Wikipedia talk:WikiProject UK Parliament constituencies
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Notional election results
editPlease correct me if this has been addressed elsewhere, but is there a policy on whether notional results following boundary changes should be included in the election results section or not. As the previously included 2019 notional results are being removed and I strongly believe that they provide vital context to results following boundary changes. Sam11333 (talk) 17:52, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- @Sam11333: "Being removed" from where? Individual constituency results, or one (or more) of the big lists? (I agree that they are important for context - how else do we explain that the not-renamed Westmorland and Lonsdale is described as a Lib Dem gain from Conservative when it has been held by the same Lib Dem since 2005?) PamD 17:59, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- From the individual constituency results for example Clacton Sam11333 (talk) 18:01, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- Ah, I see. I've added a note at Wikipedia talk:WikiProject Politics of the United Kingdom#Should notional 2019 results be included? to get more eyes on this. PamD 18:09, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- I appreciate that, thank you. Sam11333 (talk) 18:11, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- Ah, I see. I've added a note at Wikipedia talk:WikiProject Politics of the United Kingdom#Should notional 2019 results be included? to get more eyes on this. PamD 18:09, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- These are not used historically on Wikipedia, add serious confusion, and create a misapplication of loss and gain in the results when it should win as a result of new boundaries or a new seat. The notional results are not included after previous periodic reviews and should not be arbitrarily and confusingly added or retained on articles now. The confusion is too great and somehow makes out two academics get carte blanche to decide how a seat would have voted. That is delving into nice crystal ball territory even if two academics do it. What next we go back to the Welsh assembly elections of 1999 and say those seats somehow had notional results? Absolute madness to even consider it. This is no different. If there is desperation to include this, then add it in the text of the article with a see also link to the notional results on the periodic review page. That way consistency is maintained throughout the years of election articles, no confusing change in vote share based for new seats or new boundaries is posited, and the correct result of a new boundary win or new seat win is listed as opposed to the phoney loss or gain based on notional results. For example, the notional results were the Lib Dems only defending 8 seats where in reality at the dissolution of the last parliament they had 15 seats and had had 11 at the start of the parliament or that the Conservatives somehow out of pieces of paper and lines being drawn and looked at by two academics say the conservatives somehow were defending 7 additional seats, pure confusion. LawNerd123 (talk) 18:09, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- Work done by two academics, yes, but given a certain amount of weight by being published by Parliament which says of it: "
BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.
" PamD 18:27, 6 August 2024 (UTC)- That's jolly nice but it is confusing and creates a barrier to understanding. There is nothing wrong with explaining it in the text, its current presentation gives false impressions, confusing vote changes, and incorrect outcomes i.e not listing as new boundary or new seat wins. Additionally this feels like trying to fix something on Wikipedia which isn't broken. The results pages AFAICS have not included this before without any problem, so why now?
- The following"BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association have together produced estimates of the 2019 general election result" is great if this was for media consumption, election night discussion, or being a news site. All of which Wikipedia are not. When the dust has settled as did in 2010 no one remembers or cares about the notional results, just who won, not who was said to have one thanks to academia and media crystal balling no matter how good it is claimed to be. LawNerd123 (talk) 18:37, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- Work done by two academics, yes, but given a certain amount of weight by being published by Parliament which says of it: "
- The simple answer to this “how else do we explain that the not-renamed Westmorland and Lonsdale is described as a Lib Dem gain from Conservative when it has been held by the same Lib Dem since 2005”
- List the outcome correctly as a New boundaries win and include the boundary changes in the main bulk of the text like in the boundaries section. LawNerd123 (talk) 00:42, 9 August 2024 (UTC)
