2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 United States presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 8 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The primaries were held on August 4.[1]
Overview
editDistrict | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 59,940 | 18.96% | 249,087 | 78.78% | 7,144 | 2.26% | 316,171 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 233,157 | 51.89% | 204,540 | 45.52% | 11,651 | 2.59% | 449,348 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 282,866 | 69.44% | 116,095 | 28.50% | 8,387 | 2.06% | 407,348 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 245,247 | 67.59% | 107,635 | 29.66% | 9,954 | 2.74% | 362,836 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 135,934 | 38.57% | 207,180 | 58.79% | 9,316 | 2.64% | 352,430 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
District 6 | 258,709 | 67.06% | 118,926 | 30.83% | 8,144 | 2.11% | 385,779 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 254,318 | 68.87% | 98,111 | 26.57% | 16,854 | 4.56% | 369,283 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 8 | 253,811 | 76.86% | 70,561 | 21.37% | 5,854 | 1.77% | 330,226 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
Total | 1,723,982 | 57.98% | 1,172,135 | 39.42% | 77,304 | 2.60% | 2,973,421 | 100.0% |
District 1
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The 1st district is of the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Lacy Clay, who was re-elected with 80.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Katherine Bruckner, candidate for MO-91 in 2008[3]
- Cori Bush, civil rights activist, candidate for Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[4]
- Lacy Clay, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
editFederal officials
- Nancy Pelosi, U.S. representative from California's 12th congressional district and House Speaker[5]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California[6]
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and Media
U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont[13]
State officials
- Bruce Franks Jr., former state representative (2016–2019)[14]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[15]
- Democratic Socialists of America[16]
- Justice Democrats[17]
- National Women's Political Caucus[18]
- Our Revolution-Missouri Chapter[19]
- Sierra Club[10]
- Sunrise Movement STL[19]
Individuals
- Jamaal Bowman, middle school principal and 2020 Democratic nominee in NY-16[20]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Katherine Bruckner |
Cori Bush |
Lacy Clay |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress[21][A] | August 1–3, 2020 | 250 (LV) | – | 7% | 42% | 42% | 9% |
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cori Bush | 73,274 | 48.5 | |
Democratic | Lacy Clay (incumbent) | 68,887 | 45.6 | |
Democratic | Katherine Bruckner | 8,850 | 5.9 | |
Total votes | 151,011 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Anthony Rogers | 6,979 | 61.5 | |
Republican | Winnie Heartstrong | 4,367 | 38.5 | |
Total votes | 11,346 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Alex Furman, Vice President of the St. Louis chapter of the far-right neo-fascist organization Proud Boys[24][25]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Alex Furman | 337 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 337 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Cori Bush (D) |
Anthony Rodgers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 152 (LV) | – | 61% | 26% | 7% | 7% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cori Bush | 249,087 | 78.8 | |
Republican | Anthony Rogers | 59,940 | 19.0 | |
Libertarian | Alex Furman | 6,766 | 2.1 | |
Independent | Martin Baker (write-in) | 378 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 316,171 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
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The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 63,686 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 63,686 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Jill Schupp, state senator[35]
Declined
edit- Becky Morgan, leader of the Missouri chapter of Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America[36]
- Cort VanOstran, attorney and nominee for Missouri's 2nd congressional district in 2018[37]
Endorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[38]
U.S. vice presidents
- Joe Biden, 47th vice president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[39]
Newspapers
Organizations
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jill Schupp | 103,164 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 103,164 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Martin Schulte[47]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Martin Schulte | 737 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 737 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Tossup | August 6, 2020 |
Inside Elections[48] | Tilt D (flip) | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[49] | Tossup | October 11, 2020 |
Daily Kos[50] | Tossup | August 31, 2020 |
RCP[51] | Tossup | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Lean D (flip) | June 7, 2020 |
538[52] | Lean R | October 30, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ann Wagner (R) |
Jill Schupp (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research[53] | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 46% | 5%[b] | 2% |
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 115 (LV) | – | 42% | 51% | 3% | 4% |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[54] | September 10–14, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 49% | <1% | 2% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[55][B] | August 13–14, 2020 | 925 (V) | – | 42% | 45% | – | 14% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout[56] | February 19–20, 2020 | 1,360 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Normington, Petts & Associates (D)[57] | September 10–14, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ann Wagner (incumbent) | 233,157 | 51.9 | |
