2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election

The 2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Wyoming. The election coincided with elections to other federal and state offices.

2014 Wyoming gubernatorial election

← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
Turnout63.37% Registered Decrease 6.41%
34.00% of Total Population Decrease 4.17%
 
Nominee Matt Mead Pete Gosar Don Wills
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 99,700 45,752 9,895
Percentage 59.39% 27.25% 5.89%

County results
Mead:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Gosar:      40–50%

Governor before election

Matt Mead
Republican

Elected Governor

Matt Mead
Republican

Incumbent Republican governor Matt Mead ran for re-election to a second term in office. Mead won the election with 59% of the vote, defeating Democrat Pete Gosar, Independent candidate Don Wills and Libertarian Dee Cozzens.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Taylor Haynes, physician, rancher and Independent write-in candidate for governor in 2010[1]
  • Cindy Hill, State Superintendent of Public Instruction[2]
  • Matt Mead, incumbent governor[3]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead
Cindy
Hill
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[4] July 19–21, 2013 780 ± 3.5% 69% 15% 16%

Results

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Results by county:
Mead
  •   Mead—70–80%
  •   Mead—60–70%
  •   Mead—50–60%
  •   Mead—40–50%
Haynes
  •   Haynes—40–50%
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Mead (incumbent) 53,673 54.04
Republican Taylor Haynes 31,532 31.75
Republican Cindy Hill 12,464 12.55
Republican Write-in 215 0.22
Republican Over Votes 26 0.03
Republican Under Votes 1,402 1.41
Total votes 99,312 100

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Results

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Results by county:
  Gosar—>90%
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pete Gosar 15,289 83.52
Democratic Write-in 510 2.78
Democratic Over Votes 5 0.03
Democratic Under Votes 2,502 13.67
Total votes 18,306 100

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Solid R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[9] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[10] Safe R November 3, 2014

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead (R)
Pete
Gosar (D)
Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[11] October 16–23, 2014 258 ± 11% 58% 33% 0% 9%
Mason-Dixon[12] October 6–8, 2014 625 ± 4% 53% 28% 6%[13] 13%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[14] September 20–October 1, 2014 264 ± 7% 53% 30% 7% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[15] August 18–September 2, 2014 350 ± 8% 53% 25% 12% 9%
Rasmussen Reports[16] August 20–21, 2014 700 ± 4% 55% 34% 7% 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[17] July 5–24, 2014 416 ± 5.1% 53% 25% 16% 5%
Hypothetical polling

With Mead

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[4] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 47% 36% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matt
Mead (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[4] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 62% 20% 18%

With Hill

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cindy
Hill (R)
Dave
Freudenthal (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[4] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 23% 57% 20%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cindy
Hill (R)
Gary
Trauner (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[4] July 19–21, 2013 1,203 ± 2.8% 29% 38% 33%

Results

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Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2014[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Matt Mead (incumbent) 99,700 59.39% −6.29%
Democratic Pete Gosar 45,752 27.25% +4.31%
Independent Don Wills 9,895 5.89% N/A
Write-in 8,490 5.06% +3.85%
Libertarian Dee Cozzens 4,040 2.41% −0.44%
Total votes 167,877 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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  1. ^ Doug Randall (April 29, 2013). "Haynes Announces Run For Governor". KGAB.com. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  2. ^ Doug Randall (January 31, 2013). "Hill Announces Run for Governor in 2014". KGAB.com. Retrieved January 20, 2014.
  3. ^ Kari Gray (March 11, 2014). "Governor Matt Mead Announces 2014 Re-Election Campaign". meadforgovernor.com. Archived from the original on March 13, 2014. Retrieved March 12, 2014.
  4. ^ a b c d e Public Policy Polling
  5. ^ a b "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
  6. ^ Ben Neary (May 17, 2014). "(Updated) Gosar announces run for Wyoming governor on Democratic side". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 18, 2014.
  7. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  8. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  9. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  10. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2018.
  11. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  12. ^ Mason-Dixon
  13. ^ Dee Cozzens (L) 3%, Don Wills (I) 3%
  14. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  15. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  16. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  17. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  18. ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
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Official campaign websites (Archived)