2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.
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All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11.[1][2]
Statewide
editDistrict 1
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Gaetz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ehr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Greg Merk, retired United States Air Force officer[4]
- John Mills, retired United States Navy pilot and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018[4]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 87,457 | 80.9 | |
Republican | John Mills | 10,383 | 9.6 | |
Republican | Greg Merk | 10,227 | 9.5 | |
Total votes | 108,067 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Phil Ehr, retired United States Navy commander and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2018[6]
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Albert Oram, lawyer
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[8] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Matt Gaetz (incumbent) | 283,352 | 64.61% | ||
Democratic | Phil Ehr | 149,172 | 34.01% | ||
Independent | Albert Oram | 6,038 | 1.38% | ||
Total votes | 438,532 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 2
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Dunn: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% O'Connor: 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editWithdrawn
editIndependent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Kim O'Connor (write-in), candidate for Leon County commission in 2018[19]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[20] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Neal Dunn (incumbent) | 305,337 | 97.86% | ||
Independent | Kim O'Connor (write-in) | 6,662 | 2.14% | ||
Total votes | 311,999 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 3
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Precinct results Cammack: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Christensen: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms.[21]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho[22]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Ryan Chamberlin, author[23]
- Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[24]
- Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive[25]
- Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide[26]
- Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[27]
- Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman and candidate for this district in 2018[28]
- James St. George, physician[29]
- David Theus, business consultant[25]
- Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[30]
Withdrawn
editDeclined
edit- Rob Bradley, state senator[35]
- Keith Perry, state senator[35]
- Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. representative[21]
Endorsements
editFederal officials
State officials
- Denise Grimsley, former state senator (2012–2018) and state representative (2004–2012)[37]
Organizations
- Police Benevolent Association (PBA) North Central Florida Chapter[38]
- Republican Liberty Caucus[39]
- Tea Party Express[40]
- Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund[41]
State officials
- Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000–2008)[42]
- Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010–2016)[42]
State officials
- Anthony Sabatini, state representative[43]
Federal officials
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative (FL-16)[44]
- John Rutherford, U.S. representative (FL-04)[44]
- Cliff Stearns, former U.S. representative (FL-06) (1989–2013)[45]
State officials
- Chuck Brannan, state representative[46]
- Jennifer Carroll, former lieutenant governor (2011–2013)[47]
- Jason Fischer, state representative[48]
- Charlie Stone, state representative[47]
Individuals
- Dana Loesch, former National Rifle Association of America spokeswoman and Breitbart News editor[49]
- Roger Stone, political consultant and felon[50]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kat Cammack |
Ryan Chamberlin |
Todd Chase |
James St. George |
Keith Perry |
Gavin Rollins |
Judson Sapp |
Amy Pope Wells |
Other | Undecided |
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Meer Research[52] | August 6–8, 2020 | 317 (RV) | ± 5.75% | 25% | 3% | 6% | 13% | – | 11% | 15% | 3% | 4%[b] | 20% |
WPA Intelligence[53][A] | June 16–17, 2020 | 405 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 4% | – | 1% | 12% | 1% | 5%[c] | 60% |
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp[54][B] | Released April 20, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 5% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 4% | 16% | – | –[d] | >70% |
Clearview Research[55] | December 16–17, 2019 | 401 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | 9% | 2% | 6%[e] | 48% |
Hypothetical polling
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with Ted Yoho
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Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Kat Cammack | 21,679 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Judson Sapp | 17,180 | 20.0 | |
Republican | Gavin Rollins | 13,118 | 15.3 | |
Republican | James St. George | 12,125 | 14.1 | |
Republican | Todd Chase | 8,165 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Ryan Chamberlin | 5,067 | 5.9 | |
Republican | Amy Pope Wells | 3,564 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Bill Engelbrecht | 2,001 | 2.3 | |
Republican | David Theus | 1,874 | 2.2 | |
Republican | Joe Millado | 1,168 | 1.4 | |
Total votes | 85,941 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Adam Christensen, businessman[57]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Philip Dodds, sales manager and candidate for Florida's 3rd congressional district in 2012[57]
- Tom Wells, physicist[57]
Endorsements
editIndividuals
- Marianne Williamson, author, spiritual leader, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[58]
- Andrew Yang, entrepreneur and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[59]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Adam Christensen | 21,073 | 34.5 | |
Democratic | Tom Wells | 20,290 | 33.2 | |
Democratic | Philip Dodds | 19,730 | 32.3 | |
Total votes | 61,093 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[60] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Kat Cammack | 223,075 | 57.14% | ||
Democratic | Adam Christensen | 167,326 | 42.86% | ||
Total votes | 390,401 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 4
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Precinct results Rutherford: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Deegan: 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representative[61]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Erick Aguilar, professor and United States Navy veteran[62]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 80,101 | 80.2 | |
Republican | Erick Aguilar | 19,798 | 19.8 | |
Total votes | 99,899 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Donna Deegan, former news anchor for First Coast News[63]
Withdrawn
editEndorsements
editIndependent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Gary Koniz (write-in), retired journalist and perennial candidate[68]
General election
editDebate
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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John Rutherford | Donna Deegan | |||||
1 | Oct. 14, 2020 | WJXT | Kent Justice | [69] | P | P |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[70] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
John Rutherford (R) |
Donna Deegan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
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University of North Florida[71] | October 1–4, 2020 | 863 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 57% | 38% | 5%[f] | 0% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[72] | September 2, 2020 | 1,037 (LV) | – | 62% | 35% | – | 3% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | John Rutherford (incumbent) | 308,497 | 61.10% | ||
