The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.[1]
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 County results Enzi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
editNo incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.[2]
Candidates
editDeclared
edit- Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[3][4]
- Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker[5][6]
- Mike Enzi, incumbent senator[7]
- James "Coaltrain" Gregory[5]
- Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant[5]
Withdrew
edit- Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Dick Cheney[8]
Endorsements
editMike Enzi
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)[9]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)[10]
- Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)[10]
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[10]
- Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)[10]
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)[11]
- John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008[11]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader[9]
- Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee[9]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)[12]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)[10]
- Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)[13]
Liz Cheney (withdrawn)
U.S. Ambassadors
- Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy[14]
Individuals
- Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[15]
- Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator[16]
- Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[17]
- Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator[18]
Polling
editHypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi |
Liz Cheney |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Polling[19] | July 17–18, 2013 | 422 | ± 4.77% | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 26% | 19% |
| Wickers Group ^[21] | August 22–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| Wickers Group ^[21] | October 25–28, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.5% | 69% | 17% | 14% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney |
Cynthia Lummis |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 780 | ± 3.5% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
Results
edit
Enzi
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 77,965 | 78.51% | |
| Republican | Bryan E. Miller | 9,330 | 9.39% | |
| Republican | James "Coaltrain" Gregory | 3,740 | 3.77% | |
| Republican | Thomas Bleming | 2,504 | 2.52% | |
| Republican | Arthur Bruce Clifton | 1,403 | 1.41% | |
| Republican | Write-in | 346 | 0.35% | |
| Republican | Over Votes | 51 | 0.05% | |
| Republican | Under Votes | 3,973 | 4.00% | |
| Total votes | 99,312 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate[5]
- Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012[23]
- Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate[5][24][25]
- Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010[26]
Declined
edit- Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008[27]
Results
edit
Hardy
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Wilde
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 7,200 | 39.33% | |
| Democratic | Rex Wilde | 3,012 | 16.46% | |
| Democratic | Al Hamburg | 2,988 | 16.32% | |
| Democratic | William Bryk | 1,670 | 9.12% | |
| Democratic | Write-in | 216 | 1.18% | |
| Democratic | Over Votes | 31 | 0.17% | |
| Democratic | Under Votes | 3,189 | 17.42% | |
| Total votes | 18,306 | 100.00% | ||
Independents and third parties
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot[28]
- Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home[29]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[30] | Solid R | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[32] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[33] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Charlie Hardy (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[34] | July 5–24, 2014 | 419 | ± 5.1% | 66% | 23% | 5% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports[35] | August 20–21, 2014 | 700 | ± 4% | 63% | 27% | 4% | 5% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[36] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 350 | ± 8% | 66% | 21% | 4% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 264 | ± 7% | 75% | 17% | 2% | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[37] | October 16–23, 2014 | 258 | ± 11% | 67% | 27% | 0% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
With Enzi
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Dave Freudenthal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 54% | 31% | — | 15% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Enzi (R) |
Gary Trauner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 66% | 19% | — | 14% |
With Cheney
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Dave Freudenthal (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 42% | 45% | — | 13% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Liz Cheney (R) |
Gary Trauner (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[20] | July 19–21, 2013 | 1,203 | ± 2.8% | 49% | 31% | — | 20% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mike Enzi (incumbent) | 121,554 | 72.19% | −3.44% | |
| Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 29,377 | 17.45% | −6.81% | |
| Independent | Curt Gottshall | 13,311 | 7.90% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Joseph Porambo | 3,677 | 2.18% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 471 | 0.28% | +0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 168,390 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
edit
References
edit- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
- ^ Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
- ^ "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
- ^ "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
- ^ Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.
- ^ a b c Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ a b c d e Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
- ^ a b "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ^ "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
- ^ Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
- ^ Harper Polling
- ^ a b c d e f Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b Wickers Group ^
- ^ a b "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
- ^ Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
- ^ Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
- ^ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
- ^ Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
- ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ a b CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.
External links
edit- U.S. Senate elections in Wyoming, 2014 at Ballotpedia
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
- Wyoming U.S. Senate debate excerpts, OnTheIssues.org
Official campaign websites (Archived)