2004 United States presidential election in Utah
The 2004 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 2, 2004. It was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose five representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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| Turnout | 72.6% (of registered voters) 57.7% (of voting age population) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County Results
Bush 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90%
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Utah was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 45.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It is a strongly Republican state and has supported the party's nominee in every presidential election since 1968. With 71.54 percent of the popular vote, Utah was Bush's strongest state in the 2004 election.[1]
This was the first of four instances in which a presidential candidate gained over 70% of a state's vote after Ronald Reagan's 1984 landslide. The others are Mitt Romney in Utah in 2012 and Barack Obama in Hawaii in 2008 and 2012. These last three all involved a candidate with a close tie to the state: Barack Obama was born in Hawaii, and Mitt Romney, as the first Mormon on a major-party presidential ticket, was popular in Mormon-majority Utah and would later represent the state in the United States Senate.
Primaries
editCampaign
editPredictions
editThere were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | Solid R |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R |
| Research 2000 | Solid R |
| Zogby International | Likely R |
| Washington Post | Likely R |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely R |
| Washington Times | Solid R |
| The New York Times | Solid R |
| CNN | Likely R |
| Newsweek | Solid R |
| Associated Press | Solid R |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely R |
Polling
editThe final three polls averaged Bush with 67 percent to Kerry with 25 percent.[3]
Fundraising
editBush raised $561,645.[4] Kerry raised $262,031.[5]
Advertising and visits
editNeither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[6][7]
Analysis
editRepublicans dominate Utah state politics because of the very high Mormon population that accounts for almost seventy percent of the residents throughout the state. Mormons have been known for having very conservative values. While every county voted for Bush, areas such as Summit County (ski resort), Moab (becoming an outpost for environmental activists), Carbon County (largely blue collar), Salt Lake City (urban area with some diversity) and San Juan County (economically distressed and mostly Native American) did give a somewhat greater proportion of their votes to Kerry. However, other areas were uniformly Republican in voting. Utah County's (home of Provo and Brigham Young University) Republican vote (86%) was by far the largest percentage of any county its size in America.
Results
edit| 2004 United States presidential election in Utah[8] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | George W. Bush (incumbent) | 663,742 | 71.54% | 5 | |
| Democratic | John Kerry | 241,199 | 26.00% | 0 | |
| Unaffiliated | Ralph Nader | 11,305 | 1.22% | 0 | |
| Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | 6,841 | 0.74% | 0 | |
| Libertarian Party | Michael Badnarik | 3,375 | 0.36% | 0 | |
| Personal Choice Party | Charles Jay | 946 | 0.10% | 0 | |
| Socialist Workers Party | Roger Calero | 393 | 0.04% | 0 | |
| Green Party | David Cobb | 39 | 0.00% | 0 | |
| Write Ins | 4 | 0.00% | 0 | ||
| Totals | 927,844 | 100.00% | 5 | ||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 57.7% | ||||
Results by county
edit| County | George W. Bush Republican |
John Kerry Democratic |
Ralph Nader[9] Unaffiliated |
Michael Peroutka[9] Constitution |
Various candidates[9] Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Beaver | 2,023 | 79.52% | 493 | 19.38% | 12 | 0.47% | 9 | 0.35% | 7 | 0.28% | 1,530 | 60.14% | 2,544 |
| Box Elder | 15,751 | 85.75% | 2,244 | 12.22% | 145 | 0.79% | 144 | 0.78% | 84 | 0.46% | 13,507 | 73.53% | 18,368 |
| Cache | 32,486 | 81.76% | 6,375 | 16.05% | 413 | 1.04% | 274 | 0.69% | 183 | 0.46% | 26,111 | 65.71% | 39,731 |