Democratic | Donna Deegan | 196,423 | 38.90% | ||
Independent | Gary Koniz (write-in) | 20 | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 504,940 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 5
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Precinct results Lawson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Adler: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Albert Chester, pharmacist[73]
- LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide and candidate for this district in 2016[74]
Endorsements
editOrganizations
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 52,823 | 55.7 | |
Democratic | Albert Chester | 24,579 | 25.9 | |
Democratic | LaShonda "LJ" Holloway | 17,378 | 18.3 | |
Total votes | 94,780 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Gary Adler, community activist[77]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Roger Wagoner, businessman[74]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gary Adler | 17,433 | 52.1 | |
Republican | Roger Wagoner | 16,012 | 47.9 | |
Total votes | 33,445 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[78] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Al Lawson (incumbent) | 219,463 | 65.13% | ||
Republican | Gary Adler | 117,510 | 34.87% | ||
Total votes | 336,973 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 6
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Precinct results Waltz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Curtis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Clint Curtis, lawyer and nominee for California's 4th congressional district in 2010[79]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Richard Thripp, professor[79]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Clint Curtis | 30,449 | 51.5 | |
Democratic | Richard Thripp | 28,661 | 48.5 | |
Total votes | 59,110 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman[68]
Independent Democrats
editDeclared
edit- Alan Grayson (write-in), former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[80]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[81] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Michael Waltz (incumbent) | 265,393 | 60.64% | ||
Democratic | Clint Curtis | 172,305 | 39.36% | ||
Independent | Gerry Nolan (write-in) | 112 | 0.01% | ||
Democratic | Alan Grayson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 437,856 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 7
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Precinct results Murphy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Valentín: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. representative[83]
Endorsements
editOrganizations
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Leo Valentín, radiologist[85]
Eliminated in primary
editWithdrawn
edit- Jan Edwards, businesswoman[87]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Leo Valentín | 19,841 | 38.6 | |
Republican | Richard Goble | 19,187 | 37.4 | |
Republican | Yukong Zhao | 12,330 | 24.0 | |
Total votes | 51,358 | 100.0 |
Independents and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- William Garlington, businessman and former actor[68]
General election
editDebate
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Independent |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Stephanie Murphy | Leo Valentin | William Garlington | |||||
1 | Oct. 13, 2020 | WESH | Greg Fox | [88] | P | P | P |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[89] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editHypothetical polling
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin
with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy
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Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) | 224,946 | 55.34% | ||
Republican | Leo Valentín | 175,750 | 43.24% | ||
Independent | William Garlington | 5,753 | 1.42% | ||
Total votes | 406,449 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 8
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Precinct results Posey: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Kennedy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Scott Caine, retired U.S. Air Force colonel[91]
Disqualified
edit- Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 54,861 | 62.5 | |
Republican | Scott Caine | 32,952 | 37.5 | |
Total votes | 87,813 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[91]
Withdrawn
edit- Tiffany Patti, activist[92]
Disqualified
editEndorsements
editOrganizations
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editWithdrawn
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[93] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Posey (incumbent) | 282,093 | 61.36% | ||
Democratic | Jim Kennedy | 177,695 | 38.64% | ||
Total votes | 459,788 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 9
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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Precinct results Soto: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Olson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative[94]
Withdrawn
editEndorsements
edit- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[84]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Jose Castillo, hospitality manager[98]
- Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker[99]
- Christopher Wright, attorney[98]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Olson | 20,751 | 48.6 | |
Republican | Christopher Wright | 9,677 | 22.7 | |
Republican | Jose Castillo | 8,595 | 20.1 | |
Republican | Sergio E. Ortiz | 3,680 | 8.6 | |
Total votes | 42,703 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Clay Hill (write-in), perennial candidate[68]
Withdrawn
edit- John Rallison, teacher and pastor[100]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[101] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Darren Soto (incumbent) | 240,724 | 56.02% | ||
Republican | Bill Olson | 188,889 | 43.96% | ||
Independent | Clay Hill (write-in) | 25 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 429,638 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 10
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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Precinct results Demings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Francois: 50–60% 60–70% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Val Demings, incumbent U.S. representative[102]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Vennia Francois, former U.S. Senate aide and candidate for Florida's 7th congressional district in 2018[103]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Willie Montague, pastor[103]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vennia Francois | 21,485 | 65.1 | |
Republican | Willie Montague | 11,498 | 34.9 | |
Total votes | 32,983 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editCandidates
edit- Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist[68]
Withdrawn
edit- Kristofer Lawson, writer[68]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[104] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Val Demings (incumbent) | 239,434 | 63.61% | ||
Republican | Vennia Francois | 136,889 | 36.36% | ||
Independent | Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in) | 74 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 376,397 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 11
edit | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Webster: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cottrell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editWithdrawn
edit- James Henry, former official in Greenfield, Massachusetts, and Hollis, Maine[106]
- Jeff Rabinowitz, author[107]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[108] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Daniel Webster (incumbent) | 316,979 | 66.72% | ||
Democratic | Dana Cottrell | 158,094 | 33.27% | ||
Total votes | 475,073 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 12