- From the individual constituency results for example Clacton Sam11333 (talk) 18:01, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- I feel they should probably be included. For constituencies where the boundaries remained *exactly* the same they're unnecessary but for those that did not they're useful for comparison purposes and match the comparisons to notional results made by reliable sources. CipherRephic (talk) 18:36, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- I agree include if you really want but not in the election results table format. If you really want to include, then include in the text, not in table format in and amongst the results. Additionally, some pages having notional results and others not is inconsistent and confusing. It will easily lead to "well why does this page have notional results and this page does not?" It is just a confusion creator. It must be remembered that Wikipedia is to serve the widest possible audience not just those with prior knowledge or understanding of a topic or subject. LawNerd123 (talk) 18:40, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
- One thing that puzzles me is why most of our 2024 results boxes have either
{{Election box hold with party link}}
or{{Election box gain with party link}}
. This is fine for existing constituencies where the boundaries were unchanged - or nearly so - but we should not be dropping every constituency into one or the other of these slots. Other templates exist, such as{{Election box new seat win}}
and{{Election box new boundary win}}
. I used the latter at Belfast South and Mid Down (UK Parliament constituency). --Redrose64 🌹 (talk) 22:30, 6 August 2024 (UTC)- Because people just copy from elsewhere. I've changed a few to
{{Election box new seat win}}
. Rcsprinter123 (drawl) 12:12, 7 August 2024 (UTC)
- Because people just copy from elsewhere. I've changed a few to
- One thing that puzzles me is why most of our 2024 results boxes have either
- I agree include if you really want but not in the election results table format. If you really want to include, then include in the text, not in table format in and amongst the results. Additionally, some pages having notional results and others not is inconsistent and confusing. It will easily lead to "well why does this page have notional results and this page does not?" It is just a confusion creator. It must be remembered that Wikipedia is to serve the widest possible audience not just those with prior knowledge or understanding of a topic or subject. LawNerd123 (talk) 18:40, 6 August 2024 (UTC)
RfC on Notional results and listing of result outcomes
editThere are two questions:
- Should 2024 UK Parliamentary constituency articles contain notional results in table format in the election results section?
- How should results of the 2024 parliamentary constituencies be listed for boundary changes of seats and for brand new seats?
Percentage Changes in election boxes
editCan the percentage bar for changes in percentages still be kept in please for the general elections where boundary have taken place. Removing them does not look neat or tidy please, thank you. Torres2000X (talk) 16:20, 3 September 2024 (UTC)
- This is style over substance and not a helpful retention. "Removing them does not look neat or tidy" is not a substantive reason for retention it is a call for aesthetics over purpose. The removal indicates that no change is possible when a new seat is drawn and new boundaries are drawn. LawNerd123 (talk) 23:32, 3 September 2024 (UTC)
- I strongly disagree with what LawNerd123 is saying. It has been standard Wikipedia practice in the past to include changes in notional results in UK Parliament constituency articles, like notional results for the 2005 general election for 2010 results and notational results for the 1992 UK general election for the 1997 UK general election. It would be terrible to take away notational change information when that information is very useful. We need a ruling on this. 2607:FEA8:53D7:DF00:64B3:1207:CE4D:670C (talk) 03:23, 4 September 2024 (UTC)
- I can see both sides here. Notional results are used by BBC, Sky etc having been calculated by professors in an official capacity, and they can be cited easily enough. To reach a comprise, can't we show the notional results without including percentage changes? doktorb wordsdeeds 04:13, 4 September 2024 (UTC)
- I have no objection to Notional results being in the main text of the article. It is though misleading in the election results as notional results are not people voting but a psephological calculation. I am not opposed to a notion results text section containing all of the notional results for a seat. This in my opinion only applies to boundary changes and not new seats as a new seat is a new seat and that has never had the electorate it currently has in any way shape or form prior to being created. LawNerd123 (talk) 23:04, 4 September 2024 (UTC)
- You're removing all of them though. Is there anyway we can get LawNerd123 to stop removing percentage changes until a decision has been made on this. And I don't agree with LawNerd123 on new seats. I think percentage changes and notional results should be included for new seats also. We still need a ruling on this. 2607:FEA8:53D7:DF00:9801:5E1F:CCBD:7FA8 (talk) 23:33, 5 September 2024 (UTC)
- No compelling or policy reason for retention has been given for keeping the confusing, and mathematically misleading information. If you want a separate section on notional results and to put it in the pros be my guest. Notional results are not elections no one voted in a national result, they are academic calculations. So listing them in elections is misleading, confusing and downright incorrect. LawNerd123 (talk) 00:40, 6 September 2024 (UTC)
