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2014 United States Senate election in Georgia

(Redirected from Senate seat in the 2014 Georgia election)

The 2014 United States Senate election in Georgia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Georgia, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states, to the United States House of Representatives, and to various other state and local offices.

2014 United States Senate election in Georgia
← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020–21 →
Turnout47.5% Decrease
 
Nominee David Perdue Michelle Nunn
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,358,088 1,160,811
Percentage 52.89% 45.21%
Perdue:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Nunn:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No data
U.S. Senator before election

Saxby Chambliss
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

David Perdue
Republican

Incumbent Republican senator Saxby Chambliss announced on January 25, 2013, that he would not run for re-election, making it an open-seat race.[1] After a close and contentious primary campaign, businessman David Perdue and U.S. Representative Jack Kingston advanced to a runoff for the Republican nomination, which was narrowly won by Perdue. The Democratic primary was decisively won by Points of Light CEO Michelle Nunn, the daughter of former U.S. senator Sam Nunn. Also running was Libertarian nominee Amanda Swafford, a former Flowery Branch City Councilwoman.

If no candidate had received a majority of the vote, a runoff would have been held between the top two finishers on January 6, 2015, after the 114th Congress would have been sworn in, but in the end, David Perdue defeated Michelle Nunn by a margin of 7.7%.

Perdue's victory was part of a series of Republican victories across the nation, becoming the first non-incumbent Republican Senator in the state's history.[2] Nunn failed to improve on Obama's losing percentages in the state from two years earlier and any changes in the state's demographics were not enough for Democrats to prevail.[3] Nevertheless, Nunn took credit for making the party competitive in the otherwise inhospitable South: "We put Georgia in play. We have reminded people what a two-party system looks like."[3] Nunn's efforts to appeal to white voters were largely unsuccessful, with her not achieving 25% of the white vote, with conventional wisdom at the time stating that a Democrat needed 30% of the white vote to win.[4]

Republican primary

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In the early stages of the Republican primary campaign, the field was deemed a "clown car" by The Hill due to the prominence of far-right candidates within it.[5] Prominent Tea Party supporter and U.S. Representative Paul Broun was the early frontrunner for the Republican nomination, with Public Policy Polling showing him with a double-digit lead over his fellow candidates.[6] During September 2013 several prominent Republicans considered buying ads against Broun's campaign, as he was seen as unelectable due to his far-right policy positions, which included support for Young Earth creationism and the contention that medical schools taught "lies from the pits of hell."[7][8] The primary was held on May 20, 2014. No candidate won more than 50% of the vote, so a runoff was held between the top two candidates, businessman David Perdue and U.S. Representative Jack Kingston. The 30.6 percent won by Perdue is the lowest ever for a first-place finisher in a Georgia U.S. Senate primary by either party in state history.[9]

Candidates

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Paul Broun

Federal officials

  • Ron Paul, former U.S. Representative (R-TX), candidate for President in 2008 and 2012[36]

Organizations

Karen Handel

Federal officials

  • Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania, 2012 Republican presidential primary candidate[42]