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Bilirakis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Walker: 50–60% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kimberly Walker, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran[109]
Endorsements
editIndependent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editWithdrawn
edit- Michael Knezevich, private investigator and former U.S. Customs Service pilot[111]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[112] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) | 284,941 | 62.88% | ||
Democratic | Kimberly Walker | 168,194 | 37.11% | ||
Total votes | 453,135 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 13
edit | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Crist: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Luna: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. representative[113]
Endorsements
editRepublican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Anna Paulina Luna, director of Hispanic Engagement for Turning Point USA and U.S. Air Force veteran[116]
Eliminated in primary
edit- George Buck, U.S. Army veteran and nominee for Florida's 13th congressional district in 2018[117]
- Sheila Griffin, attorney and candidate for St. Petersburg city council in 2015[118]
- Amanda Makki, lobbyist and former congressional aide[117]
Withdrawn
edit- Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg[119]
- Matt Becker, businessman and 2012 Republican National Convention executive[120][121]
- Sharon Newby, businesswoman[122] (endorsed Luna)[123]
Endorsements
editFederal officials
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01)[124]
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. representative (NY-21)[125]
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[126]
Local officials
- Bill Foster, former mayor of St. Petersburg (2010–2014)[127]
Organizations
Federal officials
- Michael Burgess, U.S. representative (TX-26)[129]
- Neal Dunn, U.S. representative (FL-02)[129]
- Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa[130]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014–2019) and House Majority Whip (2011–2014)[129]
- John Rutherford, U.S. representative (FL-04)[129]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative (LA-01), House Minority Whip, and former House Majority Whip (2014–2019)[129]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (FL-06)[129]
State officials
- J. W. Grant, state representative[131]
Organizations
- Fraternal Order of Police Lodges 10 and 43[132]
- FreedomWorks[133]
- Maggie's List[134]
- Maverick PAC[135]
- National Emergency Medicine (NEM) PAC[136]
- National Republican Congressional Committee[137]
- Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[138]
- Value in Electing Women (VIEW) PAC[139]
Individuals
- Robert J. O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[140]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
George Buck |
Sheila Griffin |
Anna Paulina Luna |
Amanda Makki |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[141] | August 15, 2020 | 626 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 26% | 6% | 29% | 20% | 1%[i] | – |
St. Pete Polls[142] | July 9, 2020 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 21% | 4% | 13% | 29% | 1%[j] | 32% |
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 22,941 | 36.1 | |
Republican | Amanda Makki | 17,967 | 28.3 | |
Republican | George Buck | 16,371 | 25.8 | |
Republican | Sheila Griffin | 4,329 | 6.8 | |
Republican | Sharon Newby (withdrawn) | 1,866 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 63,474 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependent Republicans
editDeclared
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[144] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | October 1, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Likely D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Charlie Crist (D) |
Anna Paulina Luna (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[145] | October 28, 2020 | 1,280 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 55% | 39% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls[145] | August 29–30, 2020 | 2,160 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 55% | 39% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charlie Crist (incumbent) | 215,405 | 53.03% | ||
Republican | Anna Paulina Luna | 190,713 | 46.95% | ||
Republican | Jacob Curnow (write-in) | 7 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 406,125 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 14
edit | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Castor: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Quinn: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. representative
Withdrawn
editRepublican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Paul Elliott, former Hillsborough County judge[148]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christine Quinn | 24,077 | 64.5 | |
Republican | Paul Elliott | 13,257 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 37,334 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editWithdrawn
edit- Robert Wunderlich, attorney and former Green Beret[149]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[150] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Castor (incumbent) | 224,240 | 60.25% | ||
Republican | Christine Quinn | 147,896 | 39.74% | ||
Total votes | 372,136 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 15
edit | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Franklin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Cohn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Scott Franklin, Lakeland city commissioner[152]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Ross Spano, incumbent U.S. representative[153]
Declined
edit- Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154]
- Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154]
- Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
- Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154] (running for Polk County School Board)
Endorsements
editFederal officials
Local officials
- Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County, Florida (2005–present)[156] (Independent)
U.S. senators
- Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present); Chair of the Senate Small Business Committee (2019–present); candidate for President in 2016[157]
U.S. representatives
- Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative from FL-12 (2013–present) and FL-09 (2007–2013)[158]
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative from FL-16 (2013–present) and FL-13 (2007–2013)[158]
- Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from WY-00 (2017–present); Chair of the House Republican Conference (2019–present); candidate for U.S. Senate from Wyoming in 2014[159]
- Mario Díaz-Balart, U.S. representative from FL-25 (2003–2011 and 2013–present) and FL-21 (2011–2013)[159]
- Tom Emmer, U.S. representative from MN-06 (2015–present); Chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee (2019–present)[159]
- Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from CA-23 (2013–present) and CA-22 (2007–2013); House Minority Leader (2019–present); Leader of the House Republican Conference (2019–present)[159]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from LA-01 (2008–present); House Minority Whip (2019–present)[159]
- Greg Steube, U.S. representative from FL-17 (2019–present)[154]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative from FL-06 (2019–present)[159]
- Daniel Webster, U.S. representative from FL-11 (2017–present), FL-10 (2013–2017), and FL-08 (2011–2013); candidate for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[158]
State legislators
- Kelli Stargel, Florida state senator from District 22 (2016–present) and District 15 (2012–2016)[159]
Local officials
- Carey Baker, property appraiser of Lake County, Florida (2012–present)[159]
Organizations
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of Error |
Scott Franklin |
Ross Spano |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[161] | August 12, 2020 | 594 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 18%[k] |
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Franklin | 30,736 | 51.2 | |
Republican | Ross Spano (incumbent) | 29,265 | 48.8 | |
Total votes | 60,001 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Alan Cohn, Peabody and Emmy award-winning journalist and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2014[162]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Adam Hattersley, state representative[163]
- Jesse Philippe, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[164]
Withdrawn
edit- Kel Britvec, former Defense Intelligence Agency officer[165]
- Andrew Learned, U.S. Naval Reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[166] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
- Loretta Miller, radio host and Republican candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[167][168] (died on April 13, 2020)
Declined
edit- Kristen Carlson, attorney and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[169] (endorsed Adam Hattersley)[170]
Endorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[171]
U.S. senators
- Kent Conrad, U.S. senator from North Dakota (1987–2013)[172]
- Bob Graham, U.S. senator from Florida (1987–2005); Governor of Florida (1979–1987); candidate for President in 2004[173]
U.S. representatives
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative from FL-13, Governor of Florida (2007–2011), Attorney General of Florida (2003–2007) (former Republican)[174]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2013–2017), U.S. representative from FL-19 (2010–2013[174]
- Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from FL-22, U.S. representative from FL-21 (2017–present)[174]
- Gwen Graham, U.S. representative from FL-02 (2015–2017); candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018[173]
- Patrick J. Kennedy, U.S. representative from RI-1, son of Ted Kennedy[172]
- Darren Soto, U.S. representative from FL-09 (2017–present)[174]
State executives
- Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–present)[174]
Municipal officials
- Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach, Florida (2013–2017); candidate for governor of Florida in 2018[175]
Individuals
- Randy Bryce, political activist[172]
- Cenk Uygur, political commentator, media host, journalist, and attorney; candidate for U.S. representative from CA-25 in 2020[176]
Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees[174]
- American Postal Workers Union[172]
- Communication Workers of America[174]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters[177]
- International Union of Operating Engineers[178]
- SEIU[174]
- United Association[177]
- United Food and Commercial Workers[177]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from FL-14 (2013–present) and FL-11 (2007–2013)[180]
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative from FL-07 (2017–present)[170]
State officials
- Betty Castor, education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994); Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[170]
State legislators
- Janet Cruz, Florida state senator from District 18 (2018–present)[170]
- Ben Diamond, Florida state representative from District 68 (2016–present)[170]
- Fentrice Driskell, Florida state representative from District 63 (2018–present)[170]
- Javier Fernandez, Florida state representative from District 114 (2018–present)[181]
- Dianne Hart, Florida state representative from District 61 (2018–present)[170]
- Evan Jenne, Florida state representative from District 99 (2014–present); Florida state representative from District 100 (2006–2012)[170]
- Kionne McGhee, Florida state representative from District 117 (2012–present); Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2018–present)[170]
- Wengay Newton, Florida state representative from District 70 (2016–present)[181]
- Sean Shaw, Florida state representative from District 61 (2016–2018); Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2018[170]
- Carlos Guillermo Smith, Florida state representative from District 49 (2016–present)[170]
- Susan Valdes, Florida state representative from District 62 (2018–present)[181]
- Jennifer Webb, Florida state representative from District 69 (2018–present)[170]
Municipal officials
- Sandra Freedman, mayor of Tampa, Florida (1986–1995)[170]
- Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida (2014–present)[170]
Individuals
- Kristen Carlson, attorney, Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-15 in 2018[170]
- John Hutson, United States Navy officer, attorney, and Judge Advocate General of the Navy[170]
- Nancy Soderberg, foreign policy strategist; Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-06 in 2018[170]
Labor unions
- International Association of Fire Fighters – Local 2294[170]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers – Local 824[170]
Organizations
- 314 Action[170]
- Blue Dog Coalition[182]
- College Democrats of America – Florida chapter[183]
- Florida Democratic Party – Disabilities Issues Caucus[170]
- Florida Democratic Party – LGBT+ Caucus[170]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alan Cohn | 21,079 | 41.0 | |
Democratic | Adam Hattersley | 16,978 | 33.0 | |
Democratic | Jesse Philippe | 13,384 | 26.0 | |
Total votes | 51,441 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | July 16, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[185] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Lean R | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean R | July 6, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | April 30, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of Error |
Scott Franklin (R) |
Alan Cohn (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[186][C] | October 22–24, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 44% | – |
St. Pete Polls[187] | October 15, 2020 | 943 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 41% | 11% |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[188][D] | September 30 – October 4, 2020 | 390 (LV) | ± 5% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
GQR Research (D)[189][E] | September 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 42% | – |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Scott Franklin | 216,374 | 55.38% | ||
Democratic | Alan Cohn | 174,297 | 44.61% | ||
Total votes | 390,671 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 16
edit | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Buchanan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Good: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. representative[113]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Margaret Good, state representative[190]
Endorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[191]
Organizations
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[196] | Likely R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | August 7, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Lean R | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Likely R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Vern Buchanan (R) |
Margaret Good (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Targeting (R)[197][F] | October 19–21, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 38% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R)[198][F] | October 6–8, 2020 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 37% | 1%[l] | 9% |
Change Research (D)[199][G] | October 5–8, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Data Targeting (R)[200][F] | September 29 – October 1, 2020 | 400 (LV) | – | 53% | 37% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D)[201] | September 24–27, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 43% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R)[202][F] | August 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 35% | – | – |
Global Strategy Group (D)[203] | July 7–12, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
Data Targeting (R)[204][F] | January 14–16, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 33% | – | 14% |
Hypothetical polling
| ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
|
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Vern Buchanan (incumbent) | 269,001 | 55.50% | ||
Democratic | Margaret Good | 215,683 | 44.49% | ||
Total votes | 484,684 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 17
edit | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Steube: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ellison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editIndependent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[207] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Steube (incumbent) | 266,514 | 64.62% | ||
Democratic | Allen Ellison | 140,487 | 34.06% | ||
Independent | Theodore Murray | 5,396 | 1.30% | ||
Total votes | 412,397 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 18
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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Precinct results Mast: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Keith: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. representative[208]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant[209]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 62,121 | 86.0 | |
Republican | Nick Vessio | 10,081 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 72,202 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016[210]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general[211]
Endorsements
editU.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts[212]
Individuals
- Cori Bush, Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district[213]
Organizations
- Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[216]
State officials
- Nikki Fried, state Agriculture Commissioner[217]
Organizations
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus Bold PAC[216]
- Florida AFL-CIO[218]
- Latino Victory[216]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[216]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pam Keith | 52,921 | 79.8 | |
Democratic | Oz Vazquez | 13,385 | 20.2 | |
Total votes | 66,306 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive[219]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[220] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Likely R | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely R | October 20, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Likely R | October 19, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Tossup | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Brian Mast (R) |
Pam Keith (D) |
K. W. Miller (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clearview Research (D)[221][H] | October 7–9, 2020 | 301 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | 4% | – |
St. Pete Polls[222] | September 18, 2020 | 1,149 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 42% | 2% | 5% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Brian Mast (incumbent) | 253,286 | 56.32% | ||
Democratic | Pam Keith | 186,674 | 41.50% | ||
Independent | K. W. Miller | 9,760 | 2.17% | ||
Total votes | 449,720 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 19
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Precinct results Donalds: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Banyai: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[223]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Byron Donalds, state representative[224]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Darren Aquino, disabilities activist and actor[225]
- Casey Askar, businessman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[226]
- Dane Eagle, majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives[227] (endorsed Donalds after primary loss)[228]
- William Figlesthaler, urologist[229]
- Randy Henderson, mayor of Fort Myers[230]
- Daniel Kowal, Collier County Sheriff's deputy[231]
- Christy McLaughlin, activist[232]
- Dan Severson, former Minnesota state representative and nominee for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2014[233]
Withdrawn
edit- Heather Fitzenhagen, state representative[234][235] (ran for state senate)
Declined
edit- Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[236]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator[237]
- Matt Caldwell, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[238]
- Chauncey Goss, son of former U.S. representative Porter Goss and candidate for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2016[239]
- Brian Hamman, Lee County commissioner[238]
- Matt Hudson, former state representative[239]
- Steve Martin, attorney[240]
- Jim Oberweis, Illinois state senator and nominee for U.S. Senate in Illinois in 2014[241] (running for IL-14)
- Kathleen Passidomo, state senator[238]
- Cecil Pendergrass, Lee County commissioner[229]
- Spencer Roach, state representative (endorsed Eagle)[242]
- Bob Rommel, state representative[243]
- Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. representative[223]
- Mike Scott, former Lee County sheriff[229]
- Drew Steele, local Fox News Radio host[238]
Endorsements
editOrganizations
Federal officials
- Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative (FL-12)[246]
State officials
- Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (2007–2013)[236]
- Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator and former state Senate majority leader (2012–2014) and Republican candidate in 2014 FL-19 special election[247]
- Matt Caldwell, former state representative (2010–2018)[236]
- Jeff Kottkamp, former lieutenant governor (2007–2011)[236]
- Spencer Roach, state representative[236]
- Ray Rodrigues, state representative[236]
Organizations
Individuals
- Michael Johns, former White House speechwriter to George H. W. Bush[248]
- Tim Pawlenty, 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former governor of Minnesota (2003–2011)[249]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Casey Askar |
Byron Donalds |
Dane Eagle |
William Figlesthaler |
Randy Henderson |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls[250] | August 16, 2020 | 439 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 8%[m] | 4% |
St. Pete Polls[251] | August 3, 2020 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 6%[m] | 14% |
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle[252][I] | July 23, 2020 | 282 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 6% | 3%[n] | 8% |
St. Pete Polls[253] | July 6, 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 30% | 26% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 4%[o] | 12% |
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Byron Donalds | 23,492 | 22.6 | |
Republican | Dane Eagle | 22,715 | 21.9 | |
Republican | Casey Askar | 20,774 | 20.0 | |
Republican | William Figlesthaler | 19,075 | 18.3 | |
Republican | Randy Henderson | 7,858 | 7.6 | |
Republican | Christy McLaughlin | 4,245 | 4.1 | |
Republican | Dan Severson | 3,197 | 3.1 | |
Republican | Darren Aquino | 1,466 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Daniel Kowal | 1,135 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 103,957 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Cindy Banyai, political science professor at Florida Gulf Coast University[254]
Eliminated in primary
editEndorsements
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 28,765 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | David Holden | 21,212 | 42.4 | |
Total votes | 49,977 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA[256]
Withdrawn
edit- Antonio Dumornay, housing activist[257]
General election
editDebate
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Byron Donalds | Cindy Banyai | |||||
1 | Sep. 30, 2020 | WGCU (TV) | [258] | P | P |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[259] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Byron Donalds | 272,440 | 61.27% | ||
Democratic | Cindy Banyai | 172,146 | 38.72% | ||
