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2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana
← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout67.79% Decrease[1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,178,638 780,154
Percentage 58.09% 38.45%
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by parish.

Trump won the state with 58.09% of the vote, while Clinton received 38.45%. Trump performed slightly better in the state than Mitt Romney in 2012, but also slightly worse than John McCain in 2008. In contrast, Clinton's vote share in the state was a decrease from Barack Obama's vote shares in 2012 and 2008, where he earned 40.58% and 39.93%, respectively. Louisiana is also one of 11 states whose electoral votes went to Bill Clinton twice, but which Hillary Clinton did not win.[3] Six of those states, including Louisiana, have not supported any Democratic presidential candidate since Bill Clinton (The other five being Arkansas, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri), while an additional five (Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania) had all voted Democratic at least twice since Bill Clinton's re-election in 1996.[4]

Primary elections

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Twenty-four candidates were on the ballot.[5]

Democratic primary

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Main article: 2016 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary
Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 221,733 71.12% 37 7 44
Bernie Sanders 72,276 23.18% 14 0 14
Steve Burke 4,785 1.53%
John Wolfe Jr. 4,512 1.45%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,550 0.82%
Willie Wilson 1,423 0.46%
Keith Russell Judd 1,357 0.44%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,341 0.43%
Michael Steinberg 993 0.32%
Henry Hewes 806 0.26%
Uncommitted — 0 1 1
Total 311,776 100% 51 8 59
Source: [6][7]

Republican primary

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Main article: 2016 Louisiana Republican presidential primary
 
Republican primary results by parish.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz


Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Louisiana Republican primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 124,854 41.45% 25 0 25
Ted Cruz 113,968 37.83% 18 0 18
Marco Rubio 33,813 11.22% 0 0 0
John Kasich 19,359 6.43% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 4,544 1.51% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,145 0.71% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 670 0.22% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 645 0.21% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 401 0.13% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 243 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 180 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 152 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 3 0 3
Total: 301,241 100.00% 46 0 46
Source: The Green Papers

State Convention

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On March 24, the State Convention met in an attempt to reverse the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.[8] After conflicting reporting of their support for Ted Cruz, four of Rubio's five delegates publicly rebuked the reporting and committed to staying undecided.[9] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.[10][11] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.

General election

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Polling

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See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Louisiana

Predictions

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The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[12] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[13] Safe R November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Safe R November 7, 2016
NBC[15] Likely R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[16] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[17] Safe R November 7, 2016
ABC[18] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

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State Senate district results:
2016 U.S. presidential election in Louisiana, November 8, 2016[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump 1,178,638 58.09%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 780,154 38.45%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 37,978 1.87%
Green Jill Stein 14,031 0.69%
Independent Evan McMullin 8,547 0.42%
Independent Darrell Castle 3,129 0.15%
Write-in Others 2,330 0.11%
Independent Christopher Robert Keniston 1,881 0.09%
Independent Laurence Kotlikoff 1,048 0.05%
Independent Alyson Kennedy 480 0.02%
Independent Gloria La Riva 446 0.02%
Independent Jerry White 370 0.02%
Total votes 2,029,032 100.00%

Donald Trump carried the state, lengthening the Republican streak in Louisiana to 5 straight contests.

