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2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout49.0% Increase 2.7 pp[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Gary Johnson
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Bill Weld
Electoral vote 7 0 0
Popular vote 949,136 420,375 83,481
Percentage 65.32% 28.93% 5.75%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
Treemap of the popular vote by county

Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since 1952, and a Republican stronghold since 1980. Trump subsequently carried the state with 65.3% of the vote, while Clinton received 28.9%.[3] Considered a safe Republican state, Oklahoma has voted Republican in fifteen of the last sixteen elections. It was also one of two states where Trump won every county, the other being West Virginia. This also marked the fourth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state.[4]

Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate, became the first third-party candidate to achieve ballot access in Oklahoma since 2000. He received 5.75% of the vote, the highest percentage for a third party in the state since Ross Perot's campaign in 1996. He was also the only third-party candidate to successfully file for ballot access in Oklahoma.

Primary elections

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Democratic primary

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Main article: 2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

Results

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 174,228 51.88% 21 1 22
Hillary Clinton 139,443 41.52% 17 1 18
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 7,672 2.28%
Keith Judd 4,386 1.31%
Michael Steinberg 4,171 1.24%
Star Locke (withdrawn) 3,458 1.03%
Rocky De La Fuente 2,485 0.74%
Uncommitted — 0 2 2
Total 335,843 100% 38 4 42
Source: [5][6]

Republican primary

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Main article: 2016 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary
2016 Oklahoma Republican presidential primary
 
← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
← MN
TN →
     
Candidate Ted Cruz Donald Trump
Home state Texas New York
Delegate count 15 14
Popular vote 158,078 130,267
Percentage 34.37% 28.32%
     
Candidate Marco Rubio Ben Carson
Home state Florida Maryland
Delegate count 12 0
Popular vote 119,633 28,601
Percentage 26.01% 6.22%
 
Results by county

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[7]

Oklahoma Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Ted Cruz 158,078 34.37% 15 0 15
Donald Trump 130,267 28.32% 14 0 14
Marco Rubio 119,633 26.01% 12 0 12
Ben Carson 28,601 6.22% 0 0 0
John Kasich 16,524 3.59% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,091 0.45% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,666 0.36% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 1,308 0.28% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 610 0.13% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 545 0.12% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 375 0.08% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 224 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 2 0 2
Total: 459,922 100.00% 43 0 43
Source: The Green Papers

General election

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Polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Oklahoma

Predictions

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The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Oklahoma as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[8] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[9] Safe R November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[10] Safe R November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 7, 2016
NBC[12] Likely R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[13] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[14] Safe R November 7, 2016
ABC[15] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

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Chart of popular vote

  Trump (65.32%)
  Clinton (28.93%)
  Johnson (5.75%)
2016 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[16]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump 949,136 65.32% 7
Democratic Hillary Clinton 420,375 28.93% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 83,481 5.75% 0
Totals 1,452,992 100.00% 7

