The 2008 United States Senate election in Colorado was held November 4, 2008. The primary elections were held August 12, 2008.[1] Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Wayne Allard decided to retire instead of seeking a third term. Democratic nominee Mark Udall won the open seat, making this the first time a Democrat won this seat since 1972, and that Democrats held both Senate seats since 1979.
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  Udall: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Schaffer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
editCandidates
edit- Mark Udall, U.S. Representative
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Udall | 194,227 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 194,227 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
edit- Bob Schaffer, Colorado State Board of Education member, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2004
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bob Schaffer | 239,212 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 239,212 | 100.00% | ||
General election
editCampaign
editThe election featured an open contest because incumbent U.S. Senator Wayne Allard declined to seek re-election. He honored his 1996 pledge to serve no more than two terms in the U.S. Senate and announced that he would retire from his service to the US Senate and not seek a 3rd term, leaving Colorado's Class II Senate seat open. Both parties believed this senate contest would be one of the most competitive senate races during the 2008 election.[3]
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Lean D (flip) | October 23, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[5] | Likely D (flip) | October 31, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[6] | Likely D (flip) | November 2, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Likely D (flip) | October 28, 2008 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered | Mark Udall (D) |
Bob Schaffer (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hill Research Consultants[8] | August 26–28, 2007 | 45% | 40% |
| Ciruli Associates[9] | September 12–15, 2007 | 36% | 35% |
| SurveyUSA[10] | October 27–30, 2007 | 48% | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports[11] | November 28, 2007 | 41% | 42% |
| Research for Change[12] | December 3–5, 2007 | 39% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | February 11, 2008 | 43% | 44% |
| McLaughlin & Associates/ Coalition for a Democratic Workplace[14] |
March 6–9, 2008 | 44% | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | March 17, 2008 | 46% | 43% |
| New Leadership USA/TargetPoint[15] | March 31 – April 7, 2008 | 45% | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | April 16, 2008 | 45% | 42% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | May 19, 2008 | 47% | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports[17] | June 17, 2008 | 49% | 40% |
| Garin-Hart-Yang/DSCC[18] | June 15–17, 2008 | 46% | 37% |
| Quinnipiac[19] | June 26, 2008 | 48% | 38% |
| Public Policy Polling (PPP)[20] | July 10, 2008 | 47% | 38% |
| Keith Frederick[21] | July 22, 2008 | 48% | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | July 22, 2008 | 49% | 46% |
| Quinnipiac[22] | July 24, 2008 | 44% | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | August 13, 2008 | 50% | 42% |
| Hill Research Consultants[23] | August 24, 2008 | 41% | 38% |
| Tarrance Group[24] | September 3, 2008 | 41% | 40% |
| Public Policy Polling[25] | September 21, 2008 | 48% | 40% |
| Quinnipiac[26] | September 14–21, 2008 | 48% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | September 23, 2008 | 46% | 44% |
| Denver Post[27] | September 29 – October 1, 2008 | 43% | 38% |
| Ciruli Associates[28] | October 1, 2008 | 45% | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | October 16, 2008 | 51% | 44% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mark Udall | 1,231,049 | 52.80% | +7.03% | |
| Republican | Bob Schaffer | 990,784 | 42.49% | −8.20% | |
| Constitution | Douglas Campbell | 59,736 | 2.56% | +1.04% | |
| Green | Bob Kinsey | 50,008 | 2.14% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 135 | 0.01% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 2,331,712 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Larimer (largest city: Fort Collins)
- Grand (Largest city: Granby)
- Garfield (largest municipality: Glenwood Springs)
- Eagle (largest municipality: Edwards)
- Jefferson (largest city: Lakewood)
- Arapahoe (largest city: Aurora)
- Chaffee (largest city: Salida)
- Ouray (largest city: Ouray)
- San Juan (largest municipality: Silverton)
- Mineral (Largest city: Creede)
- Conejos (largest municipality: Manassa)
- Alamosa (largest municipality: Alamosa)
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ "Candidate List for the August 12, 2008 Primary Election" (PDF). Colorado State Government. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 16, 2008. Retrieved June 26, 2008.
- ^ a b c "Official Publication of the Abstract of Votes Cast for the 2008 Primary, 2008 General" (PDF). State of Colorado.
- ^ Phillips, Kate (June 13, 2008). "G.O.P. Leader Maps Senate Elections". The New York Times.
- ^ "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
- ^ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics
- ^ "2008 Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
- ^ "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
- ^ Hill Research Consultants Archived November 27, 2007, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Ciruli Associates
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Research for Change
- ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
- ^ McLaughlin & Associates/
Coalition for a Democratic Workplace - ^ New Leadership USA/TargetPoint
- ^ a b c d e f Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Garin-Hart-Yang/DSCC
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Public Policy Polling(PPP)
- ^ Keith Frederick
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Hill Research Consultants
- ^ Tarrance Group
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac
- ^ Denver Post
- ^ Ciruli Associates
External links
edit- Elections Center Archived July 1, 2010, at the Wayback Machine from the Colorado Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Colorado at Project Vote Smart
- Colorado, U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
- Colorado U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- "Colorado U.S. Senate race, from 2008 Race Tracker". Archived from the original on June 24, 2008. Retrieved June 22, 2008.
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Schaffer (R) vs Udall (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Bob Kinsey, Green Party candidate
- Bob Schaffer, Republican candidate
- Mark Udall, Democratic candidate