| Carbon | 4,950 | 58.18% | 3,415 | 40.14% | 83 | 0.98% | 22 | 0.26% | 38 | 0.45% | 1,535 | 18.04% | 8,508 |
| Daggett | 380 | 76.15% | 108 | 21.64% | 6 | 1.20% | 3 | 0.60% | 2 | 0.20% | 272 | 54.51% | 499 |
| Davis | 86,187 | 78.88% | 20,893 | 19.12% | 1,055 | 0.97% | 695 | 0.64% | 438 | 0.41% | 65,294 | 59.76% | 109,268 |
| Duchesne | 4,742 | 85.35% | 738 | 13.28% | 27 | 0.49% | 32 | 0.58% | 17 | 0.31% | 4,004 | 72.07% | 5,556 |
| Emery | 3,781 | 80.83% | 831 | 17.76% | 23 | 0.49% | 29 | 0.62% | 14 | 0.30% | 2,950 | 63.07% | 4,678 |
| Garfield | 1,848 | 85.48% | 264 | 12.21% | 22 | 1.02% | 16 | 0.74% | 12 | 0.56% | 1,584 | 73.27% | 2,162 |
| Grand | 2,130 | 51.14% | 1,858 | 44.61% | 118 | 2.83% | 20 | 0.48% | 39 | 0.94% | 272 | 6.53% | 4,165 |
| Iron | 12,815 | 82.97% | 2,267 | 14.68% | 111 | 0.72% | 169 | 1.09% | 84 | 0.54% | 10,548 | 68.29% | 15,446 |
| Juab | 2,681 | 78.46% | 605 | 17.71% | 20 | 0.59% | 98 | 2.87% | 13 | 0.38% | 2,076 | 60.75% | 3,417 |
| Kane | 2,414 | 79.12% | 576 | 18.88% | 25 | 0.82% | 19 | 0.62% | 17 | 0.55% | 1,838 | 60.24% | 3,051 |
| Millard | 4,084 | 83.74% | 626 | 12.84% | 28 | 0.57% | 118 | 2.42% | 21 | 0.43% | 3,458 | 70.90% | 4,877 |
| Morgan | 3,301 | 85.94% | 472 | 12.29% | 25 | 0.65% | 24 | 0.62% | 19 | 0.49% | 2,829 | 73.65% | 3,841 |
| Piute | 646 | 83.57% | 123 | 15.91% | 3 | 0.39% | 1 | 0.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 523 | 67.66% | 773 |
| Rich | 922 | 88.91% | 109 | 10.51% | 5 | 0.48% | 1 | 0.10% | 0 | 0.00% | 813 | 78.40% | 1,037 |
| Salt Lake | 215,728 | 59.57% | 135,949 | 37.54% | 6,025 | 1.66% | 2,199 | 0.61% | 2,237 | 0.62% | 79,779 | 22.03% | 362,138 |
| San Juan | 2,971 | 60.02% | 1,906 | 38.51% | 30 | 0.61% | 24 | 0.48% | 19 | 0.38% | 1,065 | 21.51% | 4,950 |
| Sanpete | 7,004 | 82.33% | 1,189 | 13.98% | 58 | 0.68% | 217 | 2.55% | 39 | 0.46% | 5,815 | 68.35% | 8,507 |
| Sevier | 6,597 | 86.34% | 920 | 12.04% | 37 | 0.48% | 60 | 0.79% | 27 | 0.35% | 5,677 | 74.30% | 7,641 |
| Summit | 7,936 | 51.83% | 6,977 | 45.57% | 265 | 1.73% | 36 | 0.24% | 98 | 0.64% | 959 | 6.26% | 15,312 |
| Tooele | 12,181 | 73.10% | 4,130 | 24.78% | 150 | 0.90% | 111 | 0.67% | 92 | 0.55% | 8,051 | 48.32% | 16,664 |
| Uintah | 8,518 | 85.55% | 1,266 | 12.71% | 42 | 0.42% | 99 | 0.99% | 32 | 0.32% | 7,252 | 72.84% | 9,957 |
| Utah | 128,269 | 85.99% | 17,357 | 11.64% | 1,289 | 0.86% | 1,621 | 1.09% | 637 | 0.43% | 110,912 | 74.35% | 149,173 |
| Wasatch | 5,503 | 73.26% | 1,854 | 24.68% | 60 | 0.80% | 65 | 0.87% | 30 | 0.40% | 3,649 | 48.58% | 7,512 |
| Washington | 35,633 | 80.95% | 7,513 | 17.07% | 301 | 0.68% | 362 | 0.82% | 209 | 0.47% | 28,120 | 63.88% | 44,018 |
| Wayne | 1,062 | 78.09% | 279 | 20.51% | 10 | 0.74% | 5 | 0.37% | 4 | 0.29% | 783 | 57.58% | 1,360 |
| Weber | 51,199 | 70.43% | 19,862 | 27.32% | 917 | 1.26% | 368 | 0.51% | 345 | 0.47% | 31,337 | 43.11% | 72,691 |
| Totals | 663,742 | 71.54% | 241,199 | 26.00% | 11,305 | 1.22% | 6,841 | 0.74% | 4,757 | 0.51% | 422,543 | 45.54% | 927,844 |
Results by congressional district
editBush won all 3 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 73% | 25% | Rob Bishop |
| 2nd | 66% | 31% | Jim Matheson |
| 3rd | 77% | 20% | Chris Cannon |
Electors
editTechnically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Utah is allocated five electors because it has three congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of five electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins a plurality of votes in the state is awarded all five electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:
- Olene S. Walker
- Gayle McKeachnie
- Lewis K. Billings
- Joseph A. Cannon
- Scott F. Simpson
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved March 5, 2018.
- ^ "Archived copy". dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved June 6, 2022.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Archived from the original on June 2, 2006.
- ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
- ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
- ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
- ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
- ^ "2004 Presidential General Election Results – Utah".
- ^ a b c Our Campaigns; UT US Presidential Election November 02 2004