By parish

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Parish Donald Trump
Republican 		Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Acadia 21,162 77.26% 5,638 20.58% 589 2.16% 15,524 56.68% 27,389
Allen 6,867 74.28% 2,106 22.78% 272 2.94% 4,761 51.50% 9,245
Ascension 36,143 66.10% 16,476 30.13% 2,059 3.77% 19,667 35.97% 54,678
Assumption 6,714 61.57% 3,931 36.05% 259 2.38% 2,783 25.52% 10,904
Avoyelles 11,165 67.32% 5,035 30.36% 386 2.32% 6,130 36.96% 16,586
Beauregard 12,238 81.16% 2,393 15.87% 447 2.97% 9,845 65.29% 15,078
Bienville 3,756 53.62% 3,129 44.67% 120 1.71% 627 8.95% 7,005
Bossier 35,474 71.16% 12,641 25.36% 1,733 3.48% 22,833 45.80% 49,848
Caddo 49,006 46.32% 53,483 50.55% 3,315 3.13% -4,477 -4.23% 105,804
Calcasieu 54,191 64.68% 26,296 31.39% 3,298 3.93% 27,895 33.29% 83,785
Caldwell 3,822 81.46% 788 16.79% 82 1.75% 3,034 64.67% 4,692
Cameron 3,256 88.19% 323 8.75% 113 3.06% 2,933 79.44% 3,692
Catahoula 3,479 71.64% 1,322 27.22% 55 1.14% 2,157 44.42% 4,856
Claiborne 3,585 55.83% 2,717 42.31% 119 1.86% 868 13.52% 6,421
Concordia 5,477 61.73% 3,272 36.88% 123 1.39% 2,205 24.85% 8,872
DeSoto 8,068 59.76% 5,165 38.26% 267 1.98% 2,903 21.50% 13,500
East Baton Rouge 84,660 43.09% 102,828 52.33% 9,003 4.58% -18,168 -9.24% 196,491
East Carroll 1,059 36.03% 1,838 62.54% 42 1.43% -779 -26.51% 2,939
East Feliciana 5,569 55.46% 4,235 42.17% 238 2.37% 1,334 13.29% 10,042
Evangeline 10,360 69.61% 4,208 28.28% 314 2.11% 6,152 41.33% 14,882
Franklin 6,514 71.10% 2,506 27.35% 142 1.55% 4,008 43.75% 9,162
Grant 7,408 83.98% 1,181 13.39% 232 2.63% 6,227 70.59% 8,821
Iberia 20,903 64.41% 10,698 32.96% 853 2.63% 10,205 31.45% 32,454
Iberville 7,320 45.63% 8,324 51.89% 399 2.48% -1,004 -6.26% 16,043
Jackson 5,169 69.25% 2,139 28.66% 156 2.09% 3,030 40.59% 7,464
Jefferson 100,398 55.27% 73,670 40.56% 7,571 4.17% 26,728 14.71% 181,639
Jefferson Davis 10,775 75.47% 3,080 21.57% 422 2.96% 7,695 53.90% 14,277
Lafayette 68,195 64.58% 32,726 30.99% 4,682 4.43% 35,469 33.59% 105,603
Lafourche 31,959 76.74% 8,423 20.23% 1,263 3.03% 23,536 56.51% 41,645
LaSalle 5,836 88.84% 605 9.21% 128 1.95% 5,231 79.63% 6,569
Lincoln 10,761 57.64% 7,107 38.07% 801 4.29% 3,654 19.57% 18,669
Livingston 48,824 84.57% 6,950 12.04% 1,956 3.39% 41,874 72.53% 57,730
Madison 1,927 40.72% 2,744 57.99% 61 1.29% -817 -17.27% 4,732
Morehouse 6,502 54.86% 5,155 43.49% 195 1.65% 1,347 11.37% 11,852
Natchitoches 8,968 53.96% 7,144 42.98% 509 3.06% 1,824 10.98% 16,621
Orleans 24,292 14.65% 133,996 80.81% 7,524 4.54% -109,704 -66.16% 165,812
Ouachita 41,734 61.36% 24,428 35.91% 1,855 2.73% 17,306 25.45% 68,017
Plaquemines 6,900 65.26% 3,347 31.66% 326 3.08% 3,553 33.60% 10,573
Pointe Coupee 6,789 57.72% 4,764 40.51% 208 1.77% 2,025 17.21% 11,761
Rapides 36,816 64.77% 18,322 32.23% 1,706 3.00% 18,494 32.54% 56,844
Red River 2,391 54.07% 1,938 43.83% 93 2.10% 453 10.24% 4,422
Richland 6,287 65.51% 3,157 32.90% 153 1.59% 3,130 32.61% 9,597
Sabine 7,879 80.50% 1,703 17.40% 205 2.10% 6,176 63.10% 9,787
St. Bernard 10,237 64.73% 4,960 31.36% 618 3.91% 5,277 33.37% 15,815
St. Charles 16,621 63.46% 8,559 32.68% 1,012 3.86% 8,062 30.78% 26,192
St. Helena 2,497 41.87% 3,353 56.22% 114 1.91% -856 -14.35% 5,964
St. James 5,456 45.15% 6,418 53.11% 211 1.74% -962 -7.96% 12,085
St. John the Baptist 7,569 36.49% 12,661 61.04% 513 2.47% -5,092 -24.55% 20,743
St. Landry 21,971 54.96% 17,209 43.05% 797 1.99% 4,762 11.91% 39,977
St. Martin 16,873 65.53% 8,266 32.10% 611 2.37% 8,607 33.43% 25,750
St. Mary 14,359 62.77% 8,050 35.19% 468 2.04% 6,309 27.58% 22,877
St. Tammany 90,915 73.09% 27,717 22.28% 5,760 4.63% 63,198 50.81% 124,392
Tangipahoa 33,959 64.79% 16,878 32.20% 1,579 3.01% 17,081 32.59% 52,416
Tensas 1,182 46.39% 1,332 52.28% 34 1.33% -150 -5.89% 2,548
Terrebonne 31,902 72.68% 10,665 24.30% 1,329 3.02% 21,237 48.38% 43,896
Union 7,972 73.18% 2,691 24.70% 231 2.12% 5,281 48.48% 10,894
Vermilion 20,063 78.27% 4,857 18.95% 712 2.78% 15,206 59.32% 25,632
Vernon 13,471 80.99% 2,665 16.02% 497 2.99% 10,806 64.97% 16,633
Washington 12,556 67.40% 5,692 30.56% 380 2.04% 6,864 36.84% 18,628
Webster 11,542 63.61% 6,260 34.50% 343 1.89% 5,282 29.11% 18,145
West Baton Rouge 6,927 54.49% 5,383 42.35% 402 3.16% 1,544 12.14% 12,712
West Carroll 3,970 83.42% 715 15.02% 74 1.56% 3,255 68.40% 4,759
West Feliciana 3,390 58.46% 2,248 38.77% 161 2.77% 1,142 19.69% 5,799
Winn 4,608 72.32% 1,644 25.80% 120 1.88% 2,964 46.52% 6,372
Totals 1,178,638 58.09% 780,154 38.45% 70,240 3.46% 398,484 19.64% 2,029,032
 
