2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on June 26 and runoff elections were held two months later on August 28.[1] The state's U.S. House delegation Republican majority changed from 5–0 to 4–1. As of 2023 this is the only time since 2010 that Democrats won any house race in Oklahoma.
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All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results summary
editStatewide
editDistrict
editResults of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:[2]
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 150,129 | 59.30% | 103,042 | 40.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,171 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 140,451 | 65.02% | 65,021 | 30.10% | 10,530 | 4.87% | 216,002 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 172,913 | 73.87% | 61,152 | 26.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 234,065 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 149,227 | 63.06% | 78,088 | 33.00% | 9,323 | 3.94% | 236,638 | 100.00% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 117,811 | 49.30% | 121,149 | 50.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 238,960 | 100.00% | Democratic gain |
Total | 730,531 | 61.97% | 428,452 | 36.35% | 19,853 | 1.68% | 1,178,836 | 100.00% |
District 1
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Precinct and county-level results | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and includes Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. Incumbent Republican Jim Bridenstine, who had represented the district since 2013, resigned on April 23 to become NASA Administrator. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.
Republican primary
editDuring his initial election in 2012, Bridenstine self-imposed a three term limit. Bridenstine confirmed that he will honor his term-limit pledge.[3]
Bridenstine became Administrator of NASA in the Donald Trump administration, and resigned on April 23.[4]
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Kevin Hern, businessman
Eliminated in primary
edit- Andy Coleman, veteran
- Nathan Dahm, state senator
- Tim Harris, former Tulsa County District Attorney[5]
- Danny Stockstill
Declined
edit- Dewey F. Bartlett Jr., former Mayor of Tulsa[5]
- John D. Doak, Oklahoma Insurance Commissioner[5]
- Dan Newberry, state senator[5]
- Everett Piper, Oklahoma Wesleyan University President[5]
- Scott Pruitt, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, former State Attorney General and candidate for this seat in 2002[5][6]
- T.W. Shannon, former Speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives[5]
Endorsements
editOrganizations
Organizations
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tim Harris | 28,392 | 27.5 | |
Republican | Kevin Hern | 23,425 | 22.7 | |
Republican | Andy Coleman | 22,584 | 21.9 | |
Republican | Nathan Dahm | 20,843 | 20.2 | |
Republican | Danny Stockstill | 8,086 | 7.8 | |
Total votes | 103,330 | 100.0 |
Runoff
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Harris |
Kevin Hern |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[10] | July 24–29, 2018 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Hern | 40,373 | 54.9 | |
Republican | Tim Harris | 33,138 | 45.1 | |
Total votes | 73,511 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Tim Gilpin, attorney, and former Oklahoma State Board of Education member[11]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Amanda Douglas, business analyst, energy consultant and member of the Cherokee Nation[12]
- Gwendolyn Fields
- Mark Keeter
- David Hullum
Declined
edit- Kathy Taylor, former Mayor of Tulsa[5]
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tim Gilpin | 24,532 | 34.5 | |
Democratic | Amanda Douglas | 23,045 | 32.4 | |
Democratic | Gwendolyn Fields | 13,947 | 19.6 | |
Democratic | Mark Keeter | 6,013 | 8.5 | |
Democratic | David Hullum | 3,573 | 5.0 | |
Total votes | 71,110 | 100.0 |
Runoff results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tim Gilpin | 16,985 | 59.4 | |
Democratic | Amanda Douglas | 11,620 | 40.6 | |
Total votes | 28,605 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kevin Hern (R) |
Tim Gilpin (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[13] | September 15–25, 2018 | 306 | ± 5.6% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Hern | 150,129 | 59.3 | |
Democratic | Tim Gilpin | 103,042 | 40.7 | |
Total votes | 253,171 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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Precinct and county-level results | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in the regions of Green Country and Kiamichi Country and includes the city of Muskogee and numerous sparsely populated counties. The incumbent is Republican Markwayne Mullin, who has represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016.