- But you don't have consensus to make such a sweeping decision. When every media source uses notional results as a starting off point, Wikipedia has to at least consider referencing them, surely? doktorb wordsdeeds 03:44, 6 September 2024 (UTC)
- Considering that consensus was attempted and there was silence I went with the bold. There is no point hanging around forever waiting for people yo reply when you have done all you can to initiate a discussion. the argument of "wait forever on a wall of silence goes against the very essence of Wikipedia which is to make the changes and discuss them afterwards. Making the changes and then having a discussion no one took part in is not an excuse for others to go well you don't have consensus. That is ridiculous. Finally, the "every media source" argument is the biggest red herring and failure of decision-making and not analysing the merits of something that could be argued. LawNerd123 (talk) 00:51, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- But you don't have consensus to make such a sweeping decision. When every media source uses notional results as a starting off point, Wikipedia has to at least consider referencing them, surely? doktorb wordsdeeds 03:44, 6 September 2024 (UTC)
- No compelling or policy reason for retention has been given for keeping the confusing, and mathematically misleading information. If you want a separate section on notional results and to put it in the pros be my guest. Notional results are not elections no one voted in a national result, they are academic calculations. So listing them in elections is misleading, confusing and downright incorrect. LawNerd123 (talk) 00:40, 6 September 2024 (UTC)
- You're removing all of them though. Is there anyway we can get LawNerd123 to stop removing percentage changes until a decision has been made on this. And I don't agree with LawNerd123 on new seats. I think percentage changes and notional results should be included for new seats also. We still need a ruling on this. 2607:FEA8:53D7:DF00:9801:5E1F:CCBD:7FA8 (talk) 23:33, 5 September 2024 (UTC)
- I have no objection to Notional results being in the main text of the article. It is though misleading in the election results as notional results are not people voting but a psephological calculation. I am not opposed to a notion results text section containing all of the notional results for a seat. This in my opinion only applies to boundary changes and not new seats as a new seat is a new seat and that has never had the electorate it currently has in any way shape or form prior to being created. LawNerd123 (talk) 23:04, 4 September 2024 (UTC)
We should keep the notional figures, as in this version, but we should make it clearer that the percentages relate to the notional 2019 result - perhaps adding a footnote to the column header which links to a note saying "Percentage change is shown relative to the 2019 notional election results for the revised boundaries / the new seat" with a link to the notional result on the parliamentary website. PamD 07:22, 6 September 2024 (UTC)
- I personally would be in favour of a completely separate section, and if there is to be an inclusion of these notional results there has to be inclusion of notional results going all the way back to when they started. Otherwise it is selective inclusion of the information which is the worst possible outcome. This is though only for seats with boundary changes. For new seats notional results are the ultimate confusion. A new seat has never been contested before and should not give any impression that it has in any way shape or form. LawNerd123 (talk) 00:53, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- I disagree. There is no logical difference between a new seat and a seat which has kept its name with 50% change in voters. PamD 03:59, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- Then by that logic there can be no change in percentage shown as the boundaries for a boundary change and a new seat have no people voting companion (an election) just some confusing academic research. I wholly agree with your position of no change in percentage being shown for election results for new seats or new boundaries. LawNerd123 (talk) 19:26, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- No, by my logic the official notional figures can be used to provide percentage changes both for new and for changed seats. PamD 23:13, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- The easiest way to create confusion is to add in changes in votes from a fictional election. A good academic theory notional elections are but a notional election is a fictional election. LawNerd123 (talk) 00:02, 8 September 2024 (UTC)
- No, by my logic the official notional figures can be used to provide percentage changes both for new and for changed seats. PamD 23:13, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- Then by that logic there can be no change in percentage shown as the boundaries for a boundary change and a new seat have no people voting companion (an election) just some confusing academic research. I wholly agree with your position of no change in percentage being shown for election results for new seats or new boundaries. LawNerd123 (talk) 19:26, 7 September 2024 (UTC)
- I disagree. There is no logical difference between a new seat and a seat which has kept its name with 50% change in voters. PamD 03:59, 7 September 2024 (UTC)