The 2020 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 17, 2020, the third primary Tuesday of the month, as one of three states voting on the same day in the Democratic Party primaries for the 2020 presidential election, while the contest in Ohio had been postponed for roughly a month. The Illinois primary was an open primary, with the state awarding 182 delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention, of which 155 were pledged delegates allocated on the basis of the results of the primary.
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182 delegates (155 pledged, 27 unpledged) to the Democratic National Convention The number of pledged delegates won is determined by the popular vote | |||||||||||||||||||
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.svg) Results by county Biden: 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Sanders: 40-50% | |||||||||||||||||||
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| Pledged national convention delegates | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Type | Del. | Type | Del. |
| CD1 | 8 | CD10 | 5 |
| CD2 | 7 | CD11 | 5 |
| CD3 | 6 | CD12 | 5 |
| CD4 | 5 | CD13 | 5 |
| CD5 | 7 | CD14 | 5 |
| CD6 | 6 | CD15 | 3 |
| CD7 | 8 | CD16 | 4 |
| CD8 | 5 | CD17 | 5 |
| CD9 | 8 | CD18 | 4 |
| PLEO | 20 | At-large | 34 |
| Total pledged delegates | 155 | ||
Immediately after the polls closed at 7:00 pm Central Time, the Associated Press declared former vice president Joe Biden the winner of the Illinois primary. Biden was victorious in all but one county, Champaign County, winning 59% of the vote and 95 delegates, while senator Bernie Sanders received the rest of 36% and 60 delegates. Together with his victories on the same day in Florida and Arizona, Biden greatly expanded the gap in delegates between him and Sanders.[1] Voter turnout was significantly down from 2016, due to the closure of polling places as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.[2][3]
Procedure
editIllinois was one of three states which held primaries on March 17, 2020, alongside Arizona and Florida,[4] while only one day before Ohio had been the first state to postpone its primary due to the COVID-19 pandemic and cancel in-person voting, accepting ballots until April 28 instead.
Voting took place throughout the state from 6:00 a.m. until 7:00 p.m. In the open primary, candidates had to meet a threshold of 15 percent at the congressional district or statewide level in order to be considered viable. The 155 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention were allocated proportionally on the basis of the results of the primary. Of these, between three and eight were allocated to each of the state's 18 congressional districts and another 20 were allocated to party leaders and elected officials (PLEO delegates), in addition to 34 at-large delegates.[5] As a March primary on Stage I of the primary timetable Illinois received no bonus delegates, in order to disperse the primaries between more different date clusters and keep too many states from hoarding on a March date.[6]
National convention district level delegates were listed on the ballot and chosen during the primary. The national convention delegation meeting was subsequently held on April 27, 2020, to vote on the 34 at-large and 20 pledged PLEO delegates for the Democratic National Convention through a quorum of district delegates. The delegation also included 27 unpledged PLEO delegates: 10 members of the Democratic National Committee, 15 members of Congress (both senators and 13 representatives), the governor J. B. Pritzker, and former president Barack Obama.[5]
Candidates
editThe following candidates qualified for the ballot in Illinois:[7]
Running
Withdrawn
Polling
edit| Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of poll aggregation | Date updated |
Dates polled |
Joe Biden |
Bernie Sanders |
Tulsi Gabbard |
Un- decided[d] | |||||
| 270toWin[8] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 7–16, 2020 | 58.6% | 30.2% | 2.0% | 9.2% | |||||
| RealClear Politics[9] | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 60.0% | 30.5% | –[e] | 9.5% | |||||
| FiveThirtyEight[10] | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[f] | 61.5% | 26.6% | 1.5% | 10.4% | |||||
| Average | 60.0% | 29.1% | 1.8% | 9.1% | |||||||
| Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[g] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Michael Bloomberg |
Pete Buttigieg |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided | ||||
| Swayable[11] | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,861 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 10%[h] | – | ||||
| Emerson College/Nexstar[12] | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 567 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 2%[i] | 6% | ||||
| Gravis Marketing[13] | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 12% | ||||
| ROI Rocket[14] | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 960 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | –[j] | –[j] | ||||
| Victory Research[15] | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 55% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 1%[k] | 8% | ||||
| Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club[16] | Mar 8, 2020 | 457(LV) | ± 4.58% | 64% | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | 4%[l] | –[m] | ||||
| 55% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 2%[n] | 16% | ||||||||
| Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Victory Research[17] | Feb 17–19, 2020 | 1,200(LV) | ± 2.83% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | – | 6.3% | 25.6% | 6.6% | 4.4%[o] | 10.9% | ||||
| Southern Illinois University[18] | Feb 10–17, 2020 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 14% | 17% | 13% | – | 8% | 22% | 6% | 2%[p] | 17% | ||||
| Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Victory Research[19] | Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2019 | 1,500 (RV) | ±2.83% | 23.2% | 3.6% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 12.3%[q] | 6.9% | ||||
| Victory Research[20] | Jul 26–29, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 36.1% | – | 9.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.2%[r] | 7.3% | ||||
Results
edit| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[22] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 986,661 | 58.94 | 95 |
| Bernie Sanders | 605,701 | 36.18 | 60 |
| Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)[b] | 25,500 | 1.52 | |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)[b] | 24,413 | 1.46 | |
| Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)[c] | 9,729 | 0.58 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 9,642 | 0.58 | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn)[a] | 4,021 | 0.24 | |
| Cory Booker (withdrawn) | 2,684 | 0.16 | |
| Tom Steyer (withdrawn)[c] | 1,684 | 0.10 | |
| Deval Patrick (withdrawn)[a] | 1,567 | 0.09 | |
| Michael Bennet (withdrawn)[a] | 1,346 | 0.08 | |
| John Delaney (withdrawn) | 1,185 | 0.07 | |
| Total | 1,674,133 | 100% | 155 |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ a b c d e f Candidate withdrew after the New Hampshire primary when early voting had already begun.
- ^ a b c d Candidate withdrew after Super Tuesday during early voting.
- ^ a b c d Candidate withdrew shortly before Super Tuesday during early voting.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Gabbard not averaged
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ a b Not yet released
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%
- ^ Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
- ^ Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%
References
edit- ^ "Illinois Election Results: Live Presidential Primary 2020". New York Times. March 17, 2020. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ "The Coronavirus Outbreak Has Made Voting In Illinois Today A Full Mess". BuzzFeed News. March 17, 2020. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
- ^ Levine, Sam (March 18, 2020). "Closures and confusion as US voters go to the polls amid coronavirus concerns". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved April 8, 2020.
- ^ Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- ^ a b "Illinois Democratic Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. May 20, 2019. Retrieved June 23, 2019.
- ^ "Democratic Timing Penalties and Bonuses". The Green Papers. November 24, 2021. Retrieved March 19, 2022.
- ^ "Election Results – 2020 General Primary". Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived from the original on February 22, 2020. Retrieved April 3, 2022.
- ^ 270toWin
- ^ RealClear Politics
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ Swayable Archived 2020-03-17 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Emerson College/Nexstar
- ^ "Gravis Marketing" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 15, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2020.
- ^ ROI Rocket
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Southern Illinois University
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Victory Research
- ^ Sandvoss, Steven S. (Executive Director) (April 17, 2020). Official Canvass of the 2020 Illinois General Election. Illinois State Board of Elections. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
- ^ "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Illinois Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 2, 2020.