Democratic | Jill Schupp | 204,540 | 45.5 | |
Libertarian | Martin Schulte | 11,647 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 4 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 449,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
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The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Adela Wisdom, anti-prohibition activist[58]
- Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Jeffrey Nowak, former marine[58]
- Lynette Trares, Missouri State Department of Health and Senior Services employee[58]
- Brandon Wilkinson, truck driver[58][59]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 80,627 | 74.8 | |
Republican | Brandon Wilkinson | 15,901 | 14.8 | |
Republican | Lynette Trares | 4,197 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Jeffrey Nowak | 3,517 | 3.3 | |
Republican | Adela Wisdom | 3,485 | 3.2 | |
Total votes | 107,727 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Dennis Oglesby, chairman of Warren County Democrats[60]
- Megan Rezabek, maintenance worker[61]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Megan Rezabek | 27,826 | 66.8 | |
Democratic | Dennis Oglesby | 13,801 | 33.2 | |
Total votes | 41,627 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Leonard J. Steinman II, perennial candidate[62]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Leonard J. Steinman II | 627 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 627 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) |
Megan Rezabek (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 106 (LV) | – | 64% | 29% | 1% | 6% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Blaine Luetkemeyer (incumbent) | 282,866 | 69.4 | |
Democratic | Megan Rezabek | 116,095 | 28.5 | |
Libertarian | Leonard J. Steinman II | 8,344 | 2.1 | |
Write-in | 43 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 407,348 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
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The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 64.8% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Neal Gist, software engineer[63]
- Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 80,652 | 76.6 | |
Republican | Neal Gist | 24,646 | 23.4 | |
Total votes | 105,298 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Lindsey Simmons, attorney[64]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lindsey Simmons | 38,339 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 38,339 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Steven K. Koonse, retiree and Libertarian candidate for Missouri's 4th congressional district in 2018[65]
- Robert Smith, small business owner[65]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Steven K. Koonse | 357 | 53.0 | |
Libertarian | Robert E. Smith | 316 | 47.0 | |
Total votes | 673 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPolls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Vicky Hartzler (R) |
Lindsey Simmons (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 92 (LV) | – | 53% | 37% | 6% | 5% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vicky Hartzler (incumbent) | 245,247 | 67.6 | |
Democratic | Lindsey Simmons | 107,635 | 29.7 | |
Libertarian | Steven K. Koonse | 9,954 | 2.7 | |
Total votes | 362,836 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
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The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 61.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Maite Salazar, progressive activist[66]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 75,040 | 85.3 | |
Democratic | Maite Salazar | 12,923 | 14.7 | |
Total votes | 87,963 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Jerry Barham, gas station owner[67][68]
- Clay Chastain, transportation activist[67][69]
- Ryan Derks, investment manager[70]
- R.H. Hess, ICWA child custody law advocate and deacon[67][71]
- Richonda Oaks, analyst and dominionist[67][72]
- Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward, beekeeper[67][73]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ryan Derks | 13,832 | 34.0 | |
Republican | Jerry W. Barham | 12,880 | 31.7 | |
Republican | Clay Chastain | 7,519 | 18.5 | |
Republican | Weldon "Wilbur" Woodward | 2,381 | 5.8 | |
Republican | R.H. Hess | 2,207 | 5.4 | |
Republican | Richonda Oaks | 1,872 | 4.6 | |
Total votes | 40,691 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Robin Dominick[74]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Robin Dominick | 542 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 542 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Emmanuel Cleaver (D) |
Ryan Derks (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 135 (LV) | – | 59% | 26% | 1% | 7% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Emanuel Cleaver (incumbent) | 207,180 | 58.8 | |
Republican | Ryan Derks | 135,934 | 38.6 | |
Libertarian | Robin Dominick | 9,272 | 2.6 | |
Write-in | 44 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 352,430 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 6
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The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 65.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative
- Chris Ryan, perennial candidate[75]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 81,584 | 79.7 | |
Republican | Chris Ryan | 20,826 | 20.3 | |
Total votes | 102,410 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Henry Martin, U.S. Army veteran[75]
- Gena L. Ross, college professor[75]
- Donald Robert Sartain[75]
- Charles West, Clark County school board member[75]
