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2010 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

The 2010 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 26 March 2010. The leadership election was held after the defeat of the PSD in the 2009 general elections.[1] The then PSD leader, Manuela Ferreira Leite, decided to not contest this leadership election and four candidates entered in the race: Pedro Passos Coelho, candidate also in 2008; Paulo Rangel; José Pedro Aguiar-Branco and Castanheira Barros. On election day, Passos Coelho won the leadership by a landslide, capturing more than 61% of the votes, while Rangel only polled 34%. The other two candidates had results below 4%.[2]

2010 Social Democratic Party leadership election
Social Democratic Party
← 2008 26 March 2010 2012 →
Turnout66.3% Increase7.2 pp
 
Pedro Passos Coelho (9298463251)cropped.jpg
Paulo Rangel na Exponor.JPG
José Pedro Aguiar-Branco.jpg
Candidate Pedro Passos Coelho Paulo Rangel José Pedro Aguiar-Branco
Popular vote 31,671 17,821 1,769
Percentage 61.2% 34.4% 3.4%
Leader before election

Manuela Ferreira Leite

 Elected Leader

Pedro Passos Coelho

Pedro Passos Coelho would lead the PSD to victory in the 2011 snap general elections and become Prime Minister.[3]

Candidates

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Name Born Experience Announcement date Ref.
 
Pedro Passos Coelho 		24 August 1964
(age 45)
Coimbra
Social Democratic Youth leader (1990–1995)
Member of Parliament for Lisbon (1991–1999) 		21 January 2010 [4]
 
Paulo Rangel 		18 February 1968
(age 42)
Vila Nova de Gaia 		Member of the European Parliament (2009–2024)
Leader of the Social Democratic Parliamentary Caucus (2008–2009)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2005–2009) 		10 February 2010 [5]
 
José Pedro Aguiar-Branco 		18 July 1957
(age 52)
Porto 		Minister of Justice (2004–2005)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2005–2015) 		12 February 2010 [6]
Castanheira Barros 1952
(age 52)
Coimbra 		Lawyer
PSD member 		4 March 2010 [7]

Opinion polls

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All voters

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Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size       Others
/Undecided 		Lead
Passos Coelho Paulo Rangel Aguiar-Branco Castanheira Barros
Intercampus 23–24 Mar 2010 605 36.9 25.1 9.8 1.0 27.3 11.8
Marktest 16–21 Mar 2010 808 34.7 22.9 6.3 — 36.1 11.8
Euroexpansão 16–21 Mar 2010 928 33.0 22.0 5.1 0.6 39.3 11.0
CESOP–UCP 6–9 Mar 2010 1,148 27 22 7 1 43 5
Eurosondagem 4–9 Mar 2010 1,019 47.1 22.1 15.9 1.9 13.0 25.0
Aximage 17–19 Feb 2010 600 41.9 37.1 12.2 — 8.8 4.8

PSD voters/PSD members

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Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size       Others
/Undecided 		Lead
Passos Coelho Paulo Rangel Aguiar-Branco Castanheira Barros
Intercampus (PSD voters) 23–24 Mar 2010 180 43.3 36.7 9.2 1.4 8.9 6.6
Marktest (PSD voters) 16–21 Mar 2010 140 42.2 28.9 6.7 — 22.2 13.3
Euroexpansão (PSD voters) 16–21 Mar 2010 293 43.0 33.8 5.1 0.3 17.8 9.2
Pitagórica (PSD members) 15–21 Mar 2010 612 48.8 38.8 4.8 0.3 7.2 10.0
Pitagórica (PSD members) 10–14 Mar 2010 541 52.3 31.3 7.8 1.0 7.6 21.0
CESOP–UCP (PSD voters) 6–9 Mar 2010 ? 35 32 8 0 25 5
Hypothetical polling
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Ferreira Leite Marques Mendes Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa Paulo Rangel Pedro Passos Coelho Aguiar-Branco Nuno Morais Sarmento Rui Rio Others
/Undecided 		Lead
Intercampus 23–27 Feb 2010 1,015 0.4 — 27.7 20.0 25.5 7.3 — 0.9 18.2 2.2
Aximage 17–19 Feb 2010 600 — — 46.7 7.5 16.1 1.9 — 25.0 2.8 21.7
Eurosondagem 4–9 Feb 2010 1,025 3.2 6.7 30.9 4.7 24.4 15.8 2.0 — 12.3 6.5

Results

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Summary of the March 2010 PSD leadership election results
Candidate 26 March 2010
Votes %
Pedro Passos Coelho 31,671 61.20
Paulo Rangel 17,821 34.44
José Pedro Aguiar-Branco 1,769 3.42
Castanheira Barros 138 0.27
Total 51,399
Valid votes 51,399 99.33
Invalid and blank ballots 349 0.67
Votes cast / turnout 51,748 66.26
Registered voters 78,094
Sources: Official results
Vote share
Pedro Passos Coelho
 
 61.20%
Paulo Rangel
 
 34.44%
Aguiar Branco
 
 3.42%
Castanheira Barros
 
 0.27%
Blank/Invalid
 
 0.67%

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Manuela Ferreira Leite admite directas no PSD depois da votação do orçamento ", Público, 23 October 2009. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
  2. ^ "Passos Coelho eleito líder do PSD", Diário de Notícias, 27 March 2010. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
  3. ^ "Vitória de Passos Coelho nas Eleições Legislativas de 2011", RTP, 6 June 2011. Retrieved 6 March 2022.
  4. ^ Público (22 January 2010). "Mudar, o livro de Passos Coelho, é uma análise do país e também o seu farol para o partido". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
  5. ^ Correio da Manhã (10 February 2010). "PSD: Paulo Rangel apresenta candidatura". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
  6. ^ Público (12 February 2010). "Aguiar-Branco assume candidatura à presidência do PSD". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
  7. ^ Público (3 March 2010). "Castanheira Barros formaliza quinta-feira candidatura à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 6 March 2022.
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