2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut
(Redirected from United States Senate election in Connecticut, 2022)
The 2022 United States Senate election in Connecticut was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Connecticut.
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| Turnout | 51.03%  | |||||||||||||||||||
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Blumenthal: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Levy: 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democrat Richard Blumenthal was first elected to this seat in 2010 with 55.2% of the vote over Republican Linda McMahon. He was then re-elected in 2016 with 63.2% of the vote over Republican Dan Carter. Blumenthal ran for reelection to a third term in office and secured the 2022 nomination. Businesswoman Leora Levy won the Republican primary on August 9, 2022. Blumenthal won reelection, defeating Levy by about 15 points.[1] The race took place simultaneously with the 2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
Democratic convention
editCandidates
editNominated at convention
edit- Richard Blumenthal, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Endorsements
editRichard Blumenthal
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Leora Levy, businesswoman, Republican National Committee member, and former nominee for U.S. Ambassador to Chile[12]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Themis Klarides, former Minority Leader of the Connecticut House of Representatives[13][14]
- Peter Lumaj, attorney and perennial candidate[15]
Eliminated at convention
edit- Nicholas Connors[16][17]
- John Flynn, candidate for the Connecticut House of Representatives in 2018 and 2020[18][17]
- Robert F. Hyde, lobbyist and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[19][20][17]
Declined
edit- Dan Carter, former state representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[21]
- Bob Stefanowski, businessman and nominee for governor in 2018[22] (ran for governor)
- Joe Visconti, former West Hartford town councilor and nominee for Connecticut's 1st congressional district in 2008[23]
Endorsements
editThemis Klarides
Governors
- Charlie Baker, 72nd governor of Massachusetts (2015–)[24]
- Chris Christie, 55th governor of New Jersey (2010–2018)[24]
- Larry Hogan, 62nd governor of Maryland (2015–)[25]
Local officials
- Erin Stewart, mayor of New Britain (2013–)[26]
Organizations
Leora Levy
Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[28]
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[29]
U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–)[30]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–)[30]
- Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011–)[30]
- Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–)[30]
U.S. House of Representatives
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. House Representative from Washington (2005–)[30]
- Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. House Representative from Pennsylvania (2019–)[30]
- María Elvira Salazar, U.S. House Representative from Florida (2021–)[30]
- Mike Turner, U.S. House Representative from Ohio (2003–)[30]
Individuals
- Richard Grenell, former diplomat and former Director of National Intelligence[30]
- Linda McMahon, former Administrator of the Small Business Administration[30]
Organizations
Results
edit
Results by county
Results by municipality
Levy
- 30-40%
- 40-50%
- 50-60%
- 60-70%
Klarides
- 40-50%
- 50-60%
- 60-70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Leora Levy | 46,774 | 50.60% | |
| Republican | Themis Klarides | 37,003 | 40.03% | |
| Republican | Peter Lumaj | 8,665 | 9.37% | |
| Total votes | 92,442 | 100.0% | ||
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[33] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Safe D | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[35] | Likely D | August 12, 2022 |
| RCP[36] | Lean D | October 15, 2022 |
| Fox News[37] | Likely D | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[38] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[39] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[40] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
editRichard Blumenthal (D)
Leora Levy (R)
Executive branch officials
- John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)[43]
- Richard Grenell, Director of National Intelligence (2020)[30]
- Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)[44]
- Linda McMahon, Administrator of the Small Business Administration (2017–2019)[30]
- Mike Pompeo, United States Secretary of State (2018–2021)[45]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[28]
U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–)[30]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–)[30]
- Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011–2023)[30]
- Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–)[30]
U.S. Representatives
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. House Representative from Washington (2005–)[30]
- Guy Reschenthaler, U.S. House Representative from Pennsylvania (2019–)[30]
