2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
(Redirected from United States House of Representatives election in Montana, 2018)
The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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![]() County results Gianforte: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Williams: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Greg Gianforte, incumbent U.S. Representative[1]
Primary results
edit Gianforte—100%
Gianforte—>90%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Gianforte (incumbent) | 135,225 | 100 | |
Total votes | 135,225 | 100 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- John Heenan, attorney[2]
- Grant Kier, former executive director of the Five Valleys Land Trust[3]
- Jared Pettinato, attorney[4]
- Kathleen Williams, former state representative[5]
Withdrew
edit- Lynda Moss, former state senator (but remained on the ballot)[6][7]
Primary results
edit Williams—50–60%
Williams—40–50%
Williams—<40%
Heenan—<40%
Heenan—40–50%
Heenan—50–60%
Kier—<40%
Kier—40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathleen Williams | 37,158 | 33.5 | |
Democratic | John Heenan | 35,163 | 31.7 | |
Democratic | Grant Kier | 26,835 | 24.2 | |
Democratic | Lynda Moss (withdrawn) | 5,592 | 5.0 | |
Democratic | John Meyer | 3,695 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Jared Pettinato | 2,440 | 2.2 | |
Total votes | 110,883 | 100 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Elinor Swanson, attorney[9]
General election
editDebates
edit- Complete video of debate, September 29, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 6, 2018
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Endorsements
editGreg Gianforte (R)
Federal politicians
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States
Organizations
- Montana Shooting Sports Association[13]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[14]
Kathleen Williams (D)
Federal politicians
- Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (D-MT)[15]
Newspapers
Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees District 11[19]
- Montana AFL-CIO[20]
- Montana Sportsmen Alliance[21]
- Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters[22]
Organizations
Polling
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Kathleen Williams (D) |
Elinor Swanson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[31] | November 2–4, 2018 | 879 | – | 52% | 44% | 2% | – | – |
Gravis Marketing[32] | October 24–26, 2018 | 782 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | – | – | 3% |
University of Montana[33] | October 10–18, 2018 | 533 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 46% | 2% | – | 7% |
Montana State University Billings[34] | October 8–13, 2018 | 471 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 41% | 3% | – | 12% |
Montana State University Bozeman[35] | September 15 – October 6, 2018 | 2,079 | ± 2.2% | 48% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
Gravis Marketing[36] | September 19–22, 2018 | 710 | ± 3.7% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 8% |
AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D)[37] | September 6–16, 2018 | 950 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 7% |
University of Montana[38] | August 13–31, 2018 | 466 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 51% | 3% | – | 8% |
Gravis Marketing[39] | June 11–13, 2018 | 469 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 8% |
Results
editGianforte defeated Kathleen Williams on November 6, 2018.[40]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Gianforte (incumbent) | 256,661 | 50.88% | +0.93% | |
Democratic | Kathleen Williams | 233,284 | 46.25% | +1.88% | |
Libertarian | Elinor Swanson | 14,476 | 2.87% | −2.81% | |
Total votes | 504,421 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ Michels, Holly K. (June 5, 2017). "Greg Gianforte files for re-election, extension for court appearance expected". Missoulian. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
- ^ Michels, Holly K. (August 7, 2017). "Democratic Billings lawyer, business owner says he's running for Greg Gianforte's seat". Independent Record. Retrieved August 7, 2017.
- ^ Michels, Holly K. (September 12, 2017). "Democrat jumps into primary for U.S. House race". Independent Record. Retrieved September 13, 2017.
- ^ Drake, Phil (October 30, 2017). "Pettinato enters race for lone congressional seat". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved October 30, 2017.
- ^ Michels, Holly K. (October 26, 2017). "Former Bozeman legislator joins Democratic primary for Montana's U.S. House seat". Independent Record. Retrieved October 26, 2017.
- ^ "Moss Drops Out of Race for Montana's US House Seat - Flathead Beacon". Flathead Beacon. April 19, 2018. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
- ^ Gazette, Billings. "Billings Democrat drops out of Montana House race, but will still be on the ballot". missoulian.com. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
- ^ Almukhtar, Sarah; Bloch, Matthew; Lee, Jasmine C. (June 5, 2018). "Montana Primary Election Results". The New York Times.
- ^ Ambarlan, Jonathon (February 27, 2018). "Billings lawyer enters Montana U.S. House race as Libertarian candidate". KTVH. Archived from the original on July 7, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
- ^ "2018 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. July 10, 2018.
- ^ "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
- ^ Christian, Peter (August 30, 2018). "MONTANA GUN GROUP GRADES AND ENDORSES POLITICAL CANDIDATES". NewsTalkKGVO.com. Archived from the original on August 30, 2018.
- ^ Drake, Phil (September 12, 2018). "NRA endorses Gianforte and Rosendale, targets Tester". Great Falls Tribune. Archived from the original on September 22, 2018.
GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte said Wednesday he also was endorsed by the NRA Political Victory Fund.
- ^ Michels, Holly (July 13, 2018). "Tester, Williams head to Great Falls to rally Montana Democrats for fall elections". Helena Independent Record.
- ^ "Gazette Opinion: Restore Civility, Elect Williams to U.S. House". Billings Gazette. October 16, 2018.
- ^ "Williams the moderate Montana needs". The Bozeman Daily Chronicle. October 12, 2018.
- ^ "Williams is by far the better candidate for US House". Missoulian. October 21, 2018.
- ^ Swanke, Gerald (August 6, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE Endorses Montana's Kathleen Williams for Congress". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees.
- ^ Harris, Tammy. "2018 Endorsements | Montana AFL-CIO". Montana AFL-CIO.
- ^ Perry, Joe (July 12, 2018). "Montana Sportsmen Alliance PAC: Montana Sportsmen Alliance Endorses Kathleen Williams". montanasportsmenalliance.blogspot.com/. Montana Sportsmen Alliance.
- ^ "@williamsformt will stand up for firefighters and we stand behind her". www.facebook.com. Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters. July 18, 2018.
- ^ Stephanie Schriock (June 28, 2018). "Emily's List Endorses Kathleen Williams for Montana's At-Large Congressional District". Emily's List.
- ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
- ^ Giffords, Gabrielle (July 25, 2018). "Giffords Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress in Montana - Giffords". Giffords.
- ^ Sittenfeld, Tiernan; Potts, Rick (September 14, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
- ^ Tyler, Dave (June 20, 2018). "Montana Conservation Voters Endorses Kathleen Williams for U.S. House of Representatives". mtvoters.org.
- ^ Richtman, Max (August 1, 2018). "Letter of Endorsement for Kathleen Williams - NCPSSM". www.ncpssm.org. NCPSSM-PAC.
- ^ "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women PAC. August 23, 2017. Archived from the original on April 26, 2019. Retrieved August 19, 2018.
- ^ "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Archived from the original on November 10, 2018. Retrieved September 16, 2018.
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ University of Montana
- ^ Montana State University Billings
- ^ Montana State University Bozeman
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D)
- ^ University of Montana
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ "House Races Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ". FOX News]. November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 11, 2018.
- ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
External links
edit- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites