Wikipedia

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

Not to be confused with 2018 Alaska House of Representatives election.

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 116th United States Congress. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →
Turnout49.34%
 
Nominee Don Young Alyse Galvin[a]
Party Republican Independent
Alliance Democratic
Popular vote 149,779 131,199
Percentage 53.1% 46.5%
Young:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Galvin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Don Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Don Young
Republican

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Results

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Republican primary results by state house district
Map legend
  •   Young—70–80%
  •   Young—60–70%
  •   Young—50–60%
2018 Alaska Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 49,667 70.85%
Republican Thomas "John" Nelson 10,913 15.57%
Republican Jed Whittaker 9,525 13.59%
Total votes 70,105 100%

Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary

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Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.

Candidates

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Declared

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  • Christopher C. Cumings, running as Non-partisan (N)[4]
  • Alyse S. Galvin, running as Undeclared (U)[5]
  • Carol "Kitty" Hafner, running as Democrat (D)[6]
  • Dimitri Shein, running as Democrat (D)[7]

Endorsements

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Dimitri Shein (D)

Individuals

Organizations

Media

Results

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Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results by state house district
Map legend
  •   Galvin—60–70%
  •   Galvin—50–60%
  •   Galvin—40–50%
  •   Galvin—30–40%
  •   Galvin—<30%
  •   Shein—<30%
2018 Alaska Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Alyse S. Galvin 21,742 53.62%
Democratic Dimitri Shein 9,434 23.26%
Democratic Carol Hafner 6,071 14.97%
Independent Christopher C. Cumings 3,304 8.15%
Total votes 40,551 100%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Lean R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[11] Likely R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Lean R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[13] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[14] Lean R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[15] Lean R November 6, 2018

Endorsements

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Alyse Galvin (I)

Local and statewide politicians

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Don
Young (R) 		Alyse
Galvin (I) 		Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[20] October 26–29, 2018 500 – 48% 49% 3%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)[21] October 13–16, 2018 500 – 48% 44% 8%
Alaska Survey Research[22] October 12–14, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 49% 47% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[23] October 11–12, 2018 645 – 46% 43% 10%
Alaska Survey Research[24] October 1–6, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 50% 46% 4%
Alaska Survey Research[25] September 21–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 53% 43% 4%
Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)[26] June 7–12, 2018 540 ± 4.2% 40% 36% 24%

Results

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2018 Alaska's at-large congressional district[27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 149,779 53.08% +2.76%
Independent Alyse S. Galvin[a] 131,199 46.50% +10.48%
Write-in 1,188 0.42% +0.02%
Total votes 282,166 100% N/A
Republican hold

Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b Also listed as having the Democratic nomination.

References

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  1. ^ "John Nelson for Alaskans". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  2. ^ "Alaskans for Don Young". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  3. ^ "2018 Alaska primary election results". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  4. ^ "Ketchikan resident running for U.S. House of Representative". KRBD. June 8, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  5. ^ "Alyse for Alaska". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  6. ^ "Carol Hafner for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  7. ^ "Dimitri for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
  8. ^ "Alaska Candidate Rescues Neglected Children". YouTube. August 17, 2018.
  9. ^ "Election Results". Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  10. ^ "2018 House Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report.
  11. ^ "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com.
  12. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org.
  13. ^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  14. ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  15. ^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  16. ^ "I'm excited to share with you that Anchorage Assembly member Eric Croft has endorsed my campaign for Congress today. I'm grateful to earn his support, and I'm looking forward to continuing to work with him on behalf of a better future for families across Alaska". www.facebook.com. Alyse Galvin for Congress. January 24, 2018.
  17. ^ "PACE Recommendations - NEA-Alaska". www.neaalaska.org. NEA-Alaska. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  18. ^ "We Endorse Alyse Galvin for Congress- The Alaska Center". The Alaska Center.
  19. ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
  20. ^ Alaska Survey Research
  21. ^ Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
  22. ^ Alaska Survey Research
  23. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  24. ^ Alaska Survey Research
  25. ^ Alaska Survey Research
  26. ^ Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
  27. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
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Official campaign websites

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