The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.
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 County results Coburn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
editCandidates
edit- Tom Coburn, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Evelyn Rogers, librarian[1]
- Lewis Kelly Spring, teacher[2]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Coburn (incumbent) | 223,997 | 90.4% | |
| Republican | Evelyn Rogers | 15,093 | 6.1% | |
| Republican | Lewis Kelly Spring | 8,812 | 3.5% | |
| Total votes | 247,902 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
edit- Jim Rogers, retired college professor
- Mark Myles, businessman
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Rogers | 157,955 | 65.4% | |
| Democratic | Mark Myles | 83,715 | 34.6% | |
| Total votes | 241,670 | 100.0% | ||
General election
editCandidates
edit- Tom Coburn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Ronald Dwyer (I), activist
- Jim Rogers (D), teacher
- Stephen Wallace (I), businessman[4]
Campaign
editCoburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats.[5] His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate[6] who did little campaigning.[7]
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[8] | Solid R | October 26, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[9] | Safe R | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[10] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[12] | Safe R | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Jim Rogers (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | June 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 65% | 26% | 3% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[14] | July 28, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 65% | 31% | 1% | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports[15] | August 26, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 67% | 24% | 3% | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports[16] | September 23, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 68% | 26% | 2% | 4% |
| SoonerPoll[17] | October 3–7, 2010 | 755 | ± ? | 62% | 22% | 2% | 14% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Dan Boren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 53% | 36% | — | 11% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Brad Henry (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 52% | 40% | — | 8% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Coburn (R) |
Mark Myles (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[13] | June 30, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 62% | 27% | 4% | 6% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Cole (R) |
Dan Boren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 40% | — | 18% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Cole (R) |
Brad Henry (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 44% | 43% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
J. C. Watts (R) |
Dan Boren (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 46% | 41% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
J. C. Watts (R) |
Brad Henry (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[18] | May 13–17, 2009 | 715 | ± 3.7% | 45% | 44% | — | 11% |
Fundraising
edit| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Coburn (R) | $1,935,820 | $2,103,749 | $671,135 | $0 |
| Jim Rogers (D) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[19] | ||||
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Coburn (incumbent) | 718,482 | 70.64% | +17.87% | |
| Democratic | Jim Rogers | 265,814 | 26.13% | −15.11% | |
| Independent | Stephen Wallace | 25,048 | 2.46% | N/A | |
| Independent | Ronald F. Dwyer | 7,807 | 0.77% | N/A | |
| Majority | 452,668 | 44.50% | |||
| Total votes | 1,017,151 | 100.00% | |||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Atoka (Largest city: Atoka)
- Bryan (Largest city: Durant)
- Caddo (Largest city: Anadarko)
- Coal (Largest city: Coalgate)
- Cotton (Largest city: Walters)
- Craig (Largest city: Vinita)
- Greer (Largest city: Mangum)
- Harmon (Largest city: Hollis)
- Jefferson (Largest city: Waurika)
- Johnston (Largest city: Tishomingo)
- Kiowa (Largest city: Hobart)
- Le Flore (Largest city: Poteau)
- Love (Largest city: Marietta)
- Marshall (Largest city: Madill)
- Mayes (Largest city: Pryor Creek)
- Murray (Largest city: Sulphur)
- Nowata (Largest city: Nowata)
- Okfuskee (Largest city: Okemah)
- Osage (Largest city: Hominy)
- Pittsburg (Largest city: McAlester)
- Pushmataha (Largest city: Antlers)
- Seminole (Largest city: Seminole)
- Sequoyah (Largest city: Sallisaw)
- Tillman (Largest city: Frederick)
- Cherokee (Largest city: Tahlequah)
- Choctaw (Largest city: Hugo)
- Haskell (Largest city: Stigler)
- Hughes (Largest city: Holdenville)
- Latimer (Largest city: Wilburton)
- McIntosh (Largest city: Checotah)
- Muskogee (Largest city: Muskogee)
- Okmulgee (Largest city: Okmulgee)
- Ottawa (Largest city: Miami)
- Delaware (Largest city: Grove)
- Adair (Largest city: Stilwell)
References
editGeneral
- ^ "Candidate - Evelyn Rogers". Our Campaigns. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ http://www.springforussenate.com/Spring.cfm[permanent dead link]
- ^ a b "Oklahoma Primary Results". Politico. July 27, 2010. Retrieved July 27, 2010.
- ^ "Wallace". Wallace4senate.com. Archived from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2009_Archives/PPP_Release_OK_519.pdf [dead link]
- ^ GOP may dominate elections statewide | Tulsa World
- ^ "Tom Coburn cruises to a second and final term in the U.S. Senate | News OK". Archived from the original on August 9, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2010.
- ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oklahoma". fec.gov. Retrieved May 1, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "SUMMARY RESULTS: General Election - November 2, 2010". Archived from the original on August 5, 2012. Retrieved November 26, 2010.
Specific
- Official candidate list Archived September 14, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, Government of Oklahoma
External links
edit"Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 16, 2010.
- Oklahoma State Election Board
- U.S. Congress candidates for Oklahoma at Project Vote Smart
- Oklahoma U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Oklahoma Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Oklahoma Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Oklahoma Senate Coburn vs. Rogers from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Oklahoma Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- News coverage from The Oklahoman
Official campaign websites (Archived)