- María Elvira Salazar, U.S. House Representative from Florida (2021–)[30]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district(2015–present)[46]
- Mike Turner, U.S. House Representative from Ohio (2003–)[30]
Organizations
Newspapers
Polling
editAggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Leora Levy (R) |
Other [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[48] | October 10–23, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 52.7% | 41.7% | 5.6% | Blumenthal +11.0 |
| FiveThirtyEight[49] | September 15 – October 19, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 53.4% | 40.9% | 5.7% | Blumenthal +12.4 |
| 270towin[50] | September 7–21, 2022 | October 30, 2022 | 52.7% | 41.7% | 5.6% | Blumenthal +11.0 |
| Average | 52.9% | 41.4% | 5.7% | Blumenthal +11.5 | ||
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Leora Levy (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Island University[51] | October 24–26, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 26% | 9%[c] | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[52] | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,879 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 56% | 41% | 1%[d] | 2% |
| Emerson College[53] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 2%[e] | 5% |
| 54% | 42% | 4%[f] | – | ||||
| Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)[54][A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Western New England University[55] | September 15–21, 2022 | 766 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 37% | 2%[g] | 10% |
| 626 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 53% | 40% | 2%[h] | 5% | ||
| Quinnipiac University[52] | September 15–19, 2022 | 1,911 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 57% | 40% | 1%[i] | 3% |
| Emerson College[56] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | – | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 33% | – | 22% |
| Emerson College[56] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | – | 11% |
Hypothetical polling
Richard Blumenthal vs. Themis Klarides
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Themis Klarides (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
| Emerson College[56] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Richard Blumenthal vs. Peter Lumaj
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Peter Lumaj (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[56] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Richard Blumenthal vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Richard Blumenthal (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[57] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizo Lee (R)[58][A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 1,200 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 1%[j] | 11% |
Debates
edit| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Richard Blumenthal | Leora Levy | |||||
| 1 | Nov. 2, 2022 | Channel 3, CT Insider | [59] | P | P | |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Richard Blumenthal | 701,175 | 55.65% | −2.03% | |
| Working Families | Richard Blumenthal | 22,689 | 1.80% | −3.71% | |
| Total | Richard Blumenthal (incumbent) | 723,864 | 57.45% | -5.74% | |
| Republican | Leora Levy | 535,943 | 42.54% | +7.92% | |
| Write-in | 80 | 0.00% | ±0.0% | ||
| Total votes | 1,259,887 | 100.00% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Litchfield (largest city: Torrington)
- Windham (largest town: Windham)
By congressional district
editBlumenthal won all 5 congressional districts.[61]
| District | Blumenthal | Levy | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 63% | 37% | John B. Larson |
| 2nd | 55% | 45% | Joe Courtney |
| 3rd | 58% | 42% | Rosa DeLauro |
| 4th | 61% | 39% | Jim Himes |
| 5th | 52% | 48% | Jahana Hayes |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Not planning to vote" with 5%; "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ "Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by The Connecticut Examiner.
References
edit- ^ Kang, Hanna; Neubauer, Kelsey. "Live Results: Democratic incumbent Sen. Richard Blumenthal beat Trump-endorsed Republican Leora Levy in Connecticut's US Senate race". Business Insider. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ Munson, Emilie (November 4, 2020). "A campaign begins: Blumenthal will seek re-election in 2022". www.ctpost.com. Retrieved November 14, 2020.
- ^ a b "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
- ^ a b "Jewish Dems Start 2022 Election Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. November 30, 2021. Retrieved December 11, 2021.
- ^ a b "Richard Blumenthal Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for Reelection to the U.S. Senate". www.lcv.org. April 26, 2022.
- ^ a b "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for the U.S. House and Senate". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 13, 2021.
- ^ a b Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved April 21, 2022.
- ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
- ^ a b "Sierra Club 2022 Endorsements". Sierra Club Independent Action.
- ^ "Labor Endorses Slate of Pro-Worker Candidates". June 24, 2022. Retrieved July 4, 2022.
