The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
edit| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 246,329 | 74.99% | 82,141 | 25.01% | 0 | 0.00% | 328,470 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 255,735 | 70.96% | 94,643 | 26.26% | 10,021 | 2.78% | 360,399 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 136,425 | 37.16% | 230,672 | 62.84% | 0 | 0.00% | 367,097 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 256,613 | 67.09% | 125,896 | 32.91% | 0 | 0.00% | 382,509 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 250,914 | 84.21% | 47,056 | 15.79% | 0 | 0.00% | 297,970 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 216,948 | 57.32% | 155,011 | 40.96% | 6,491 | 1.72% | 378,450 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| Total | 1,363,964 | 64.46% | 735,419 | 34.76% | 16,512 | 0.78% | 2,115,895 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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 County results Comer: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district takes in Western Kentucky, including Paducah, Hopkinsville, Murray, and Henderson. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 68.6% of the vote.[1]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- James Rhodes[2]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | James Comer (incumbent) | 246,329 | 75.0 | |
| Democratic | James Rhodes | 82,141 | 25.0 | |
| Total votes | 328,470 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 County results Guthrie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses west-central Kentucky, taking in Bowling Green, Owensboro, and Elizabethtown. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Kathleen Free[11]
- Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative[11]
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 65,313 | 88.6 | |
| Republican | Kathleen Free | 8,380 | 11.4 | |
| Total votes | 73,693 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
editThird parties
editLibertarian Party
edit- Robert Lee Perry[citation needed]
Populist Party
edit- Lewis Carter[citation needed]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 255,735 | 70.9 | |
| Democratic | Hank Linderman | 94,643 | 26.3 | |
| Libertarian | Robert Lee Perry | 7,588 | 2.1 | |
| Populist | Lewis Carter | 2,431 | 0.7 | |
| Write-in | 2 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 360,399 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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 County result Yarmuth: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of the Louisville metropolitan area. The incumbent is Democrat John Yarmuth, who was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. representative[13]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Mike Craven, activist and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[14]
- Waymen Eddings, businessman[14]
- Rhonda Palazzo, realtor and candidate for Kentucky's 3rd congressional district in 2018[14]
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rhonda Palazzo | 19,806 | 42.4 | |
| Republican | Mike Craven | 19,676 | 42.1 | |
| Republican | Waymen Eddings | 7,275 | 15.5 | |
| Total votes | 46,757 | 100.0 | ||
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 230,672 | 62.7 | |
| Republican | Rhonda Palazzo | 137,425 | 37.3 | |
| Total votes | 368,097 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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 County results Massie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and a small part of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 62.2% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative[15]
- Todd McMurtry, attorney[16]
Declined
editEndorsements
editPolling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Thomas Massie |
Todd McMurty |
Kim Moser |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[19][A] | June 10–11, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 77% | 11% | – | 12% |
| WPA Intelligence[20][A] | April 27–28, 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 70% | 13% | – | 17% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[21][B] | February 4–6, 2020 | 300 (V) | ± 5.66% | 71% | 3% | – | – |
| WPA Intelligence[22][C] | July 8–9, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 64% | – | 10% | 26% |
Hypothetical polling
with Generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Thomas Massie |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[22][C] | July 8–9, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 8% | 43%[b] |
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 68,591 | 81.0 | |
| Republican | Todd McMurtry | 16,092 | 19.0 | |
| Total votes | 84,683 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
editPrimary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alexandra Owensby | 41,531 | 58.4 | |
| Democratic | Shannon Fabert | 29,557 | 41.6 | |
| Total votes | 71,088 | 100.0 | ||
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Thomas Massie (incumbent) | 256,613 | 67.1 | |
| Democratic | Alexandra Owensby | 125,896 | 32.9 | |
| Total votes | 382,509 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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 County results Rogers: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district, one of the poorest and most rural in the country, is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[24]
- Geraldo Serrano, farmer and candidate for Kentucky's 5th congressional district in 2018[24]
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 76,575 | 91.1 | |
| Republican | Gerardo Serrano | 7,436 | 8.9 | |
| Total votes | 84,011 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Matthew Best[24]
Declined
edit- Rocky Adkins, minority leader of the Kentucky House of Representatives and candidate for Governor of Kentucky in 2019[25]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 250,914 | 84.2 | |
| Democratic | Matthew Best | 47,056 | 15.8 | |
| Total votes | 297,970 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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 County results Barr: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Hicks: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative[26]
- Chuck Eddy, retired salesman[27]
- Geoff Young, perennial candidate and assistant director[27]
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 62,706 | 90.7 | |
| Republican | Chuck Eddy | 3,636 | 5.3 | |
| Republican | Geoff Young | 2,765 | 4.0 | |
| Total votes | 69,107 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Josh Hicks, attorney and U.S. Marine veteran[28]
- Daniel Kemph, business analyst and candidate for Kentucky's 6th congressional district in 2018[27]
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Josh Hicks | 81,305 | 72.4 | |
| Democratic | Daniel Kemph | 31,064 | 27.6 | |
| Total votes | 112,369 | 100.0 | ||
General election
editEndorsements
editJosh Hicks (D)
- Charles Booker, state representative and former candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[29]
- VoteVets[30]
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Likely R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Likely R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Lean R | October 24, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andy Barr (R) |
Josh Hicks (D) |
Frank Harris (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)[31][D] | July 13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 50% | 2% | 11% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Andy Barr (incumbent) | 216,948 | 57.3 | |
| Democratic | Josh Hicks | 155,011 | 41.0 | |
| Libertarian | Frank Harris | 6,491 | 1.7 | |
| Total votes | 378,450 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
editNotes
editPartisan clients
- ^ a b By the time of this poll's sampling period, the Club for Growth had endorsed Massie's re-election bid
- ^ Poll sponsored by Massie
- ^ a b The Club for Growth is an organization that exclusively endorses Republican candidates
- ^ This pollster supports candidates it considers politically progressive
References
edit- ^ a b c d e f Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 8, 2019.
