2018 United States Senate election in Washington
(Redirected from United States Senate election in Washington, 2018)
The 2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalist Susan Hutchison, a Republican.
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Cantwell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hutchison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Nonpartisan blanket primary
editCandidates
editThe primary election featured 30 candidates.[1]
Democratic Party
editDeclared
edit- Maria Cantwell, incumbent senator[2]
- Don L. Rivers[3]
- Clint Tannehill[4]
- George H. Kalberer
- Mohammad Said
Republican Party
editDeclared
edit- Joey Gibson, activist and founder of Patriot Prayer[5]
- Goodspaceguy, perennial candidate[6]
- Susan Hutchison, former chair of the Washington State Republican Party[7]
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and former presidential candidate[8]
- Tim Owen
- Matthew D. Heines
- Art Coday
- John Orlinski
- Keith Swank
- RC Smith
- Dave Bryant
- Matt Hawkins
- Glen Stockwell
Withdrawn
edit- Ron Higgins (withdrew May 19, 2018[9])
Endorsements
editSusan Hutchison
- Kim Wyman, Secretary of State[10]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative[11]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative[12]
- Dan Newhouse, U.S. Representative[13]
- Slade Gorton, former U.S. Senator[14]
- J. T. Wilcox, Washington State House of Representatives Minority Leader[15]
- Hunters Heritage Council[16]
- Washington Farm Bureau[17]
Independents
editDeclared
editWrite-in
edit- Clay Johnson, activist[19]
Minor parties
editIn Washington, primary candidates may declare a preference for any party, and their party preference does not imply that the candidate is nominated or endorsed by the party. Candidates may also declare a preference for new or single-candidate parties.
Declared
edit- Mike Luke (Libertarian Party)[21]
- Brad Chase (FDFR Party),[a] communications strategist[1]
- Sam Wright (The Human Rights Party)
- Alex Tsimerman (StandupAmerica)[22]
- Steve Hoffman (Freedom Socialist Party), union organizer[23][24]
- James Robert "Jimmie" Deal (Green Party)
Notes
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 929,961 | 54.68% | |
Republican | Susan Hutchison | 413,317 | 24.30% | |
Republican | Keith Swank | 39,818 | 2.34% | |
Republican | Joey Gibson | 38,676 | 2.27% | |
Democratic | Clint Tannehill | 35,770 | 2.10% | |
Republican | Dave Bryant | 33,962 | 2.00% | |
Republican | Art Coday | 30,654 | 1.80% | |
Independent | Jennifer Gigi Ferguson | 25,224 | 1.48% | |
Republican | Tim Owen | 23,167 | 1.36% | |
Republican | Matt Hawkins | 13,324 | 0.78% | |
Democratic | Don L. Rivers | 12,634 | 0.74% | |
Libertarian | Mike Luke | 12,302 | 0.72% | |
Republican | Glen R. Stockwell | 11,611 | 0.68% | |
Independent | Thor Amundson | 9,393 | 0.55% | |
Democratic | Mohammad Said | 8,649 | 0.51% | |
Republican | Matthew D. Heines | 7,737 | 0.45% | |
Freedom Socialist | Steve Hoffman | 7,390 | 0.43% | |
Republican | GoodSpaceGuy | 7,057 | 0.41% | |
Republican | John Orlinski | 6,905 | 0.41% | |
Independent | Dave Strider | 6,821 | 0.40% | |
Republican | Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 5,724 | 0.34% | |
Green | James Robert "Jimmie" Deal | 3,849 | 0.23% | |
The Human Rights Party | Sam Wright | 3,761 | 0.22% | |
FDFR Party | Brad Chase | 2,655 | 0.16% | |
Democratic | George H. Kalberer | 2,448 | 0.14% | |
Independent | Charlie R. Jackson | 2,411 | 0.14% | |
Republican | R. C. Smith | 2,238 | 0.13% | |
Independent | Jon Butler | 2,016 | 0.12% | |
StandUpAmerica | Alex Tsimerman | 1,366 | 0.08% | |
Total votes | 1,700,840 | 100.00% |
General election
editDebates
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Maria Cantwell | Susan Hutchison | |||||
1 | Oct. 8, 2018 | KOMO-TV Pacific Lutheran University |
Mary Nam Essex Porter |
[26] | P | P |
2 | Oct. 20, 2018 | Community Colleges of Spokane Gonzaga University Eastern Washington University University of Washington Washington State University Spokane Whitworth University |
Hayley Guenthner Jane McCarthy |
[27] | P | P |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[31] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[32] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[33] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Maria Cantwell (D) |
Susan Hutchison (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elway/Crosscut[34] | October 4–9, 2018 | 405 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 39% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[35][A] | May 22–23, 2018 | 675 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
Maria Cantwell vs. Rob McKenna
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Maria Cantwell (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[36][A] | June 27–28, 2017 | 887 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 40% | 6% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 1,803,364 | 58.31% | −2.05% | |
