2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district
	Cheney: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% ; Grey Bull: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%; No data
U.S. Representative before election; Liz Cheney; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Liz Cheney; Republican

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Liz Cheney, incumbent U.S. representative^[1]

Eliminated in primary

Blake Stanley, rancher^[2]

Endorsements

Liz Cheney

Organizations

Maggie's List^[3]

Results

Results by county:

Cheney

60–70%
70–80%

Republican primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Liz Cheney (incumbent)	78,870	73.46
	Republican	Blake Stanley	28,039	26.12
	Write-in		454	0.42
Total votes			107,363	100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Lynnette Grey Bull, activist and member of the Northern Arapaho tribe^[5]

Eliminated in primary

Carl Beach, international educator^[6]
Carol Hafner, retired educator and progressive activist^[7]

Declined

Dave Freudenthal, former governor of Wyoming^[8]

Endorsements

Lynnette Grey Bull

Federal officials

Deb Haaland, U.S. representative from New Mexico's 1st congressional district^[9]

State officials

Liisa Anselmi-Dalton, state senator from the 12th district^[9]
Stan Blake, state representative from the 39th district^[9]
Cathy Connolly, Minority Leader of the Wyoming House of Representatives from the 13th district^[9]
JoAnn Dayton-Selman, state representative from the 17th district^[9]

Organizations

Sierra Club^[10]

Results

Results by county:

Grey Bull

40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%

Democratic primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lynnette Grey Bull	14,153	60.03
	Democratic	Carol Hafner	5,172	21.94
	Democratic	Carl Beach	4,107	17.42
	Write-in		144	0.61
Total votes			23,576	100.00

General election

Debates

Complete video of debate, October 8, 2020

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Inside Elections^[12]	Safe R	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Politico^[14]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos^[15]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
RCP^[16]	Safe R	November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Liz Cheney (R)	Lynette Grey Bull (D)	Undecided
University of Wyoming^[17]	October 8–28, 2020	614 (LV)	± 4%	58%	28%	–

Results

Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2020^[18]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Liz Cheney (incumbent)	185,732	68.56%	+4.98%
	Democratic	Lynnette Grey Bull	66,576	24.58%	−5.19%
	Libertarian	Richard Brubaker	10,154	3.75%	+0.31%
	Constitution	Jeff Haggit	7,905	2.92%	−0.10%
	Write-in		525	0.19%	±0.00%
Total votes			270,892	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

By county

County	Liz Cheney Republican		Lynnette Grey Bull Democratic		Richard Brubaker Libertarian		Jeff Haggit Constitution		Write-in		Margin		Total votes
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total votes
Albany	8,629	47.34	8,440	46.31	737	4.04	392	2.15	28	0.15	189	1.04	18,226
Big Horn	4,587	81.33	724	12.84	143	2.54	180	3.19	6	0.11	3,863	68.49	5,640
Campbell	15,732	83.00	1,713	9.04	735	3.88	694	3.66	80	0.42	14,019	73.96	18,954
Carbon	4,644	71.36	1,337	20.54	313	4.81	204	3.13	10	0.15	3,307	50.81	6,508
Converse	5,418	80.08	785	11.60	254	3.75	293	4.33	16	0.24	4,633	68.48	6,766
Crook	3,442	85.07	337	8.33	117	2.89	141	3.48	9	0.22	3,105	76.74	4,046
Fremont	11,505	64.62	5,227	29.36	711	3.99	335	1.88	26	0.15	6,278	35.26	17,804
Goshen	4,722	76.97	1,037	16.90	159	2.59	210	3.42	7	0.11	3,685	60.07	6,135
Hot Springs	1,915	75.90	424	16.81	105	4.16	76	3.01	3	0.12	1,491	59.10	2,523
Johnson	3,715	77.35	792	16.49	186	3.87	107	2.23	3	0.06	2,923	60.86	4,803
Laramie	27,641	61.99	13,863	31.09	1,790	4.01	1,198	2.69	100	0.22	13,778	61.99	44,592
Lincoln	8,324	80.93	1,429	13.89	262	2.55	259	2.52	11	0.11	6,895	67.04	10,285
Natrona	24,214	70.47	7,454	21.69	1,652	4.81	961	2.80	78	0.23	16,760	48.78	34,359
Niobrara	1,053	81.69	145	11.25	31	2.40	58	4.50	2	0.16	908	70.44	1,289
Park	12,374	75.91	2,874	17.63	511	3.13	505	3.10	36	0.22	9,500	58.28	16,300
Platte	3,589	74.44	868	18.00	142	2.94	215	4.46	7	0.14	2,721	56.44	4,821
Sheridan	11,588	72.31	3,460	21.59	578	3.61	373	2.33	27	0.17	8,128	50.72	16,026
Sublette	3,729	76.89	837	17.26	128	2.64	149	3.07	7	0.14	2,892	59.63	4,850
Sweetwater	11,097	68.72	3,680	22.79	733	4.54	611	3.78	26	0.16	7,417	45.93	16,147
Teton	5,210	36.30	8,628	60.11	383	2.67	116	0.81	16	0.11	-3,418	-23.81	14,353
Uinta	6,781	74.46	1,521	16.70	269	2.95	522	5.73	14	0.15	5,260	57.76	9,107
Washakie	3,063	77.74	599	15.20	143	3.63	126	3.20	9	0.23	2,464	62.54	3,940
Weston	2,760	80.75	402	11.76	72	2.11	180	5.27	4	0.12	2,358	68.99	3,418
Totals	185,732	68.56	66,576	24.58	10,154	3.75	7,905	2.92	525	0.19	119,156	43.99	270,892

