2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

← 2014 November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08) 2017 (special) →
 
Nominee Ryan Zinke Denise Juneau
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 285,358 205,919
Percentage 56.2% 40.6%

Zinke:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Juneau:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ryan Zinke
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Zinke
Republican

At the time, Montana's congressional district had a PVI of R+7. Republican Ryan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016.[1][2] He faced no primary opposition. Denise Juneau, who is the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election.[3][4] The primaries were held on June 7.

Republican primary

edit

Candidates

edit

Results

edit
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Zinke (incumbent) 144,660 100.0
Total votes 144,660 100.0

Democratic primary

edit

Candidates

edit

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Denise Juneau 112,821 100.0
Total votes 112,821 100.0

General election

edit

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ryan
Zinke (R)
Denise
Juneau (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon[6] October 10–12, 2016 1,003 ± 3.2% 53% 40% 1%[7] 6%
Montana State University Billings[8] October 3–10, 2016 590 ± 4.0% 50% 31% 19%

Results

edit
Montana's at-large congressional district, 2016[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Ryan Zinke (incumbent) 285,358 56.19% +0.78%
Democratic Denise Juneau 205,919 40.55% +0.14%
Libertarian Rick Breckenridge 16,554 3.26% −0.92%
Total votes 507,831 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ "Election 2016 Results: Bullock Re-elected Governor, Zinke Cruises". Flathead Beacon. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
  2. ^ "Zinke Announces Re-election Bid; Says He Will Defend Values". Flathead Beacon. Associated Press. March 6, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  3. ^ "Denise Juneau launches campaign for Montana's U.S. House seat". Billings Gazette. Associated Press. November 4, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  4. ^ Dennison, Mike. "Zinke and Juneau raising big bucks for U.S. House battle". KXLF. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  5. ^ a b "2016 Statewide Montana Primary Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved June 22, 2016.
  6. ^ Mason-Dixon
  7. ^ Rick Breckenridge with 1%
  8. ^ Montana State University Billings
  9. ^ "2016 General Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2016.
edit