Republican primary
editMullin had pledged to serve only three terms when he was first elected in 2012. During the 2016 campaign, Mullin stated he was reassessing his pledge, and refused to rule out running again in 2018.[22]
Candidates
editNominee
edit- Markwayne Mullin, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Brian Jackson
- Jarrin Jackson, veteran, conservative activist and candidate for the seat in 2016[23]
- John McCarthy
Declined
edit- Josh Brecheen, state senator[5]
- George Faught, state representative[5]
- Todd Hiett, Oklahoma Corporation Commissioner[5]
- Charles McCall, state representative[5]
Endorsements
editU.S. Senators
- Tom Coburn, former U.S. Senator (R-OK)[24]
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) | 32,624 | 54.1 | |
Republican | Jarrin Jackson | 15,191 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Brian Jackson | 6,899 | 11.5 | |
Republican | John McCarthy | 5,536 | 9.2 | |
Total votes | 60,250 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jason Nichols, Mayor of Tahlequah
Eliminated in primary
edit- Elijah McIntosh
- Clay Padgett, retired army lieutenant colonel and public educator
Declined
edit- Bill John Baker, Principal Chief of the Cherokee Nation[5]
- Sean Burrage, Southeastern Oklahoma State University President [5]
- Kalyn Free, former District Attorney for Haskell & Pittsburg counties and candidate for this seat in 2004[5]
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jason Nichols | 32,549 | 37.9 | |
Democratic | Clay Padgett | 20,796 | 24.2 | |
Democratic | Elijah McIntosh | 16,343 | 19.0 | |
Democratic | Virginia Jenner | 16,204 | 18.9 | |
Total votes | 85,892 | 100.0 |
Runoff results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jason Nichols | 19,548 | 56.8 | |
Democratic | Clay Padgett | 14,845 | 43.2 | |
Total votes | 34,393 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Markwayne Mullin (R) |
Jason Nichols (D) |
Richard Castaldo (L) |
John Foreman (I) |
Undecided |
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SoonerPoll[25] | September 15–25, 2018 | 306 | ± 5.6% | 46% | 32% | 4% | 6% | 12% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) | 140,451 | 65.0 | |
Democratic | Jason Nichols | 65,021 | 30.1 | |
Independent | John Foreman | 6,390 | 3.0 | |
Libertarian | Richard Castaldo | 4,140 | 1.9 | |
Total votes | 216,002 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
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Precinct and county-level results | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in Western Oklahoma. The largest district in Oklahoma and one of the largest in the country, it includes the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City and the city of Stillwater as well as the Osage Nation. Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas, who had represented the district since 2003 and previously represented the 6th district from 1994 to 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+27.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Frank Lucas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Frankie Robbins, engineer
Eliminated in primary
edit- Murray Thibodeaux
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 38,733 | 64.8 | |
Democratic | Murray Thibodeaux | 20,998 | 35.2 | |
Total votes | 59,731 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Lucas (R) |
Frankie Robbins (D) |
Undecided |
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SoonerPoll[26] | September 15–25, 2018 | 267 | ± 6.0% | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Frank Lucas (incumbent) | 172,913 | 73.9 | |
Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 61,152 | 26.1 | |
Total votes | 234,065 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
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Precinct and county-level results | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in South Central Oklahoma and includes the suburbs of Oklahoma City, such as the counties of Canadian, Comanche and Cleveland and numerous other sparsely populated counties. Incumbent Republican Tom Cole, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of R+20.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- James Taylor
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Cole (incumbent) | 55,891 | 64.7 | |
Republican | James Taylor | 30,441 | 35.3 | |
Total votes | 86,332 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Mary Brannon, teacher
Eliminated in primary
edit- Fred Gipson, former Chief Counsel to the University of Oklahoma
- Roxann Klutts
- Mallory Varner
Withdrawn
edit- John McKenna
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Brannon | 25,736 | 34.4 | |
Democratic | Fred Gipson | 22,744 | 30.4 | |
Democratic | Mallory Varner | 13,938 | 18.6 | |
Democratic | Roxann Klutts | 12,482 | 16.7 | |
Total votes | 74,900 | 100.0 |
Runoff results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Brannon | 15,245 | 57.5 | |
Democratic | Fred Gipson | 11,264 | 42.5 | |
Total votes | 26,509 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Cole (R) |
Mary Brannon (D) |
Rudy Peters (I) |
Undecided |
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SoonerPoll[26] | September 15–25, 2018 | 291 | ± 5.74% | 58% | 25% | 6% | 11% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Cole (incumbent) | 149,227 | 63.1 | |
Democratic | Mary Brannon | 78,088 | 33.0 | |
Independent | Ruby Peters | 9,323 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 236,638 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
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Precinct and county-level results Horn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Russell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% ≥90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district is located in Central Oklahoma and centered around the state capital, Oklahoma City, and the surrounding areas such as Edmond and Shawnee. Incumbent Republican Steve Russell, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+10. Democrat Kendra Horn won by a margin of under 1% in what was considered an upset.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Steve Russell, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Gregory Dunson
- DeJuan Edwards
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Steve Russell (incumbent) | 65,982 | 83.6 | |