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Albany (largest municipality: Laramie)

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References

^ Rogers, Alex; Byrd, Haley (January 16, 2020). "Liz Cheney won't run for US Senate seat from Wyoming". CNN. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
^ Pridgeon, Sarah (August 20, 2020). "The results are in..." The Sundance Times. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
^ "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
^ Barker, Alexis (June 3, 2020). "Neiman will run against Lindholm". News Letter Journal. Seeking the Democratic nomination are Carl Beach of Saratoga, Carol Hafner of Box Elder, South Dakota, and Lynette Greybull of Fort Washakie.
^ Hirst, Greg (August 4, 2020). "RAWLINS NATIVE AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATOR CARL BEACH VYING FOR DEM NOMINATION TO U.S. HOUSE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
^ Hirst, Greg (August 14, 2020). "U.S. HOUSE DEM CANDIDATE HAFNER RUNNING FOR A GREEN NEW DEAL, V.A. OVERHAUL, LEGAL CANNABIS". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
^ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e "VOTE GREY BULL – DEMOCRAT FOR US CONGRESS – TUESDAY AUGUST 18". Archived from the original on July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
^ University of Wyoming
^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Wyoming", Voting & Elections Toolkits
"Wyoming: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
"League of Women Voters of Wyoming". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Wyoming at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

Liz Cheney (R) for Congress
Lynnette Grey Bull (D) for Congress Archived October 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Jeff Haggit (C) for Congress

[Key-17] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] Rogers, Alex; Byrd, Haley (January 16, 2020). "Liz Cheney won't run for US Senate seat from Wyoming". CNN. Retrieved January 16, 2020.

[2] Pridgeon, Sarah (August 20, 2020). "The results are in..." The Sundance Times. Retrieved August 21, 2020.

[3] "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.

[primaryresults-4] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.

[5] Barker, Alexis (June 3, 2020). "Neiman will run against Lindholm". News Letter Journal. Seeking the Democratic nomination are Carl Beach of Saratoga, Carol Hafner of Box Elder, South Dakota, and Lynette Greybull of Fort Washakie.

[6] Hirst, Greg (August 4, 2020). "RAWLINS NATIVE AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATOR CARL BEACH VYING FOR DEM NOMINATION TO U.S. HOUSE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.

[7] Hirst, Greg (August 14, 2020). "U.S. HOUSE DEM CANDIDATE HAFNER RUNNING FOR A GREEN NEW DEAL, V.A. OVERHAUL, LEGAL CANNABIS". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.

[Wishlist-8] Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.

[www.lynnettegreybull.com-9] "VOTE GREY BULL – DEMOCRAT FOR US CONGRESS – TUESDAY AUGUST 18". Archived from the original on July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.

[10] "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.

[CookPolitical-11] "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[InsideElections-12] "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[Sabato-13] "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[Politico-14] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.

[DailyKos-15] "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[RCP-16] "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.

[18] University of Wyoming

[19] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[a]

[17]

[18]