The 2010 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic governor Mike Beebe ran for re-election, and faced former state senator Jim Keet, whom he defeated in a landslide to win a second and final term as governor, despite the year being a Republican midterm wave year and Democratic senator Blanche Lincoln being unseated by a 21-point margin on the same ballot. Beebe's vote percentage and margin of victory was the highest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the country that year.
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To date, this alongside several concurrent elections are the last time that Democrats won a statewide election in Arkansas and the last time a candidate of either party carried every county in a contested election. This election marked the last time in which a Democrat won the gubernatorial seat in Arkansas to date and is also the last time that a gubernatorial nominee and a lieutenant gubernatorial nominee of different political parties were elected in Arkansas as well.
Candidates
editDemocratic Party
edit- Mike Beebe, incumbent governor
Republican Party
edit- Jim Keet, former state senator
Green Party
edit- Jim Lendall, former state representative and 2006 gubernatorial nominee
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[1] | Safe D | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[2] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[3] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[5] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Mike Beebe (D) |
Jim Keet (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[6] | October 28, 2010 | 60% | 38% |
| CNN/Time Magazine[7] | October 15–19, 2010 | 62% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports[8] | September 30, 2010 | 51% | 41% |
| Mason-Dixon[9] | September 12–14, 2010 | 54% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports[10] | August 18, 2010 | 53% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports[11] | July 20, 2010 | 50% | 40% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[12] | July 16–18, 2010 | 57% | 35% |
| Talk Business[13] | July 17, 2010 | 50% | 41% |
| Rasmussen Reports[14] | June 15, 2010 | 57% | 33% |
| Rasmussen Reports[15] | May 19, 2010 | 53% | 38% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Beebe (incumbent) | 503,336 | 64.42% | +8.81% | |
| Republican | Jim Keet | 262,784 | 33.63% | −7.03% | |
| Green | Jim Lendall | 14,513 | 1.86% | +0.21% | |
| Write-in | 700 | 0.09% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 781,333 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Benton (Largest city: Rogers)
- Boone (Largest city: Harrison)
- Carroll (Largest city: Berryville)
- Newton (Largest city: Jasper)
- Madison (Largest city: Huntsville)
- Marion (Largest city: Bull Shoals)
- Baxter (Largest city: Mountain Home)
- Searcy (Largest city: Marshall)
- Saline (Largest city: Benton)
- Lonoke (Largest city: Cabot)
- Polk (Largest city: Mena)
- Sebastian (Largest city: Fort Smith)
- Crawford (Largest city: Van Buren)
- Pope (Largest city: Russellville)
References
edit- ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ CNN/Time Magazine
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Ipsos/Reuters
- ^ Talk Business
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ "2010 General Election & Non Partisan Judicial Runoff Election". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
External links
edit- Elections at the Arkansas Secretary of State
- Arkansas Governor Candidates Archived September 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Arkansas Governor from Follow the Money
- "2010 Arkansas Governor General Election: Jim Keet (R) vs Mike Beebe (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com". Archived from the original on April 19, 2013. Retrieved August 29, 2010.
- Election 2010: Arkansas Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- Arkansas Governor - Keet vs. Beebe from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Arkansas Governor's Race[permanent dead link] from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign websites (archived)
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