The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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  Zinke: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Juneau: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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At the time, Montana's congressional district had a PVI of R+7. Republican Ryan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016.[1][2] He faced no primary opposition. Denise Juneau, who is the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election.[3][4] The primaries were held on June 7.
Republican primary
editCandidates
edit- Ryan Zinke, incumbent
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan Zinke (incumbent) | 144,660 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 144,660 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Denise Juneau | 112,821 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 112,821 | 100.0 | ||
General election
editPolling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ryan Zinke (R) |
Denise Juneau (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[6] | October 10–12, 2016 | 1,003 | ± 3.2% | 53% | 40% | 1%[7] | 6% |
| Montana State University Billings[8] | October 3–10, 2016 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 31% | — | 19% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ryan Zinke (incumbent) | 285,358 | 56.19% | +0.78% | |
| Democratic | Denise Juneau | 205,919 | 40.55% | +0.14% | |
| Libertarian | Rick Breckenridge | 16,554 | 3.26% | −0.92% | |
| Total votes | 507,831 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
editReferences
edit- ^ "Election 2016 Results: Bullock Re-elected Governor, Zinke Cruises". Flathead Beacon. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
- ^ "Zinke Announces Re-election Bid; Says He Will Defend Values". Flathead Beacon. Associated Press. March 6, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
- ^ "Denise Juneau launches campaign for Montana's U.S. House seat". Billings Gazette. Associated Press. November 4, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
- ^ Dennison, Mike. "Zinke and Juneau raising big bucks for U.S. House battle". KXLF. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
- ^ a b "2016 Statewide Montana Primary Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved June 22, 2016.
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Rick Breckenridge with 1%
- ^ Montana State University Billings
- ^ "2016 General Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2016.