State officials

Individuals

Organizations

Jack Kingston

Federal officials

Individuals

Organizations

David Perdue

Executive officials

State officials

Individuals

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Paul
Broun 		Casey
Cagle 		Art
Gardner 		Phil
Gingrey 		Tom
Graves 		Derrick
Grayson 		Karen
Handel 		Jack
Kingston 		David
Perdue 		Tom
Price 		Ross
Tolleson 		Eugene
Yu 		Other/
Unsure
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 ? ±? 19% — — 18% — — — 13% — 17% 2% — 30%
PPP[62] February 15–18, 2013 366 ±5.1% 11% 13% — 12% 3% — 15% 15% — 10% — — 20%
14% — — 22% — — 21% 18% — — — — 24%
15% — — 24% — — — 18% — 14% — — 28%
Landmark/Rosetta[63] February 15–18, 2013 483 ±4.5% 10% 17% — 15% — — — 12% — 11% 2% — 33%
Landmark/Rosetta[64] March 28, 2013 570 ±4.1% 16% — — 22% — — 14% 8% 1% — 2% — 39%
Insider Advantage[65] April 1, 2013 573 ±4% 15% — — 15% — — 9% 14% 5% — — — 37%
20/20 Insight[66] May 7–9, 2013 ? ± ? 13% — — 19% — — 16% 18% — — — — 34%
GaPundit[67] May 16, 2013 1,351 ±2.66% 14.14% — — 15.98% — — 15.81% 17.61% 5.77% — — — 30.69%
Landmark/Rosetta[68] June 2013 450 ±4.6% 15% — — 17% — — 14% 7% — — — — 44%
PPP[69] August 2–4, 2013 260 ±6.1% 19% — — 25% — 3% 13% 15% 5% — — 0% 20%
TPC[70] January 31 – February 1, 2014 600 ±3.9% 13% — — 19% — 1% 14% 11% 8% — — 2% 32%
HEG/AP[71] February 13–16, 2014 923 ±3.25% 10.9% — 0.8% 10.4% — 0.5% 10.2% 10.9% 12.7% — — 0.9% 42.7%
PPP[72] March 5–6, 2014 324 ±? 27% — — 14% — 3% 9% 13% 12% — — — 23%
SurveyUSA[73] March 16–18, 2014 508 ±4.2% 11% — 1% 12% — 4% 10% 19% 29% — — — 15%
Landmark/Rosetta[74] March 23–24, 2014 600 ±4% 15% — — 13% — — 10% 15% 21% — — — 26%
InsiderAdvantage[75] March 23–24, 2014 893 ±3.26% 10% — — 8% — — 5% 15% 17% — — — 45%
InsiderAdvantage[76] April 13–15, 2014 804 ±3.4% 11% — 0.5% 9% — 0.5% 13% 15% 19% — — — 32%
SurveyUSA[77] April 24–27, 2014 501 ± 4.5% 13% — 1% 6% — 5% 15% 20% 26% — — — 13%
InsiderAdvantage[78] April 27–29, 2014 737 ±3.5% 14% — 1% 12% — 2% 21% 17% 22% — — — 11%
McLaughlin & Associates*[79] April 28–29, 2014 400 ±4.9% 8% — — 13% — — 14% 20% 17% — — — 28%
NBC News/Marist[80] April 30 – May 5, 2014 533 ±4.2% 11% — <1% 11% — 1% 14% 18% 23% — — — 23%
Saint Leo[81] May 5–6, 2014 689 ±4% 13% — — 8% — 1% 15% 16% 26% — — — 21%
Landmark/Rosetta^[82] May 6, 2014 729 ±3.6% 8.6% — — 8.5% — — 21% 15.1% 23.1% — — — 20.1%
InsiderAdvantage[83] May 7, 2014 531 ±4.2% 12% — 1% 11% — 2% 18% 17% 26% — — — 13%
SurveyUSA[84] May 8–12, 2014 634 ±4% 10% — 1% 10% — 3% 16% 19% 27% — — — 14%
GAPundit[85] May 12–13, 2014 1,006 ±3.1% 11% — 2.1% 12.1% — 2.4% 20.1% 20.5% 20.1% — — — 11.7%
InsiderAdvantage[86] May 12–14, 2014 1,182 ±2.9% 10% — — 9% — — 17% 19% 27% — — — 18%
InsiderAdvantage[87] May 18, 2014 852 ±3.36% 9.8% — 0.3% 11.1% — 0.7% 17.4% 16.7% 26% — — — 18.1%
  • ^ Internal poll for Karen Handel campaign
  • * Internal poll for Jack Kingston campaign
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Saxby
Chambliss 		Paul
Broun 		Herman
Cain 		Erick
Erickson 		Karen
Handel 		Tom
Price 		Allen
West 		Someone more
conservative 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 389 ±5% 23% 6% 36% 3% 4% 4% 8% — 5% 10%
57% 14% — — — — — — — 29%
36% — 50% — — — — — — 13%
51% — — 22% — — — — — 26%
52% — — — 23% — — — — 26%
52% — — — — 22% — — — 28%
47% — — — — — 26% — — 28%
38% — — — — — — 43% — 19%