By county

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County Donald Trump
Republican 		Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Gary Johnson
Libertarian 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Adair 4,787 73.50% 1,382 21.22% 344 5.28% 3,405 52.28% 6,513
Alfalfa 1,933 85.61% 216 9.57% 109 4.82% 1,717 76.04% 2,258
Atoka 4,084 81.39% 795 15.84% 139 2.77% 3,289 65.55% 5,018
Beaver 1,993 88.85% 176 7.85% 74 3.30% 1,817 81.00% 2,243
Beckham 6,308 83.53% 960 12.71% 284 3.76% 5,348 70.82% 7,552
Blaine 2,884 76.03% 711 18.75% 198 5.22% 2,173 57.28% 3,793
Bryan 10,478 75.83% 2,804 20.29% 536 3.88% 7,674 55.54% 13,818
Caddo 6,482 69.34% 2,420 25.89% 446 4.77% 4,062 43.45% 9,348
Canadian 39,986 72.34% 11,674 21.12% 3,618 6.54% 28,312 51.22% 55,278
Carter 13,752 74.20% 4,002 21.59% 780 4.21% 9,750 52.61% 18,534
Cherokee 9,994 60.61% 5,456 33.09% 1,040 6.30% 4,538 27.52% 16,490
Choctaw 4,206 77.52% 1,067 19.66% 153 2.82% 3,139 57.86% 5,426
Cimarron 963 89.25% 71 6.58% 45 4.17% 892 82.67% 1,079
Cleveland 62,538 57.14% 38,829 35.48% 8,083 7.38% 23,709 21.66% 109,450
Coal 1,898 79.12% 411 17.13% 90 3.75% 1,487 61.99% 2,399
Comanche 19,183 58.91% 11,463 35.20% 1,918 5.89% 7,720 23.71% 32,564
Cotton 2,054 78.94% 424 16.30% 124 4.76% 1,630 62.64% 2,602
Craig 4,283 74.04% 1,252 21.64% 250 4.32% 3,031 52.40% 5,785
Creek 21,575 74.84% 5,841 20.26% 1,414 4.90% 15,734 54.58% 28,830
Custer 7,826 74.24% 2,104 19.96% 611 5.80% 5,722 54.28% 10,541
Delaware 11,826 75.25% 3,311 21.07% 579 3.68% 8,515 54.18% 15,716
Dewey 1,965 87.41% 222 9.88% 61 2.71% 1,743 77.53% 2,248
Ellis 1,611 88.18% 155 8.48% 61 3.34% 1,456 79.70% 1,827
Garfield 16,009 73.74% 4,397 20.25% 1,304 6.01% 11,612 53.49% 21,710
Garvin 8,253 78.26% 1,855 17.59% 438 4.15% 6,398 60.67% 10,546
Grady 17,316 77.70% 3,882 17.42% 1,088 4.88% 13,434 60.28% 22,286
Grant 1,827 83.01% 288 13.08% 86 3.91% 1,539 69.93% 2,201
Greer 1,482 78.16% 323 17.04% 91 4.80% 1,159 61.12% 1,896
Harmon 715 73.18% 225 23.03% 37 3.79% 490 50.15% 977
Harper 1,318 87.93% 134 8.94% 47 3.13% 1,184 78.99% 1,499
Haskell 3,701 78.11% 882 18.62% 155 3.27% 2,819 59.49% 4,738
Hughes 3,388 74.86% 961 21.23% 177 3.91% 2,427 53.63% 4,526
Jackson 5,969 76.47% 1,473 18.87% 364 4.66% 4,496 57.60% 7,806
Jefferson 1,910 81.28% 365 15.53% 75 3.19% 1,545 65.75% 2,350
Johnston 3,093 76.98% 786 19.56% 139 3.46% 2,307 57.42% 4,018
Kay 12,172 72.44% 3,738 22.25% 893 5.31% 8,434 50.19% 16,803
Kingfisher 5,156 84.10% 786 12.82% 189 3.08% 4,370 71.28% 6,131
Kiowa 2,596 74.32% 767 21.96% 130 3.72% 1,829 52.36% 3,493
Latimer 3,100 76.43% 797 19.65% 159 3.92% 2,303 56.78% 4,056
LeFlore 13,362 77.59% 3,250 18.87% 609 3.54% 10,112 58.72% 17,221
Lincoln 10,854 77.39% 2,430 17.33% 741 5.28% 8,424 60.06% 14,025
Logan 13,633 71.83% 4,248 22.38% 1,098 5.79% 9,385 49.45% 18,979
Love 2,922 77.12% 735 19.40% 132 3.48% 2,187 57.72% 3,789
McClain 13,169 78.12% 2,894 17.17% 795 4.71% 10,275 60.95% 16,858
McCurtain 8,656 80.70% 1,802 16.80% 268 2.50% 6,854 63.90% 10,726
McIntosh 5,505 69.13% 2,123 26.66% 335 4.21% 3,382 42.47% 7,963
Major 2,948 86.53% 310 9.10% 149 4.37% 2,638 77.43% 3,407
Marshall 4,206 76.58% 1,096 19.96% 190 3.46% 3,110 56.62% 5,492
Mayes 11,555 73.52% 3,423 21.78% 739 4.70% 8,132 51.74% 15,717
Murray 4,175 75.52% 1,087 19.66% 266 4.82% 3,088 55.86% 5,528
Muskogee 15,043 62.12% 7,977 32.94% 1,196 4.94% 7,066 29.18% 24,216
Noble 3,715 76.16% 901 18.47% 262 5.37% 2,814 57.69% 4,878
Nowata 3,321 78.38% 742 17.51% 174 4.11% 2,579 60.87% 4,237
Okfuskee 2,800 71.01% 943 23.92% 200 5.07% 1,857 47.09% 3,943
Oklahoma 141,569 51.68% 112,813 41.18% 19,560 7.14% 28,756 10.50% 273,942
Okmulgee 8,944 64.12% 4,385 31.44% 620 4.44% 4,559 32.68% 13,949
Osage 12,577 66.31% 5,597 29.51% 792 4.18% 6,980 36.80% 18,966
Ottawa 7,631 71.38% 2,584 24.17% 475 4.45% 5,047 47.21% 10,690
Pawnee 4,729 74.31% 1,344 21.12% 291 4.57% 3,385 53.19% 6,364
Payne 16,651 59.98% 8,788 31.66% 2,321 8.36% 7,863 28.32% 27,760
Pittsburg 12,753 73.84% 3,711 21.49% 807 4.67% 9,042 52.35% 17,271
Pontotoc 10,431 70.33% 3,637 24.52% 763 5.15% 6,794 45.81% 14,831
Pottawatomie 17,848 70.12% 6,015 23.63% 1,589 6.25% 11,833 46.49% 25,452
Pushmataha 3,581 79.88% 748 16.69% 154 3.43% 2,833 63.19% 4,483
Roger Mills 1,547 87.95% 151 8.58% 61 3.47% 1,396 79.37% 1,759
Rogers 30,913 75.65% 7,902 19.34% 2,047 5.01% 23,011 56.31% 40,862
Seminole 5,613 69.84% 2,071 25.77% 353 4.39% 3,542 44.07% 8,037
Sequoyah 10,888 75.42% 3,061 21.20% 488 3.38% 7,827 54.22% 14,437
Stephens 14,182 79.21% 3,086 17.24% 636 3.55% 11,096 61.97% 17,904
Texas 4,621 79.95% 858 14.84% 301 5.21% 3,763 65.11% 5,780
Tillman 1,944 71.84% 657 24.28% 105 3.88% 1,287 47.56% 2,706
Tulsa 144,258 58.39% 87,847 35.56% 14,949 6.05% 56,411 22.83% 247,054
Wagoner 23,005 73.50% 6,723 21.48% 1,572 5.02% 16,282 52.02% 31,300
Washington 15,825 71.21% 5,048 22.71% 1,351 6.08% 10,777 48.50% 22,224
Washita 3,854 83.22% 588 12.70% 189 4.08% 3,266 70.52% 4,631
Woods 2,947 80.34% 522 14.23% 199 5.43% 2,425 66.11% 3,668
Woodward 6,347 83.57% 873 11.49% 375 4.94% 5,474 72.08% 7,595
Totals 949,136 65.32% 420,375 28.93% 83,481 5.75% 528,761 36.39% 1,452,992
 
