(89959) 2002 NT7 (provisional designation 2002 NT7) is a near-Earth object with a diameter of 1.4 kilometers and potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group.[2][3] It has a well determined orbit with an observation arc of 64 years including precovery images by Palomar Observatory dating back to 1954.[3]
| Discovery[1] | |
|---|---|
| Discovered by | LINEAR |
| Discovery site | Lincoln Lab's ETS |
| Discovery date | 9 July 2002 |
| Designations | |
| (89959) 2002 NT7 | |
| 2002 NT7 | |
| Orbital characteristics[2] | |
| Epoch 23 March 2018 (JD 2457800.5) | |
| Uncertainty parameter 0 | |
| Observation arc | 62.68 yr (22,894 days) |
| Aphelion | 2.6529 AU |
| Perihelion | 0.8180 AU |
| 1.7355 AU | |
| Eccentricity | 0.5286 |
| 2.29 yr (835 days) | |
| 79.375° | |
| 0° 25m 51.96s / day | |
| Inclination | 42.333° |
| 132.08° | |
| 300.67° | |
| Earth MOID | 0.0004 AU (60,000 km; 37,000 mi) |
| Physical characteristics | |
| 1.407±0.085 km[4] | |
| 0.224±0.053[4] | |
| 16.4[2] | |
2002 NT7 became the first object observed by NASA's NEO program to be assigned a positive rating on both the Torino Scale and the Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale[5] for a small chance of an impact on 1 February 2019, although it has now been known for years that it would pass Earth at roughly 0.4078 AU (61,010,000 km; 37,910,000 mi) on 13 January 2019 with an uncertainty region of around ±108 km.[6]
Discovery
editIt was discovered on 9 July 2002 by the Lincoln Near-Earth Asteroid Research team (LINEAR) at the U.S. Lincoln Laboratory Experimental Test Site near Socorro, New Mexico.[1] At the time of discovery it only had a 6-day observation arc of 9–14 July,[1] which poorly constrained possible future positions of the asteroid.
Despite inflammatory press reports, the object had a "low probability" of impact, approximately one in a million, for 1 February 2019.[7] On 22 July 2002, NEODyS posted a positive 0.18 Palermo Scale rating.[5] Further observations, especially from Erich Meyer, quickly lowered the probability. [1]. On 25 July 2002, the hazard rating on the Palermo scale was lowered to −0.25. However, the discovery of the object with a Palermo initial rating of 0.06[8] was a historical event for the NEO observation program.
2002 NT7 was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 1 August 2002 (23 days after discovery), meaning there is no risk of an impact by it in the next 100 years.[9] On 13 January 2019, the asteroid safely passed 0.4078 AU (61,010,000 km; 37,910,000 mi) from Earth with a 3-sigma uncertainty region of about ±108 km.[6] Between 1900 and 2195 the closest approach to Earth will occur on 15 January 2099 at a distance of roughly 0.3739 AU (55,930,000 km; 34,760,000 mi) with an uncertainty region of about ±430 km.[6]
On 30 January 2020, the asteroid safely passed 0.02718 AU (4,066,000 km; 2,527,000 mi) from 2 Pallas.[10]
References
edit- ^ a b c "MPEC 2002-N38 : 2002 NT7". IAU Minor Planet Center. July 14, 2002. (K02N07T)
- ^ a b c d "JPL Small-Body Database Browser: 89959 (2002 NT7)" (2017-03-15 last obs.). Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
- ^ a b c "89959 (2002 NT7)". Minor Planet Center. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
- ^ a b Mainzer, A.; Grav, T.; Bauer, J.; Masiero, J.; McMillan, R. S.; Cutri, R. M.; et al. (December 2011). "NEOWISE Observations of Near-Earth Objects: Preliminary Results". The Astrophysical Journal. 743 (2): 17. arXiv:1109.6400. Bibcode:2011ApJ...743..156M. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/743/2/156. S2CID 239991. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
- ^ a b "How A/CC broke the 2002 NT7 story". hohmanntransfer. March 29, 2003. Archived from the original on November 6, 2020. Retrieved April 25, 2019.
- ^ a b c "JPL Close-Approach Data: 89959 (2002 NT7)" (last observation: 2011-09-12; arc: 57 years). Retrieved November 4, 2011.
- ^ Asteroid 2002 NT7 Under Watch, But Probably Not Coming Our Way Archived 2006-04-05 at the Wayback Machine (25 July 2002)
- ^ "Space rock 'on collision course'". BBC News. July 24, 2002. Retrieved December 28, 2007.
- ^ "Date/Time Removed". NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office. Archived from the original on June 2, 2002. Retrieved May 6, 2011.
- ^ "NEODyS-2 Close Approaches for (89959) 2002NT7". Near Earth Objects – Dynamic Site. Retrieved November 5, 2011.
External links
edit- Simulation of the shrinking uncertainty region for 2019 Jan 28 – Peter Thomas
- (89959) 2002 NT7 at NeoDyS-2, Near Earth Objects—Dynamic Site
- (89959) 2002 NT7 at ESA–space situational awareness
- (89959) 2002 NT7 at the JPL Small-Body Database