Results

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Initial primary results by county:
  Perdue
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Kingston
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Handel
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gingrey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Broun
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[89]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Perdue 185,466 30.64%
Republican Jack Kingston 156,157 25.80%
Republican Karen Handel 132,944 21.96%
Republican Phil Gingrey 60,735 10.03%
Republican Paul Broun 58,297 9.63%
Republican Derrick Grayson 6,045 1.00%
Republican Art Gardner 5,711 0.94%
Total votes 605,355 100.00%

Runoff

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The runoff was held on July 22, 2014, which Perdue won with 50.9% of the vote.[90][91] Kingston was perceived as the more conservative candidate in the race, but Perdue defeated him, largely due to strong support from business-friendly voters residing in the Atlanta suburbs.[92] The runoff was noted for the large amount of advertisements run by both campaigns that focused around comparing their opponent to a baby.[93]

Endorsements

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Jack Kingston

Previously endorsed Handel

Previously abstained

Defeated candidates

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jack
Kingston 		David
Perdue 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling[106] May 21–22, 2014 410 ± ?% 46% 34% 20%
McLaughlin & Associates*[107] May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 49% 35% 16%
SurveyUSA[108] June 3–5, 2014 419 ± 4.9% 52% 41% 7%
InsiderAdvantage[109] June 10–11, 2014 401 ± 4.89% 46.1% 35.1% 18.9%
Gravis Marketing[110] June 11–12, 2014 1,140 ± 3% 49% 38% 14%
WPA Opinion Research^[111] June 22–24, 2014 600 ± 4% 44% 45% 11%
InsiderAdvantage[112] July 7–9, 2014 1,278 ± 2.7% 41.9% 41.1% 17%
InsiderAdvantage[113] July 15–16, 2014 696 ± 3.7% 46% 41% 13%
Landmark Communications[114] July 16, 2014 1,720 ± 2.4% 48% 41% 12%
  • ^ Internal poll for David Perdue's campaign
  • * Internal poll for Jack Kingston's campaign

Results

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Runoff results by county:
  Perdue
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Kingston
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
  Perdue/Kingston tie
  •   50–60%
Republican primary runoff results[115]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Perdue 245,951 50.88%
Republican Jack Kingston 237,448 49.12%
Total votes 483,399 100.00%

Democratic primary

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Campaign

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With Democratic Congressman John Barrow passing on the race, Michelle Nunn, a businesswoman and the daughter of former U.S. senator Sam Nunn, consulted with the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, as well as with Democratic Georgian political figures such as Shirley Franklin, Roy Barnes and Andrew Young about possibly running,[116][117] Though she was little known to voters, Democrats embraced the hope that Nunn, with her executive experience as well as family name, could make their party once again competitive in-state.[116][118]

On July 22, 2013, Nunn declared herself a candidate for U.S. Senate.[119] She said: "Our opportunity is to define ourselves. I'm going to talk a lot about the deficit. Neither side of the equation is really tackling that. I think people are really tired of the mudslinging and the silliness of this."[119] If elected, Nunn would have become the 29th Georgian elected to the U.S. Senate or U.S. House with a family member who previously served in Congress, and the first since her father (who is the grandnephew of Carl Vinson).[120]

She raised $1.7 million in campaign funds during the third quarter of 2013, more than twice that of any Republican running.[121] She followed that with a $1.6 million fourth quarter[122] and a $2.4 million first quarter of 2014, again the most of anyone in the race.[123]

On May 20, 2014, Nunn won the Democratic primary for the Senate seat with 75 percent of the vote,[124] having skipped many of the debates and public forums where three other little-known candidates appeared.[125]

Candidates

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Michelle Nunn

Executive officials

Federal officials

State officials

Municipal officials

Individuals

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Steen
Miles 		Michelle
Nunn 		Branko
Radulovacki 		Todd
Robinson 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[84] May 8–12, 2014 549 ± 4.2% 7% 59% 5% 10% 19%
SurveyUSA[77] April 24–27, 2014 435 ± 4.7% 13% 57% 5% 7% 18%
SurveyUSA[73] March 16–18, 2014 443 ± 4.8% 11% 48% 5% 14% 23%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Thurbert
Baker 		John
Barrow 		Sanford
Bishop 		Max
Cleland 		Cathy
Cox 		Other/
Undecided
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 ? ±? 8% 9% 11% 20% 13% 39%

Results

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Democratic primary results[89]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle Nunn 246,369 74.95%
Democratic Steen Miles 39,418 11.99%
Democratic Todd Robinson 31,822 9.68%
Democratic Branko Radulovacki 11,101 3.38%
Total votes 328,710 100.00%

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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General election

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Campaign

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Following the conclusion of the two primaries, the race was set up as being between two self-described political "outsiders" with well-known-in-state political family names, each seeking to reach moderate and independent voters.[155][156]

In July 2014, National Review, a conservative media outlet, reported on a leaked Nunn campaign memo from December 2013 which made frank recommendations on strategy for Nunn's path to victory in Georgia.[157][158][159] The leaked memo said that likely attack lines against Nunn would include that she was a "lightweight", "too liberal", and "not a 'real' Georgian".[160] The memo said that Nunn should feature images of her and her family in rural settings in order to connect with rural voters, and suggested that Nunn focus on African American clergy to raise enthusiasm for her candidacy among African American voters and that Nunn focus her efforts on Jews and Asians to raise money.[157]

First Lady Michelle Obama campaigned on behalf of Nunn, as part of an effort to increase African-American voter turnout in midterm elections.[161][162]

Nunn's stump speech emphasized an appeal to bipartisanship.[163] She received support and donations from former Republican senators Richard Lugar and John Warner, both of whom were close to her father,[145] and support from former Georgia Senator and Governor Zell Miller, a Democrat who had endorsed Republicans over the previous decade.[164] Nunn's campaign commercials used photographs of herself and President George H. W. Bush, who founded Points of Light, together in campaign commercials and she mentioned him often on the campaign trail.[165] However, in June 2014, Bush sent out a fundraising letter that, while not mentioning her by name, called on Republican donors to support the Republican nominee,[165] and in September 2014, Bush endorsed Perdue.[166] In October 2014, Bush emphatically objected to Nunn continuing to use a photograph of him in her campaign, saying that such actions were disrespectful.[167] Points of Light chair Neil Bush neither endorsed nor opposed her candidacy,[168] but did label as "shameful" an advertisement approved by Perdue that used a past episode to say that Points of Light "gave money to organizations linked to terrorists."[169]

As the campaign moved on, Nunn made her father a focal point, staging joint appearances with him at military bases and saying that she would emulate his bipartisan approach to legislating.[170] She has also said that she would seek a seat on the Senate Armed Services Committee that he once chaired.[170]

Perdue stated that he entered politics out of concern for the rising national debt. He supported repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act.[171] He also supported a constitutional balanced budget amendment and comprehensive tax reform.[172] In addition, he pledged to limit himself to two terms in the Senate, if elected.[173]