Republican | Susan Hutchison | 1,282,804 | 41.48% | +1.99% | |
Write-in | 6,461 | 0.21% | +0.06% | ||
Total votes | 3,092,629 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Cowlitz (largest city: Longview)
- Grays Harbor (largest city: Aberdeen)
- Klickitat (Largest city: Goldendale)
- Mason (largest city: Shelton)
- Skamania (Largest city: Carson)
- Yakima (Largest city: Yakima)
- Wahkiakum (Largest city: Puget Island)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
editBy congressional district
editCantwell won 7 of 10 congressional districts.[38]
District | Cantwell | Hutchison | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 57% | 43% | Suzan DelBene |
2nd | 61% | 39% | Rick Larsen |
3rd | 49% | 51% | Jaime Herrera Beutler |
4th | 38% | 62% | Dan Newhouse |
5th | 47% | 53% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers |
6th | 57% | 43% | Derek Kilmer |
7th | 84% | 16% | Pramila Jayapal |
8th | 51% | 49% | Kim Schrier |
9th | 73% | 27% | Adam Smith |
10th | 56% | 44% | Denny Heck |
Notes
editPartisan clients
References
edit- ^ a b c Camden, Jim (May 19, 2018). "U.S. Senate primary: Cantwell and 29 challengers". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved July 23, 2018.
- ^ CANTWELL, MARIA
- ^ RIVERS, DON L MR
- ^ TANNEHILL, CLINT RONALD
- ^ Kavanaugh, Shane Dixon (February 25, 2018). "Patriot Prayer leader Joey Gibson plans U.S. Senate run in Washington". Oregon Live. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "Who has filed - King County". King County. May 16, 2018. Retrieved May 16, 2018.
- ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph; Brunner, Jim (May 18, 2018). "Former State Republican Party chair Susan Hutchison challenging Sen. Maria Cantwell". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
- ^ "Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente".
- ^ "2018 Candidates Who Have Filed". Retrieved June 29, 2018.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "WA Secretary of State @KimWyman12 endorses @Susan4Senate. Grateful that our state's favorite elected official knows who's best for US Senate! #susan4senate". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "I'm honored to be endorsed by @JaimeforUSRep, a fierce advocate for Southwest Washington! Let's have a strong showing from Republican voters all across the state today!". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Yet another important early endorsement for our campaign: Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Republicans all across Washington are rallying behind our campaign for US Senate; be sure to return your ballot by August 7th! #Susan4Senate". Facebook.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Thank you to Congressman Dan Newhouse for his endorsement of our campaign! Proud to call him a friend and appreciate all he does for #WA04. Remember to return your ballots by Aug 7 and vote #Susan4Senate!". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Proudly Endorsed by Former U.S. Senator Slade Gorton". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Honored to have the endorsement of my friend and next WA House Speaker, @jtwilcox111". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "The 45,000-strong Hunters Heritage Council has endorsed @susan4senate! #susan4senate #hunting #waelex". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "I am proud to be endorsed by the Washington Farm Bureau, and will always fight to protect our private property and water rights from burdensome federal regulations. #Susan4Senate". Twitter.
- ^ Details for Candidate ID : S8WA00202
- ^ a b Coleman, Miles (July 5, 2017). "2018 Senate Race Ratings - July 2017". Decision Desk HQ. Archived from the original on June 29, 2018. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
- ^ STRIDER, DAVID LEE
- ^ "Mike Luke (L) for Senate". Archived from the original on January 2, 2018. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
- ^ TSIMERMAN, ALEX
- ^ McNamara, Neal (February 26, 2018). "Patriot Prayer Founder Joey Gibson Will Run Against Cantwell". Seattle Patch. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "Campaign Kickoff Party: Steve Hoffman for U.S. Senate". Freedom Socialist Party. February 23, 2018. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "United States Senate primary election in Washington, 2018". Office of the Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ Elway/Crosscut
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ "November 6, 2018 General Election Results - U.S. Senator".
- ^ Results. sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original on June 28, 2023.
External links
edit- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites