Talk:Opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election

(Redirected from Talk:Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election)
Latest comment: 17 days ago by OldBryan in topic MRP polls

Graphical Summary

edit

Can we please use the template graphical summary instead of a separate file? It looks better and is much easier to edit. Open to discussion. IAmSeamonkey2 (talk) 05:21, 4 November 2022 (UTC)Reply

How does it look better? On the contrary, the fitted curves often make little sense. Here is just another example of it (for some reason almost all of the red dots are above the red line up to mid-2021). I think we should avoid the template as long as the curve fitting algorithm hasn't been fixed. Gbuvn (talk) 11:41, 4 November 2022 (UTC)Reply

I'll ensure the graphs updated at minimum, every month, but I'll try to update with every additional poll. LOESS fitted graphs tend to be clearer, more accurate and more aesthetic. I'd suggest keeping these. EnglishPoliticalPerson (talk) 01:17, 6 November 2022 (UTC)Reply

Highlighting leading party

edit

I'd like to suggest we highlight the leading party on each poll, this is done on pretty much every other polling chart. It makes it alot clearer who's in the lead and is a quick visual cue. It's mostly an aesthetic choice though, however I feel its will be a positive change. EnglishPoliticalPerson (talk) 01:22, 6 November 2022 (UTC)Reply

Prime minister candidate satisfaction charts

edit

Compare the charts provided and the tables of data. The colours are so off it's actually a bit embarrassing. Green, for don't know, at 50%, for Albanese?

 
What is up with these colours?
 
What about these?

Mabdi36plus (talk) 11:22, 23 May 2023 (UTC)Reply

Formatting

edit

Looking at the table of survey results on a smartphone and making sense of it is very very difficult. This is because of formatting.
1. Dates are in bold and don’t word wrap
2. Brand - again no word wrap.
etc etc
Why not make the table user friendly? Compare it, please, to the table for The Voice polling, which was arranged much more sensibly. Boscaswell talk 03:17, 6 November 2023 (UTC)Reply

I wrote the above many weeks ago, but as there’s been no indication that anyone has seen it, I’m pinging frequent contributors to the article. Idontunderstandthesandstormmeme, Devonian_Wombat, RedHat321, Wistherdisc, Anonpolseditor. Hope Ok. Please have a squidge at the Voice polling article here to see what I mean. Ta. Boscaswell talk 05:21, 15 December 2023 (UTC)Reply

Graphs

edit

Hey, how do you actually update the graphs to ensure they stay in line with the latest data? 2001:8003:F38B:EB01:A278:EE7C:11D:10B8 (talk) 07:24, 31 May 2024 (UTC)Reply

MRP polls

edit

Should we include MRP polls in Individual seat polling? Pollwatcher1234 (talk) 02:20, 18 July 2024 (UTC)Reply

No - MRPs should not be included. MRPs are multi-regression and post stratification models that use one or more, (typically) national polls to produce regional/localised polling estimates. But they can also be used to aggregate national polls over time. Including them in the output of actual national polls repeats the underlying data (which is also [hopefully] captured on the page).
Nonetheless, there may be an argument for having a separate table of MRPs for completeness. Or there may be logic to specifically flagging MRPs where they occur. OldBryan (talk) 23:18, 10 November 2024 (UTC)Reply

Add A Fact: "Labor and Coalition dead heat in poll"

edit

I found a fact that might belong in this article. See the quote below

Paul Smith, Director of Public Data, said, “Labor’s primary vote is down to 30%, nine points behind the Coalition at 39% which after preferences would produce a dead heat. Neither Labor nor the Coalition would be likely to receive a majority in the House of Representatives if an election was held today.”

The fact comes from the following source:

https://au.yougov.com/politics/articles/50566-50-50-dead-heat-in-latest-yougov-poll

Here is a wikitext snippet to use as a reference:

 {{Cite web |title=50- 50 dead heat in latest YouGov poll {{!}} YouGov |url=https://au.yougov.com/politics/articles/50566-50-50-dead-heat-in-latest-yougov-poll |website=au.yougov.com |access-date=2024-09-29 |language=en-au |quote=Paul Smith, Director of Public Data, said, “Labor’s primary vote is down to 30%, nine points behind the Coalition at 39% which after preferences would produce a dead heat. Neither Labor nor the Coalition would be likely to receive a majority in the House of Representatives if an election was held today.”}} 

Additional comments from user: Comes from September 20th

This post was generated using the Add A Fact browser extension.

Science412 (talk) 08:10, 29 September 2024 (UTC)Reply

Accent Research - 10 July to 27 August

edit

This is an MRP amalgamation of multiple RedBridge polls ([1]https://drive.google.com/file/d/18LOyQpccxj-Epa3s1mxj7H0qdTczEOV3/view?pli=1).

Note, the RedBridge Group poll from 20-27 August is not reported ([2]https://redbridgegroup.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/RedBridge-Political-Report-Aug.pdf). OldBryan (talk) 21:49, 10 November 2024 (UTC)Reply