 

By congressional district

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Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 69% 27% Steve Scalise
2nd 22% 75% Cedric Richmond
3rd 67% 29% Clay Higgins
4th 61% 37% Mike Johnson
5th 64% 34% Ralph Abraham
6th 65% 31% Garret Graves

Analysis

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Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.[20] Of the 2,029,032 total votes cast, Trump had 1,178,638 while Clinton had 780,154 votes.[21] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012 and 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 that East Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 that East Baton Rouge Parish voted for the Democratic candidate three elections in a row; Trump also became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying this parish since Richard Nixon in 1968.

Louisiana was one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Voter Statistics for November 8, 2016". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2020 - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  4. ^ "Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2020 - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  5. ^ "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. December 4, 2015. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  6. ^ The Green Papers
  7. ^ Louisiana Secretary of States
  8. ^ Epstein, Reid J. (March 24, 2016). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  9. ^ "Rubio Louisiana Delegates Under Fire: No, We Haven't Backed Ted Cruz". Talking Points Memo. April 15, 2016. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  10. ^ Katiana Krawchenko (May 4, 2016). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  11. ^ "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. May 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  12. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  13. ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  14. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  15. ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  16. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  17. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  18. ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  19. ^ "Louisiana Results". The New York Times. Retrieved July 21, 2020.
  20. ^ "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  21. ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results".
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