Independent | Patrick Post (write-in) | 3 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 444,589 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 20
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County results Hastings: 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Hastings: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Musselwhite: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. representative[260]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018[261]
Withdrawn
edit- Roshan Mody, co-founder of Plus1 Vote[262]
- Emmanuel Morel, former federal investigator for the U.S. Department of Labor and candidate for Florida's 21st congressional district in 2014[263][264]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 62,759 | 69.3 | |
Democratic | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick | 27,831 | 30.7 | |
Total votes | 90,590 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 5,394 | 52.0 | |
Republican | Vic DeGrammont | 4,975 | 48.0 | |
Total votes | 10,369 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[267] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alcee Hastings (incumbent) | 253,661 | 78.67% | ||
Republican | Greg Musselwhite | 68,748 | 21.32% | ||
Total votes | 322,409 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 21
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Precinct results Frankel: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Loomer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative[113]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Guido Weiss, former advisor to U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard[268]
Withdrawn
edit- Adam Aarons, film producer and actor[269]
Endorsements
editOrganizations
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 75,504 | 86.0 | |
Democratic | Guido Weiss | 12,308 | 14.0 | |
Total votes | 87,812 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Laura Loomer, reporter for InfoWars, conspiracy theorist, and far-right activist[270]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Christian Acosta, nuclear engineer and Palm Beach State College professor[271]
- Elizabeth Felton, animal rights activist[272]
- Aaron Scanlan, U.S. Air Force veteran[273]
- Reba Sherrill, health activist[274]
- Michael Vilardi, retired Internal Revenue Service agent[275]
Disqualified
editEndorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017–2021)[279]
U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01) (2017–present)[280]
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013)[281]
Local officials
- Jeanine Pirro, District Attorney of Westchester County (1994–2005), Chair of the New York State Commission on Domestic Violence Fatalities (1994–1997), Judge of the Westchester County Court (1991–1993)[281]
Individuals
- Roseanne Barr, actress[282]
- Juanita Broaddrick, political activist, Bill Clinton accuser, and former nursing home administrator[281]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, businesswoman, conspiracy theorist and Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the 2020 elections[279]
- Alex Jones, far-right radio show host, political extremist and conspiracy theorist[279]
- Michelle Malkin, conservative columnist[281]
- Gavin McInnes, far-right political commentator and founder of the Proud Boys[283]
- Wayne Allyn Root, conservative author, radio host, conspiracy theorist, and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[284]
- Bo Snerdley, call screener, producer, and engineer for The Rush Limbaugh Show[281]
- Roger Stone, political consultant[285]
- Milo Yiannopoulos, far-right political commentator[283]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Laura Loomer |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Washington Sentinel[286][J] | Released June 20, 2020 | –[p] | – | 51% | ≥4%[q] |
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Laura Loomer | 14,526 | 42.5 | |
Republican | Christian Acosta | 8,724 | 25.5 | |
Republican | Michael Vilardi | 4,194 | 12.3 | |
Republican | Aaron Scanlan | 3,221 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Elizabeth Felton | 2,421 | 7.1 | |
Republican | Reba Sherrill | 1,070 | 3.1 | |
Total votes | 34,156 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependents
editDeclared
edit- Sylvia Caravetta (write-in), activist[68]
- Charleston Malkemus, technology executive and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[287]
Independent Republicans
editDeclared
edit- Piotr Blass (write-in), former professor and perennial candidate[68]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[288] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Lois Frankel (D) |
Laura Loomer (R) |
Charleston Malkemus (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[289] | October 2, 2020 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 61% | 33% | 2% | 5% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lois Frankel (incumbent) | 237,925 | 59.02% | ||
Republican | Laura Loomer | 157,612 | 39.10% | ||
Independent | Charleston Malkemus | 7,544 | 1.87% | ||
Independent | Sylvia Caravetta (write-in) | 8 | 0.01% | ||
Republican | Piotr Blass (write-in) | 4 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 403,093 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 22
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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Precinct results Deutch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Pruden: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- James Pruden, attorney[290]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Fran Flynn, businesswoman[291]
- Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group[290]
- Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent[292]
Endorsements
editNewspapers
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | James Pruden | 11,840 | 35.6 | |
Republican | Jessica Melton | 9,969 | 30.0 | |
Republican | Fran Flynn | 8,667 | 26.1 | |
Republican | Darlene Swaffar | 2,763 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 33,239 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[294] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ted Deutch (incumbent) | 235,764 | 58.60% | ||
Republican | James Pruden | 166,553 | 41.39% | ||
Total votes | 402,317 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 23
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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Precinct results Schultz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Spalding: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. representative[295]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jen Perelman, attorney[296]
Endorsements
editIndividuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[297]
- Andrew Yang, non-profit leader, 2020 Democratic presidential candidate and Ambassador for Entrepreneurship under President Obama[297]
Organizations
- 350 Action[298]
- American Progressives in STEM[299]
- Brand New Congress[300]
- Our Revolution – Broward chapter[301]
Organizations
Newspapers
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 55,729 | 72.0 | |
Democratic | Jen Perelman | 21,631 | 28.0 | |
Total votes | 77,360 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Carla Spalding, nurse, independent candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2016, and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2018[304]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Michael Kroske, businessman[304]
Withdrew
edit- Richard Mendelson, former teacher at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School[305]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carla Spalding | 12,751 | 51.3 | |
Republican | Michael Kroske | 12,116 | 48.7 | |
Total votes | 24,867 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependent Republicans
editDeclared
edit- D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran[68]
- Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent[68]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[306] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) | 221,239 | 58.19% | ||