Perdue touted his business experience, particularly his experience at Dollar General, saying, "We added about 2,200 stores, created almost 20,000 jobs and doubled the value of that company in a very short period of time. Not because of me, but because we listened to our customers and employees." He received the endorsement of the National Federation of Independent Business.[174] But he was hurt during the campaign by revelations that he had in the past been an enthusiastic supporter of outsourcing.[3] Nunn targeted past pre-political statements of Perdue where he had said he was "proud of" his outsourcing efforts, and for the job losses that followed the final closure of Pillowtex.[174][175]

Policy positions

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Perdue supported repeal and replacement of the Affordable Care Act.[171] He supported a constitutional balanced budget amendment and comprehensive tax reform.[172] He pledged to limit himself to two terms in the Senate, if elected.[173]

Nunn supported abortion rights.[176] Nunn believed that members of Congress should be forced to pass a budget each year, or forfeit their pay.[177] Nunn supported expanding federally mandated background checks to include all local sales to prevent the possibility that mentally ill persons would be able to buy a firearm.[178] Nunn said that going forward, some aspects of the Affordable Care Act should be fixed rather than the whole law being eliminated.[119][179] She criticized Georgia's refusal to accept Medicaid expansion under the act.[119] Following the start-up problems with the associated HealthCare.gov website, Nunn broke with the Obama administration and said that the individual mandate portion of the law should be delayed.[180] Nunn supported the 2013 Senate immigration plan that would have allowed illegal immigrants to stay in the United States while waiting for American citizenship.[178] Nunn favored construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline.[177] She opposed the Obama administration's proposed cuts to defense spending.[170] On the topic of same-sex marriage, Nunn said she personally favored it, but that the decision should be made on a state-by-state basis.[119]

Debates

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Perdue and Nunn held debates on August 21,[181] October 7, October 26,[182] and November 2.[183]

Fundraising

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David Perdue has funded more than $1.9 million of his campaign personally; the second-largest total of any Senate candidate.[184] A total of $23,355,844 was raised by the candidates for this race, of which a total of $22,917,058 was spent by the campaigns.

Candidate Contributions Expenditures Cash on hand Debt
Michelle Nunn (D) $13,035,397 $13,064,094 $1,105,870 $2,768
David Perdue (R) $10,719,297 $11,069,317 $669,343 $150,000

Spending

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This Senate race, as many others across the United States, was heavily influenced by outside PACs and organizations who supported various candidates.[185] The U.S. Chamber of Commerce alone was expected to spend almost $50 million on elections in 2014.[185] More than $4.6 million had been spent on advertising in the race by outside groups by May 2014.[185]

Organization/Candidate Supporting Amount Media Goal
United States Chamber of Commerce Jack Kingston (R) $920,000[185] TV and online ads Support Jack Kingston (R)
Citizens for a Working America PAC David Perdue (R) $1,000,000[185] TV Attack Jack Kingston (R)
Citizens for a Working America PAC David Perdue (R) $515,000[185] TV Support David Perdue (R)
Ending Spending Action Fund N/A $1,750,000[185] TV Attack Phil Gingrey (R)
Ending Spending Action Fund N/A $334,000[185] TV Attack Michelle Nunn (D)
Nunn for Senate, Inc. Michelle Nunn (D) $55,000[186] TV Support Michelle Nunn (D)

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[187] Tossup November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[188] Lean R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[189] Tossup November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[190] Tossup November 3, 2014