Republican | Gregory Dunson | 7,638 | 9.7 | |
Republican | DeJuan Edwards | 5,284 | 6.7 | |
Total votes | 78,904 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kendra Horn, attorney and communication technology firm strategic consultant[27]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Elysabeth Britt, human resources professional
- Tom Guild, former tenured professor at the University of Central Oklahoma, nominee for the seat in 2010 & 2012 and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Leona Kelley-Leonard, chair of the Seminole County Democratic Party and candidate for this seat in 2014 & 2016
- Tyson Meade, singer and songwriter
- Eddie Porter, retired state planner for the Oklahoma Department of Human Services
Declined
edit- Al McAffrey, state senator and nominee for this seat in 2014 & 2016
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kendra Horn | 34,857 | 43.8 | |
Democratic | Tom Guild | 14,242 | 17.9 | |
Democratic | Elysabeth Britt | 10,739 | 13.5 | |
Democratic | Eddie Porter | 8,447 | 10.6 | |
Democratic | Leona Kelley-Leonard | 6,693 | 8.4 | |
Democratic | Tyson Meade | 4,527 | 5.7 | |
Total votes | 79,505 | 100.0 |
Runoff results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kendra Horn | 22,052 | 75.8 | |
Democratic | Tom Guild | 7,039 | 24.2 | |
Total votes | 29,091 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Russell (R) |
Kendra Horn (D) |
Undecided |
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SoonerPoll[28] | October 29, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.66% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[29] | October 14–15, 2018 | 974 | ± 3.14% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[30] | September 24–25, 2018 | 1,407 | ± 2.61% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
SoonerPoll[26] | September 15–25, 2018 | 303 | ± 5.63% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)[31] | September 4–6, 2018 | 1,182 | ± 2.85% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[14] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[17] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[18] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
538[19] | Likely R | November 7, 2018 |
CNN[20] | Safe R | October 31, 2018 |
Politico[21] | Likely R | November 2, 2018 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Kendra Horn | 121,149 | 50.7 | |
Republican | Steve Russell (incumbent) | 117,811 | 49.3 | |
Total votes | 238,960 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
References
edit- ^ "Oklahoma Elections — 2018". Oklahoma State Election Board. The State of Oklahoma. Retrieved August 20, 2018.
- ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
- ^ Krehbiel, Randy (November 10, 2015). "Congressman Jim Bridenstine says third term would be his last". Tulsa World. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
- ^ Davenport, Christian (November 11, 2016). "GOP congressman being considered for NASA administrator in Trump administration". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Casteel, Chris (October 17, 2016). "After ho-hum year for state political contests, 2018 will be 'transformational'". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
- ^ Thompson, Nathan (October 18, 2016). "Oklahoma AG Pruitt not considering run for Congress". Bartlesville Examiner-Enterprise. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
- ^ "Please Vote Tomorrow for Nathan Dahm for U.S. House of Representatives!". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. June 25, 2018. Archived from the original on August 4, 2023. Retrieved August 4, 2023.
The NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) has endorsed Nathan Dahm for U.S. House of Representatives in the June 26, 2018
- ^ Jamison Faught (June 18, 2018). "Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Nathan Dahm". muskogeepolitico.com. Muskogee Politico. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ Jamison Faught (May 2, 2018). "Hern endorsed by Republican Main Street Partnership". muskogeepolitico.com. Muskogee Politico. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ "TIM". Retrieved September 12, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Amanda Douglas is the latest candidate for Native Vote18 in Oklahoma - IndianCountryToday.com". Retrieved September 12, 2018.
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ a b c d e "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b c d e Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e "CNN's 2018 Race Ratings". cnn.com. Turner Broadcasting System. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 30, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e "Who wins 2018? Predictions for Every House & Senate Election". POLITICO. Retrieved September 7, 2018.
- ^ Casteel, Chris (March 30, 2016). "Oklahoma Congressman Mullin may reassess term limits pledge". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
- ^ "JACKSON, JARRIN DALE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved September 12, 2018.
- ^ "Coburn will work to oust Mullin after congressman breaks term limit pledge". July 8, 2017. Retrieved September 12, 2018.
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ a b c SoonerPoll
- ^ McGuigan, Patrick B. "At Oklahoma City event, Kendra Horn launches campaign for Democratic nomination in the Fifth Congressional District". Capitol Beat OK. Archived from the original on April 8, 2020. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)
- ^ VCreek/AMG (R-Russell)
- ^ "Official Results - General Election — November 6, 2018" (PDF). Oklahoma Secretary of State. November 6, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
External links
edit- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites for first district candidates
- Tim Gilpin (D) for Congress Archived 2018-05-02 at the Wayback Machine
- Kevin Hern (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for second district candidates
- Markwayne Mullin (R) for Congress
- Jason Nichols (D) for Congress Archived September 7, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for third district candidates
Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates
Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates
- Steve Russell (R) for Congress
- Kendra Horn (D) for Congress Archived 2019-12-02 at the Wayback Machine