2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
(Redirected from Vermont gubernatorial election, 2012)
The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.
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Shumlin: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Brock: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic nomination
editCandidates
edit- Peter Shumlin, incumbent[1]
Republican nomination
editCandidates
edit- Randy Brock, state senator and former state auditor[2][3]
Declined
edit- Brian Dubie, former lieutenant governor and 2010 gubernatorial nominee[2]
- Thom Lauzon, mayor of Barre[4]
- Patricia McDonald, Vermont Republican Party Chairwoman and former state representative[2]
- Roy Newton, newspaper publisher (did not file)[5]
- Tom Salmon, state auditor[6]
- Phil Scott, lieutenant governor[3]
- Mark Snelling, 2010 candidate for lieutenant governor and son of former governor Richard Snelling[2]
Progressive nomination
editCandidates
edit- Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party[7] (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)
General election
editCandidates
edit- Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
- Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
- Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate[8]
- Emily Peyton (Independent)[9]
- Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent
Debates
edit- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2012 - C-SPAN
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[13] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
Randy Brock (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castleton Polling[14] | August 11–21, 2012 | 477 | ± 4.5% | 60% | 26% | 13% |
| Vermont Business Magazine[15] | May 7–16, 2012 | 607 | ± 4.0% | 60% | 27% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
Brian Dubie (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
Thom Lauzon (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
Tom Salmon (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 31% | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
Phil Scott (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Peter Shumlin (D) |
Mark Snelling (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Peter Shumlin (incumbent) | 170,749 | 57.80% | +8.36% | |
| Republican | Randy Brock | 110,940 | 37.55% | −10.14% | |
| Independent | Emily Peyton | 5,868 | 1.99% | +1.71% | |
| Marijuana | Cris Ericson | 5,583 | 1.89% | +1.14% | |
| Liberty Union | Dave Eagle | 1,303 | 0.44% | +0.26% | |
| Write-in | 969 | 0.33% | +0.06% | ||
| Total votes | 295,412 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Grand Isle (largest municipality: Alburgh)
- Lamoille (largest municipality: Morristown)
- Rutland (largest municipality: Rutland)
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ "Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid". Vermont Public Radio. June 12, 2012. Retrieved June 12, 2012.
- ^ a b c d Galloway, Anne (December 7, 2011). "Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid". VTDigger.org. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
- ^ a b Steimle, Susie (December 7, 2011). "Brock to run for governor". WCAX. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
- ^ Marcy, Darren; Kumka, Cristina (December 21, 2011). "Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre". Vermont Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
- ^ Hallenbeck, Terri (April 25, 2012). "Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved April 27, 2012.
- ^ Remsen, Nancy (September 23, 2011). "Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved September 24, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Heintz, Paul (May 21, 2012). "Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now". Seven Days. Retrieved May 23, 2012.
- ^ McCarty, Alicia (November 13, 2011). "A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012". USA Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
- ^ Dobbs, Taylor (June 13, 2012). "Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor". VTDigger.org. Retrieved June 23, 2012.
- ^ "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on December 1, 2018. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
- ^ Castleton Polling
- ^ Vermont Business Magazine
- ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
- ^ "American Airlines - Login". Archived from the original on January 13, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2019.
External links
edit- Elections and Campaign Finance Division at the Vermont Secretary of State
Campaign sites (Archived)