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		David
Perdue (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Amanda
Swafford (L) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 40% 40% — — 21%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[192] March 31, 2014 600 ± 4% 37.5% 33% — — 29.5%
NBC News/Marist[80] April 30 – May 5, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 45% 41% — 1% 13%
Saint Leo[193] May 5–6, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 41% 37% — 6% 15%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[194] May 5–8, 2014 1,012 ± 4% 45% 46% — — 8%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[195] May 2014 1,000 ± 3% 44% 45% — — 11%
Public Policy Polling[106] May 21–22, 2014 803 ± ?% 46% 48% — — 7%
Rasmussen Reports[196] May 21–22, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 45% — 7% 6%
SurveyUSA[108] June 3–5, 2014 999 ± 3.2% 43% 38% 6% — 14%
Landmark Communications[114] July 16, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 48% — — 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[197] July 5–24, 2014 2,541 ± 3.4% 47% 42% — 3% 8%
Rasmussen Reports[196] July 23–24, 2014 750 ± 4% 46% 40% — 4% 10%
Landmark Communications[198] July 25, 2014 750 ± 3.8% 43% 46.6% 3.8% — 6.6%
Vox Populi Polling[199] July 27–28, 2014 624 ± 3.9% 49% 40% 1% — 10%
Hicks Evaluation Group[200] August 8–10, 2014 788 ± 3.48% 47.6% 41.5% — — 10.9%
InsiderAdvantage[201] August 12–13, 2014 719 ± 3.7% 47% 40% 8% — 5%
SurveyUSA[202] August 14–17, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 50% 41% 3% — 6%
Landmark Communications[203] August 20–21, 2014 600 ± 4% 40% 47% 3% — 10%
GaPundit.com[204] August 24–25, 2014 1,578 ± 2.47% 43.09% 44.74% 7.41% — 4.75%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[205] August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,900 ± 3% 47% 41% 3% 1% 9%
SurveyUSA[206] September 5–8, 2014 558 ± 4.2% 47% 44% 5% — 4%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[207] September 8–11, 2014 884 ± 4% 45% 41% — 6% 8%
Landmark Communications[208] September 9–11, 2014 1,109 ± 2.9% 43.4% 46% 6.4% — 4.2%
Insider Advantage[209] September 10–11, 2014 1,167 ± 2.9% 50.1% 39.8% 5% — 5.1%
Rasmussen Reports[196] September 15–16, 2014 750 ± 4% 46% 41% — 4% 9%
SurveyUSA[210] September 19–22, 2014 550 ± 4.3% 46% 45% 4% — 6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[211] September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,851 ± 3% 47% 43% 2% 0% 9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[212] September 25 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 2.09% 46% 41% — 14%
Insider Advantage[213] September 29 – October 1, 2014 947 ± 3.2% 47% 42.6% 3.6% — 6.8%
Rasmussen Reports[196] September 30 – October 1, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 46% 42% — 4% 9%
Hickman Analytics[214] September 26 – October 5, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 39% 6% — 14%
Public Policy Polling[215] October 2–5, 2014 895 ± 3.3% 45% 43% 5% — 8%
48% 45% — — 6%
SurveyUSA[216] October 2–6, 2014 566 ± 4.2% 46% 45% 3% — 6%
Landmark Communications[217] October 7–9, 2014 1,000 ± 3.1% 46% 46% 4% — 4%
SurveyUSA[218] October 10–13, 2014 563 ± 4.2% 45% 48% 3% — 4%
GaPundit.com[219] October 13–14, 2014 1,543 ± 2.49% 44.72% 45.69% 6.03% — 3.56%
SurveyUSA[220] October 17–20, 2014 606 ± 4.1% 44% 46% 4% — 7%
Landmark Communications[221] October 20–21, 2014 1,000 ± 2.75% 47.3% 47.4% 3.3% — 2%
CNN/ORC International[222] October 19–22, 2014 565 ± 4% 44% 47% 5% — 4%
Insider Advantage[223] October 21–22, 2014 704 ± 3.7% 44.9% 47.3% 4.1% — 3.7%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[224] October 16–23, 2014 1,170 ± 3.6% 44% 42% 6% — 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[211] October 16–23, 2014 1,774 ± 4% 47% 44% 1% 0% 8%
Public Policy Polling[225] October 23–24, 2014 771 ± ?% 47% 47% 3% — 4%
SurveyUSA[226] October 24–27, 2014 611 ± 4% 48% 45% 3% — 5%
Rasmussen Reports[196] October 25–27, 2014 977 ± 3% 46% 46% — 3% 5%
Monmouth[227] October 26–28, 2014 436 ± 4.7% 49% 41% 3% — 7%
Vox Populi Polling[228] October 28, 2014 602 ± 4% 48% 43% 3% — 6%
Landmark Communications[229] October 29, 2014 1,500 ± 2.5% 47.4% 46.6% 2.7% — 3.3%
NBC News/Marist[230] October 26–30, 2014 603 LV ± 4% 48% 44% 3% 1% 4%
875 RV ± 3.3% 45% 43% 4% 1% 7%
YouGov[231] October 25–31, 2014 1,743 ± 3.2% 44% 42% 1% 1% 12%
Public Policy Polling[232] October 30–31, 2014 533 ± ? 46% 46% 4% — 4%
Perkins[233] October 28 – November 2, 2014 ? ? 48% 40% 3% — 9%
SurveyUSA[234] October 30 – November 2, 2014 591 ± 4.1% 47% 44% 5% — 4%
Insider Advantage[235] November 2, 2014 1,463 ± 3% 48% 45% 3% — 4%
Landmark Communications[236] November 2, 2014 1,500 ± 2.5% 49.8% 45.6% 2.4% — 2.2%
Public Policy Polling[237] November 1–3, 2014 975 ± 3.1% 46% 45% 5% — 5%
48% 48% — — 5%
Hypothetical polling