- Ramona Farris, consultant[75]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gena L. Ross | 14,503 | 32.8 | |
Democratic | Ramona Farris | 11,882 | 26.9 | |
Democratic | Henry Martin | 9,393 | 21.3 | |
Democratic | Charles West | 6,951 | 15.7 | |
Democratic | Donald Robert Sartain | 1,447 | 3.3 | |
Total votes | 44,176 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Jim Higgins, former vice chairman of the Missouri Libertarian Party[76]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 431 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 431 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPolls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Sam Graves (R) |
Gena Ross (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 98 (LV) | – | 58% | 36% | 1% | 6% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sam Graves (incumbent) | 258,709 | 67.1 | |
Democratic | Gena Ross | 118,926 | 30.8 | |
Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 8,144 | 2.1 | |
Total votes | 385,779 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
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The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent is Republican Billy Long, who was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Steve Chetnik, manufacturing worker[77][78]
- Eric Harleman, businessman[77]
- Camille Lombardi-Olive, perennial candidate[77]
- Billy Long, incumbent U.S. representative[77]
- Kevin VanStory, real estate broker[77]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 69,407 | 66.1 | |
Republican | Eric Harleman | 11,696 | 11.1 | |
Republican | Kevin VanStory | 10,486 | 10.0 | |
Republican | Steve Chetnik | 7,407 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Camille Lombardi-Olive | 5,969 | 5.7 | |
Total votes | 104,965 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Teresa Montseny | 30,568 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 30,568 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Kevin Craig[80]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Kevin Craig | 508 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 508 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Billy Long (R) |
Teresa Montseny (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 142 (LV) | – | 57% | 32% | 2% | 10% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Billy Long (incumbent) | 254,318 | 68.9 | |
Democratic | Teresa Montseny | 98,111 | 26.6 | |
Libertarian | Kevin Craig | 15,573 | 4.2 | |
Independent | Audrey Richards (write-in) | 1,279 | 0.3 | |
Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
Total votes | 369,283 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 8
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The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 73.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 114,074 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 114,074 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Kathy Ellis, social worker and nominee for Missouri's 8th congressional district in 2018[81]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathryn Ellis | 20,354 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 20,354 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Tom Schmitz[82]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Tom Schmitz | 265 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 265 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[29] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[30] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[31] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[32] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPolls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jason Smith (R) |
Kathy Ellis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov[33] | September 24 – October 7, 2020 | 96 (LV) | – | 72% | 22% | 5% | 2% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Smith (incumbent) | 253,811 | 76.9 | |
Democratic | Kathy Ellis | 70,561 | 21.4 | |
Libertarian | Tom Schmitz | 5,854 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 330,226 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
Notes
editPartisan clients
References
edit- ^ "United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2020". Ballotpedia.
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External links
edit- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Missouri", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Missouri: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Missouri". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Missouri at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Cori Bush (D) for Congress
- Alex Furman (L) for Congress
- Anthony Rogers (R) for Congress Archived May 28, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Martin Schulte (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Jill Schupp (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Ann Wagner (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Vicky Hartzler (R) for Congress Archived May 6, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
- Lindsey Simmons (D) for Congress Archived August 6, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Emanuel Cleaver (D) for Congress
- Ryan Derks (R) for Congress
- Robin Dominick (L) for Congress Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Sam Graves (R) for Congress
- Gena L. Ross (D) for Congress Archived August 6, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Kevin Craig (L) for Congress
- Billy Long (R) for Congress Archived March 8, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Teresa Montseny (D) for Congress Archived July 9, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Kathy Ellis (D) for Congress
- Tom Schmitz (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Jason Smith (R) for Congress