Wikipedia

2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina

The 2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 4, 2008, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham won election to a second term.[1][2]

2008 United States Senate election in South Carolina
← 2002 November 4, 2008 2014 →
 
Nominee Lindsey Graham Bob Conley
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,076,150 790,216
Percentage 57.52% 42.25%
Graham:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Conley:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. senator before election

Lindsey Graham
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Lindsey Graham
Republican

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Polling

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Source Date Graham Witherspoon
Public Policy Polling[3] January 17, 2008 52% 5%

Results

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2008 South Carolina U.S. Senate Republican primary election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Lindsey Graham (incumbent) 187,736 66.8%
Republican Buddy Witherspoon 93,125 33.2%
Turnout 280,861

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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  • Bob Conley, pilot
  • Michael Cone, attorney

Campaign

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Conley, a conservative Democrat, supported ending illegal immigration, "protecting American workers," bringing American troops home from the Iraq War, increasing veterans' benefits, reducing American dependence on foreign oil, tougher regulations on Wall Street (bringing back Glass-Steagall), ending Wall Street bailouts, repealing the Patriot Act, "cutting spending," and "fidelity to the Constitution."[4] He also opposed same-sex marriage.[5]

Michael Cone, Conley's primary opponent, criticized Conley for being too conservative, that "We've nominated a Republican in a Democratic primary." Conley was a Republican but left the party due to frustration over immigration, trade, and the Iraq War. Some compared him to Republican Congressman Ron Paul, as Conley supported Paul in his presidential campaign.[4][6]

Results

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Conley defeated Cone in the primary election on June 16, following a recount, by a margin of 1,058 votes.[7]

2008 South Carolina U.S. Senate Democratic primary election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Bob Conley 74,125 50.3%
Democratic Michael Cone 73,127 49.7%
Turnout 147,252

General election

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Candidates

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  • Bob Conley (D), pilot
  • Lindsey Graham (R), incumbent U.S. Senator

Campaign

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Conley, who had switched to the Democratic Party from the Republican Party,[8] was opposed by much of the Democratic establishment because of his controversial positions such as his vocal opposition to immigration reform and same-sex marriage and his support of Ron Paul's presidential bid. A number of prominent Democratic figures in the state, including U.S. Congressman Jim Clyburn, supported Lindsey Graham over Conley in the general election.[9] Political scientist Bill Moore claimed "The bottom line is, by not paying attention to this race, they ended up embarrassed by what has transpired: a Republican getting the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. Senate and a Republican who comes across as even more conservative than Lindsey Graham."

Graham had $3.8 million. In fact, he spent more time on the campaign trail for John McCain than he has defending his own seat. Conley only raised $23,628 during the campaign. Conley was so unknown that even Graham admitted "Almost no one knows my opponent. The Democrats really didn't field a — make a serious challenge — in terms of trying to find an opponent for me."[10]

Despite Conley's landslide defeat, he is the last Democrat to carry McCormick County in a Senate election as of 2023.

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R October 23, 2008
CQ Politics[12] Safe R October 31, 2008
Rothenberg Political Report[13] Safe R November 2, 2008
Real Clear Politics[14] Safe R November 4, 2008

Polling

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Poll Source Dates administered Conley Graham
Public Policy Polling[15] July 9–11, 2008 32% 54%
Rasmussen Reports[16] September 18, 2008 41% 50%
Survey USA[17] September 21–22, 2008 40% 54%
Survey USA[18] October 12–13, 2008 40% 56%
Survey USA[19] October 28–29, 2008 39% 58%

Results

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General election results[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Lindsey Graham (incumbent) 1,076,534 57.52% +3.1%
Democratic Bob Conley 790,621 42.25% −1.9%
Write-ins 4,276 0.23% +0.1%
Majority 285,913 15.27%
Turnout 1,871,431
Republican hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ US Senate recount shows Conley to face Graham. WBTV 3 News. June 16, 2008. Accessed November 17, 2008
  2. ^ 2008 General election statewide results. South Carolina State Election Commission. Accessed November 17, 2008.
  3. ^ Public Policy Polling
  4. ^ a b Hunter, Jack (June 18, 2008). "Democrat Bob Conley offers conservatives a real choice in November". Charleston City Paper. Archived from the original on September 3, 2008 – via Wayback Machine.
  5. ^ "The Issues". Bob Conley for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on October 31, 2008. Retrieved November 29, 2008.
  6. ^ Elonkey. Bob Conley: "The Ron Paul Democrat" Archived September 18, 2008, at the Wayback Machine June 23, 2008
  7. ^ US Senate recount shows Conley to face Graham. WBTV 3 News.
  8. ^ Graham's Dem challenger was SC county GOP official. International Herald Tribune, June 20, 2008. Accessed November 17, 2008
  9. ^ Graham easily wins second term.[permanent dead link‍] The State, November 5, 2008. Accessed November 17, 2008.
  10. ^ Republican Graham aims to turn aside Dem challenge | SCNOW[permanent dead link‍]
  11. ^ "2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  12. ^ Race Ratings Chart: Senate Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine CQ Politics
  13. ^ "2008 Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 1, 2021.
  14. ^ "2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved August 31, 2021.
  15. ^ Public Policy Polling
  16. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  17. ^ Survey USA
  18. ^ Survey USA
  19. ^ Survey USA
  20. ^ "U.S. Senate: South Carolina". CNN. November 4, 2008. Retrieved November 4, 2008.
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