With Broun

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Paul
Broun (R) 		John
Barrow (D) 		Other Undecided
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 939 ± 3.2% 17% 19% — 64%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 38% 38% — 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Paul
Broun (R) 		Jason
Carter (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 42% 40% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Paul
Broun (R) 		Max
Cleland (D) 		Other Undecided
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 939 ± 3.2% 24% 40% — 36%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 40% 47% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Paul
Broun (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 36% 41% — 23%
Public Policy Polling[239] January 24–26, 2014 640 ± ?% 41% 42% — 17%
Public Policy Polling[240] March 5–6, 2014 580 ± ?% 38% 38% — 24%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[192] March 31, 2014 600 ± 4% 38.5% 38.2% — 23.3%
NBC News/Marist[80] April 30 – May 5, 2014 1,131 ± 2.9% 43% 42% 1% 14%
Saint Leo[193] May 5–6, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 38% 42% 5% 15%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[194] May 5–8, 2014 1,012 ± 4% 38% 51% — 11%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[241] May 2014 1,000 ± 3% 39% 47% — 14%

With Chambliss

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Saxby
Chambliss (R) 		Roy
Barnes (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 48% 40% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Saxby
Chambliss (R) 		John
Barrow (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 50% 37% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Saxby
Chambliss (R) 		Jason
Carter (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 52% 34% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Saxby
Chambliss (R) 		Max
Cleland (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 45% 45% — 10%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Saxby
Chambliss (R) 		Kasim
Reed (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 52% 37% — 11%

With Gingrey

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Gingrey (R) 		John
Barrow (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 42% 43% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Gingrey (R) 		Jason
Carter (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 43% 41% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Gingrey (R) 		Max
Cleland (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 41% 46% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Phil
Gingrey (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 41% 41% — 18%
Public Policy Polling[239] January 24–26, 2014 640 ± ?% 41% 45% — 14%
Public Policy Polling[240] March 5–6, 2014 580 ± ?% 40% 42% — 18%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[192] March 31, 2014 600 ± 4% 40.5% 37.6% — 21.9%
NBC News/Marist[80] April 30 – May 5, 2014 1,131 ± 2.9% 42% 44% 1% 13%
Saint Leo[193] May 5–6, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 36% 42% 7% 14%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[194] May 5–8, 2014 1,012 ± 4% 37% 52% — 10%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[195] May 2014 1,000 ± 3% 39% 45% — 16%

With Grayson

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Derrick
Grayson (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 36% 42% — 22%