Republican | Carla Spalding | 158,874 | 41.78% | ||
Republican | Jeff Olson (write-in) | 46 | 0.01% | ||
Republican | D. B. Fugate (write-in) | 37 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 381,196 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 24
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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Precinct results Wilson: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Spicer: 40–50% 50–60% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
edit- Ricardo de La Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky De La Fuente[307]
- Sakinah Lehtola, progressive activist[308]
Endorsements
editPrimary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 68,505 | 84.7 | |
Democratic | Sakinah Lehtola | 6,267 | 7.7 | |
Democratic | Ricardo de La Fuente | 6,134 | 7.6 | |
Total votes | 80,906 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[310]
Independent and third-party candidates
editLibertarians
editWithdrawn
edit- Courtney Omega-Turner, Coconut Grove village councilwoman[311]
Independent Republicans
editDeclared
edit- Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018[68][312]
Independents
editDeclared
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[314] | Safe D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frederica Wilson (incumbent) | 218,825 | 75.55% | ||
Republican | Lavern Spicer | 59,084 | 20.39% | ||
Independent | Christine Olivo | 11,703 | 4.04% | ||
Republican | Howard Knepper (write-in) | 17 | 0.01% | ||
Independent | Hector Rivera (write-in) | 9 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 289,638 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic hold |
District 25
edit | |||||||||||
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| |||||||||||
Precinct results Díaz-Balart: >90% | |||||||||||
|
The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. representative
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDisqualified
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[317] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) | — | Uncontested | |
Total votes | — | — | ||
Republican hold |
District 26
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Precinct results Giménez: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Mucarsel-Powell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, incumbent U.S. representative[318]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Omar Blanco, former president of the Metro-Dade Firefighters Local 1403[320]
Withdrew
edit- José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016[321]
- Irina Vilariño, restaurateur[322][323]
Declined
edit- Carlos Curbelo, former U.S. representative[324]
- Louis Sola, Federal Maritime Commissioner and candidate for Florida's 24th congressional district in 2018[325]
Endorsements
editFederal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[326]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Omar Blanco |
Carlos Giménez |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unspecified national Republican organisation[327] | October 13–15, 2019 | ≈136 (LV)[r] | – | 6% | 51% | 2%[s] | 39% |
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 29,480 | 59.9 | |
Republican | Omar Blanco | 19,721 | 40.1 | |
Total votes | 49,201 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[191]
Organizations
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean D | October 21, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[335] | Likely D | October 19, 2020 |
Inside Elections[336] | Tilt D | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Tossup | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Tossup | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Debbie Murcasel-Powell (D) |
Carlos Giménez (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Meeting Street Insights (R)[337][K] | July 14–18, 2020 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Unspecified national Republican organisation[327] | October 13–15, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 45% | – |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Carlos A. Giménez | 177,223 | 51.72% | ||
Democratic | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent) | 165,407 | 48.27% | ||
Total votes | 342,630 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
District 27
edit | |||||||||||||||||
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| |||||||||||||||||
Precinct results Salazar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Shalala: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
|
The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 52% of the vote in 2018.[3]
This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Donna Shalala, incumbent U.S. representative[338]
Withdrawn
edit- Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser[339]
Endorsements
editU.S. presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[191]
Organizations
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist and nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district in 2018[343]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Juan Fiol, real estate agent[344]
- Raymond Molina, banker and Brigade 2506 veteran[68][345]
Endorsements
editFederal officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[346]
U.S. representatives
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, former U.S. representative from Florida[347]
Organizations
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 39,687 | 79.1 | |
Republican | Raymond Molina | 5,497 | 10.9 | |
Republican | Juan Fiol | 5,018 | 10.0 | |
Total votes | 50,202 | 100.0 |
Independent and third-party candidates
editIndependent Republicans
editDeclared
edit- Frank Polo (write-in), businessman
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
FiveThirtyEight[350] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Likely D | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[11] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[12] | Lean D | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[13] | Likely D | October 15, 2020 |
Niskanen[14] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Donna Shalala (D) |
Maria Salazar (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D)[351][L] | October 9–13, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
1892 Polling (R)[352][M] | September 2–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 46% | – |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Maria Elvira Salazar | 176,141 | 51.35% | ||
Democratic | Donna Shalala (incumbent) | 166,758 | 48.62% | ||
Republican | Frank Polo (write-in) | 76 | 0.01% | ||
Total votes | 342,975 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
- ^ "someone else" with 5%
- ^ No other candidate exceeds 1%
- ^ Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Standard VI response
- ^ Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
- ^ Sharon Newby with 1%
- ^ Newby with 1%
- ^ "Undecided/won't say" with 18%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ a b Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
- ^ Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
- ^ Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
- ^ 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
- ^ Irina Vilariño with 2%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
- ^ a b Poll conducted by the DCCC.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
- ^ Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign
References
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- ^ a b Wilson, Drew (April 16, 2020). "Todd Chase raises $163K, snags endorsements in crowded CD 3 race". Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ Schorsch, Peter (June 12, 2020). "Gavin Rollins lands Anthony Sabatini endorsement at the worst possible time". Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ a b Gancarski, A.G. (December 13, 2019). "Former Ted Yoho staffer Kat Cammack launches run for his Congressional seat". Florida Politics.