- ^ Borsuk, Ken (February 8, 2022). "Leora Levy seeks GOP nod for Senate run 'to lead the fight for freedom,' challenge Richard Blumenthal". Greenwich Time. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
- ^ House, Dennis (January 30, 2022). "This Week in CT: Themis Klarides announces run for U.S. Senate seat". WTNH. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (January 30, 2022). "Themis Klarides confirms a switch to U.S. Senate race". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
- ^ Keating, Christopher (December 20, 2021). "Connecticut Republicans, with little money and no prominent candidates, prepare to challenge U.S. Sen. Richard Blumenthal". Hartford Courant. Archived from the original on December 21, 2021. Retrieved January 1, 2022.
- ^ "GOP sees opportunity to defeat Blumenthal in 2022 elections". www.fox61.com. WTIC-TV. April 3, 2022. Retrieved April 4, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Republican Convention ends; Stefanowski nabs nomination". www.wfsb.com. WFSB-TV. May 6, 2022. Retrieved May 28, 2022.
- ^ "FLYNN, JOHN J - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved January 3, 2021.
- ^ Munson, Emilie (December 1, 2019). "CT congressional candidate in Trump's inner circle - or is he?". Connecticut Post. Archived from the original on January 15, 2020. Retrieved August 9, 2020.
- ^ Sommer, Will; Swan, Betsy (January 25, 2020). "Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America's Ambassador in Ukraine". The Daily Beast.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (April 4, 2016). "GOP's Dan Carter announces for U.S. Senate nomination". The Connecticut Mirror.
- ^ Vigdor, Neil (May 28, 2019). "The once and future candidate? Republican Bob Stefanowski transforms from losing nominee to ubiquitous foil of Gov. Ned Lamont". courant.com.
- ^ "FILING FEC-1500208". February 16, 2021.
- ^ a b "Republican candidates vying for U.S. Senate in Connecticut ready for August Primary". WTNH. July 13, 2022.
- ^ "Hogan hits hustings in New Hampshire as possible 2024 Republican bid takes shape". Washington Examiner. July 11, 2022.
- ^ "Trump's endorsement of Levy — and any other GOP hopefuls — a mixed picture in CT". August 5, 2022.
- ^ "Blumenthal leads potential GOP rivals ahead of Connecticut general election: poll". The Hill. May 19, 2021. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
The Connecticut GOP endorsed Klarides on Saturday.
- ^ a b Pazniokas, Mark (August 4, 2022). "Donald Trump endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in live phone call". The Connecticut Mirror. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". John Bolton PAC.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z "Leora is Backed by Conservatives!".
- ^ "2022 Aug 9 Republican Primary - U.S. Senator". ct.gov.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "Connecticut Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. September 20, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- ^ Pazniokas, Mark (May 19, 2022). "Poll: In U.S. Senate race, Richard Blumenthal has double-digit leads". The CT Mirror.
- ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved October 29, 2022.
- ^ Curto, Christian (September 30, 2022). "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate". John Bolton PAC | BoltonPAC.com. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
- ^ "Nikki Haley endorses US Senate candidate Leora Levy". November 2022.
- ^ "Mike Pompeo endorses GOP candidate for Connecticut's US Senate seat". October 27, 2022.
- ^ Raychel (October 14, 2022). "Stefanik's E-PAC Endorses Leora Levy for U.S. Senate in Connecticut". Elevate PAC – Engage, Empower, Elevate. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
- ^ "We endorse: MRS. Levy for Senate | Republican-American".
- ^ Real Clear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ 270towin
- ^ Long Island University
- ^ a b Quinnipiac University
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fabrizo, Lee & Associates (R)
- ^ Western New England University
- ^ a b c d Emerson College
- ^ a b c McLaughlin & Associates (R)
- ^ Fabrizo Lee (R)
- ^ YouTube
- ^ "2022 General Election - United States Senator". Connecticut Secretary of State.
- ^ Results. electionhistory.ct.gov (Report).
External links
editOfficial campaign websites