With Handel

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Karen
Handel (R) 		John
Barrow (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 42% 43% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Karen
Handel (R) 		Jason
Carter (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 44% 40% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Karen
Handel (R) 		Max
Cleland (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 40% 47% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Karen
Handel (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 38% 40% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[239] January 24–26, 2014 640 ± ?% 40% 44% — 16%
Public Policy Polling[242] March 5–6, 2014 580 ± ?% 39% 43% — 18%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[192] March 31, 2014 600 ± 4% 37% 38.1% — 24.9%
NBC News/Marist[80] April 30 – May 5, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 39% 42% 1% 18%
Saint Leo[193] May 5–6, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 38% 39% 7% 15%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[194] May 5–8, 2014 1,012 ± 4% 41% 49% — 10%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[241] May 2014 1,000 ± 3% 41% 47% — 12%

With Kingston

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jack
Kingston (R) 		John
Barrow (D) 		Other Undecided
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 939 ± 3.2% 19% 17% — 64%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 43% 40% — 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jack
Kingston (R) 		Jason
Carter (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 45% 39% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jack
Kingston (R) 		Max
Cleland (D) 		Other Undecided
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 939 ± 3.2% 26% 39% — 35%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 43% 46% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Jack
Kingston (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 38% 40% — 21%
Public Policy Polling[239] January 24–26, 2014 640 ± ?% 42% 44% — 14%
Public Policy Polling[242] March 5–6, 2014 580 ± ?% 41% 44% — 15%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[192] March 31, 2014 600 ± 4% 37.7% 37% — 25.3%
NBC News/Marist[80] April 30 – May 5, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 43% 43% 1% 13%
Saint Leo[193] May 5–6, 2014 1,000 ± 3% 38% 39% 7% 15%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution[194] May 5–8, 2014 1,012 ± 4% 40% 50% — 10%
Landmark/Rosetta Stone[241] May 2014 1,000 ± 3% 44% 46% — 10%
Public Policy Polling[106] May 21–22, 2014 803 ± ?% 45% 45% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports[196] May 21–22, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 47% 3% 9%
SurveyUSA[108] June 3–5, 2014 999 ± 3.2% 43% 37% 6%[a] 13%
Landmark Communications[114] July 16, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 49% — 10%

With Price

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Price (R) 		Roy
Barnes (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 40% 46% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Price (R) 		John
Barrow (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 40% 38% — 21%
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 939 ± 3.2% 23% 18% — 59%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 43% 42% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Price (R) 		Jason
Carter (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 42% 36% — 22%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 44% 39% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Price (R) 		Max
Cleland (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 39% 47% — 14%
Harper Polling[61] February 11–12, 2013 939 ± 3.2% 27% 41% — 32%
Public Policy Polling[238] February 15–18, 2013 602 ± 4% 43% 44% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
Price (R) 		Kasim
Reed (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[88] November 30 – December 2, 2012 729 ± 3.6% 43% 38% — 18%

With Yu

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Eugene
Yu (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[191] August 2–4, 2013 520 ± 4.3% 35% 42% — 24%
Hypothetical runoff polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		David
Perdue (R) 		Michelle
Nunn (D) 		Other Undecided
CNN/ORC International[222] October 19–22, 2014 565 ± 4% 47% 51% — 2%
NBC News/Marist[230] October 26–30, 2014 603 LV ± 4% 49% 46% 1% 4%
875 RV ± 3.3% 48% 45% 1% 6%

Results

edit
United States Senate election in Georgia, 2014[243]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican David Perdue 1,358,088 52.89% +3.13%
Democratic Michelle Nunn 1,160,811 45.21% −1.62%
Libertarian Amanda Swafford 48,862 1.90% −1.51%
Total votes 2,567,761 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

edit

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

edit

See also

edit

Notes

edit
  1. ^ Amanda Swafford (L)

References

edit
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Official campaign websites (Archived)

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