- ^ Wilson, Drew (December 18, 2019). "Cliff Stearns endorses Judson Sapp for CD 3". Florida Politics.
- ^ "Chuck Brannan endorses Judson Sapp for CD 3". June 4, 2020. Archived from the original on June 22, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ a b "Endorsements". Archived from the original on August 15, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ Wilson, Drew (June 9, 2020). "Jason Fischer endorses Judson Sapp for CD 3". Retrieved August 1, 2020.
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- ^ Former St. Petersburg Mayor Bill Foster Endorses Anna Paulina Luna
- ^ Wilson, Drew (May 28, 2020). "Students for Trump endorses Anna Paulina Luna for CD 13". Florida Politics.
- ^ a b c d e f Endorsements for Amanda Makki
- ^ Makki, Team (June 18, 2020). "First Female Combat Veteran to Serve in U.S Senate Endorses Amanda Makki". Amanda Makki for Co. Archived from the original on July 1, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ Makki, Team (February 29, 2020). "Conservative Pinellas Republican State Representative Endorses Amanda Makki". Amanda Makki for Co. Archived from the original on July 6, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ Hayes, Kelly (July 24, 2020). "Fraternal Order of Police backs Republican Amanda Makki in CD 13". Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Amanda Makki in Florida's 13th Congressional District". August 27, 2019.
- ^ a b "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
- ^ "Post". Amanda Makki for Co. Retrieved August 1, 2020.[permanent dead link]
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- ^ "National Republican Congressional Committee endorses Amanda Makki". August 16, 2019. Archived from the original on April 12, 2020. Retrieved April 12, 2020.
- ^ "Republican Main Street Partnership PAC Announces Endorsement of Amanda Makki (FL-13) for Congress". Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC. January 20, 2020. Archived from the original on August 11, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ "Post". Amanda Makki for Co. Retrieved August 1, 2020.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Makki, Team (March 1, 2020). "SEAL Team Six Member Who Shot Osama bin Laden Endorses Amanda Makki". Amanda Makki for Co. Archived from the original on July 6, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
- ^ St. Pete Polls
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- ^ "Home". Jacobcurnowcongress. Archived from the original on October 11, 2020. Retrieved October 8, 2020.
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- ^ a b St. Pete Polls
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External links
edit- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Florida 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
Candidate links
editOfficial campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Phil Ehr (D) for Congress Archived August 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Matt Gaetz (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Kat Cammack (R) for Congress
- Adam Christensen (D) for Congress Archived August 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Donna Deegan (D) for Congress Archived August 19, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- John Rutherford (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Clint Curtis (D) for Congress
- Alan Grayson (D) for Congress
- Gerry Nolan (I) for Congress
- Michael Waltz (R) for Congress Archived July 13, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- William Garlington (I) for Congress
- Stephanie Murphy (D) for Congress Archived November 18, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- Leo Valentin (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Jim Kennedy (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Bill Posey (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates
- Val Demings (D) for Congress
- Vennia Francois (R) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Kristofer Lawson (I) for Congress Archived August 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates
- Dana Cottrell (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Daniel Webster (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates
- Gus Bilirakis (R) for Congress
- Michael Knezevich (I) for Congress
- Kimberly Walker (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates
- Charlie Crist (D) for Congress Archived March 11, 2023, at the Wayback Machine
- Anna Paulina Luna (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates
- Kathy Castor (D) for Congress
- Christine Quinn (R) for Congress Archived August 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Robert Wunderlich Sr. (I) for Congress Archived August 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 15th district candidates
- Alan Cohn (D) for Congress Archived August 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Scott Franklin (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 16th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 17th district candidates
- Allen Ellison (D) for Congress Archived August 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Greg Steube (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 18th district candidates
- Pam Keith (D) for Congress Archived June 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Brian Mast (R) for Congress
- KW Miller (I) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 19th district candidates
- Cindy Banyai (D) for Congress
- Byron Donalds (R) for Congress
- Antonio Dumornay (I) for Congress Archived October 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 20th district candidates
- Alcee Hastings (D) for Congress
- Greg Musselwhite (R) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 21st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 22nd district candidates
- Ted Deutch (D) for Congress Archived August 16, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- James Pruden (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 23rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 24th district candidates
- Lavern Spicer (R) for Congress Archived August 17, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Frederica Wilson (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 25th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 26th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 27th district candidates