- ^ a b Overstreet, Melinda J. (January 10, 2020). "Candidates seek to unseat Riley, Rowland and Givens; 17 file for nine Glasgow council seats". Glasgow Daily Times. Archived from the original on January 27, 2020. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f "November 3, 2020 - Official 2020 General Election Results" (PDF). Kentucky Secretary of State. November 20, 2020. pp. 12–19. Retrieved November 21, 2020.
- ^ a b c Swietek, Wes (January 10, 2020). "Minter, Sheldon unopposed in 2020". Bowling Green Daily News. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f g "2020 Primary Election - Certified Election Results" (PDF). Commonwealth of Kentucky - State Board of Elections. Retrieved September 5, 2020.
- ^ Munson, Emilie (January 6, 2020). "Exclusive: Another Republican joins 5th District race". Retrieved January 9, 2020.
- ^ a b c "KENTUCKY". Politics 1. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ "Thomas Massie". www.facebook.com.
- ^ Bailey, Phillip M.; Sonka, Joe (January 10, 2020). "Attorney in Covington Catholic case challenges Rep. Thomas Massie in GOP primary". Louisville Courier Journal. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ Bailey, Phillip M. (July 3, 2019). "National Republicans may be maneuvering to unseat Kentucky's conservative darling, Massie". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
- ^ Bailey, Phillip M. (July 4, 2019). "Rand Paul: Thomas Massie has 'my full support' against GOP primary threat". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ WPA Intelligence
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
- ^ a b WPA Intelligence
- ^ a b Fair, Julia (January 7, 2020). "This is our best shot at changing things.' NKY Democrat nurse practitioner files to run against Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in 2020". Cincinnati Enquirer. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ a b c Mills, Jarrod (January 11, 2020). "Several races set as election filing deadline passes". Times-Tribune. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ Desrochers, Daniel (December 2, 2019). "Rocky Adkins passes on U.S. Senate bid and takes job in Andy Beshear's administration". Lexington Herald Leader.
- ^ "Andy Barr". Facebook. December 16, 2019. Retrieved December 25, 2019.
- ^ a b c Greene, Jonathan (January 14, 2020). "ELECTION 2020: Seven running for city commission". Richmond Register. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
- ^ Schreiner, Bruce (August 1, 2019). "Marine veteran enters race for 6th District seat in Kentucky". Associated Press News. Retrieved August 1, 2019.
- ^ Charles Booker [@Booker4KY] (October 21, 2020). "From the hood to the holler, there is a movement growing in KY. Regular folks are rising up to fight back. @joshhicksky is standing for the people of KY's 6th District, and I am proud to stand with him. Let's send a warrior to Washington: https://t.co/Tu53QsIu4N https://t.co/weHGxxkofB" (Tweet). Retrieved January 28, 2021 – via Twitter.
- ^ "VoteVets Endorses Josh Hicks for Congress – Josh Hicks for Congress". Archived from the original on October 26, 2020. Retrieved October 23, 2020.
- ^ Bluegrass Voters Coalition (D)
External links
edit- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Kentucky", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Kentucky: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Kentucky". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Kentucky at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- James Comer (R) for Congress
- James Rhodes (D) for Congress Archived January 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Brett Guthrie (R) for Congress
- Hank Linderman (D) for Congress
- Robert Lee Perry (L) for Congress Archived September 13, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Rhonda Palazzo (R) for Congress Archived June 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- John Yarmuth (D) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Thomas Massie (R) for Congress
- Alexandra Owensby (D) for Congress Archived November 15, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Andy Barr (R) for Congress
- Josh Hicks (D) for Congress Archived June 12, 2020, at the Wayback Machine