Robert
Burns (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[74] November 2–6, 2022 1,027 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 45% 2% 1%
Saint Anselm College[75] October 28–29, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 42% – 8%
co/efficient (R)[76] October 25–26, 2022 573 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 44% – 13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[77][D] October 2–6, 2022 250 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 43% 1% 3%
Saint Anselm College[78] September 27–28, 2022 451 (RV) ± 4.9% 49% 35% 9%[h] 7%
University of New Hampshire[79] September 15–19, 2022 445 (LV) ± 4.6% 48% 45% – 7%
Emerson College[80] September 14–15, 2022 385 (LV) ± 3.4% 54% 36% 6%[i] 5%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Saint Anselm College[59] August 9–11, 2022 937 (RV) ± 4.9% 44% 44% 2% 10%
NRCC (R)[106][E] June 6–7, 2022 ~319 (LV) ± 5.5% 43% 48% – 9%
Saint Anselm College[81] March 23–24, 2022 602 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 45% 1% 10%
Saint Anselm College[82] January 11–12, 2022 575 (RV) ± 4.1% 40% 44% 5% 11%
Saint Anselm College[83] October 20–22, 2021 631 (RV) ± 3.9% 45% 44% 3% 9%
Saint Anselm College[84] August 24–26, 2021 864 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 45% 3% 9%
Saint Anselm College[85] March 4–6, 2021 432 (RV) ± 4.7% 48% 40% 4% 8%

Annie Kuster vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Annie
Kuster (D) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Saint Anselm College[59] August 9–11, 2022 937 (RV) ± 4.9% 36% 51% 13%

Results

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New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2022[86]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Annie Kuster (incumbent) 171,636 55.8
Republican Robert Burns 135,579 44.1
Write-in 369 0.1
Total votes 307,584 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Maxwell and Rondeau with 0%
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  5. ^ "Other" with 1%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  7. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  8. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Leavitt's campaign
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Mowers's campaign
  4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by AARP
  5. ^ This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Congressional Committee

References

edit
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  79. ^ a b University of New Hampshire
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  81. ^ a b Saint Anselm College
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  89. ^ Sexton, Adam (July 13, 2022). "New Hampshire Rep. Annie Kuster gets EMILY's List endorsement". WMUR-TV. Retrieved July 15, 2022.
  90. ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  91. ^ DiStaso, John (December 16, 2021). "Giffords PAC endorses Hassan for reelection". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
  92. ^ "Endorsements - NARAL Pro-Choice America". NARAL Pro-Choice America.
  93. ^ Sexton, Adam (August 21, 2018). "Robert Burns, Republican candidate for 2nd CD seat". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  94. ^ Sexton, Adam (June 7, 2022). "Hansel files to run against Kuster in NH-02". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  95. ^ "Meet Dean". Archived from the original on October 28, 2021. Retrieved October 15, 2021.
  96. ^ Sexton, Adam (June 1, 2022). "Lily Tang Williams joins race for NH's 2nd District". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  97. ^ Sexton, Adam (July 7, 2022). "CD-2 candidate picks up endorsement from former Trump officials". WMUR-TV. Retrieved July 9, 2022.
  98. ^ a b c DiStaso, John (December 9, 2021). "Top NH Trump supporters endorse Burns for US House in NH-02". www.wmur.com. WMUR-TV. Retrieved December 17, 2021.
  99. ^ a b c DiStaso, John (November 4, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Republican congressional candidates Mowers, Cozzens receive endorsements". WMUR-TV. Retrieved July 13, 2022.
  100. ^ DiStaso, John (October 21, 2021). "NH Primary Source: State Sen. Hennessey endorses Cozzens for 2nd District US House seat". www.wmur.com. Retrieved October 21, 2021.
  101. ^ Fisher, Damien (May 31, 2022). "Hansel Kicks Off NH-02 Campaign With Sununu Endorsement". nhjournal.com. Retrieved June 13, 2022.
  102. ^ "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Lily Tang Williams for Congress in New Hampshire". Tea Party Express. August 4, 2022. Retrieved August 23, 2022.
  103. ^ YouTube
  104. ^ YouTube
  105. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  106. ^ NRCC (R)
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

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