 

By congressional district

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Trump won all five congressional districts.[17]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 61% 33% Jim Bridenstine
2nd 73% 23% Markwayne Mullin
3rd 74% 21% Frank Lucas
4th 66% 28% Tom Cole
5th 53% 40% Steve Russell

Analysis

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The Republican Party candidate, Donald Trump, carried Oklahoma with a victory margin of 36.39%. While Trump improved over Mitt Romney's 2012 vote total and victory margin, his vote percentage of 65.3% was down from Romney's 66.8%, making 2016 the first time since 1992 the Republican's vote percentage decreased from the previous election. Hillary Clinton's vote percentage of 28.9% is the worst for a Democratic candidate in Oklahoma since George McGovern's 24% in the 1972 election. In terms of margin of victory, this is the largest loss by a Democrat since Democratic nominee Walter Mondale in 1984. Clinton however, did make gains in heavily populated Oklahoma County, its surrounding suburban counties, and Tulsa County. In Oklahoma County, Clinton reduced a 16.66% advantage for Romney into a 10.5% advantage for Trump, while Trump was held below the 60% mark in Tulsa.[18] Gary Johnson's total was more than twice what was needed to preserve recognized status for the Libertarian Party in the state, meaning that in 2018 the LP will be the first alternative party on the ballot for a gubernatorial election since the Reform Party in 1998.[19]

With 65.32% of the popular vote, Oklahoma would prove to be Trump's third strongest state in the 2016 election after Wyoming and West Virginia.[20] His win in the 2nd Congressional District was the second best of the five congressional districts in Oklahoma that he won, and he also carried the critical Native American vote in the state[citation needed] (this included all the counties of the proposed Native American state of Sequoyah). The state would also prove to be Gary Johnson's fourth strongest state with 5.75% of the popular vote after New Mexico, North Dakota and Alaska.

Slates of electors

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Republican: David Oldham, Teresa Lyn Turner, Mark Thomas, Bobby Cleveland, Lauree Elizabeth Marshall, Charles W. Potts, George W. Wiland Jr

Libertarian: Erin Adams, Mikel Dillon, Joel Britt Dixon, Rex L. Lawhorn, Ephriam Zachary Knight, Craig A. Dawkins, Mark C. DeShazo

Democrat: Marq Lewis, Bill John Baker, Mark Hammons, Betty McElderry, W. A. Drew Edmondson, Jeannie McDaniel, Rhonda Walters[21]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "2016 General Election Turnout". United States Elections Project. Archived from the original on November 11, 2016. Retrieved April 21, 2019.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
  3. ^ "Oklahoma Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016. Archived from the original on July 17, 2017. Retrieved July 19, 2017.
  4. ^ "History of Oklahoma voting in presidential elections since 1932". KJRH. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on September 9, 2017. Retrieved July 23, 2017.
  5. ^ The Green Papers
  6. ^ Oklahoma State Election Board
  7. ^ "Nineteen candidates file for Oklahoma Presidential Primary". Fox23.com. Archived from the original on January 28, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  8. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  9. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  10. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  11. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  13. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  14. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  15. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  16. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on November 12, 2016. Retrieved November 11, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  17. ^ "Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project". www.swingstateproject.com. Archived from the original on October 16, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  18. ^ "2016 Presidential Election Results". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 26, 2021.
  19. ^ "Libertarian Party makes historic strides in Oklahoma, U.S. elections". reddirtreport.com. November 11, 2016. Archived from the original on August 11, 2017. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
  20. ^ "2016 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Archived from the original on July 13, 2018. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
  21. ^ "Sample ballots for Oklahoma 2016 election". The Oklahoman. November 6, 2016. Archived from the original on November 12, 2020.
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